TickerTalks
Browse all tickers →
TickerTalks›$KELTF
KEKELTF

Kelt Exploration Ltd.

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 66% YoY at strong marginsQuiet on X (0 mentions/wk)
$KELTF·$1.4B·Oil & Gas Exploration & Production·Energy
$6.80-0.3%1Y+40.2%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-06: 0 posts2026-08-07: 0 posts2026-08-08: 0 posts2026-08-09: 0 posts2026-08-10: 0 posts2026-08-11: 0 posts2026-08-12: 0 posts0
Price updated 10m ago·X counts updated 2d ago
KEKELTF
$KELTFKelt Exploration Ltd.
$6.80-0.29%0 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
Loading…

AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $KELTF, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-13

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Kelt Exploration — Alberta/BC oil-gas E&P — TTM +37% on 66% YoY Q2 revenue jump; Aug 6 beat inline and Nov 5 Q3 as the next confirmation.

Kelt Exploration is a Calgary-based Canadian E&P focused on liquids-rich Montney and Duvernay plays in northwestern Alberta and northeastern British Columbia — crude oil, natural gas, and NGLs sold to third-party marketers. Market cap $1.4B.

  • Q2 FY26 revenue C$193.5M, +66.2% YoY and +26% QoQ, with 30% op margin and $0.23 EPS — a clear operational acceleration coming from both higher production and improved commodity realizations.
  • Aug 6 Q2 print: EPS $0.155 vs. $0.155 expected (inline) but revenue $156M vs. $136M expected (+14.9% beat) — the market read the top-line as evidence of production ramp, not just price.
  • TTM +37% with position 63% of 52-week range — the tape is a stair-step higher, not a blow-off; TTM P/E 34x reflects Q3 FY25's net loss dragging the trailing base — on FY26 consensus $0.65 EPS, forward multiple is ~10x.

What extends the move: Nov 5 Q3 confirming production sequential growth and any hedging update. What invalidates: WTI break below $60, or an AECO / Canadian gas basis blowout that compresses realized pricing.

What to watch: Nov 5 Q3 earnings — production volumes (BOE/d), Montney/Duvernay netback trends, capex guidance, and hedging book. Also watch WTI, AECO, and Canadian differential trends.

On the calendar: 2026-11-05 — Q3 earnings

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $KELTF

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Canadian E&P company developing oil and gas assets in northwestern Alberta and northeastern BC, focused on Montney and Cardium plays.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Oil & Gas Exploration & Production sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $KELTF.

Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Energy

No material change from last week — an outcome that compresses the upside price optionality that E&Ps have been pricing.

Industry benchmark

24-name peer basket
+39.6%YTD
+36.7%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
33.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
4.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
16.8%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-3.8%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
3.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
5.0%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
22.6%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 6, 2026$0.15$0.150.0%
Q1 2026May 7, 2026$0.00$0.01-83.5%
Q4 2025Mar 12, 2026$0.07$0.07-10.0%
Q3 2025Nov 13, 2025$-0.03$0.09-128.2%
Next earningsThu, Nov 5·consensus EPS $0.11

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$193.5M+66.2%32.4%30.0%$0.23$-32.5M
Q1 FY26$153.7M+7.8%23.2%19.7%$0.00$-24.3M
Q4 FY25$132.5M+6.0%16.4%12.6%$0.10$19.8M
Q3 FY25$110.4M+2.3%12.2%-5.2%$-0.04$-36.0M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 3 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$802.5M$777.0M – $827.9M$0.65$0.56 – $0.722
FY27$924.8M$769.9M – $1.0B$0.85$0.74 – $0.943
FY28$750.0M$673.8M – $811.6M$0.88$0.77 – $0.981
FY29$878.6M$789.3M – $950.8M$0.42$0.36 – $0.461

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.63%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+0.9%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+9.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 164.9M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.325-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.ListedOTCListed on an over-the-counter market (PNK / OTCQB / OTCQX), not a major exchange. Lower disclosure requirements and thinner liquidity.

More in Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

$VET$COP$OXY$AR$REI$INR$PR$SM
Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $KELTF on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

PrivacyTermsSupport