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LILII

Lennox International Inc.

$LII·$15B·Industrial - Machinery·Industrials
$418.73-2.6%YTD-11.9%1Y-32.8%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-23: 1 posts2026-07-24: 1 posts2026-07-25: 0 posts2026-07-26: 0 posts2026-07-27: 2 posts2026-07-28: 1 posts2026-07-29: 46 posts51
Price updated 12m ago·X counts updated 22h ago
LILII
$LIILennox International Inc.
$418.73-2.63%51 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $LII, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-07-30

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

Lennox International is at 1% of its 52-week range on the HVAC-comp weakness — Oct 28 has to prove the residential HVAC franchise is stabilizing.

Lennox International is the third-largest US HVAC manufacturer (behind Carrier and Trane Technologies) with meaningful residential and commercial exposure. It's down 12% YTD and sits at just 1% of its 52-week range as the HVAC group has been marked down on consumer softness.

Where the story actually stands:

  • The financials show a scaling franchise: Q2 revenue grew 3% YoY to $1.55B, gross margin 35%, operating margin 23%, and TTM FCF yield 4.9% — that's a business generating solid cash with genuine operating margin, but the near-term growth cycle is soft.
  • The recent Q2 print was disappointing: Lennox International Hasn't Cooled Down Enough Yet captures the tape's view — the print didn't provide the acceleration signal the market was hoping for, and the -19% below the 50-day reflects that.
  • The technical setup is severe: 1% of the 52-week range and -19% below the 50-day, with the 30-day volume multiplier of 4.30x confirming institutional distribution — the beta of 1.16 amplifies moderately.

Underneath the noise this is a durable HVAC franchise facing a specific residential-HVAC-cycle weakness ahead of Q3 earnings. Watch Q3 earnings Oct 28 for residential-HVAC volume trajectory, commercial-HVAC growth, and any specific commentary on the recovery timeline — a beat with residential-HVAC recovery restarts a trade; another quarter of residential weakness cements the current break.

What to watch: Q3 earnings Oct 28 — residential-HVAC volume trajectory, commercial-HVAC growth, and any specific commentary on the recovery timeline. A beat with residential-HVAC recovery restarts a trade; another quarter of residential weakness cements the break.

On the calendar: 2026-10-28 — Q3 earnings

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Lennox International Inc. is a global manufacturer and distributor specializing in heating, ventilation, air conditioning (HVAC), and refrigeration solutions. The company operates across three divisions: Residential Heating & Cooling, Commercial Heating & Cooling, and Refrigeration. Its Residential Heating & Cooling division supplies homeowners with systems like furnaces, air conditioners, and heat pumps, along with indoor air quality products, comfort controls, and replacement components, catering to both new construction and existing residential upgrades. The Commercial Heating & Cooling division serves the light commercial sector, providing unitary HVAC equipment, advanced applied systems, control technologies, and comprehensive installation and maintenance services, including variable refrigerant flow solutions. Lastly, the Refrigeration division delivers essential components such as condensing units, unit coolers, and industrial chillers. These are crucial for food preservation in retail, hospitality, and logistics (e.g., supermarkets, restaurants, warehouses), as well as for specialized cooling needs in data centers, machine tooling, and other industrial applications. The company distributes its offerings through direct sales, a network of distributors, and its proprietary parts and supplies retail locations. Established in 1895, Lennox International Inc. maintains its headquarters in Richardson, Texas.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Industrial - Machinery sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $LII.

Industrial - Machinery · Industrials

No material change from last week — electrical infrastructure for AI power density and robotic warehouse/manufacturing automation are pulling order books in different directions.

Industry benchmark

28-name peer basket
+13.1%YTD
+43.9%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
19.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
22.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
19.4%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
4.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.8Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
65.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
33.1%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.6Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 29, 2026$7.72$7.67+0.7%
Q1 2026Apr 29, 2026$3.35$3.19+5.0%
Q4 2025Jan 28, 2026$4.45$4.75-6.3%
Q3 2025Oct 22, 2025$6.98$6.82+2.3%
Next earningsWed, Oct 28·consensus EPS $7.96

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$1.5B+3.0%34.9%23.0%$7.75$136.3M
Q1 FY26$1.1B+5.8%30.9%14.6%$3.37$-39.4M
Q4 FY25$1.2B-11.2%32.6%16.4%$4.08$376.7M
Q3 FY25$1.4B-4.8%33.3%21.7%$6.98$265.1M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 15 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$5.6B$5.6B – $5.7B$24.44$23.84 – $25.3015
FY27$5.9B$5.7B – $6.1B$26.73$25.09 – $28.1615
FY28$6.2B$5.9B – $6.9B$29.01$26.78 – $33.549
FY29$6.0B$5.8B – $6.2B$27.30$26.37 – $28.854
FY30$7.0B$6.8B – $7.3B$36.93$35.66 – $39.034

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.4.3×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.1%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-18.6%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-15.7%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

β1.165-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 6Chris KoselVP-Corp Controller and CAO971 sh$529KSellFeb 25Shane D WallDirector100 sh$54KSellFeb 4Todd J TeskeDirector700 sh$373KSellFeb 4Chris KoselVP-Corp Controller and CAO254 sh$136K
+ 31 other (23 awards · 6 inkinds · 1 gift · 1 return) in window

See when $LII insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 288-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
+ 13 other (4 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Lennox International Hasn't Cooled Down Enough Yetseekingalpha.com·1d agoOil Spikes 7%, Nasdaq 100 Sinks Before Fed: Stock Market Todaybenzinga.com·1d agoLennox International Inc. (LII) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·1d agoWhy Lennox Stock Crashed Todayfool.com·1d agoCompared to Estimates, Lennox (LII) Q2 Earnings: A Look at Key Metricszacks.com·1d ago

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