TickerTalks
Browse all tickers →
TickerTalks›$CARR
CACARR

Carrier Global Corporation

$CARR·$57B·Industrial - Machinery·Industrials
$63.16-8.9%YTD+30.5%1Y-13.5%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-21: 18 posts2026-07-22: 10 posts2026-07-23: 33 posts2026-07-24: 41 posts2026-07-25: 29 posts2026-07-26: 19 posts2026-07-27: 30 posts184+24%
Price updated 11m ago·X counts updated 23h ago
CACARR
$CARRCarrier Global Corporation
$63.16-8.90%184 posts+24%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
Loading…

AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $CARR, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-07-28

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

Carrier Global reports today with a fresh 75F AI-building-controls acquisition — the AI-datacenter-cooling thesis has to show up in the print.

Carrier Global is one of the world's largest HVAC and building-solutions companies — commercial HVAC, residential HVAC, refrigeration, plus a growing intelligent-building controls business (recently acquired 75F for cloud-native AI-enabled controls). Up 31% YTD with a T12M -14% pullback, coiled essentially flat vs 50-day into today's Q2 earnings.

The setup is a real AI-cooling beneficiary with a fresh strategic acquisition:

  • The 75F acquisition is a genuine strategic move: adding cloud-native, wireless, AI-enabled intelligent building controls and energy management to the Carrier stack positions it for the AI-datacenter cooling demand narrative — that's a real category expansion, not just marketing.
  • The financials support the ramp: quarterly EPS $0.06-$0.71 (with Q4 seasonal) and revenue $4.84-6.11B, consensus FY26 EPS of $2.81 growing to $3.20 in FY27 — mid-teens growth on a business trading at 44x TTM P/E, priced for the AI-cooling tailwind to actually materialize.
  • The strategic-portfolio moves continue: selling NORESCO to OPTERRA Energy Services is exactly the kind of divestiture that lets management focus on the higher-margin core business — plus Neil Barua's appointment to the board (an independent director from OneStream) adds fresh perspective.

Today's print is the trigger. Data-center cooling revenue commentary plus 75F integration timeline extends the setup toward the community's $80 target; anything soft on commercial HVAC or residential demand and the recent flatness turns. The AI-datacenter cooling narrative is real but needs to translate to numbers — the print has to actually deliver.

Agrees with X sentimentX is right that the 75F acquisition and cooling demand for AI datacenters is a real long-term growth driver, and the $80 leg-higher target has technical merit. The memecoin CARR burn-out chatter is unrelated. Agree without qualification; this is a real AI-cooling beneficiary going into a print.

What to watch: July 28 Q2 earnings (today) — total revenue, commercial HVAC segment revenue (the AI-datacenter cooling proxy), residential HVAC, gross margin, 75F integration commentary, and any FY guide update. A commercial-HVAC beat plus 75F acceleration extends the setup; residential softness turns it.

On the calendar: 2026-07-28 — Q2 earnings (today)

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment7 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-27

Carrier Global acquired 75F, a cloud-native, wireless, AI-enabled intelligent building controls and energy management company. Cooling demand for AI data centers is emerging as a long-term growth driver, and contributors watch for a leg higher back to $80 ahead of the July 28 earnings. Some memecoin chatter about a CARR burn-out Friday appears under the same cashtag.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $CARR

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Carrier Global Corporation is a worldwide provider of advanced technological solutions covering heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC), refrigeration, fire safety, security, and intelligent building automation. Its operations are structured across three primary business segments: HVAC, Refrigeration, and Fire & Security. The HVAC segment is dedicated to supplying products, controls, services, and complete solutions tailored to the heating, cooling, and ventilation requirements of both residential and commercial clients. Offerings in this area include air conditioning units, heating systems, various control mechanisms, aftermarket components, as well as post-installation repair, maintenance services, and building automation capabilities. The Refrigeration segment focuses on providing transport refrigeration and monitoring products and services. This includes digital solutions for diverse applications such as trucks, trailers, shipping containers, intermodal transport, food retail, and warehouse cooling. Additionally, it offers commercial refrigeration solutions like display cabinets, freezers, integrated systems, and their corresponding controls. The Fire & Security segment delivers a comprehensive suite of technologies for residential, commercial, and industrial environments. This encompasses detection systems for fire, flame, gas, smoke, and carbon monoxide; portable fire extinguishers; advanced fire suppression systems; intruder alarms; access control systems; video management systems; and electronic controls. Its service portfolio further extends to auditing, design, installation, system integration, ongoing maintenance, repair, and monitoring services. The company markets its extensive product range under numerous brands, including Autronica, Det-Tronics, Edwards, Fireye, GST, Kidde, LenelS2, Marioff, Onity, Supra, Carrier, Automated Logic, Bryant, CIAT, Day & Night, Heil, NORESCO, Riello, Carrier Commercial Refrigeration, Carrier Transicold, and Sensitech. Established in 2019, Carrier Global Corporation maintains its corporate headquarters in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Industrial - Machinery sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $CARR.

Industrial - Machinery · Industrials

No material change from last week — electrical infrastructure for AI power density and robotic warehouse/manufacturing automation are pulling order books in different directions.

Industry benchmark

26-name peer basket
+23.7%YTD
+55.9%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
44.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
5.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
7.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
2.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
9.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
24.8%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.9Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 30, 2026$0.57$0.51+12.2%
Q4 2025Feb 5, 2026$0.34$0.37-9.3%
Q3 2025Oct 28, 2025$0.67$0.63+5.7%
Q2 2025Jul 29, 2025$0.92$0.91+1.5%
Next earningsTue, Jul 28·consensus EPS $0.82

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$5.3B+2.4%23.3%4.5%$0.29$-15.0M
Q4 FY25$4.8B-6.0%19.9%1.1%$0.06$882.0M
Q3 FY25$5.6B-6.8%26.0%8.9%$0.50$224.0M
Q2 FY25$6.1B+3.0%28.9%13.0%$0.71$568.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 17 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$22.3B$21.8B – $22.5B$2.81$2.71 – $2.8317
FY27$23.4B$23.1B – $23.7B$3.20$3.07 – $3.3616
FY28$24.6B$24.5B – $24.7B$3.63$3.06 – $4.3313
FY29$26.3B$25.8B – $26.9B$4.06$3.98 – $4.1912
FY30$26.6B$26.2B – $27.3B$4.48$4.38 – $4.626

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.2×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.62%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+1.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+14.0%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 790.4M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.9% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.315-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 20Maximilian ViessmannDirector12.1M sh$750.0M
+ 31 other (17 awards · 9 inkinds · 5 exempts) in window

See when $CARR insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 243
AI summary

Donato Thomas filed an initial Form 3 as a 10%+ owner of CARR, disclosing initial beneficial ownership of securities as of the event date. This is a standard Section 16 reporting obligation triggered by the relationship with the issuer. Routine administrative filing with no indication of open-market transactions.

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 243
AI summary

Barua Neil filed an initial Form 3 as 10%+ owner of CARR, reporting no beneficial ownership of securities as of the event date. This is an administrative Section 16 filing required upon becoming a new 10%+ owner. No shares are currently held, indicating this is a disclosure of a newly appointed insider with no current equity position.

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 248-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

CARR filed an 8-K under Item 5.02 announcing the appointment of Neil Barua as an independent director. Additionally, Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. The filing also covers Item(s) 9.01. Personnel changes at the executive or board level are typically administrative but can signal strategic shifts depending on context.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentMay 20SC 13D/A
8-KShareholder voteApr 168-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationFeb 6S-3ASR
S-3Shelf registrationFeb 5S-3
+ 13 other (5 13Gs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys · 1 SD) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Carrier Announces Agreement to Sell NORESCO to OPTERRA Energy Servicesprnewswire.com·2d agoCarrier Global Corporation Appoints Neil Barua to its Board of Directorsprnewswire.com·4d agoCarrier to Report Q2 Earnings: Here's What to Expect This Seasonzacks.com·4d agoIs Carrier Global (CARR) Outperforming Other Construction Stocks This Year?zacks.com·4d agoCarrier Accelerates Intelligent Building Strategy with Acquisition of 75Fprnewswire.com·6d ago

More in Industrial - Machinery

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

$OKLO$SYM$VELO$SERV$XE$LASE$RR$KULR
Voices on X · top 7 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

PrivacyTermsSupport