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CLCLF

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.

$CLF·$7.0B·Steel·Basic Materials
$11.62-1.8%YTD-8.9%1Y+6.8%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-21: 35 posts2026-08-22: 13 posts2026-08-23: 9 posts116+10%
Price updated 2d ago·X counts updated 7d ago
CLCLF
$CLFCleveland-Cliffs Inc.
$11.62-1.78%116 posts+10%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $CLF, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-31

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Cleveland-Cliffs — a levered call option on steel prices, EPS misses narrowing, and BlackRock stacking a $523M new position into a tariff-headline bid.

Cleveland-Cliffs is North America's largest flat-rolled steel producer — a highly cyclical business whose equity is essentially a levered call option on hot-rolled coil (HRC) and finished-steel prices. The stock is down 9% YTD but up 7% T12M, coiled around 43% of the 52-week range as tariff-headline flow returns.

  • The revenue picture is bottoming: Q1 revenue grew 6.3% year-over-year to $4.92B after several quarters of declines, gross margins remain slightly negative (-1.7% to -4.4%), and EPS losses have compressed from -$0.97 to -$0.42 across the last four quarters — the shape of a cycle grinding through the trough.
  • The forward EPS trajectory is a real inflection: consensus models FY26 at -$0.27 EPS but FY27 swings to positive $0.76 and FY28 holds at $0.73 — that's the specific number the levered-cyclical bet needs, driven by steel-price recovery plus tariff-protection benefit.
  • The BlackRock $523M new position (Aug 25) is a meaningful anchor: a large long-only allocation at this cap size signals institutional recognition of the trough, and Celso Goncalves Jr's July 24 promotion to President and CFO simultaneously reflects internal succession heading into the recovery cycle.
  • The tariff-headline flow keeps a bid: US steel tariffs are back in the political conversation, and the traders' weekly-chart-setting-up-a-nice-upside-move framing plus gaps to fill into October-November suggests near-term technical setup aligns with fundamental base-forming.

The path if it works is an Oct 19 Q3 print showing EPS crossing back toward breakeven plus continued tariff-supported HRC pricing — the tape breaks the coil upward and the FY27 positive-EPS trajectory becomes credible. What breaks the setup is a Chinese steel-oversupply reprise or a domestic-demand softening tied to housing weakness; that's when a name at 43% of the 52-week range gives back to the $9 area where the pre-trough consolidation held.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish X take — steel-basket traders constructively watching CLF alongside NUE and STLD as the group catches a tariff-headline bid, a weekly candle setting up a nice upside move, gaps to fill into October-November, CNBC final-trade features and afternoon rebel-alert lineups, starter longs flagged — captures the coiled-with-tariff-tailwind setup exactly.

What to watch: The Oct 19 Q3 print — EPS crossing back toward breakeven plus continued tariff-supported HRC pricing breaks the coil upward; a Chinese steel-oversupply reprise or domestic-demand softening tied to housing weakness is what gives back to $9.

On the calendar: 2026-10-19 — Q3 2026 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment7 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-30

Steel-basket traders are constructively watching Cleveland-Cliffs alongside NUE and STLD as the group catches a tariff-headline bid. Chartists describe a weekly candle setting up a nice upside move and see gaps to fill into October-November paired with VG. CNBC final-trade features and afternoon rebel-alert lineups add to the momentum tone, with starter longs already flagged. No bearish counter surfaces in the window.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $CLF

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

North America's largest flat-rolled steel producer supplying automotive-grade and electrical steel to industrial customers.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Steel sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $CLF.

Steel · Basic Materials

Infrastructure spending and reshoring of domestic manufacturing are the demand anchors; tariff protection on imports supports US producer pricing. Electric arc furnace operators benefit from scrap feedstock flexibility vs integrated mills.

What this means for $CLF

Direct beneficiary — steel production revenue tied to tariff-supported domestic pricing and infrastructure-linked demand; EAF flexibility is a cost advantage.

Top industry ETF

$SLXVanEck Steel ETF
+26.6%YTD
+52.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-6.3How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-5.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-6.4%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-12.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.4Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-20.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
-2.8%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 23, 2026$-0.20$-0.21+4.0%
Q1 2026Apr 20, 2026$-0.40$-0.44+9.1%
Q4 2025Feb 9, 2026$-0.43$-0.62+30.6%
Q3 2025Oct 20, 2025$-0.45$-0.48+6.2%
Next earningsMon, Oct 19·consensus EPS $0.25

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$4.9B+6.3%-1.7%-4.2%$-0.42$-477.0M
Q4 FY25$4.3B-0.3%-4.4%-7.5%$-0.49$-153.0M
Q3 FY25$4.7B+3.6%-1.0%-3.7%$-0.51$-300.0M
Q2 FY25$4.9B-3.1%-4.2%-10.1%$-0.97$-67.0M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 7 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$21.2B$19.8B – $21.8B-$0.27-$0.71 – $0.235
FY27$21.8B$20.0B – $23.0B$0.76$0.29 – $1.167
FY28$21.9B$20.9B – $22.5B$0.73$0.43 – $1.126
FY29$22.1B$21.1B – $22.8B$0.94$0.88 – $0.985

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.5×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.43%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+6.3%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+2.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 564.6M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.9% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.125-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 5Celso L GoncalvesCFO214.3K sh$2.9M
+ 13 other (12 awards · 1 inkind) in window

See when $CLF insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 248-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. promoted Celso L. Goncalves Jr. from Executive VP and CFO to President and Chief Financial Officer effective July 21, 2026, simultaneously appointing him to the Board of Directors. Chairman and CEO Lourenco Goncalves relinquishes only the President title. In connection with the promotion, Celso Goncalves' base salary increased from $884,000 to $1,000,000, and his change-in-control severance multiplier was extended from 2 to 3 years. This is an internal leadership restructuring consolidating operational oversight under the CFO; largely administrative in nature.

8-KShareholder voteMay 208-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) filed an 8-K on May 14, 2026 disclosing annual shareholder meeting vote results (Item 5.07). Cleveland-Cliffs is a Cleveland, Ohio-based integrated steel and mining company listed on the NYSE. Annual meeting results are routine governance disclosures.

+ 12 other (4 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Cleveland-Cliffs: A Levered Call Option On Steel Pricesseekingalpha.com·5d agoTariffs Are Back in Focus: 3 Stocks With a Home-Field Advantagemarketbeat.com·5d agoCleveland-Cliffs (CLF) Laps the Stock Market: Here's Whyzacks.com·6d agoBlackRock Inc. Invests $522.77 Million in Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. $CLFdefenseworld.net·6d agoNucor, Steel Dynamics, Cleveland-Cliffs stocks rise as US-Canada trade talks failinvezz.com·7d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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