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LYLYSCF

Lynas Rare Earths Limited

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 147% YoY at strong marginsQuiet on X (0 mentions/wk)
$LYSCF·$11B·Industrial Materials·Basic Materials
$11.29-1.5%1Y+20.4%
Mentions · last 7 days
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Price updated 11h ago
LYLYSCF
$LYSCFLynas Rare Earths Limited
$11.29-1.48%0 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $LYSCF, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-09-01

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Rare earths producer with revenue up 147% as strategic scarcity converts into contracted cash flow.

Lynas Rare Earths is the largest rare earth producer outside China, and Western supply-chain policy has begun converting into contracted revenue.

  • The most recent half shows revenue of A$563.5M with year-over-year growth of +146.6%, following +76.1% after two declining periods — the turn is sharp and recent.
  • EPS missed narrowly in the two most recent prints ($0.097 vs $0.114 and $0.054 vs $0.056) — costs are running just ahead of the volume ramp.
  • Consensus revenue rises from A$976.3M in fiscal 2026 to A$1.70B in 2027 and A$2.22B in 2028 with EPS from A$0.233 to A$0.945 — a quadrupling of earnings over two years.
  • The stock is $11.29 and up +20.4% over twelve months at an $11.25B market cap, with a heavy rare earth metals plant strengthening US supply chain independence.

The company reports semi-annually with next results in February 2027 — the drivers are separated heavy rare earth output, contracted pricing versus Chinese spot, and government offtake support.

What to watch: Separated heavy rare earth production volumes, contracted pricing versus Chinese spot prices, and government offtake or price-floor arrangements.

On the calendar: 2027-02-19 half-year fiscal 2027 results

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Lynas Rare Earths Limited, alongside its subsidiary companies, manages the full spectrum of rare earth mineral operations. This encompasses everything from discovering and developing deposits to the extraction and refining of these vital materials, with a primary operational focus in Australia and Malaysia. A significant asset for the company is its stake in Western Australia's Mount Weld project. Their product portfolio features essential rare earth elements like neodymium, praseodymium, lanthanum, and cerium, in addition to various mixed heavy rare earth materials. Furthermore, Lynas designs, constructs, and operates sophisticated facilities for material concentration and advanced processing. The firm also provides general corporate services. Founded in 1983 and originally named Lynas Corporation Limited, the company rebranded to Lynas Rare Earths Limited in November 2020. Its main corporate office is situated in East Perth, Australia.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Industrial Materials sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $LYSCF.

Industrial Materials · Basic Materials

Reshoring and infrastructure legislation are the structural demand pull for industrial materials; inventory destocking earlier in the cycle appears largely complete. Pricing power varies widely — commodity-linked materials face more volatility than engineered specialty products.

What this means for $LYSCF

Partial — net interest margin and credit quality are the primary earnings drivers; Lynas Rare Earths Limited, alongside its subsidiary companies, manages the full .

Industry benchmark

17-name peer basket
+10.4%YTD
+75.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
71.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
5.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
24.7%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
1.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
16.4Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
6.5%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
34.8%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 25, 2026$0.10$0.11-14.6%
Q4 2025Feb 25, 2026$0.05$0.06-3.1%
Q2 2025Aug 27, 2025$0.00$0.01-93.5%
Q4 2024Feb 23, 2025$0.00$0.02-79.4%
Next earningsFri, Feb 19·consensus EPS $0.19

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q4 FY26$563.5M+146.6%39.7%28.4%$0.14$79.4M
Q2 FY26$413.5M+76.1%28.2%19.5%$0.08$88.4M
Q4 FY25$302.2M-18.2%26.7%1.3%$0.00$-109.2M
Q2 FY25$254.3M-31.3%19.3%0.9%$0.01$-217.5M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 14 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$976.3M$915.8M – $1.2B$0.23$0.18 – $0.3014
FY27$1.7B$1.5B – $2.0B$0.63$0.49 – $0.8014
FY28$2.2B$1.8B – $2.7B$0.95$0.74 – $1.2012
FY29$2.5B$2.1B – $3.0B$1.06$0.84 – $1.359
FY30$2.5B$2.1B – $3.1B$1.10$0.87 – $1.406

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.5×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.42%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-1.8%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-4.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

β0.715-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.ListedOTCListed on an over-the-counter market (PNK / OTCQB / OTCQX), not a major exchange. Lower disclosure requirements and thinner liquidity.

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Heavy Rare Earth Metals Plant Boosts U.S. Supply Chain Independenceforbes.com·28d agoThe Woman Who Cracked China's Grip on Rare Earthswsj.com·75d agoLynas Rare Earths: Strategic Scarcity Is Starting To Convert Into Contracted Cash Flowseekingalpha.com·78d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Critical Minerals & Rare Earths

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $LYSCF on X in the last 7 days.

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