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EXEXOD

Exodus Movement, Inc.

$EXOD·$233M·Software - Application·Technology
$7.60-4.5%1Y-69.3%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-22: 0 posts2026-08-23: 5 posts2026-08-24: 5 posts380%
Price updated 7h ago·X counts updated 7d ago
EXEXOD
$EXODExodus Movement, Inc.
$7.60-4.52%38 posts0%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $EXOD, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-26

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Exodus Movement popped 23% today on 6.2x normal volume — the crypto-wallet is up 68% vs the 50-day but still down 63% t12m.

Exodus Movement Inc. is the self-custody crypto-wallet software company whose stock has been broken (-63% t12m) but is now setting up as a hot-momentum turnaround with today's massive volume-driven pop.

  • Today's tape action is the marquee signal: +23.4% on 6.2x normal volume with beta 2.99 — that scale of volume-and-price move is what a genuine information event looks like, though the specific driver isn't in the sample; the crypto-wallet category is aligned with the broader stablecoin/GENIUS Act tailwind seen in CRCL earlier.
  • The fundamentals are still weak: revenue $26M last quarter with 36% gross margin and -34% operating margin, and the last two prints missed sell-side EPS by 187% and 1100% respectively (both large misses) — a $233M market cap at PE -2.6x is priced entirely on the crypto-cycle recovery narrative, not on current business economics.
  • The tape is accelerating hard: at 18% of the 52-week range, 68% above the 50-day but 2% below the 200-day on 6.2x normal volume with beta 2.99 — that's a stock going through genuine repricing on above-average volume, though the position vs the 200-day suggests the tape is still in a multi-month base-building phase.

The path if this works is the Nov 9 Q3 print delivering another beat plus concrete crypto-wallet-usage growth commentary, taking the tape past $15. What breaks it is a specific crypto-price reversal or another wider-loss quarter — EXOD is crypto-cycle beta with beta 2.99, so the tape can compound in either direction quickly.

What to watch: Nov 9 Q3 print (sell-side EPS -$0.29) — narrowed loss plus concrete crypto-wallet-usage growth commentary extends the tape past $15; a specific crypto-price reversal or another wider-loss quarter breaks the accelerating tape back to $6. Bitcoin price and stablecoin regulatory catalysts are the leading category variables.

On the calendar: 2026-11-09 — Q3 earnings

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $EXOD

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Non-custodial multi-asset crypto wallet enabling self-custody storage and peer-to-peer swapping of cryptocurrencies.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Software - Application sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $EXOD.

Software - Application · Technology

SaaS multiples remain compressed as rate-sensitive valuations weigh on pure-play software; customers are lengthening deal cycles outside of AI-native workloads. AI co-pilot upsell is the only clear near-term catalyst — companies without it are treading water.

What this means for $EXOD

Direct beneficiary — business directly tied to crypto market cap and adoption cycle; Non-custodial multi-asset crypto wallet enabling self-custody storage and peer-t.

Top industry ETF

$IGViShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF
-4.2%YTD
+2.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-2.6How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-16.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-34.4%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-28.4%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.1Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-36.1%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
35.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 10, 2026$-0.62$-0.22-187.0%
Q1 2026May 11, 2026$-1.08$-0.09-1100.0%
Q4 2025Mar 11, 2026$-1.84$-0.01-18300.0%
Q3 2025Nov 10, 2025$0.53$-0.01+5400.0%
Next earningsMon, Nov 9·consensus EPS $-0.29

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$26.2M+1.6%22.5%-82.9%$-0.62$-49.6M
Q1 FY26$22.7M-36.8%28.6%-39.4%$-1.11$-2.6M
Q4 FY25$29.4M-36.2%44.5%-17.7%$-1.80$-9.1M
Q3 FY25$30.3M+50.8%44.0%-5.0%$0.58$-4.8M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 2 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$117.5M$109.6M – $125.3M-$1.10-$1.19 – -$1.002
FY27$187.3M$172.1M – $202.5M$0.55$0.50 – $0.592
FY28$231.8M$216.2M – $247.1M$2.46$2.24 – $2.671

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.2.1×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.12%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+35.8%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-17.7%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 24.8M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.8% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.995-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 27Matias OliveraCTO2.8K sh$24KSellAug 26Matias OliveraCTO2.8K sh$24KSellAug 25Matias OliveraCTO2.8K sh$24KSellAug 24Matias OliveraCTO2.8K sh$22KSellAug 21Matias OliveraCTO2.8K sh$22KSellAug 20Matias OliveraCTO2.8K sh$22KSellAug 19Matias OliveraCTO2.8K sh$20KSellAug 17James GernetzkeCFO4.9K sh$34KSellAug 3Margaret KnightDirector135 sh$690SellJul 1Margaret KnightDirector135 sh$710
1–10 of 12
+ 14 other (9 inkinds · 5 awards) in window

See when $EXOD insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KRestructuring / exit costsJul 178-K — Item 2.05: Restructuring / exit costs · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Exodus Movement (EXOD) filed an 8-K under Items 2.05 and 7.01, disclosing a departure of a director or principal officer characterized as a cost-reduction measure, along with a Regulation FD disclosure effective July 16, 2026. The Item 2.05 designation (costs associated with exit or disposal activities) suggests the officer departure triggered severance costs. Exodus Movement is a self-custody cryptocurrency wallet company.

8-KShareholder voteMay 68-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
8-KAgreement terminatedMay 58-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 1.02: Agreement terminated · Item 2.01: Acquisition completed
8-KPress release / Reg FDApr 288-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KPress release / Reg FDApr 138-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KOfficer or director changeMar 258-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
+ 14 other (5 earnings 8-Ks · 3 proxys · 2 10-Qs · 1 routine 8-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Lithic and Monavate Partner to Power Card Programs Across Traditional and On-Chain Financebusinesswire.com·19d agoExodus Movement, Inc. June 2026 -- Monthly Metricsglobenewswire.com·20d agoExodus Movement, Inc. (EXOD) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·21d agoExodus Movement Q2 Earnings Call Highlightsmarketbeat.com·21d agoAnalysts Set Exodus Movement, Inc. (NYSEAMERICAN:EXOD) Price Target at $21.17defenseworld.net·33d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

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