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STSTLD

Steel Dynamics, Inc.

$STLD·$34B·Steel·Basic Materials
$240.76-0.9%YTD+29.3%1Y+64.8%
Price updated 11h ago·X counts updated 4d ago
STSTLD
$STLDSteel Dynamics, Inc.
$240.76-0.89%98 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $STLD on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

98X posts · last 7 days
Sep 28Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $STLD's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data7 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-30

Steel Dynamics posters are decisively upbeat after Trump's threat to raise Canadian steel tariffs to 50% starting January 2027 and the collapse of trade talks sent the sector higher. Chart traders describe relative strength near $233 and treat a break of $235 as the trigger for $239-$243. A Q2 recap flags net income climbing to $530.8M from $301.2M year-over-year with vertical integration and expanding recycled-aluminum shipments as durable supports.

Read what X is saying about $STLD

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $STLD — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Driven by hypeAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-10-03

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Steel Dynamics up 29% YTD on the Trump Canadian-tariff narrative — the trade is working, now the Q3 print has to confirm.

Steel Dynamics has been one of the clear beneficiaries of the Trump administration's Canadian steel tariff posture — the threat to lift tariffs to 50% starting January 2027 plus the collapse of trade talks has reset the sector mood.

  • Four consecutive quarterly EPS beats of -2% to +7% and revenue growth of 11-19% YoY — Q2 revenue of $6.1B was 10% above the $5.56B estimate, confirming the sector's spot-price environment is translating to earnings.
  • The September 18 Q3 pre-announcement 8-K (filed under Reg FD) is the near-term tell — management's own guidance into the October 19 print will tell the sell-side whether the current forward multiple of 13-14x fiscal 2026 EPS of $17.25 is too generous or too modest.
  • Sell-side 2027 EPS of $20.07 against today's $232 gives a forward multiple of 11.6x — not expensive if tariffs land and spot prices hold, but 2028 EPS of $18.46 shows the cycle is modeled to roll over by year-two.

At 62% of the 52-week range the stock still has room to the prior highs if the Q3 print and the tariff timeline both land favorably; the risk is a weaker-than-expected Q3 or any sign the January 2027 tariff is being negotiated down.

Agrees with X sentimentX is bullish on the Trump tariff posture and the chart break of $235 as the trigger for $239-243; the TickerTalks read agrees the thesis is working but is more cautious given the Q3 pre-announcement timing and the 2028 EPS roll-over in consensus.

What to watch: October 19 Q3 earnings against the September 18 pre-announcement; any update on the Trump January 2027 Canadian steel tariff timeline; US-Canada trade negotiation status.

On the calendar: Q3 earnings scheduled 2026-10-19

Read the AI verdict on $STLD

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Operates U.S. electric arc furnace mini-mills for flat-rolled and structural steel, with metals recycling and downstream fabrication.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Steel sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $STLD.

Steel · Basic Materials

No material change from last week — Hot-rolled coil futures near $1,222/ton sustains EAF mini-mill margin expansion.

What this means for $STLD

Partial — Operates U.S. electric arc furnace mini-mills for flat-rolled and structural steel, with metals recycling and downstream fabrication.

Top industry ETF

$SLXVanEck Steel ETF
+19.2%YTD
+36.1%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
28.3How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
9.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
9.4%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
1.7%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
15.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
14.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 20, 2026$3.69$3.63+1.7%
Q1 2026Apr 22, 2026$2.78$2.84-2.1%
Q4 2025Jan 26, 2026$1.82$1.70+7.1%
Q3 2025Oct 20, 2025$2.74$2.63+4.2%
Next earningsMon, Oct 19·consensus EPS $5.48

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$5.2B+19.1%14.7%11.3%$2.79$10.3M
Q4 FY25$4.4B+14.0%11.8%7.0%$1.83$84.2M
Q3 FY25$4.8B+11.2%15.7%10.5%$2.75$556.9M
Q2 FY25$4.6B-1.5%13.5%8.4%$2.00$13.3M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 8 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$23.8B$22.6B – $24.9B$17.25$16.28 – $18.438
FY27$24.2B$21.6B – $26.9B$20.07$17.51 – $22.418
FY28$24.0B$21.8B – $25.9B$18.46$14.34 – $23.727
FY29$23.5B$21.5B – $25.2B$14.64$13.00 – $16.053

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.0×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.68%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+0.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+9.5%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 133.6M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.7% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.495-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 5Anderson James StanleyPresident10.0K sh$2.7MSellMay 13Christopher A GrahamPresident9.0K sh$2.1MSellMay 12Richard A PoinsattePresident2.3K sh$538KSellApr 23Miguel AlvarezPresident4.8K sh$1.1MSellApr 23Kenneth W. CornewDirector5.0K sh$1.1M
+ 25 other (22 awards · 2 gifts · 1 inkind) in window

See when $STLD insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDSep 188-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Steel Dynamics (STLD) issued a Reg FD press release on September 17, 2026 providing Q3 2026 earnings guidance. The specific guidance figures are in the attached Exhibit 99.1 and not captured in the body excerpt. Routine pre-announcement filing; the exhibit content will drive investor reaction depending on whether guidance implies expansion or compression vs. Q2.

8-K/AOfficer or director change (amended)Aug 188-K/A — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Steel Dynamics (STLD) filed an 8-K/A (Amendment No. 1) on August 3, 2026's original 8-K under Item 5.02 (Director/Officer Change). The amendment supplements or corrects an earlier executive or director disclosure — typically to add compensation details, an employment agreement exhibit, or clarify departure terms that were not available at the time of the original filing. Steel Dynamics is a leading U.S. steel producer with integrated scrap-based electric arc furnace operations and a growing aluminum segment. Leadership continuity is important for the company's capital allocation strategy and its aluminum capacity expansion initiative. Investors should compare this amendment against the August 3 original for the specific correction or addition.

8-KOfficer or director changeAug 48-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

STLD filed an 8-K (Item 5.02) reporting a director or officer change. not to u is involved in the change. The role noted: Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory . This is primarily an administrative disclosure; materiality depends on the seniority of the role and whether it reflects a strategic shift.

8-KPress release / Reg FDJun 188-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Indiana 0-21719 35-1929476 furnished a Reg FD disclosure covering: hange on which registered Common Stock voting, $0.0025 par value STLD NASDAQ Global Select Market Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ¨ If an emerging growth company, indica.

8-KShareholder voteMay 88-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

STLD held its Annual Meeting of stockholders around 2026-05-08 (8-K Item 5.07). The meeting was adjourned, likely due to insufficient quorum. Routine governance event — monitor for unusually high withhold votes as an activist signal.

+ 9 other (3 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 1 routine 8-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Cleveland-Cliffs Drops 4% as Tariff Doubt Returns; Nucor and Steel Dynamics Slip247wallst.com·18h agoSteel Dynamics (STLD) Q3 Earnings on the Horizon: Analysts' Insights on Key Performance Measureszacks.com·2d agoSteel Dynamics, Inc. (NASDAQ:STLD) Stock Rated “Moderate Buy” by Sell-Side Analystsdefenseworld.net·3d agoTX vs. STLD: Which Stock Should Value Investors Buy Now?zacks.com·4d agoSteel Dynamics (STLD) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growthzacks.com·4d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $STLD on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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