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MPMPWR

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

$MPWR·$69B·Semiconductors·Technology
$1274.33+1.4%YTD+43.9%1Y+46.3%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-21: 4 posts2026-08-22: 3 posts44+7%
Price updated 12m ago·X counts updated 9d ago
MPMPWR
$MPWRMonolithic Power Systems, Inc.
$1,274.33+1.44%44 posts+7%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $MPWR, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-25

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Q2 record revenue $981M (+48% YoY) and Enterprise Data segment +164% — seventh straight triple play and the AI-power silicon leader.

Monolithic Power Systems designs power-management semiconductors — the DC-DC integrated circuits inside GPUs, data-center servers, automotive, industrial, and consumer electronics. The stock is up 53% over trailing year and 44% year-to-date on AI-server-power demand, and Q2's print was the operational blowoff.

  • Q2 2026 revenue was $981M (up 48% year-over-year, up 22% sequentially) with non-GAAP EPS $6.50 — the Enterprise Data segment (AI servers / data-center power) surged +45% sequentially and +164% year-over-year
  • Seventh straight triple play (revenue beat + EPS beat + guide raise), tenth in eleven quarters — extraordinary consistency
  • The last four earnings surprises: +10.7%, +4.1%, +1.1%, +1.9% — small early beats before Q2's larger 10.7% surprise
  • Analyst 2026 revenue estimate is $3.96B on $26.00 EPS growing to $4.96B / $33.12 in 2027 — the stock at $1,285 is 49.4x forward, expensive but consistent with 30%+ growth
  • Gross margin is 55.2%, operating margin 27% — high-quality semiconductor economics
  • Insider signal is small negative: multiple small officer sales and gifts totaling under $250K in early August — plus one class-action-style press release ('did MPWR insiders breach fiduciary duties?') on August 17
  • X frames it as setting up 'like AVGO before it broke out' — technical analog with fundamental support
  • Beta 1.69 — cyclically amplified against the semi cycle

At 49x forward for a company growing 48% at 27% operating margin with dominant AI-power positioning, the multiple demands continued execution but the fundamentals support it.

Agrees with X sentimentX is bullish on the seventh straight triple play, Enterprise Data segment surge, and AVGO analog. Fair — the operational execution is genuinely exceptional and the AI-power thesis is the current market focus.

What to watch: The Q3 print on October 29 — Enterprise Data segment growth staying above 100% year-over-year and continued triple plays keep the accelerating trajectory intact.

On the calendar: 2026-10-29 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment8 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-07

Monolithic Power posted record Q2 revenue of $980.6M (+48% YoY, +22% QoQ) with non-GAAP EPS $6.50 — the seventh straight triple play and tenth in eleven quarters. The Enterprise Data segment (AI servers/data-center power) surged +45% sequentially and +164% YoY. Stock rallied 9-10.7% in a session, though one earlier post flagged MPWR down 7% at a different point. Technicians see MPWR setting up 'a bit like AVGO before it broke out' basing under the 50DMA.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $MPWR

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Designs high-efficiency power management ICs for AI servers, electric vehicles, and consumer electronics.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Semiconductors sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $MPWR.

Semiconductors · Technology

Hyperscaler AI capex keeps Blackwell allocation tight and HBM3e pricing firm; NVDA's data-center backlog and AVGO's networking wins confirm the cycle is not peaking. LLM context-window expansion — the structural demand pull — extends through at least 2H26.

What this means for $MPWR

Direct beneficiary — semiconductor products are directly in the AI capex supply chain; Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

Top industry ETF

$SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF
+56.0%YTD
+85.1%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
107.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
16.3%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
27.1%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
0.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
24.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
19.1%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
55.2%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 30, 2026$6.50$5.87+10.7%
Q1 2026Apr 30, 2026$5.10$4.90+4.1%
Q4 2025Feb 5, 2026$4.79$4.74+1.1%
Q3 2025Oct 30, 2025$4.73$4.64+1.9%
Next earningsThu, Oct 29·consensus EPS $7.69

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$804.2M+26.1%55.3%30.0%$3.94$179.4M
Q4 FY25$751.2M+20.8%55.2%26.6%$3.51$61.9M
Q3 FY25$737.2M+18.9%55.1%26.5%$3.72$198.8M
Q2 FY25$664.6M+31.0%55.1%24.8%$2.79$187.5M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 10 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$4.0B$3.9B – $4.0B$26.00$25.44 – $26.8610
FY27$5.0B$4.6B – $5.4B$33.12$30.81 – $37.7110
FY28$5.7B$5.3B – $6.0B$38.19$33.58 – $43.074
FY29$6.0B$5.8B – $6.4B$41.25$38.82 – $44.413
FY30$7.5B$7.1B – $7.9B$51.41$48.38 – $55.343

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.50%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-7.2%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+1.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 47.4M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.4% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.695-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 24Robert W DeanCFO32 sh$42KSellAug 24Chang Kuo Wei HerbertDirector50 sh$64KSellAug 17Robert W DeanCFO6 sh$8KSellAug 11Chang Kuo Wei HerbertDirector50 sh$71KSellAug 5Robert W DeanCFO105 sh$141KSellAug 3Maurice SciammasEVP, WW Sales & Marketing30 sh$40KSellJul 15Maurice SciammasEVP, WW Sales & Marketing15.0K sh$20.2MSellJul 1Maurice SciammasEVP, WW Sales & Marketing30 sh$41KSellJun 1Maurice SciammasEVP, WW Sales & Marketing30 sh$46KSellMay 27Saria TsengEVP & General Counsel7.6K sh$12.9M
1–10 of 28
+ 7 other (4 gifts · 2 others · 1 award) in window

See when $MPWR insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteJun 128-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. held its 2026 Annual Meeting on June 11, 2026, electing two Class I directors and ratifying Ernst & Young LLP and approving Say-on-Pay; separately on June 12, 2026, declared a Q2 cash dividend of $2.00 per share payable July 15, 2026 to stockholders of record as of June 30, 2026. The $2.00/share quarterly dividend ($8.00/share annualized) reflects strong free cash flow generation and management's commitment to capital return at the high-growth analog semiconductor company.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 93
+ 13 other (5 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

The $50 Trillion Robot Boom Starts at $10 an Hourinvestorplace.com·4d agoMonolithic Power (MPWR) Recently Broke Out Above the 50-Day Moving Averagezacks.com·14d agoDid Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. Insiders Breach their Fiduciary Duties to Shareholders?prnewswire.com·15d agoInsider Sale: Monolithic Power Systems Interim CFO Sells 105 Shares for $141,148fool.com·15d agoBull of the Day: Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR)zacks.com·17d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

AI InfrastructureAI Power Delivery

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $MPWR on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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