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Intel Corp.

$INTC·$513B·Semiconductors·Technology
$89.51+0.0%YTD+167.0%1Y+269.7%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-22: 186 posts4,087+4%
Price updated 9h ago·X counts updated 9d ago
ININTC
$INTCIntel Corp.
$89.51+0.04%4.1k posts+4%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $INTC, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Comeback attemptCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-08-30

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

The reset is finally taking hold — a big equity raise into an even bigger rally is the digestion.

Intel is a chip company that spent years being priced for terminal decline and is now being priced for a turnaround — the stock is up 167% YTD and roughly 3.5x over twelve months as new-CEO commentary, government support, and a foundry re-rating stack on top of a still-weak base business. A fresh $20B equity raise last week is the digestion.

  • The base business hasn't fully turned yet: revenue has been flat around $13.5-13.7B for four quarters, gross margin is stuck in the mid-30s, and the last four quarters run $-0.73, $-0.12, $+0.90, $-0.67 in EPS — so the P&L is still choppy, and analysts pencil in $1.45 EPS for the full year on ~$62B of revenue, a very modest hurdle.
  • The bull case is now real and sponsored: HSBC doubled its target from $100 to $200 after including Foundry in the sum-of-the-parts, NVDA's 13F reportedly shows ~$30B (~47% of book) in Intel, Pelosi bought up to $1.5M of INTC, and the CEO himself put $10M in — that is a very unusual coalition of buyers for a name still bleeding on the income statement.
  • The freshly priced $20B stock offering at $95 is the tax on the rally: 210M new shares dilute existing holders roughly 5% at issue, and the S-3ASR shelf leaves the door open for more — the offering fills the balance sheet for foundry capex but also caps how tightly the stock can hug any near-term catalyst.

A Q3 print on Oct 22 that shows foundry revenue traction and better data-center margin extends the turnaround; a soft foundry number with continued PC/data-center pricing pressure is what turns 'cooling' into a real give-back and puts the $95 offering price in play as first support.

Agrees with X sentimentX is right that the Pelosi/CEO/NVDA buying coalition and the HSBC re-rate are legitimate turnaround signals, but the crowd is under-weighting the freshly issued $20B of stock at $95 — that's a real supply overhang that keeps the tape from ripping straight up.

What to watch: The Oct 22 print — foundry revenue and margin, data-center gross margin, and any customer names on the foundry side. Sub-$95 is the level that reopens the dilution question and puts the offering price in play.

On the calendar: 2026-10-22 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment161 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-31

Intel chatter splits sharply. Bulls anchor on Pelosi's disclosed $1.5M buy at $92, Nvidia's roughly $30B 13F stake, HSBC's target lift from $100 to $200 on foundry inclusion, and Tom Lee's basket add, with tape traders eyeing '111, 125, 140.' Bears counter with S&P 500 deletion risk, a working 'bear flag' pointing to $80, Cramer's 'sell semis' call, and complaints that shares are 'down 18% since Lip Butan refused to use bond markets and diluted shareholders.'

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Designs and manufactures x86 CPUs for PCs and data centers while building a foundry business for third-party chips.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Semiconductors sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $INTC.

Semiconductors · Technology

Hyperscaler AI capex keeps Blackwell allocation tight and HBM3e pricing firm; NVDA's data-center backlog and AVGO's networking wins confirm the cycle is not peaking. LLM context-window expansion — the structural demand pull — extends through at least 2H26.

What this means for $INTC

Direct beneficiary — semiconductor products are directly in the AI capex supply chain; Intel Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, markets, sells, and services computing and related end products and s.

Top industry ETF

$SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF
+56.0%YTD
+94.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-183.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-2.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-9.4%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-0.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
10.7Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-3.0%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
35.4%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 23, 2026$0.42$0.21+100.0%
Q1 2026Apr 23, 2026$0.29$0.02+1428.7%
Q4 2025Jan 22, 2026$0.15$0.08+84.4%
Q3 2025Oct 23, 2025$0.23$0.02+1191.4%
Next earningsThu, Oct 22·consensus EPS $0.39

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$13.6B+7.2%39.4%-23.1%$-0.73$-2.5B
Q4 FY25$13.7B-4.1%36.1%4.0%$-0.12$800.0M
Q3 FY25$13.7B+2.8%38.2%5.0%$0.90$121.0M
Q2 FY25$12.9B+0.2%27.5%-24.7%$-0.67$-1.5B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 31 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$62.2B$57.2B – $65.0B$1.45$1.29 – $1.6626
FY27$71.3B$62.3B – $76.3B$2.00$1.25 – $2.9531
FY28$80.2B$68.8B – $96.8B$2.99$1.93 – $4.7828
FY29$97.1B$85.5B – $108.3B$4.26$3.60 – $4.9019
FY30$122.3B$107.7B – $136.4B$6.42$5.42 – $7.3823

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.55%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-14.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+22.5%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyAug 11Lip Bu TanCEO105.3K sh$10.0MSellMay 29Nagasubramaniyan ChandrasekaranEVP, CT & Ops Off, GM Foundry21.0K sh$2.5MSellMay 1Miller Boise AprilEVP and Chief Legal Officer40.3K sh$4.0M
+ 29 other (13 awards · 13 exempts · 3 inkinds) in window

See when $INTC insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 128-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Intel Corporation (INTC) filed an 8-K on August 13, 2026 (event date August 10) under Items 7.01 and 8.01, furnishing Regulation FD investor materials and reporting other events. The excerpt is the cover page; the specific investor materials and event details are in the attached exhibits. Filed the day after Intel's massive $20B equity offering, this likely represents investor relations materials distributed in connection with that capital raise. Intel is a leading semiconductor design and manufacturing company undergoing a major foundry strategy transformation.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Aug 12424B5
AI summary

Intel Corporation (INTC) filed a 424B5 prospectus supplement on August 13, 2026, pricing a secondary equity offering of 210,526,315 shares of common stock at $95.00 per share, raising approximately $20 billion in gross proceeds — one of the largest equity offerings in recent U.S. capital markets history. The underwriting syndicate includes JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, and Citigroup. The capital raise signals Intel's need for substantial cash to fund its Intel Foundry Services buildout and manufacturing capacity expansion. At $95/share and 210M new shares, the offering represents significant dilution to existing shareholders.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Aug 10424B5
AI summary

Intel (INTC) filed a preliminary 424B5 prospectus supplement for a large common stock offering; the per-share price and total amount are left blank (preliminary). Intel has granted the underwriters an overallotment option to purchase up to an additional $2.25 billion of shares. Joint book-running managers are J.P. Morgan, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, and Citigroup. Settlement is expected on or about August 2026 once the final terms are set. This is filed concurrently with an S-3ASR automatic shelf registration.

S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationAug 10S-3ASR
AI summary

Intel Corporation (INTC) filed a Form S-3ASR (automatic shelf registration statement) to register an unspecified amount of common stock to be offered by Intel or selling securityholders from time to time. As a large accelerated filer, Intel qualifies for automatic effectiveness upon filing under Rule 462(e). This shelf provides the legal framework for the concurrent 424B5 offering and future capital markets transactions.

3New insider — initial holdingsMay 223
AI summary

Aliyar Katouzian, Executive Vice President and General Manager of the CC & Physical AI Group at Intel Corporation (INTC), filed an initial Form 3 on May 15, 2026 with no non-derivative securities listed as beneficially owned. This is a routine initial ownership filing required upon appointment as a new officer; Katouzian's role in Intel's AI compute division reflects Intel's strategic focus on physical AI and compute.

3New insider — initial holdingsMay 223
AI summary

Aparna Bawa, Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer and Chief People Officer at Intel Corporation (INTC), filed an initial Form 3 on May 13, 2026 with no non-derivative securities listed as directly owned. This is a routine initial ownership filing required upon appointment to a new officer role at Intel.

8-KShareholder voteMay 158-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

INTC held its annual meeting of stockholders around 2026-05-15 (8-K Item 5.07). Stockholders elected 11 directors to the board. A non-binding say-on-pay vote on executive compensation was conducted. Independent auditor ratification was approved. Routine governance event — monitor for unusually high withhold votes as an activist signal.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Apr 29424B5
AI summary

INTC filed a 424B5 prospectus supplement dated 2026-04-29, representing an active capital markets transaction. This represents immediate dilution to existing shareholders.

+ 24 other (3 proxys · 2 13Fs · 2 S-8s · 2 IRANNOTICEs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Elon Musk Is Spending $119 Billion on A Single Building Outside Houston. Here's Who Actually Profits.247wallst.com·11h agoInsider Confidence Is Building in These 3 Very Different Stocksmarketbeat.com·19h agoCan Intel's AI Profits Outrun Its Factory Losses?forbes.com·21h agoCEO Lip-Bu Tan Just Gave 12 Million Reasons to Buy Intel Stockfool.com·23h agoIntel, ServiceNow, Chevron, Strategy, and More Stocks That Explain Today's Marketbarrons.com·23h ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

AI InfrastructureQuantum ComputingSemiconductor Onshoring

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Voices on X · top 15 · last 7 days

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