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GSGSM

Ferroglobe PLC

$GSM·$798M·Industrial Materials·Basic Materials
$3.90+0.4%YTD-10.9%1Y-30.2%
Price updated 11m ago·X counts updated 4d ago
GSGSM
$GSMFerroglobe PLC
$3.90+0.41%6 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $GSM on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

6X posts · last 7 days
Sep 28Oct 11
Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-09

Ferroglobe is up as the European Commission started an interim review of anti-dumping measures on Chinese silicon-metal imports, following a request from Euroalliages. Trade-policy tailwinds are stacking; one holder pins near-term upside to $5+.

Read what X is saying about $GSM

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $GSM — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Hinges on a big eventAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-10-03

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Ferroglobe crushed Q2 EPS by 592% and the EC just opened anti-dumping review on Chinese silicon — the trade-policy tailwind arrived.

Ferroglobe PLC has become the clearest trade-policy beneficiary in the silicon-metals space — Q2 EPS of $0.32 was 592% above the -$0.07 estimate, revenue of $379M was up 25% YoY, and the September 1 European Commission interim review of anti-dumping measures on Chinese silicon-metal imports is the structural catalyst.

  • Revenue growth has stepped from -28% in Q3 2025 to +13% in Q1 2026 — the recovery is intact, with the Q2 EPS surprise suggesting operating leverage from pricing power as European and US tariff frameworks tighten.
  • Insider activity includes M-Exempt plus F-InKind cycles from Villar-Mir de Fuentes and Lopez Madrid (September 22, 56K and 7K shares respectively) at the $4.31 price — standard governance exercises rather than directional sales.
  • At $4.26 and 44% of the 52-week range, the stock is pricing modest recovery; sell-side 2026 EPS of -$0.08 stepping to +$0.42 in 2027 and +$0.48 in 2028 shows the forward model expects earnings crossover inside 12 months.

The November 4 Q3 earnings is the next test — any continuation of the Q2 EPS surprise cadence plus commentary on the EC anti-dumping review timeline would extend the recovery narrative; the structural question is whether the US and EU tariff framework holds through 2027.

Agrees with X sentimentX is bullish on the EC anti-dumping review and pinning near-term upside to $5+; the TickerTalks read agrees the trade-policy tailwind is real and the Q2 EPS beat validates the operational leverage.

What to watch: November 4 Q3 earnings and silicon-metal pricing commentary; EC anti-dumping review final determination timeline; Venezuela restart status and critical-materials strategic framework.

On the calendar: Q3 earnings scheduled 2026-11-04

Read the AI verdict on $GSM

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Global producer of silicon metal and silicon and manganese alloys used in aluminum, chemicals, solar, and steel manufacturing.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Industrial Materials sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $GSM.

Industrial Materials · Basic Materials

No material change from last week — US domestic rare earth supply chain buildout remains the structural driver: MP Materials trades on Beijing's forced divestiture of Chinese shareholder, reinforcing supply-chain-security thesis.

What this means for $GSM

Neutral — Global producer of silicon metal and silicon and manganese alloys used in aluminum, chemicals, solar, and steel manufacturing.

Industry benchmark

16-name peer basket
-8.8%YTD
-35.2%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-7.0How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-15.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-12.5%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-5.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-15.0%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
2.8%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 4, 2026$0.32$-0.07+592.3%
Q1 2026May 5, 2026$-0.07$-0.070.0%
Q4 2025Feb 17, 2026$-0.06$-0.07+14.3%
Q3 2025Nov 5, 2025$-0.02$0.05-140.0%
Next earningsWed, Nov 4·consensus EPS $-0.03

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$347.7M+13.2%12.5%-8.1%$-0.04$-17.7M
Q4 FY25$329.4M-10.4%-28.6%-45.5%$-0.43$-20.0M
Q3 FY25$311.7M-28.1%13.6%-0.6%$-0.07$578K
Q2 FY25$386.9M+25.9%12.0%2.3%$-0.06$-1.8M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 2 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$1.5B$1.5B – $1.5B-$0.05-$0.05 – -$0.052
FY27$1.8B$1.7B – $2.0B$0.70$0.22 – $1.172
FY28$1.9B$1.8B – $2.0B$0.67$0.63 – $0.711

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.2×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.30%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-8.2%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-9.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 117.3M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.2% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.065-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 14Garcia Cos Muntanola BeatrizCHIEF FINANCE OFFICER32.3K sh$139K
+ 6 other (3 exempts · 3 inkinds) in window

See when $GSM insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3/ANew insider — initial holdingsAug 203/A
AI summary

Beatriz Garcia Cos Muntanola filed a Form 3/A amendment for Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) on August 20, 2026, correcting the original March 18, 2026 Form 3 to add 36,784 performance share units (granted March 2021, expiring December 2030, $0 exercise price, direct ownership) that were inadvertently omitted. This is an administrative correction to an initial ownership filing; no new securities were acquired, and the omission was described as an inadvertent administrative error.

+ 8 other (4 6-Ks · 3 13Gs · 1 SD) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

VinFast-linked taxi operator GSM launches US service in Los Angelesreuters.com·1d agoPHAM NHAT VUONG AND PHAM THU HUONG TRANSITION LEADERSHIP ROLES AT VINFAST AND GSMprnewswire.com·33d agoFerroglobe PLC: Navigating Metal Uncertaintyseekingalpha.com·42d agoVinFast-linked taxi firm GSM eyes US, EU expansion ahead of Hong Kong IPOreuters.com·43d agoFerroglobe Comments on European Commission's Initiation of Interim Review of Antidumping Measures on Chinese Silicon Metal Importsglobenewswire.com·44d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Critical Minerals & Rare Earths

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $GSM on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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