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EXEXOD

Exodus Movement, Inc.

$EXOD·$186M·Software - Application·Technology
$6.04+5.2%YTD-61.8%1Y-78.0%
Price updated 9h ago·X counts updated 4d ago
EXEXOD
$EXODExodus Movement, Inc.
$6.04+5.23%27 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $EXOD on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

27X posts · last 7 days
Sep 28Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $EXOD's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level, louder than 72% of tracked names.

AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $EXOD — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Broken storyStalledAI verdict · as of 2026-10-03

The move has stalled — likely just drifts unless something new shows up.

Exodus crypto wallet down 51% YTD — the DIRECTV stablecoin deal is cute, the EPS misses are brutal.

Exodus Movement is a crypto-wallet-and-infrastructure company whose 2026 drawdown reflects both crypto-cohort compression and specific operational EPS misses on an already-small base.

  • The P&L is deeply broken on surprise basis: Q2 revenue grew 1.5% YoY to $26M at a -83% operating margin and EPS of -$0.62, with trailing EPS prints missing Street estimates by 187% and 1,100% — these are catastrophically wide misses that reflect either operational deterioration or wildly-conservative Street modeling.
  • The specific product signal is substantive but small: bringing stablecoins to everyday commerce via DIRECTV's DGO plus August monthly-metrics releases — these are the right strategic moves, but they haven't translated to earnings yet.

At 10% of its 52-week range and 15% below the 200-day going into Nov 9 earnings, the setup is a classic broken-story stall. A clean revenue stabilization plus any DIRECTV stablecoin-revenue disclosure is the trigger for a reversal; another large EPS miss or cash-burn surprise is the invalidation.

What to watch: Nov 9 Q3 earnings — revenue direction, operating margin, DIRECTV stablecoin revenue contribution, and FY27 guide. Revenue stabilization plus stablecoin-revenue detail is the trigger; another large EPS miss is the invalidation.

On the calendar: 2026-11-09 — Q3 earnings

event ahead 30dcrypto wallet broken

Read the AI verdict on $EXOD

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Non-custodial multi-asset crypto wallet enabling self-custody storage and peer-to-peer swapping of cryptocurrencies.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Software - Application sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $EXOD.

Software - Application · Technology

No material change from last week — Adobe Q3 lifted guidance with triple-digit AI-first ARR, validating the AI upsell bifurcation: vendors embedding AI agents into core workflows (NOW, CRM, SAP, WDAY, TEAM, ADBE) are re-accelerating whi.

What this means for $EXOD

Partial — Non-custodial multi-asset crypto wallet enabling self-custody storage and peer-to-peer swapping of cryptocurrencies.; AI feature integration (Agentforce, AI Copilot) into core platform defends ARR while pricing for AI add-ons lifts ACV.

Top industry ETF

$IGViShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF
+4.2%YTD
-3.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-2.6How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-16.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-34.4%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-28.4%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.1Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-36.1%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
35.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 10, 2026$-0.62$-0.22-187.0%
Q1 2026May 11, 2026$-1.08$-0.09-1100.0%
Q4 2025Mar 11, 2026$-1.84$-0.01-18300.0%
Q3 2025Nov 10, 2025$0.53$-0.01+5400.0%
Next earningsMon, Nov 9·consensus EPS $-0.25

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$26.2M+1.6%22.5%-82.9%$-0.62$-49.6M
Q1 FY26$22.7M-36.8%28.6%-39.4%$-1.11$-2.6M
Q4 FY25$29.4M-36.2%44.5%-17.7%$-1.80$-9.1M
Q3 FY25$30.3M+50.8%44.0%-5.0%$0.58$-4.8M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 4 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$114.6M$105.1M – $123.6M-$2.45-$2.70 – -$2.184
FY27$151.1M$138.6M – $163.0M-$0.65-$0.71 – -$0.583
FY28$207.7M$190.5M – $224.0M$0.43$0.38 – $0.471

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.3×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.6%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-12.7%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-26.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 24.9M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.1% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β3.035-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellOct 2James GernetzkeCFO5.6K sh$39KSellOct 1Margaret KnightDirector135 sh$956SellSep 3James GernetzkeCFO5.7K sh$42KSellSep 1Margaret KnightDirector135 sh$986SellAug 28Matias OliveraCTO2.8K sh$26KSellAug 27Matias OliveraCTO2.8K sh$24KSellAug 26Matias OliveraCTO2.8K sh$24KSellAug 25Matias OliveraCTO2.8K sh$24KSellAug 24Matias OliveraCTO2.8K sh$22KSellAug 21Matias OliveraCTO2.8K sh$22K
1–10 of 16
+ 13 other (6 inkinds · 5 awards · 2 returns) in window

See when $EXOD insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeSep 18-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Exodus Movement, Inc. disclosed that two executives — Jon Paul Richardson (273,278 RSUs) and Daniel Castagnoli (233,218 RSUs) — voluntarily cancelled all of their outstanding restricted stock units on August 31, 2026, with both individuals stating they believe the cancellation is in the company's best interest. No consideration was provided for the cancelled RSUs. The voluntary forfeitures reduce the company's outstanding equity award obligations.

8-KRestructuring / exit costsJul 178-K — Item 2.05: Restructuring / exit costs · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Exodus Movement (EXOD) filed an 8-K under Items 2.05 and 7.01, disclosing a departure of a director or principal officer characterized as a cost-reduction measure, along with a Regulation FD disclosure effective July 16, 2026. The Item 2.05 designation (costs associated with exit or disposal activities) suggests the officer departure triggered severance costs. Exodus Movement is a self-custody cryptocurrency wallet company.

8-KShareholder voteMay 68-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
8-KAcquisition completedMay 58-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 1.02: Agreement terminated · Item 2.01: Acquisition completed
8-KPress release / Reg FDApr 288-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 6 other (4 earnings 8-Ks · 2 10-Qs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Exodus Movement, Inc. September 2026 -- Monthly Metricsglobenewswire.com·7d agoExodus Brings Stablecoins to Everyday Commerce, Starting With DIRECTV's DGOglobenewswire.com·14d agoStrength Seen in Exodus Movement, Inc. (EXOD): Can Its 6.7% Jump Turn into More Strength?zacks.com·25d agoExodus Movement, Inc. August 2026 -- Monthly Metricsglobenewswire.com·35d agoLithic and Monavate Partner to Power Card Programs Across Traditional and On-Chain Financebusinesswire.com·64d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $EXOD on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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