TickerTalks
Browse all tickers →
TickerTalks›$MPWR
MPMPWR

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 26% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesConsistent chatter on X (928/wk), no spike
$MPWR·$66B·Semiconductors·Technology
$1305.65-3.5%YTD+40.8%1Y+82.9%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-09: 192 posts2026-07-10: 218 posts2026-07-11: 64 posts2026-07-12: 135 posts2026-07-13: 178 posts2026-07-14: 64 posts2026-07-15: 66 posts928+0%
Price updated 5h ago·X counts updated 1d ago
MPMPWR
$MPWRMonolithic Power Systems, Inc.
$1,305.65-3.48%928 posts+0%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
Loading…

AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $MPWR, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-07-16

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Underrated power-semi compounder at 25% CAGR — the coil is loaded into July 30 earnings.

Monolithic Power Systems is the analog power-management chip designer whose 2026 tape has ripped 46% YTD on the AI-datacenter power thesis. The setup is real-business + accelerating with revenue compounding at 25% CAGR over the past decade.

  • The core business is executing at scale: Q1 2026 revenue grew 26% YoY to $804M, gross margin held at 55%, and operating margin was 30% — this is genuinely rare compounder economics with 25% CAGR over 10 years, and the AI-datacenter power-management thesis is the specific bull-lever.
  • Valuation is loaded on the compounder pattern: 108x TTM P/E and 25x sales at $1,353 puts MPWR at the top of the analog-multiple range, and the setup requires continued 25%+ revenue growth to justify the multiple — the July 30 print has to affirm.
  • Analyst positioning is confirming: MPWR framed as one of the most underrated semis with new conviction calls listing bullish-high at $1,481 entry, and the reversion screen highlights MPWR as a top historical bounce candidate after sharp 1-2 day drops — real institutional interest.

The July 30 Q2 earnings are the near-term arbiter — Q2 revenue growth trajectory, gross margin durability at 55%+, and any specific NVIDIA + AMD datacenter-power-attach commentary extend the setup toward $1,481. A revenue miss or gross-margin compression stalls the tape below $1,200.

Agrees with X sentimentX is bullish, frames MPWR as one of the most underrated semis with revenue compounding at 25% CAGR over 10 years, new conviction calls list MPWR as bullish-high at $1,481.07 entry, and reversion screen highlights MPWR as top historical bounce after sharp 1-2 day drops. Mechanics validate: Q1 revenue +26% YoY at 55% gross margin, 30% operating margin — the 25% CAGR compounder pattern is real. The July 30 print has to affirm.

What to watch: The July 30 Q2 earnings. Watch Q2 revenue growth trajectory, gross margin durability at 55%+, and NVIDIA + AMD datacenter-power-attach commentary. Revenue miss or gross-margin compression stalls the tape sub-$1,200; steady 25%+ growth + attach affirmation extends toward $1,481.

On the calendar: 2026-07-30 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment6 posts analyzed · as of 2026-06-14

Monolithic Power Systems is being framed as one of the most underrated semis with revenue compounding at 25% CAGR over 10 years. New conviction calls list MPWR as bullish-high at $1481.07 entry. Reversion screen highlights MPWR as a top historical bounce after sharp 1-2 day drops. Tone is constructive across the small sample.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $MPWR

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Designs high-efficiency power management ICs for AI servers, electric vehicles, and consumer electronics.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Semiconductors sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $MPWR.

Semiconductors · Technology

No material change from last week — structural AI capex engine unchanged: hyperscaler Blackwell allocation stays tight through 2H26 and HBM3e pricing holds as LLM context-window expansion drives 5-8x per-server memory demand uplift.

What this means for $MPWR

Partial — Designs high-efficiency power management ICs for AI servers, electric vehicles, and consumer electronics; exposure exists but is diluted by diverse end markets and revenue mix.

Top industry ETF

$SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF
+54.2%YTD
+96.7%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
107.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
16.3%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
27.1%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
0.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
24.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
19.1%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
55.2%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 30, 2026$5.10$4.90+4.1%
Q4 2025Feb 5, 2026$4.79$4.74+1.1%
Q3 2025Oct 30, 2025$4.73$4.64+1.9%
Q2 2025Jul 31, 2025$4.21$4.12+2.2%
Next earningsThu, Jul 30·consensus EPS $5.85

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$804.2M+26.1%55.3%30.0%$3.94$179.4M
Q4 FY25$751.2M+20.8%55.2%26.6%$3.51$61.9M
Q3 FY25$737.2M+18.9%55.1%26.5%$3.72$198.8M
Q2 FY25$664.6M+31.0%55.1%24.8%$2.79$187.5M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 12 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$3.7B$3.7B – $3.8B$23.98$23.59 – $24.8412
FY27$4.5B$4.3B – $4.8B$30.17$28.59 – $33.1411
FY28$5.2B$5.2B – $5.2B$35.04$31.31 – $40.176
FY29$6.0B$5.8B – $6.3B$41.25$39.29 – $44.095
FY30$6.8B$6.5B – $7.2B$46.75$44.53 – $49.973

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.60%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-12.9%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+9.8%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 47.3M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.8% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.715-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJul 1Maurice SciammasEVP, WW Sales & Marketing30 sh$41KSellJun 1Maurice SciammasEVP, WW Sales & Marketing30 sh$46KSellMay 27Saria TsengEVP & General Counsel7.6K sh$12.9MSellMay 26Robert W DeanCFO22 sh$36KSellMay 26Jeff ZhouDirector486 sh$816KSellMay 22Saria TsengEVP & General Counsel5.0K sh$7.9MSellMay 18Robert W DeanCFO4 sh$6KSellMay 18Michael HsingCEO40.0K sh$59.3MSellMay 15Maurice SciammasEVP, WW Sales & Marketing12.0K sh$18.7MSellMay 6Eugen J ElmigerDirector12.0K sh$19.0M
1–10 of 21
+ 4 other (3 gifts · 1 other) in window

See when $MPWR insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteJun 128-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. held its 2026 Annual Meeting on June 11, 2026, electing two Class I directors and ratifying Ernst & Young LLP and approving Say-on-Pay; separately on June 12, 2026, declared a Q2 cash dividend of $2.00 per share payable July 15, 2026 to stockholders of record as of June 30, 2026. The $2.00/share quarterly dividend ($8.00/share annualized) reflects strong free cash flow generation and management's commitment to capital return at the high-growth analog semiconductor company.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 93
8-KEarnings restatementFeb 278-K — Item 4.02: Earnings restatement
8-KOfficer or director changeFeb 58-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 8.01: Other event
+ 13 other (6 13Gs · 2 proxys · 1 SD · 1 10-Q) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Will Monolithic (MPWR) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?zacks.com·14h agoMonolithic Power Systems to Report Second Quarter 2026 Results on July 30, 2026globenewswire.com·2d ago5 Power Chip Stocks Built for the Electrification Surge247wallst.com·5d ago5 Analog Chip Stocks Set to Rebound as the Cycle Changes247wallst.com·5d agoMonolithic Power Investigation Initiated: Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC Investigates the Officers and Directors of Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. - MPWRgurufocus.com·6d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

AI InfrastructureAI Power Delivery

More in Semiconductors

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

$NVDA$MU$AMD$AVGO$AAOI$INTC$MRVL$ARM
Voices on X · top 1 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

PrivacyTermsSupport