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BHBHP

BHP Group Limited

$BHP·$212B·Industrial Materials·Basic Materials
$83.22-0.1%YTD+34.6%1Y+48.0%
Price updated 8h ago·X counts updated 8d ago
BHBHP
$BHPBHP Group Limited
$83.22-0.08%106 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $BHP on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

106X posts · last 7 days
Oct 2Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $BHP's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data9 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-14

BHP is being talked up on copper's 'timing problem' framing (17-year lead-time for new discoveries, AI/data-center/EV/grid demand rising) and the copper cohort's fresh $6.83 all-time highs. Fresh Bitget stock-perps listings on FCX/BHP/RIO/VALE add optionality. No visible bear voice in the sample.

Read what X is saying about $BHP

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $BHP — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersStalledAI verdict · as of 2026-10-02

The move has stalled — likely just drifts unless something new shows up.

BHP up 37% YTD — 41% operating margin, copper supercycle thesis, Escondida strike risk.

BHP Group is the world's largest mining company by market cap — Iron Ore (Pilbara), Copper (Escondida, Olympic Dam, Spence), Steelmaking Coal, and Nickel. The stock is up 37% YTD and 70% of its 52-week range on the copper-supercycle thesis.

  • The P&L is extraordinary: revenue grew 2.6% YoY to $27.95B last quarter at a 41.3% operating margin and 83% gross margin — the diversified mining mix is the structural moat, with copper as the growth leg.
  • The copper 'timing problem' framing (17-year lead time for new discoveries vs AI/data-center/EV/grid demand) is a specific structural tailwind — copper's $6.83 ATH plus Bitget stock-perps listings on FCX/BHP/RIO/VALE validates the positioning.
  • The Escondida (Chile) mine strike risk is the near-term wild card — supervisors just rejected an offer, paving the way for a strike that could temporarily impact copper production from the world's largest copper mine.

Stalled holds until Feb 2027 earnings confirm copper production growth and the Escondida labor situation resolves. A prolonged strike, or any specific China steel-demand softness, is what tips this toward breaking-down; a signed Escondida labor agreement plus copper $5+ sustained is what breaks the stalled tape higher.

Agrees with X sentimentX bulls on copper's 17-year lead-time framing, the AI/data-center/EV/grid demand setup, copper's $6.83 ATH, and the Bitget FCX/BHP/RIO/VALE perps listing have the structural thesis right — this is the copper-supercycle trade with a mega-cap diversified miner.

What to watch: Feb 23, 2027 earnings — copper production growth, iron ore volumes, Escondida labor situation, and FY27 CapEx guide. A prolonged Escondida strike or China steel-demand softening is what breaks the stalled tape lower.

On the calendar: 2027-02-23 — H1 FY27 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $BHP

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Diversified global miner producing copper, iron ore, and coal across Australia, the Americas, and Asia.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Industrial Materials sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $BHP.

Industrial Materials · Basic Materials

No material change from last week — US domestic rare earth supply chain buildout remains the structural driver: MP Materials trades on Beijing's forced divestiture of Chinese shareholder, reinforcing supply-chain-security thesis.

What this means for $BHP

Neutral — Diversified global miner producing copper, iron ore, and coal across Australia, the Americas, and Asia.

Industry benchmark

16-name peer basket
-11.2%YTD
-37.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
19.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
13.3%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
41.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
5.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
3.8Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
21.4%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
82.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.6Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 17, 2026$2.76$2.67+3.4%
Q4 2025Feb 16, 2026$2.24$2.40-6.7%
Q2 2025Aug 18, 2025$2.12$2.09+1.4%
Q4 2024Feb 17, 2025$1.74$1.98-12.1%
Next earningsTue, Feb 23·consensus EPS $2.55

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$28.0B+2.6%42.8%42.8%$2.24$4.3B
Q4 FY25$26.1B-6.3%126%39.6%$1.82$6.0B
Q2 FY25$25.2B-3.1%36.7%36.2%$1.74$3.3B
Q4 FY24$28.4B-17.8%123%44.8%$2.76$7.3B

Forward consensus

6-year forecast · up to 19 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$58.1B$57.2B – $58.8B$5.02$4.87 – $5.1414
FY27$58.0B$57.3B – $59.4B$4.95$4.61 – $5.2214
FY28$57.5B$55.9B – $60.0B$4.96$4.66 – $5.4114
FY29$58.6B$52.6B – $64.3B$5.12$4.59 – $6.0919
FY30$59.9B$56.2B – $63.6B$4.80$4.41 – $5.189
FY31$58.2B$54.5B – $61.8B$5.00$4.59 – $5.408

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.67%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-6.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+3.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 2.5B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.1% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.855-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 21Stone Emma KateGroup Financial Controller6.8K sh$315K
+ 4 other (3 awards · 1 conversion) in window

See when $BHP insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

No material 8-K / SC 13D / S-3 / 424B5 filings in the last 180 days.

+ 17 other (16 6-Ks · 1 20-F) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

BHP to Sell Few Nickel Assets: What's Next for Its Nickel Business?zacks.com·18h agoBHP's Escondida, supervisors' union avert strike with preliminary agreementreuters.com·6d agoSupervisors at BHP's Escondida mine in Chile to strike after contract talks failreuters.com·6d agoThe AI Boom Has a Copper Problem, and Here's One Stock the Smart Money Is Betting Oninvestorplace.com·9d agoResouro Appoints Daniel Kuhl as Independent Directorglobenewswire.com·12d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Nuclear RenaissanceCritical Minerals & Rare Earths

More in Industrial Materials

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

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Voices on X · top 2 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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