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STSTLD

Steel Dynamics, Inc.

$STLD·$33B·Steel·Basic Materials
$233.35-0.3%YTD+36.0%1Y+75.2%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-08: 4 posts2026-07-09: 4 posts2026-07-10: 8 posts2026-07-11: 1 posts2026-07-12: 5 posts2026-07-13: 5 posts2026-07-14: 3 posts30+4%
Price updated 5h ago·X counts updated 5h ago
STSTLD
$STLDSteel Dynamics, Inc.
$233.35-0.34%30 posts+4%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $STLD, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-07-13

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Steel Dynamics up 66% in 12 months as US steel cycle turn accelerates — July 20 earnings, Zacks Top-Ranked Value Stock.

Steel Dynamics is a major US steel producer/recycler/fabricator (Steel Operations, Metal Recycling, Steel Fabrication segments) — the +66% 12M move captures the US steel cycle turn driven by infrastructure and reshoring demand.

  • The Q1 print confirmed the cycle acceleration — revenue $5.20B up 19% YoY with 15% gross margin and 11.3% operating margin, EPS $2.79 vs $2.84 estimate (-2.1% surprise); the small miss offset by strong revenue growth acceleration (Q1 +19% vs Q4 +14%, Q3 +11%, Q2 -1.5%).
  • The sell-side flow supports the setup — Zacks 'Top-Ranked Value Stock: Should You Buy?' plus MarketBeat 'These 3 Cash-Flow Stocks Give Investors More Than Just Growth Potential' captures the value-plus-growth-plus-yield framing; the July 20 print catalyst is the near-term validator.
  • The analyst curve is a clean cycle-peak — FY26 revenue $22.6B with $16.21 EPS, FY27 $23.1B/$18.95 (cycle-peak year), FY28 $23.4B/$18.36, FY29 $22.9B/$13.19 (cycle-normalization) — the ~12x forward earnings multiple already reflects cycle-peak sensitivity.
  • The technical framing is constructive — X sample flagged the 'NUE, GGB, STLD steel trio breakout' pattern with a +46% 5-week trader capture from May 11; combined with GuruFocus 88/100 GF Score (though flagged overvalued) captures the momentum-plus-quality profile.

July 20 is the pivot — a beat on $3.66 EPS estimate plus reaffirming the mid-teens revenue growth trajectory and specific tariff-benefit commentary extends the +66% 12M cycle-driven move; a miss combined with any US steel-tariff-easing headline digests STLD back toward the 50-day at $226. Cycle-peak sensitivity means every macro data point matters into 2H.

Agrees with X sentimentAgree with the constructive X read — the 'NUE, GGB, STLD steel trio' technical-pattern breakout framing captures the correct sector-momentum set, and the +46% 5-week trader capture reflects real cycle-driven earnings-power expansion; the honest counter is GuruFocus 88/100 GF Score flagged as overvalued and the FY29 EPS forecast dropping to $13.19 from FY27's $18.95 (explicit cycle-normalization).

What to watch: July 20 Q2 print — a beat on $3.66 estimate plus reaffirming mid-teens revenue growth and tariff-benefit commentary extends the +66% 12M cycle-driven move; a miss combined with any US steel-tariff-easing headline digests STLD toward the 50-day at $226.

On the calendar: 2026-07-20 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment8 posts analyzed · as of 2026-05-11

Steel Dynamics broke out from a tight technical base, part of a steel trio (NUE, GGB, STLD) flagged by community as executing 'beautiful' technical patterns; one community member sold for a +46% gain in 5 weeks but views the setup as a reliable breakout framework.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $STLD

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Operates U.S. electric arc furnace mini-mills for flat-rolled and structural steel, with metals recycling and downstream fabrication.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Steel sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $STLD.

Steel · Basic Materials

No material change from last week — domestic content requirements in US infrastructure spending favor NUE and STLD over imported steel.

What this means for $STLD

Partial — electric arc furnace mini-mills for flat-rolled and structural steel, with metals recycling and downstream fabrication; the domestic content requirements favoring mini-mills in US infrastructure spend is a secondary rather than primary near-term earnings catalyst.

Top industry ETF

$SLXVanEck Steel ETF
+18.1%YTD
+43.9%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
28.3How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
9.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
9.4%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
1.7%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
15.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
14.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 22, 2026$2.78$2.84-2.1%
Q4 2025Jan 26, 2026$1.82$1.70+7.1%
Q3 2025Oct 20, 2025$2.74$2.63+4.2%
Q2 2025Jul 21, 2025$2.01$2.24-10.3%
Next earningsMon, Jul 20·consensus EPS $3.62

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$5.2B+19.1%14.7%11.3%$2.79$10.3M
Q4 FY25$4.4B+14.0%11.8%7.0%$1.83$84.2M
Q3 FY25$4.8B+11.2%15.7%10.5%$2.75$556.9M
Q2 FY25$4.6B-1.5%13.5%8.4%$2.00$13.3M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 8 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$22.6B$20.6B – $23.8B$16.21$15.29 – $18.218
FY27$23.1B$20.3B – $24.5B$18.95$17.71 – $21.387
FY28$23.4B$23.3B – $23.4B$18.36$14.53 – $22.346
FY29$22.9B$20.4B – $24.3B$13.19$11.32 – $14.275

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.67%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-5.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+21.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 134.4M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.7% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.545-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 5Anderson James StanleyPresident10.0K sh$2.7MSellMay 13Christopher A GrahamPresident9.0K sh$2.1MSellMay 12Richard A PoinsattePresident2.3K sh$538KSellApr 23Miguel AlvarezPresident4.8K sh$1.1MSellApr 23Kenneth W. CornewDirector5.0K sh$1.1M
+ 44 other (24 awards · 19 inkinds · 1 gift) in window

See when $STLD insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDJun 188-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Indiana 0-21719 35-1929476 furnished a Reg FD disclosure covering: hange on which registered Common Stock voting, $0.0025 par value STLD NASDAQ Global Select Market Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ¨ If an emerging growth company, indica.

8-KShareholder voteMay 88-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

STLD held its Annual Meeting of stockholders around 2026-05-08 (8-K Item 5.07). The meeting was adjourned, likely due to insufficient quorum. Routine governance event — monitor for unusually high withhold votes as an activist signal.

8-KOfficer or director changeMar 278-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

STLD disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-03-27). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMar 188-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

STLD filed an 8-K Item 7.01 (Reg FD) disclosure dated 2026-03-18. Reg FD disclosures make material information simultaneously available to all investors; content may include guidance updates, strategic plans, or preliminary results.

8-KPress release / Reg FDFeb 178-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 12 other (3 13Gs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys · 1 SD) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Steel Dynamics (STLD) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Releasezacks.com·2d agoSteel Dynamics (STLD) is a Top-Ranked Value Stock: Should You Buy?zacks.com·5d agoSteel Dynamics (STLD) Stock Drops Despite Market Gains: Important Facts to Notezacks.com·5d agoSteel Dynamics Announces Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call and Webcastprnewswire.com·6d agoThese 3 Cash-Flow Stocks Give Investors More Than Just Growth Potentialmarketbeat.com·7d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $STLD on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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