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COCOIN

Coinbase Global, Inc.

$COIN·$41B·Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges·Financial Services
$157.12-2.1%YTD-31.9%1Y-61.7%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-12: 800 posts2026-07-13: 1,031 posts2026-07-14: 1,058 posts2026-07-15: 1,171 posts2026-07-16: 1,301 posts2026-07-17: 798 posts2026-07-18: 185 posts6,386+22%
Price updated 1d ago·X counts updated 5h ago
COCOIN
$COINCoinbase Global, Inc.
$157.12-2.10%6.4k posts+22%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $COIN, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-07-18

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Coinbase is coiling above the H&S neckline while its top lawyer walks — the crypto-cycle bet needs a bitcoin move, not a chart.

Coinbase is still the largest US crypto exchange and the closest thing to a pure-play regulated proxy for the digital-asset cycle. The stock has been beaten badly — down 62% year-over-year — and is now compressing above a well-defined support zone, waiting for a directional cue from bitcoin.

  • Coinbase is intensely cyclical, and the cycle is currently against it: revenue swung from +55% YoY in Q3 to -55% in Q4 to -30% last quarter, which is exactly what happens when trading volumes seasonally dry up — the story here is what the next quarter looks like, not the trailing figures.
  • The regulatory tailwind is unusually real for once: the Clarity Act finally provides US market-structure rules for digital assets, and Coinbase (with Base and its prediction-market venture) is the most obvious listed beneficiary of institutions being allowed to plug in.
  • The insider and executive signals are mixed at best: Chief Legal Officer Paul Grewal, the face of Coinbase's SEC wins, resigned on July 6, and director Fred Wilson sold about $1.6M — losing a fighter-litigator and a founder-tier board sale in the same week is not the setup a bounce wants.
  • The tape is at capitulation-shaped levels: the stock sits in the bottom 6% of its 52-week range, 8.6% below its 50-day and 29% below its 200-day, but with volume well below normal — that shape is coiling near a floor, not distributing off a top.

The $173 neckline the X community is circling is the level that matters: a reclaim with a hot bitcoin backdrop into the July 30 Q2 earnings restarts a real second-half narrative; another fail there ships the stock back to the $130s and turns coiling into stalled.

Agrees with X sentimentThe X mixed read is honest: bulls on the Clarity Act and the H&S bottom are correct in direction, and bears on the Grewal exit and weak volumes are correct in timing — nothing here justifies a strong directional call before the July 30 print.

What to watch: Whether $173 is reclaimed and held before or on the July 30 Q2 earnings release — that plus a sequential trading-revenue reacceleration is the setup that ends the coil upward; failure at $173 plus a soft print sends the stock back to $130.

On the calendar: 2026-07-30 — Q2 2026 earnings

float missingbeta missing

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment47 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-18

Coinbase is being framed by traders as forming a multi-quarter inverse head-and-shoulders bottom on the daily chart, needing to reclaim the $165-173 neckline, with the setup aligning with a bullish Meridian signal on Bitcoin. William Blair kept an Outperform citing the worst of the crypto trading slump likely near, and bulls emphasize incoming CLARITY Act regulation as a structural tailwind that could make Coinbase and Kraken an effective 2027 oligopoly for EU and global capital rotation. The company's Chief Policy Officer publicly supported CLARITY as strengthening consumer protection. Bears cite an ongoing feud over H1B visas, product deterioration, and one loud short thesis calling COIN a Don't Buy at $170. Overall tone tilts bullish as the community treats the current $150-165 zone as accumulation into the CLARITY Act catalyst.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $COIN

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Operates the largest US cryptocurrency exchange and provides custody, staking, and institutional trading infrastructure.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $COIN.

Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges · Financial Services

No material change from last week — COIN's Kalshi acquisition and Bitcoin ETF expansion validate a new institutional market structure for digital assets.

What this means for $COIN

Neutral — Operates the largest US cryptocurrency exchange and provides custody, staking, and institutional trading infrastructure; the institutional crypto ETF expansion and retail trading volume does not materially affect this business's near-term earnings.

Industry benchmark

6-name peer basket
-4.0%YTD
-4.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
50.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
0.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
0.4%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
7.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
6.9Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
5.7%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
75.9%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.6Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 7, 2026$-1.49$0.06-2436.2%
Q4 2025Feb 12, 2026$-2.49$0.99-350.5%
Q3 2025Oct 30, 2025$1.44$1.20+20.0%
Q2 2025Jul 31, 2025$0.12$1.25-90.4%
Next earningsThu, Jul 30·consensus EPS $0.06

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$1.4B-30.5%69.7%1.0%$-1.49$182.7M
Q4 FY25$1.0B-54.6%71.9%-43.1%$-2.49$3.1B
Q3 FY25$1.9B+55.1%86.4%25.7%$1.65$-784.5M
Q2 FY25$1.5B+3.3%71.5%-1.6%$5.60$328.5M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 24 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$6.1B$5.5B – $6.3B$0.52$0.31 – $1.0224
FY27$7.7B$6.5B – $8.8B$5.03$2.04 – $8.4723
FY28$8.8B$8.6B – $9.1B$6.43$1.58 – $9.1710
FY29$8.9B$7.5B – $11.2B$6.39$5.14 – $8.595
FY30$7.7B$6.6B – $9.8B$1.25$1.01 – $1.685

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.6%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-8.6%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-29.5%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 219.3M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.9% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β3.355-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJul 1Frederick R WilsonDirector10.0K sh$1.6MSellJun 5Jennifer N. JonesChief Accounting Officer2.1K sh$324KSellMay 27Paul GrewalChief Legal Officer2.0K sh$347KSellMay 22Lawrence J BrockChief People Officer1.5K sh$284KSellMay 15Alesia J HaasCFO9.8K sh$2.0MSellApr 16Alesia J HaasCFO10.0K sh$2.0MSellMar 16Alesia J HaasCFO9.9K sh$2.0MSellMar 4Alesia J HaasCFO10.0K sh$2.0MSellFeb 27Paul GrewalChief Legal Officer1.3K sh$230KSellFeb 24Jennifer N. JonesChief Accounting Officer440 sh$67K
1–10 of 11
+ 38 other (18 exempts · 11 inkinds · 9 awards) in window

See when $COIN insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 98-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Coinbase Global disclosed that Chief Legal Officer Paul Grewal has resigned effective July 6, 2026, and the company expects to appoint Molly Abraham as General Counsel to succeed him. Grewal's departure comes after years of high-profile legal battles defending Coinbase against SEC enforcement actions. The transition to an internal successor suggests continuity in Coinbase's legal strategy. Grewal's experience as a former federal judge and his public advocacy in crypto legal battles will be difficult to replace.

8-KShareholder voteJun 188-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Coinbase (COIN) held its 2026 Annual Meeting on June 16, 2026 and filed an 8-K reporting routine director election and proposal vote results (Item 5.07). No extraordinary governance changes were disclosed.

8-KRestructuring / exit costsMay 58-K — Item 2.05: Restructuring / exit costs
AI summary

COIN filed an 8-K (other items) dated 2026-05-05. 0001679788 FALSE 0001679788 2026-05-05 2026-05-05 UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549 FORM 8-K CURRENT REPORT Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): May 5, 2026 Coinbase Global, Inc. A separation or divestiture could be material to valuation.

8-KOfficer or director changeApr 108-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

COIN disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-04-10). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

+ 11 other (3 13Gs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys · 1 10-Q) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Japan's Crypto Overhaul Could Open the Door to a Wave of Institutional Moneymarketbeat.com·3d agoCoinbase Just Joined a 140-Company Stablecoin Alliance. Here's What It Means for the Stock.fool.com·3d agoCoinbase Announces Date of Second Quarter 2026 Financial Resultsbusinesswire.com·3d agoCONY Shareholders Lost 56.25% While Paying Tax on Their Own Money Back247wallst.com·3d agoCoinbase, Circle stocks climb as analysts see Bitcoin-linked upsideinvezz.com·4d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Crypto Equity PlaysStablecoins & Tokenization

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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