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GNGNRC

Generac Holdings Inc.

$GNRC·$12B·Industrial - Machinery·Industrials
$183.80-6.8%YTD+58.5%1Y-1.7%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-21: 2 posts2026-08-22: 1 posts15+7%
Price updated 2d ago·X counts updated 8d ago
GNGNRC
$GNRCGenerac Holdings Inc.
$183.80-6.84%15 posts+7%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $GNRC, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-20

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Residential-generator maker with a $1.6B data-center backlog — the C&I pivot is real, though bears say the guide raise is pass-through tariff windfall.

Generac Holdings is best known as the leading US residential-backup-generator maker, but the story has shifted meaningfully toward its Commercial & Industrial (C&I) segment, which is building a data-center-power backlog worth $1.6 billion and signed a second hyperscaler global supply deal in Q2.

  • The C&I segment growth is genuine: C&I revenue grew 29% year-on-year in Q2, driven by the data-center backup power buildout — this is the segment mix shift that the equity thesis relies on, and the $1.6B backlog is a hard commitment that supports 2027 revenue.
  • The Q2 headline was a real beat, but with a wrinkle: EPS of $2.91 beat consensus by 45%, though the 24.8% adjusted EBITDA margin was inflated by a one-time $71M tariff refund (~600 bps) — the FY26 EBITDA guide raise is essentially the mathematical pass-through of that windfall, per the bear-side reading.
  • The Residential side is where the bears anchor: Residential revenue was down 2% year-on-year, so the underlying home-standby-generator demand is soft while the C&I pivot delivers — the setup is a mix-shift trade, and the FY26 consensus of $9.51 EPS needs both segments to hold.

Trajectory is coiling at 47% of the 52-week range as the tape processes the bull-vs-bear debate; the Nov 4 Q3 print needs the C&I data-center backlog to convert plus stable-to-improving Residential trends — a soft Residential commentary combined with any data-center-order timing pushout breaks the setup back toward $170.

Agrees with X sentimentX's mixed framing is honest — the C&I data-center growth (+29% YoY) and $1.6B backlog with a second hyperscaler deal is real bull material, but the bear callout on the $71M tariff refund inflating the EBITDA margin by 600 bps and the FY26 guide raise being pass-through math is also real analysis. The Residential -2% YoY is the load-bearing risk.

What to watch: Nov 4 Q3 earnings — C&I data-center backlog conversion plus stable-to-improving Residential trends sustains the multiple; a soft Residential commentary combined with any data-center order timing pushout breaks the setup back toward $170.

On the calendar: 2026-11-04 — Q3 2026 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-05

Generac splits the crowd after a mixed Q2 — bulls cheer the C&I segment growing 29% YoY with data-center backlog exploding to $1.6B and a second hyperscaler global supply deal signed. Bears counter that the headline 24.8% adj EBITDA margin was inflated by a one-time $71M tariff refund (~600 bps), core Residential revenue fell 2% YoY, and the FY26 EBITDA guide raise is essentially just mathematical pass-through of the tariff windfall.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $GNRC

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  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Makes standby generators, battery energy storage, and solar products for residential and commercial customers.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Industrial - Machinery sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $GNRC.

Industrial - Machinery · Industrials

Manufacturing reshoring and automation capex are the dual demand drivers; AI-powered robotics and CNC equipment are the fastest-growing segments. Order books remain healthy, though a soft global industrial PMI is a leading risk.

What this means for $GNRC

Partial — cloud infrastructure exposure benefits indirectly from hyperscaler capex; core business is Generac Holdings Inc.

Industry benchmark

33-name peer basket
+23.7%YTD
+23.9%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
80.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
5.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
7.5%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
2.7%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
3.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
7.2%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
38.1%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 29, 2026$2.91$2.01+44.8%
Q1 2026Apr 29, 2026$1.80$1.33+35.3%
Q4 2025Feb 11, 2026$1.61$1.81-11.0%
Q3 2025Oct 29, 2025$1.83$2.25-18.7%
Next earningsWed, Nov 4·consensus EPS $2.45

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$1.1B+12.4%38.7%11.1%$1.25$89.9M
Q4 FY25$1.1B-11.6%36.3%-0.9%$-0.42$129.9M
Q3 FY25$1.1B-5.0%38.3%9.3%$1.14$96.5M
Q2 FY25$1.1B+6.3%39.3%10.5%$1.27$103.1M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 15 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$4.9B$4.9B – $5.0B$9.51$9.18 – $9.8215
FY27$5.9B$5.7B – $6.0B$11.55$10.29 – $12.1615
FY28$6.7B$6.2B – $7.5B$14.00$11.29 – $15.8412
FY29$7.3B$7.0B – $7.6B$16.86$16.06 – $17.8811
FY30$7.5B$7.2B – $7.8B$17.13$16.32 – $18.176

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.2.2×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.30%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-18.9%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-11.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 7Raabe Kyle AndrewPresident213 sh$45KSellAug 5Norman P TaffePresident450 sh$99KSellAug 3Aaron JagdfeldCEO5.0K sh$974KSellJul 6Norman P TaffePresident300 sh$77KSellJul 1Aaron JagdfeldCEO5.0K sh$1.4MSellJun 5Norman P TaffePresident300 sh$82KSellMay 1Aaron JagdfeldCEO5.0K sh$1.3MSellApr 1Aaron JagdfeldCEO5.0K sh$999KSellMar 5Aaron JagdfeldCEO5.0K sh$1.1M
+ 15 other (11 awards · 4 exempts) in window

See when $GNRC insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteJun 128-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Generac Holdings Inc. held its 2026 Annual Meeting on June 11, 2026. Shareholders elected directors to three-year terms — including Marcia J. Avedon (42.5M for, 3.7M against) and Bennett J. Morgan (38.5M for, 7.7M against, ~17% opposition); ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as auditor; and approved Say-on-Pay. Morgan's elevated opposition (~17%) signals meaningful institutional dissatisfaction with at least one board member, warranting monitoring.

8-KPress release / Reg FDApr 298-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

GNRC reported first quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the Pre financial results (8-K Item 2.02). Investors should review the full earnings press release and any management guidance for forward outlook.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentApr 13SC 13D/A
AI summary

Generac Power Systems, Inc. filed an amended Schedule 13D on GNRC disclosing beneficial ownership (3,455,778.00 shares) as of 2026-04-13. The filer's stated intent is passive investment with no plan to influence control of the company.

8-KOfficer or director changeMar 258-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

GNRC disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-03-25). A new executive or director appointment is reported. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

+ 9 other (2 10-Qs · 2 13Gs · 2 proxys · 1 earnings 8-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Canada Pension Plan Investment Board Invests $10.92 Million in Generac Holdings Inc. $GNRCdefenseworld.net·1d agoWhy Is Generac Holdings (GNRC) Up 2.8% Since Last Earnings Report?zacks.com·3d agoBank of Nova Scotia Takes Position in Generac Holdings Inc. $GNRCdefenseworld.net·3d agoIs Generac Holdings (GNRC) Stock Outpacing Its Industrial Products Peers This Year?zacks.com·4d agoThis Top Industrial Products Stock is a #1 (Strong Buy): Why It Should Be on Your Radarzacks.com·4d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

The Power Grid

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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