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MPMPWR

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

$MPWR·$77B·Semiconductors·Technology
$1428.94+0.4%YTD+53.5%1Y+105.6%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-06-17: 7 posts2026-06-18: 22 posts2026-06-19: 10 posts2026-06-20: 0 posts2026-06-21: 9 posts2026-06-22: 18 posts2026-06-23: 24 posts91+14%
Price updated 2m ago·X counts updated 21h ago
MPMPWR
$MPWRMonolithic Power Systems, Inc.
$1,428.94+0.36%91 posts+14%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $MPWR, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-06-24

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

Monolithic Power +106% TTM on AI-power IC thesis — Tseng's $12.9M sale at $1,700 is the cluster the chart is digesting.

Monolithic Power Systems is one of the leading analog/power-IC specialists with significant AI/data-center exposure (multi-phase voltage regulators, power-conversion modules), and the live setup is the equity cooling at the 72nd percentile of its 52-week range after a 106% TTM run.

  • The fundamentals are accelerating cleanly: Q1 revenue grew 26% YoY to $804M at a 55% gross margin and 30% operating margin, with FY27 consensus pencilling to $4.53B revenue and $30.17 EPS rising to $5.21B and $35.04 in FY28 — at 108x trailing earnings the multiple is full; on FY28 EPS it's ~41x, defensible for a 25%+ revenue grower with 30%+ operating margins.
  • The catalyst stack is structural: revenue compounding at 25% CAGR over 10 years, AI-data-center power-IC demand structurally lifting all the cycle-recovery names in analog, MPWR named bullish-high at $1481 entry with conviction calls, and reversion screens highlighting MPWR as a top historical bounce after sharp 1-2 day drops — that's a clean technical-and-fundamental setup.
  • The insider cluster is the major cooling-off signal: officer Saria Tseng's $12.86M sale on May 29 at $1,700, director Jeff Zhou's $817K sale May 27, plus smaller F-InKind / gift activity from Sciammas and Dean — that's roughly $14M+ of executive distribution at $1,649-$1,700, and today's 7.4% drop is the chart catching up to the cluster.

The July 30 Q2 earnings is the trigger — sustained 25%+ revenue growth AND any explicit AI-data-center customer-add commentary extends the cooling-after-rally pattern; an in-line print with no fresh AI-power-IC datapoint and continued executive distribution, and the 72nd-percentile drifts toward the 50-day at ~$1,300. Structural support is the AI-power-IC tailwind; friction is the $14M cluster at $1,700.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish framing (25% CAGR compounder, AI-power IC tailwind, $1481.07 bullish-high entry, reversion-screen top bounce candidate) is mechanically right. The underweighted signal is Saria Tseng's $12.86M May 29 sale at $1,700 plus other insider activity — that's the cooling-off cluster the chart is digesting today.

What to watch: July 30 Q2 earnings — needs sustained 25%+ revenue growth AND explicit AI-data-center customer-add commentary. In-line print without fresh AI-power-IC datapoint and continued executive distribution, and 72nd-percentile drifts to 50-day at ~$1,300; Tseng's $1,700 sale is the inside benchmark.

On the calendar: 2026-07-30 — Q2 earnings

insider distribution clusterai power ic thematicpremium multiple

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment6 posts analyzed · as of 2026-06-14

Monolithic Power Systems is being framed as one of the most underrated semis with revenue compounding at 25% CAGR over 10 years. New conviction calls list MPWR as bullish-high at $1481.07 entry. Reversion screen highlights MPWR as a top historical bounce after sharp 1-2 day drops. Tone is constructive across the small sample.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $MPWR

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Designs high-efficiency power management ICs for AI servers, electric vehicles, and consumer electronics.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Semiconductors sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $MPWR.

Semiconductors · Technology

Hyperscaler AI capex remains the structural engine — Goldman Sachs' $1T+ AI infrastructure spend forecast for 2027 validates no capex retreat, keeping NVDA Blackwell allocation tight through 2H26. HBM3e pricing holds as LLM context-window expansion drives 5-8x per-server memory requirements vs. prior cycles, with Micron's June 24 earnings the week's key data point.

What this means for $MPWR

Direct beneficiary — Monolithic Power's high-efficiency power management ICs for AI servers are a direct beneficiary of hyperscaler rack density growth, with data center as the fastest-growing segment.

Top industry ETF

$SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF
+68.6%YTD
+137.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
107.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
16.3%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
27.1%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
0.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
24.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
19.1%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
55.2%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 30, 2026$5.10$4.90+4.1%
Q4 2025Feb 5, 2026$4.79$4.74+1.1%
Q3 2025Oct 30, 2025$4.73$4.64+1.9%
Q2 2025Jul 31, 2025$4.21$4.12+2.2%
Next earningsThu, Jul 30·consensus EPS $5.85

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$804.2M+26.1%55.3%30.0%$3.94$179.4M
Q4 FY25$751.2M+20.8%55.2%26.6%$3.51$61.9M
Q3 FY25$737.2M+18.9%55.1%26.5%$3.72$198.8M
Q2 FY25$664.6M+31.0%55.1%24.8%$2.79$187.5M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 12 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$3.7B$3.7B – $3.8B$23.98$23.60 – $24.8412
FY27$4.5B$4.3B – $4.8B$30.17$28.59 – $33.1411
FY28$5.2B$5.2B – $5.2B$35.04$31.31 – $40.176
FY29$6.0B$5.8B – $6.4B$41.25$39.28 – $44.175
FY30$6.8B$6.5B – $7.2B$46.75$44.51 – $50.063

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.2.0×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.72%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-8.3%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+23.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 47.3M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today3.4% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.695-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 1Maurice SciammasEVP, WW Sales & Marketing30 sh$46KSellMay 27Saria TsengEVP & General Counsel7.6K sh$12.9MSellMay 26Robert W DeanCFO22 sh$36KSellMay 26Jeff ZhouDirector486 sh$816KSellMay 22Saria TsengEVP & General Counsel5.0K sh$7.9MSellMay 18Robert W DeanCFO4 sh$6KSellMay 18Michael HsingCEO40.0K sh$59.3MSellMay 15Maurice SciammasEVP, WW Sales & Marketing12.0K sh$18.7MSellMay 6Deming XiaoEVP, Global Operations30.0K sh$49.6MSellMay 6Eugen J ElmigerDirector12.0K sh$19.0M
1–10 of 20
+ 4 other (3 gifts · 1 other) in window

See when $MPWR insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteJun 128-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. held its 2026 Annual Meeting on June 11, 2026, electing two Class I directors and ratifying Ernst & Young LLP and approving Say-on-Pay; separately on June 12, 2026, declared a Q2 cash dividend of $2.00 per share payable July 15, 2026 to stockholders of record as of June 30, 2026. The $2.00/share quarterly dividend ($8.00/share annualized) reflects strong free cash flow generation and management's commitment to capital return at the high-growth analog semiconductor company.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 93
8-KEarnings restatementFeb 278-K — Item 4.02: Earnings restatement
8-KOfficer or director changeFeb 58-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 8.01: Other event
+ 12 other (5 13Gs · 2 proxys · 1 SD · 1 10-Q) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Can Monolithic Power Capitalize on Rising Telecom Solutions Demand?zacks.com·2d agoIs Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) Outperforming Other Computer and Technology Stocks This Year?zacks.com·2d agoMonolithic (MPWR) Soars 8.0%: Is Further Upside Left in the Stock?zacks.com·5d agoFinancials Rose, Tech Fell Before Kevin Warsh Fed Debutetftrends.com·6d agoOppenheimer Picks Alphabet, Dumps Meta in Highest-Conviction Stock Picksgurufocus.com·8d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

AI InfrastructureAI Power Delivery

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Voices on X · top 1 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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