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STSTLD

Steel Dynamics, Inc.

$STLD·$36B·Steel·Basic Materials
$234.66-0.5%YTD+54.5%1Y+78.4%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-20: 9 posts2026-08-21: 4 posts2026-08-22: 6 posts2026-08-23: 7 posts55+9%
Price updated 2d ago·X counts updated 7d ago
STSTLD
$STLDSteel Dynamics, Inc.
$234.67-0.50%55 posts+9%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $STLD, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-30

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Steel Dynamics +78% TTM on Trump 50% Canada tariff — Q2 net income +76% YoY, $231-$233 support with $243 breakout target.

Steel Dynamics is a $36B US steel producer. Riding the tariff-driven trade-war rally — Trump raising Canada tariffs to 50% effective Jan 1 2027, trade talks collapsed.

How it reads:

  • Growth is real: Q1 revenue +19.1% YoY to $5.2B, Q4 was -1.5% — the pace flipped as tariffs re-price domestic steel.
  • Margins are cycle-normalizing: 9.4% operating margin, 1.7% FCF yield — mid-cycle for a US steel producer.
  • Valuation reflects the tariff-lock premium: 28.3x PE, 2x sales, 17.4x EV/EBITDA on 9% ROIC — priced for continued tariff walls.
  • Position is elevated: 67th percentile 52w, 3.3% below 50-day, 12.7% above 200-day on 53% baseline volume — pulling back within the uptrend.
  • The specific tell: Q2 net income surged to $530.8M from $301.2M YoY (+76%) — the Q2 print already showed the pricing power.
  • Aug 24 US-Canada trade talks collapse plus Canada retaliation Sept 8 — the tariff catalyst is confirmed and dated.
  • Insider signal is quiet: one A-Award only — no distribution cluster, no P-Purchase.

The Oct 19 print is the test — reiterated FY27 EPS $5.41 estimate plus specific commentary on Q3 pricing and Canadian tariff impact extends the momentum; a Q3 volume miss or a tariff-schedule delay drops to $215 support.

Agrees with X sentimentAgree — the bullish anchors (Trump raising Canada tariffs to 50% Jan 1 2027, US-Canada trade talks collapse plus Canada retaliation Sept 8, STLD Q2 net income surged to $530.8M from $301.2M, tariff-basket rally with NUE/CLF/RS, $231-233 support with $243 breakout target) map to real signals; the honest add is the current $234 already prices the tariff lock.

What to watch: Oct 19 earnings — reiterated FY27 EPS $5.41 estimate plus specific commentary on Q3 pricing and Canadian tariff impact extends the momentum; a Q3 volume miss or a tariff-schedule delay drops to $215 support.

On the calendar: 2026-10-19 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment7 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-29

Steel Dynamics chatter is decisively bullish. Trump raising Canada tariffs to 50% Jan 1 2027, US-Canada trade talks collapse (Canada retaliation Sept 8), and STLD Q2 net income surged to $530.8M from $301.2M YoY. STLD posted its best day since April +4.4%, and grouped with NUE/CLF/RS in tariff-basket rally. Traders holding $231-$233 support with $239/$243 breakout targets.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $STLD

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  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Operates U.S. electric arc furnace mini-mills for flat-rolled and structural steel, with metals recycling and downstream fabrication.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Steel sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $STLD.

Steel · Basic Materials

No material change from last week — domestic content requirements in US infrastructure spending favor NUE and STLD over imported steel.

What this means for $STLD

Partial — Operates U.S. electric arc furnace mini-mills for flat-rolled and structural steel, with metals recycling and downstream fabrication; partial earnings exposure to steel demand dynamics through its product portfolio.

Top industry ETF

$SLXVanEck Steel ETF
+26.6%YTD
+52.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
28.3How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
9.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
9.4%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
1.7%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
15.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
14.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 20, 2026$3.69$3.63+1.7%
Q1 2026Apr 22, 2026$2.78$2.84-2.1%
Q4 2025Jan 26, 2026$1.82$1.70+7.1%
Q3 2025Oct 20, 2025$2.74$2.63+4.2%
Next earningsMon, Oct 19·consensus EPS $5.41

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$5.2B+19.1%14.7%11.3%$2.79$10.3M
Q4 FY25$4.4B+14.0%11.8%7.0%$1.83$84.2M
Q3 FY25$4.8B+11.2%15.7%10.5%$2.75$556.9M
Q2 FY25$4.6B-1.5%13.5%8.4%$2.00$13.3M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 7 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$23.5B$21.4B – $24.9B$16.63$15.50 – $18.377
FY27$23.6B$20.6B – $26.2B$19.33$17.62 – $21.277
FY28$23.8B$21.7B – $25.4B$18.55$14.55 – $24.067
FY29$23.4B$21.0B – $25.1B$14.88$12.94 – $16.273

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.5×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.67%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-3.3%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+12.7%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 133.6M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.5% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.535-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 5Anderson James StanleyPresident10.0K sh$2.7MSellMay 13Christopher A GrahamPresident9.0K sh$2.1MSellMay 12Richard A PoinsattePresident2.3K sh$538KSellApr 23Miguel AlvarezPresident4.8K sh$1.1MSellApr 23Kenneth W. CornewDirector5.0K sh$1.1M
+ 41 other (31 awards · 8 inkinds · 2 gifts) in window

See when $STLD insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-K/AOfficer or director change (amended)Aug 188-K/A — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Steel Dynamics (STLD) filed an 8-K/A (Amendment No. 1) on August 3, 2026's original 8-K under Item 5.02 (Director/Officer Change). The amendment supplements or corrects an earlier executive or director disclosure — typically to add compensation details, an employment agreement exhibit, or clarify departure terms that were not available at the time of the original filing. Steel Dynamics is a leading U.S. steel producer with integrated scrap-based electric arc furnace operations and a growing aluminum segment. Leadership continuity is important for the company's capital allocation strategy and its aluminum capacity expansion initiative. Investors should compare this amendment against the August 3 original for the specific correction or addition.

8-KOfficer or director changeAug 48-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

STLD filed an 8-K (Item 5.02) reporting a director or officer change. not to u is involved in the change. The role noted: Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory . This is primarily an administrative disclosure; materiality depends on the seniority of the role and whether it reflects a strategic shift.

8-KPress release / Reg FDJun 188-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Indiana 0-21719 35-1929476 furnished a Reg FD disclosure covering: hange on which registered Common Stock voting, $0.0025 par value STLD NASDAQ Global Select Market Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ¨ If an emerging growth company, indica.

8-KShareholder voteMay 88-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

STLD held its Annual Meeting of stockholders around 2026-05-08 (8-K Item 5.07). The meeting was adjourned, likely due to insufficient quorum. Routine governance event — monitor for unusually high withhold votes as an activist signal.

8-KOfficer or director changeMar 278-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

STLD disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-03-27). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMar 188-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

STLD filed an 8-K Item 7.01 (Reg FD) disclosure dated 2026-03-18. Reg FD disclosures make material information simultaneously available to all investors; content may include guidance updates, strategic plans, or preliminary results.

+ 13 other (4 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Steel Dynamics (STLD) Gains As Market Dips: What You Should Knowzacks.com·4d agoIs Steel Dynamics (STLD) a Buy as Wall Street Analysts Look Optimistic?zacks.com·5d agoNucor, Steel Dynamics, Cleveland-Cliffs stocks rise as US-Canada trade talks failinvezz.com·7d agoWhy Steel Dynamics (STLD) is a Top Value Stock for the Long-Termzacks.com·7d agoSteel Stocks Jump as U.S.-Canada Tariff Fight Escalatesbarrons.com·7d ago

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Voices on X · top 6 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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