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CLCLF

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.

$CLF·$5.4B·Steel·Basic Materials
$9.53-3.2%YTD-29.5%1Y+4.3%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-09: 11 posts2026-07-10: 89 posts2026-07-11: 40 posts2026-07-12: 51 posts2026-07-13: 182 posts2026-07-14: 160 posts2026-07-15: 279 posts1,032+30%
Price updated 35m ago·X counts updated 12m ago
CLCLF
$CLFCleveland-Cliffs Inc.
$9.53-3.25%1.0k posts+30%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $CLF, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Comeback attemptWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-07-16

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Cleveland-Cliffs directors adding at $9.42 with fresh call flow — cyclical steel bet into July 23 earnings.

Cleveland-Cliffs is the largest US flat-rolled steel producer — integrated iron-ore mining plus steelmaking, serving the auto and industrial markets. The stock is down 27% YTD as the steel cycle stays soft, but directors just added shares and OTM call flow signals a potential earnings-driven squeeze.

  • Revenue grew 6% YoY to $4.5B last quarter with an operating margin of -4% — the top line is stabilizing but profitability is still deep in the trough; this is a cyclical bet on demand and steel prices, not a fundamental compounder.
  • Trades at 0.41x sales and negative TTM P/E on cyclical losses — the multiple math only makes sense when the cycle turns; the sell-side upgrade to Buy suggests analysts are starting to see the turn.
  • Directors Ron Bloom (127K+ shares) and Jane Cronin (78K+ shares) added 4,200 more at $9.42 on July 2 — real insider accumulation at the lows, which is the kind of alignment signal a cyclical turnaround needs.
  • ~12,500 July 24 $11-$12 short-dated OTM call contracts with no put flow signals speculative squeeze positioning right into July 23 earnings — the setup is asymmetric on any positive tone from management.
  • 52-week position 24th percentile with position vs 200-day MA -15% — the tape has done real damage, but the recent stabilization and insider adds suggest a base may be forming.

July 23 Q2 earnings is where the setup either delivers or extends the drawdown: revenue growth held plus a Q3 EBITDA guide reflecting stable auto-steel demand is what triggers the squeeze; a modest print with cautious guide is where the -27% YTD extends further. Cyclical bet with real insider adds and real call flow — the setup is genuinely asymmetric event-heavy.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish X take on the director adds, the OTM call flow, and the pre-earnings squeeze setup is analytically fair — this is the exact pattern that produces a short-squeeze in cyclical names. The heavy short interest plus insider accumulation is the specific combination that has to be watched.

What to watch: July 23 Q2 earnings — need revenue growth held plus a Q3 EBITDA guide reflecting stable auto-steel demand. A modest print with cautious guide is where -27% YTD extends further.

On the calendar: 2026-07-23 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment6 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-13

Cleveland-Cliffs insiders Ron Bloom (127k+ shares) and Jane Cronin (78k+ shares) added 4,200 more shares at $9.42, and heavy short-dated OTM call buying (roughly 12,500 July 24 $11-$12 strike contracts) hit the tape with no put flow. Earnings arrive in about two weeks and the stock has been heavily shorted over the past seven trading days, setting up a potential squeeze.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $CLF

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

North America's largest flat-rolled steel producer supplying automotive-grade and electrical steel to industrial customers.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Steel sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $CLF.

Steel · Basic Materials

No material change from last week — domestic content requirements in US infrastructure spending favor NUE and STLD over imported steel.

What this means for $CLF

Partial — North America's largest flat-rolled steel producer supplying automotive-grade and electrical steel to industrial customers; the domestic content requirements favoring mini-mills in US infrastructure spend creates tailwinds for one product line, not the full operation.

Top industry ETF

$SLXVanEck Steel ETF
+16.8%YTD
+44.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-6.3How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-5.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-6.4%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-12.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.4Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-20.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
-2.8%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 20, 2026$-0.40$-0.44+9.1%
Q4 2025Feb 9, 2026$-0.43$-0.62+30.6%
Q3 2025Oct 20, 2025$-0.45$-0.48+6.2%
Q2 2025Jul 21, 2025$-0.50$-0.68+26.5%
Next earningsThu, Jul 23·consensus EPS $-0.18

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$4.9B+6.3%-1.7%-4.2%$-0.42$-477.0M
Q4 FY25$4.3B-0.3%-4.4%-7.5%$-0.49$-153.0M
Q3 FY25$4.7B+3.6%-1.0%-3.7%$-0.51$-300.0M
Q2 FY25$4.9B-3.1%-4.2%-10.1%$-0.97$-67.0M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 9 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$20.9B$19.5B – $21.5B-$0.42-$0.89 – $0.209
FY27$21.4B$19.7B – $22.3B$0.43-$0.17 – $0.748
FY28$21.8B$21.7B – $21.8B$0.49$0.23 – $0.726
FY29$22.5B$21.4B – $23.1B$1.50$1.40 – $1.555

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.24%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-13.6%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-15.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 564.4M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.9% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.135-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 5Celso L GoncalvesCFO214.3K sh$2.9MSellFeb 17Clifford T SmithCOO200.0K sh$2.1MBuyFeb 13Edilson CamaraDirector19.7K sh$200KSellFeb 11Lourenco GoncalvesCEO3.0M sh$37.3M
+ 19 other (18 awards · 1 inkind) in window

See when $CLF insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteMay 208-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) filed an 8-K on May 14, 2026 disclosing annual shareholder meeting vote results (Item 5.07). Cleveland-Cliffs is a Cleveland, Ohio-based integrated steel and mining company listed on the NYSE. Annual meeting results are routine governance disclosures.

8-KOfficer or director changeFeb 238-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
+ 11 other (3 13Gs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys · 1 SD) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF) Upgraded to Buy: What Does It Mean for the Stock?zacks.com·3d ago5 Broker-Liked Stocks to Watch Amid the Middle East's Uneasy Calmzacks.com·7d agoCleveland-Cliffs (CLF) Stock Sinks As Market Gains: What You Should Knowzacks.com·7d agoCleveland-Cliffs (CLF) Suffers a Larger Drop Than the General Market: Key Insightszacks.com·9d agoHere is What to Know Beyond Why Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) is a Trending Stockzacks.com·15d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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