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CICIAFF

Champion Iron Limited

$CIAFF·$1.4B·Steel·Basic Materials
$2.44-1.6%YTD-35.4%1Y-11.3%
Mentions · last 7 days
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Price updated 17d ago·X counts updated 18d ago
CICIAFF
$CIAFFChampion Iron Limited
$2.44-1.61%1 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $CIAFF, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-08-13

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

Canadian high-grade iron-ore pure-play cut in half from the highs on price-cycle mean-reversion.

Champion Iron is a Canadian iron-ore producer whose flagship Bloom Lake asset ships high-grade (65%+ Fe) concentrate, a premium product tied to steelmaker decarbonization demand.

  • Stock -35% YTD, -12% t12m, at 6% of the 52-week range — a classic commodity-price mean-reversion drawdown after a strong 2024-25 run.
  • Q4 FY26 revenue $415M (-3% YoY, -12% sequential); Q1 FY26 (Jun-25) EPS -$0.04 vs $0.003 est (surprise magnitude nonsensical because the base was near zero); op margin dropped to 14% from 27% two quarters ago.
  • FCF yield ~1%, EV/EBITDA 6.0, D/E 0.7 — the balance sheet is fine but consensus FY26 EPS $0.32 vs an actual TTM run-rate below that suggests the sell-side has to come down.
  • Consensus FY27 revenue $1.97B assumes an iron-ore price recovery that has not yet arrived.

Direction depends more on China steel demand and 65%-vs-62% grade spread than any Champion-specific catalyst; not a fundamentals-first setup at these prices.

What to watch: Q1 FY27 print 2026-10-29 (realized-price vs benchmark spread, ship-out volumes, unit costs); iron-ore basis 65-vs-62% Fe grade spread and China mill utilization.

On the calendar: 2026-10-29

x sentiment missing

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Canadian iron ore producer at the Bloom Lake Mine shipping high-grade concentrate to steel mills.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Steel sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $CIAFF.

Steel · Basic Materials

Infrastructure spending and reshoring of domestic manufacturing are the demand anchors; tariff protection on imports supports US producer pricing. Electric arc furnace operators benefit from scrap feedstock flexibility vs integrated mills.

What this means for $CIAFF

Partial — Canadian iron ore producer at the Bloom Lake Mine shipping high-grade concentrate to steel mills; partial earnings exposure to steel demand dynamics through its product portfolio.

Top industry ETF

$SLXVanEck Steel ETF
+26.6%YTD
+52.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
13.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
5.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
17.6%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
1.3%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
11.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
23.1%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.7Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 30, 2026$-0.04$0.00-1329.1%
Q1 2026May 28, 2026$0.03$0.04-23.0%
Q4 2025Jan 28, 2026$0.08$0.07+18.5%
Q3 2025Oct 29, 2025$0.08$0.07+21.7%
Next earningsThu, Oct 29·consensus EPS $0.02

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q4 FY26$414.5M-2.5%20.6%13.6%$0.04$60.8M
Q3 FY26$472.4M+30.1%29.6%23.5%$0.12$-5.4M
Q2 FY26$504.4M+43.7%31.3%26.9%$0.11$8.3M
Q1 FY26$390.0M-16.5%7.5%2.7%$0.04$-33.6M

Forward consensus

6-year forecast · up to 11 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$1.7B$1.7B – $1.8B$0.32$0.27 – $0.3811
FY27$2.0B$1.6B – $2.2B$0.28$0.21 – $0.329
FY28$2.1B$1.7B – $2.4B$0.48$0.36 – $0.559
FY29$2.1B$1.7B – $2.3B$0.47$0.35 – $0.544
FY30$2.1B$1.7B – $2.3B$0.47$0.35 – $0.544
FY31$1.6B$1.3B – $1.8B$0.03$0.02 – $0.033

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.4×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.4%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-10.7%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-29.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 381.3M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.605-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.ListedOTCListed on an over-the-counter market (PNK / OTCQB / OTCQX), not a major exchange. Lower disclosure requirements and thinner liquidity.

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Champion Iron Limited (CIA:CA) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·95d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $CIAFF on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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