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CMCMC

Commercial Metals Company

$CMC·$7.3B·Steel·Basic Materials
$61.96-3.9%YTD-8.0%1Y+12.5%
Price updated just now·X counts updated 2d ago
CMCMC
$CMCCommercial Metals Company
$61.96-3.92%476 posts0.9×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $CMC on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

476X posts · last 7 days
Sep 11Sep 27
Chatter Meter
0.9×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $CMC's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-14

$CMC chatter mixes Commercial Metals, where an auto-trade platform bought shares at $62.28 framed as a rotation into cheap, catalyzed relative strength while broader tape is risk-off, and a Solana-based $CMC memecoin whose community argues the token should be trading near 2M market cap and speculates on a Giko-style all-time-high run. Both strands read constructively as accumulation setups.

Read what X is saying about $CMC

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $CMC — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-09-29

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

US steel long-cycle beneficiary trading at 13x earnings — infrastructure catch-up is the whole trade.

Commercial Metals is the rebar and structural steel producer geared to US infrastructure and non-residential construction. Between IRA spending, data-center buildouts and the reshoring cycle, its end-market backdrop keeps improving even as the stock has stayed range-bound.

The pieces that matter:

  • Revenue is quietly accelerating: Q3 revenue grew 23% YoY to $2.48B with 9% operating margin — real volume growth off end-market strength, and the four-quarter EPS beat cadence has been consistent (three beats in four quarters).
  • The valuation is genuinely cheap: 13x TTM PE and 5.3% FCF yield at a 14% ROE — this is a real cash-generating steel producer priced like a scrap-market laggard, with fresh officer additions (Doucet as SVP+CCO) signaling incremental confidence.
  • The tape is stuck near its 200-day: -8% YTD despite growing earnings, sitting at 35% of 52-week range — that gap between fundamentals and price is the setup, and the Oct 15 print is the catalyst that decides which resolves.

The bull path is Q4 FY26 (consensus $1.96 EPS) showing continued volume growth and rebar-mill utilization above 90%. The bear path is a soft-guide 2027 that names China-import risk or nonresidential construction softness. What restarts the tape: any hint of TAG program acceleration or data-center-related rebar demand.

What to watch: Oct 15 Q4 FY26 print (consensus $1.96 EPS) — mill utilization, rebar-shipment volumes and FY27 guide. Data-center or infrastructure-specific commentary is the potential re-rating trigger.

On the calendar: 2026-10-15 — Q4 FY26 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $CMC

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Steel and metal products manufacturer and recycler supplying rebar, wire rod, and fabricated products to U.S. and European construction markets.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Steel sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $CMC.

Steel · Basic Materials

No material change from last week — Hot-rolled coil futures near $1,222/ton sustains EAF mini-mill margin expansion.

What this means for $CMC

Neutral — Steel and metal products manufacturer and recycler supplying rebar, wire rod, and fabricated products to U.S. and European construction markets.

Top industry ETF

$SLXVanEck Steel ETF
+21.4%YTD
+43.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
12.9How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
8.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
9.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
5.3%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.9Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
13.6%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
18.6%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.8Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Jun 25, 2026$1.73$1.70+1.8%
Q4 2025Mar 26, 2026$1.16$1.28-9.4%
Q4 2025Jan 8, 2026$1.84$1.55+18.7%
Q3 2025Oct 16, 2025$1.37$1.35+1.5%
Next earningsThu, Oct 15·consensus EPS $1.96

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q3 FY26$2.5B+22.9%18.3%9.4%$1.56$76.4M
Q2 FY26$2.1B+21.5%18.2%7.3%$0.83$43.6M
Q1 FY26$2.1B+11.0%19.2%10.0%$1.60$78.8M
Q4 FY25$2.1B+5.9%18.6%10.1%$1.36$206.3M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 8 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$9.3B$9.2B – $9.3B$6.37$6.03 – $6.598
FY27$10.0B$9.7B – $10.5B$7.21$6.24 – $7.718
FY28$10.2B$9.8B – $10.5B$6.93$5.94 – $8.836
FY29$7.8B$7.5B – $8.1B$5.69$5.39 – $6.033

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.35%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-6.3%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-8.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 109.5M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.8% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.525-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyAug 13John R McphersonDirector1.4K sh$100KBuyJul 10Peter R MattCEO8.2K sh$504K
+ 14 other (13 awards · 1 inkind) in window

See when $CMC insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsAug 243
AI summary

Commercial Metals Company (CMC) filed a Form 3 initial beneficial ownership statement for Michael Doucet, SVP EBG & Chief Communications Officer, as of August 19, 2026, at 6565 N. MacArthur Blvd., Suite 800, Irving TX. The filing establishes Doucet's initial equity ownership baseline as a new Section 16 reporting officer. Routine officer filing for the global steel and metal products manufacturer.

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 58-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

CMC made a Regulation FD disclosure to provide material information simultaneously to all market participants. The disclosure relates to and the Presentation. The full disclosure is attached as Exhibit 99.1. Reg FD prevents selective disclosure of material non-public information; investor presentations and press releases are commonly furnished under Item 7.01 for fair access by all CMC investors.

8-KPress release / Reg FDJun 258-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Commercial Metals Company issued its Q3 fiscal year 2026 financial results on June 25, 2026. The results are contained in an attached Exhibit 99.1 press release with no financial figures visible in the excerpt. Body unavailable — earnings figures are in the attached press release, not in the body of the 8-K.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 233
AI summary

Michael R. Dumais joined Commercial Metals Company's board of directors effective June 23, 2026, and directly owns 8,000 shares of CMC common stock. Routine initial Section 16 disclosure; the 8,000-share pre-existing ownership reflects Dumais's personal investment in this NYSE-listed steel products company prior to his appointment.

8-KOfficer or director changeApr 138-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 7 other (4 13Gs · 1 10-Q · 1 routine 8-K · 1 SD) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

CMC Announces Fourth Quarter and Full Year Fiscal 2026 Conference Call Webcast Detailsprnewswire.com·8d agoWill TAG Program Drive Commercial Metals' Next Phase of Growth?zacks.com·11d agoLincoln Tech's WorkforceLinc Division Expands Collaboration with CMCglobenewswire.com·11d agoHsbc Holdings PLC Has $662,000 Stock Holdings in Commercial Metals Company $CMCdefenseworld.net·15d agoCommercial Metals Company $CMC Shares Acquired by California State Teachers Retirement Systemdefenseworld.net·15d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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