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GFGFS

GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc.

$GFS·$30B·Semiconductors·Technology
$44.55-0.5%YTD+46.4%1Y+33.3%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-21: 9 posts2026-08-22: 3 posts2026-08-23: 3 posts2026-08-24: 5 posts115+3%
Price updated 1m ago·X counts updated 7d ago
GFGFS
$GFSGLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc.
$44.55-0.48%115 posts+3%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $GFS, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-29

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

GlobalFoundries with a $1.5B revolver, Trump quantum-package inclusion, and SCALE optical wins — cyclical semi foundry coiled for a re-rating.

GlobalFoundries is a specialty semiconductor foundry — mature-node, silicon-photonics, and increasingly quantum-relevant capacity — headquartered in Malta, NY. The setup is a real-business cyclical value name coiled with specific fresh catalysts.

  • The Q2 print was clean: EPS came in at $0.46 vs a $0.43 consensus (a ~7% beat), Q1 revenue grew 3% YoY to $1.63B at a 28% gross margin and 11% operating margin, and the sell side models FY26 EPS at ~$1.90 rising to ~$3.31 in 2028 — a real cyclical-recovery trajectory.
  • The strategic catalysts are stacked: a new $1.5B JPMorgan-led revolving credit facility (up from $1B), inclusion in a $2B Trump-admin quantum-equity package, and GFS confirmed as SCALE reference-node driver for seven optical-networking design wins — three concrete forward drivers landing in the same window.
  • The insider signal is a mild negative: officer Raman sold ~$346K on August 18, plus smaller officer sales throughout August — combined ~$500K of officer selling into strength at only 22% of the 52-week range, which is the more telling context (insider sells at multi-quarter lows suggest lack of conviction).

The setup is a real-business cyclical semiconductor foundry coiled with multiple fresh strategic catalysts — the November 10 Q3 print is the referee, and the market needs continued sequential revenue growth plus updated silicon-photonics or quantum-related design wins. A clean beat plus named silicon-photonics customer wins breaks the coil up toward $60; a soft print or a further gross-margin compression cools the tape back below $40. The $90+ price targets are aspirational.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish X read on the new $1.5B JPMorgan-led revolving credit facility (up from $1B), inclusion in a $2B Trump-admin quantum-equity package, and GFS confirmed as SCALE reference-node driver for seven optical-networking design wins is factually consistent with the announcements. The gap-fill to $44 as an entry to a $50B+ company with $90+ price targets is aspirational but the near-term catalysts are real.

What to watch: The November 10 Q3 earnings — need continued sequential revenue growth, updated silicon-photonics or quantum-related design wins, and reiterated FY26 EPS guide toward $1.90 consensus. A soft print or a further gross-margin compression cools the tape back below $40; a clean beat plus named silicon-photonics customer wins breaks the coil up toward $60.

On the calendar: 2026-11-10 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment12 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-30

The tape is confidently bullish on GlobalFoundries — the anchor is a new $1.5B senior unsecured revolving credit facility led by JPMorgan (up from $1B, maturing 2031) and a Trump-administration $2B commitment to quantum-computing firms in exchange for equity stakes lifting GFS ~2.9%. A parallel Sivers Semiconductors thread cites GFS naming Sivers as the SCALE reference laser, seven new optical-networking design wins in Q2, and "more than double" silicon-photonics revenue guided for 2026. One caller pins a conservative $50B market cap.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $GFS

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Specialty semiconductor foundry manufacturing chips for RF, automotive, IoT, and aerospace markets with U.S. and European fabs.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Semiconductors sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $GFS.

Semiconductors · Technology

Hyperscaler AI capex keeps Blackwell allocation tight and HBM3e pricing firm; NVDA's data-center backlog and AVGO's networking wins confirm the cycle is not peaking. LLM context-window expansion — the structural demand pull — extends through at least 2H26.

What this means for $GFS

Direct beneficiary — semiconductor products are directly in the AI capex supply chain; GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc.

Top industry ETF

$SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF
+56.0%YTD
+85.1%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
53.9How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
4.9%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
12.1%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
2.6%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
6.1Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
6.7%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
26.4%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 5, 2026$0.46$0.43+6.3%
Q1 2026May 5, 2026$0.40$0.35+13.9%
Q4 2025Feb 11, 2026$0.55$0.47+15.9%
Q3 2025Nov 12, 2025$0.41$0.38+7.0%
Next earningsTue, Nov 10·consensus EPS $0.51

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$1.6B+3.1%27.6%11.0%$0.19$230.0M
Q4 FY25$1.8B0.0%28.9%13.9%$0.36$166.0M
Q3 FY25$1.7B-2.9%24.8%11.6%$0.45$406.0M
Q2 FY25$1.7B+3.4%24.2%11.6%$0.41$272.0M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 16 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$7.2B$7.1B – $7.6B$1.90$1.83 – $1.9816
FY27$8.0B$7.7B – $8.8B$2.49$2.22 – $3.4615
FY28$9.1B$8.4B – $10.3B$3.31$2.93 – $3.8711
FY29$9.1B$8.7B – $9.9B$3.12$2.96 – $3.485

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.22%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-25.2%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-15.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 103.9M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today3.2% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.805-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 27Samak L AzarChief Legal Officer335 sh$16KSellAug 20Samak L AzarChief Legal Officer335 sh$16KSellAug 18Pradheepa RamanChief People Officer6.8K sh$346KSellAug 13Samak L AzarChief Legal Officer335 sh$18KSellAug 6Samak L AzarChief Legal Officer335 sh$16KSellJul 30Samak L AzarChief Legal Officer335 sh$16KSellJul 23Samak L AzarChief Legal Officer335 sh$19KSellJul 22Hogan Michael JamesChief Strategy Officer707 sh$41KSellJul 20Glenda DorchakDirector4.0K sh$233KSellJul 16Samak L AzarChief Legal Officer335 sh$20K
1–10 of 42
+ 29 other (10 awards · 10 gifts · 9 inkinds) in window

See when $GFS insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for GFS on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for GFS on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for GFS on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for GFS on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for GFS on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for GFS on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for GFS on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for GFS on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

+ 30 other (12 3s · 11 6-Ks · 5 13Gs · 1 SD) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

A Look at GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc (GFS) After 4.4% Decline -- GF Value $45.40 vs Price $45.95gurufocus.com·7d agoRecent Pullback Could Be An Appealing Entry Point For GlobalFoundriesseekingalpha.com·10d agoTSMC vs. GlobalFoundries: Which Foundry Stock Is the Better Buy?zacks.com·11d agoGlobalFoundries: A Cyclical Value Play, Not An AI Rocketseekingalpha.com·11d agoUnited Microelectronics Falls 7%, Tower Semiconductor Sinks 10%, GlobalFoundries Drops 7% as AI Spending Fears Hit Foundries247wallst.com·13d ago

In themes

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AI InfrastructureSemiconductor Onshoring

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Voices on X · top 13 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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