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MCMCHHF

Macmahon Holdings Limited

$MCHHF·$1.7B·Industrial Materials·Basic Materials
$0.770.0%1Y+220.8%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-23: 0 posts2026-08-24: 0 posts0
Price updated 2h ago·X counts updated 9d ago
MCMCHHF
$MCHHFMacmahon Holdings Limited
$0.770.00%0 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $MCHHF, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-21

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Macmahon fiscal Q4 revenue up 23% with the tape at 100% of its 52-week range — Australian mining-services contractor riding the resources cycle.

Macmahon Holdings provides surface-mining, underground-mining, and civil-construction services across Australia, Indonesia, Malaysia, and South Africa — a picks-and-shovels play on the mining capex cycle. The setup is an Australian mid-cap mining-services franchise firing on multi-region contracts.

  • Fiscal Q4 revenue was $1.31B AUD, up 23% year-on-year, with 22% gross margin and 7% operating margin — the specific combination that a well-run mining-services contractor posts when both volumes and pricing cooperate.
  • Analyst estimates model fiscal 2026 revenue at $2.71B AUD growing to $3.04B in 2027 and $3.26B in 2028 — the multi-year trajectory reflects continued backlog conversion, and the pattern of surprises has flipped positive after prior misses.
  • Trades at 23x trailing earnings, 0.9x sales, and 6.3x EV/EBITDA with a 6.6% free-cash-flow yield and 11% return on invested capital — reasonable multiples for a mining-services contractor with a $2.7B revenue base.
  • Sits at the 100th percentile of the 52-week range and 49% above the 200-day trend — the equity has re-rated hard and is at the top of its range, which is what a mining-cycle beneficiary looks like when momentum peaks.

What extends the move is Feb 2027 fiscal-H1 confirming continued backlog growth alongside a specific tier-1-mine contract award. What breaks it is a commodity-price slump reducing miner capex or a specific project-execution issue; the mining cycle is intact, and Macmahon is a leveraged way to play it.

What to watch: Feb 22 2027 fiscal-H1 2027 results — consensus $0.01795 EPS. Watch backlog additions, project-execution margins, geographic mix (Australia vs. international), and any tier-1-miner contract award.

On the calendar: 2027-02-22 — Fiscal H1 2027 results

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Macmahon Holdings delivers contract surface and underground mining services to mine operators across Australia and Southeast Asia.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Industrial Materials sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $MCHHF.

Industrial Materials · Basic Materials

Reshoring and infrastructure legislation are the structural demand pull for industrial materials; inventory destocking earlier in the cycle appears largely complete. Pricing power varies widely — commodity-linked materials face more volatility than engineered specialty products.

What this means for $MCHHF

Partial — upstream oil & gas exposure ties to commodity price cycle; Macmahon Holdings Limited, established in Perth, Australia i.

Industry benchmark

17-name peer basket
+10.4%YTD
+64.4%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
23.0How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
10.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
7.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
6.6%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.9Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
13.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
21.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.6Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 17, 2026$0.02$0.02-6.8%
Q4 2025Feb 16, 2026$0.02$0.02-11.7%
Q2 2025Aug 18, 2025$0.01$0.02-24.7%
Q4 2024Feb 17, 2025$0.01——
Next earningsMon, Feb 22·consensus EPS $0.02

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q4 FY26$1.3B+23.0%22.3%7.4%$0.02$93.2M
Q2 FY26$1.3B+35.2%21.0%6.6%$0.02$62.2M
Q4 FY25$1.2B+35.9%21.6%6.6%$0.02$106.3M
Q2 FY25$1.2B+19.4%74.0%5.2%$0.01$49.1M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 2 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$2.7B$2.7B – $2.7B$0.05$0.05 – $0.052
FY27$3.0B$3.0B – $3.1B$0.06$0.06 – $0.062
FY28$3.3B$3.2B – $3.3B$0.07$0.07 – $0.072
FY29$3.4B$3.4B – $3.5B$0.07$0.07 – $0.071

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.1×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.100%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+14.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+43.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 887.1M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.055-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.ListedOTCListed on an over-the-counter market (PNK / OTCQB / OTCQX), not a major exchange. Lower disclosure requirements and thinner liquidity.

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Macmahon Holdings Limited (MCHHF) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·16d ago

More in Industrial Materials

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $MCHHF on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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