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GSGSM

Ferroglobe PLC

Hot onWhy it's trendingX mentions rising faster than the marketPrice and volume picking up
$GSM·$782M·Industrial Materials·Basic Materials
$4.13-0.5%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-30: 0 posts2026-07-31: 0 posts2026-08-01: 0 posts2026-08-02: 1 posts2026-08-03: 0 posts2026-08-04: 5 posts2026-08-05: 36 posts42
Price updated 1m ago·X counts updated 22h ago
GSGSM
$GSMFerroglobe PLC
$4.13-0.48%42 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $GSM, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-06

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Ferroglobe Q2 reported break-even earnings — the silicon-metal and manganese-alloy manufacturer is on 3.3x volume as tariff dynamics reshape the tape.

Ferroglobe is a global silicon-metal, silicon-based alloy, and manganese-alloy manufacturer — a real-business specialty-materials name with cycle-sensitive earnings and tariff-exposed international operations.

Where the tape stands:

  • Growth is real on the recent quarter: Q1 revenue $348M grew 13% year over year, a step-up from the -10% to -28% zone of prior quarters.
  • Margins are thin: gross margin 13%, operating margin -8% — silicon-metals economics with tariff-related cost pressure.
  • Beat cadence is bimodal: last four EPS surprises 0%, 14%, -140%, -300% — big misses when tariff dynamics hit.
  • The Aug 4 Q2 print reported break-even earnings — a modest improvement.
  • Positioning is coiling: 40% of the 52-week range, +14% above the 50-day, -4% below the 200-day on 3.26x volume — real distribution on the recent uptick.
  • PE -7 reflects trailing losses; the recovery would require sustained margin recovery.
  • FCF yield -5% reflects capex and working-capital pressure.
  • Debt-to-equity 0.36 is manageable.
  • The 3.26x volume on the recent bounce is the loudest institutional-flow signal.

Nov 4 Q3 earnings decides whether the tape holds $4 — margin recovery back toward positive and clean silicon-metals demand commentary starts the rerating; another operating loss or tariff-related margin compression breaks this to $2.50.

Differs from X sentimentNo meaningful X sentiment sample exists for GSM — silicon-metal manufacturing is a low-attention specialty-materials name that doesn't attract retail-fintwit chatter. The 3.26x volume on the recent bounce is the institutional-flow signal to watch — the break-even Q2 print alone hasn't shifted the fundamental story.

What to watch: Nov 4 Q3 earnings — margin recovery back toward positive and clean silicon-metals demand commentary holds $4+; another operating loss or tariff-related margin compression breaks this to $2.50.

On the calendar: 2026-11-04 — Q3 2026 earnings

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $GSM

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Ferroglobe PLC produces and sells silicon metal, and silicon and manganese-based alloys. It provides silicone metal that are used in a range of applications, including construction-related products, electronics, personal care items, and health care, as well as by primary and secondary aluminum producers. The company also offers silicomanganese, which is used as a deoxidizing agent in the steel manufacturing process; and ferromanganese that is used as a deoxidizing, desulphurizing, and degassing agent in the removal of nitrogen and other harmful elements from steel. In addition, it offers ferrosilicon products that are used to produce stainless steel, carbon steel, and various other steel alloys, as well as to manufacture electrodes and aluminum; calcium silicon for deoxidation and desulfurization of liquid steel, cast iron pipes coating production, and welding process of powder metal and in pyrotechnics, as well as control the shape, size, and distribution of oxide and sulfide inclusions; and foundry products, such as nodularizers and inoculants for production of iron. Further, the company provides silica fume, a by-product of the electrometallurgical process of silicon metal and ferrosilicon. Additionally, it operates quartz mines in South Africa, Spain, the United States, and Canada; low-ash metallurgical coal mines in the United States; and hydroelectric power plant in France, as well as procures coal, manganese ore, quartz, petroleum and metallurgical coke, electrodes, and additive metals. It serves silicone chemical producers; aluminum and steel manufacturers; auto companies and their suppliers; ductile iron foundries; manufacturers of photovoltaic solar cells and computer chips; and concrete producers. The company was formerly known as VeloNewco Limited and changed its name to Ferroglobe PLC in December 2015. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Industrial Materials sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $GSM.

Industrial Materials · Basic Materials

No material change from last week — MP Materials and USARE (US Rare Earths) benefit from the US domestic rare earth supply chain buildout as defense and EV applications require secure non-Chinese..

Industry benchmark

17-name peer basket
+10.1%YTD
+61.2%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-7.0How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-15.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-12.5%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-5.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-15.0%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
2.8%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 5, 2026$-0.07$-0.070.0%
Q4 2025Feb 17, 2026$-0.06$-0.07+14.3%
Q3 2025Nov 5, 2025$-0.02$0.05-140.0%
Q2 2025Aug 5, 2025$-0.08$-0.02-300.0%
Next earningsWed, Nov 4·consensus EPS $-0.05

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$347.7M+13.2%12.5%-8.1%$-0.04$-17.7M
Q4 FY25$329.4M-10.4%-28.6%-45.5%$-0.43$-20.0M
Q3 FY25$311.7M-28.1%13.6%-0.6%$-0.07$578K
Q2 FY25$386.9M+25.9%12.0%2.3%$-0.06$-1.8M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 2 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$1.5B$1.5B – $1.6B-$0.14-$0.18 – -$0.102
FY27$1.8B$1.7B – $2.0B$0.41$0.13 – $0.692
FY28$1.9B$1.8B – $2.1B$0.49$0.45 – $0.521

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.3.3×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.40%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+14.2%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-4.4%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 117.4M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today4.9% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.025-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyMar 23Villar-mir De Fuentes SilviaDirector26.0K sh$100KBuyMar 23Lopez Madrid JavierChair26.0K sh$100K

See when $GSM insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·1d agoFerroglobe Q2 Earnings Call Highlightsmarketbeat.com·1d agoGlobe Specialty Metals (GSM) Reports Break-Even Earnings for Q2zacks.com·2d agoFerroglobe Reports Second Quarter 2026 Financial Resultsglobenewswire.com·2d agoFerroglobe PLC Schedules Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Call for August 5, 2026globenewswire.com·17d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Critical Minerals & Rare Earths

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Voices on X · top 2 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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