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AOAOUT

American Outdoor Brands, Inc.

$AOUT·$228M·Leisure·Consumer Cyclical
$17.75-1.7%YTD+128.0%1Y+138.9%
Price updated 14h ago·X counts updated 9d ago
AOAOUT
$AOUTAmerican Outdoor Brands, Inc.
$17.75-1.72%44 posts1.1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $AOUT on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

44X posts · last 7 days
Oct 2Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1.1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $AOUT's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level, louder than 85% of tracked names.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data9 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-11

American Outdoor Brands is bullish on X — +40-44% Friday after swinging to a profit, gapping up +25.7%, 54.27% off-exchange volume printed short as squeeze pressure builds. Watchlist favorite; support-approach setup framed as high-probability trade with FINRA 1.28M short shares primed.

Read what X is saying about $AOUT

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $AOUT — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Driven by hypeAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-10-02

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

American Outdoor Brands ripped 40-44% Friday on a profit swing — 1.28M short shares and FINRA short-exempt flow building squeeze pressure.

American Outdoor Brands makes outdoor-shooting-sports accessories and recreational-outdoor products — a small-cap retailer that just swung to a profit for the quarter.

  • The business inflection is specific: swung to a profit, with the stock gapping up +25.7% and ending Friday +40-44% as 54.27% off-exchange volume printed short — a classic squeeze setup, with Q1 revenue +25.4% YoY and operating margin close to break-even.
  • 52-week range position is 86% with vol at 60% of average — upper range on normal volume, with FINRA 1.28M short shares primed for continued squeeze pressure.
  • At $220M market cap and 0.91x sales the valuation looks reasonable for a profitable-again recreation-brand — the market is now paying for continued margin expansion.

Dec 8 Q2 is the gate — any continued revenue growth plus operating-margin expansion extends the move. A revenue reversal or margin compression and the squeeze unwinds hard.

Agrees with X sentimentThe thread has substantive drivers — +40-44% Friday on profit swing, +25.7% gap, 54.27% off-exchange volume printed short, FINRA 1.28M short shares primed, support-approach setup framing — all grounded.

What to watch: Dec 8 Q2 — revenue trajectory, operating-margin direction, short-interest changes, and FY27 guide. A margin compression is the clear invalidator.

On the calendar: 2026-12-08 — Q2 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $AOUT

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Makes outdoor and shooting sports gear—firearms accessories, hunting and fishing equipment—sold under Smith & Wesson Accessories and other brands.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Leisure sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $AOUT.

Leisure · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — Consumer leisure spending is bifurcated by income: premium outdoor brands and resort-style fitness clubs hold firm while mid-income dining and entertainment venues face traffic softness.

What this means for $AOUT

Partial — Makes outdoor and shooting sports gear—firearms accessories, hunting and fishing equipment—sold under Smith & Wesson Accessories and other brands.

Industry benchmark

7-name peer basket
-10.5%YTD
-9.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-46.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-0.4%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-0.4%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
11.6%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.9Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-2.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
46.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Sep 3, 2026$0.03$-0.24+112.5%
Q1 2026Jun 25, 2026$0.13$-0.01+1400.0%
Q4 2025Mar 12, 2026$0.12$0.120.0%
Q3 2025Dec 9, 2025$0.29$0.17+70.6%
Next earningsTue, Dec 8·consensus EPS $0.37

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY27$37.3M+25.4%53.0%-5.7%$-0.12$13.0M
Q4 FY26$47.1M-24.0%46.9%-0.8%$-0.03$9.7M
Q3 FY26$56.6M-3.3%41.0%-0.8%$-0.32$11.3M
Q2 FY26$57.2M-5.0%45.6%3.7%$0.16$-13.0M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 2 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$191.9M$191.5M – $192.3M$0.14$0.09 – $0.192
FY27$205.2M$205.0M – $205.5M$0.67$0.51 – $0.822
FY28$216.1M$214.8M – $218.1M$0.74$0.73 – $0.752

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.4×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.94%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+22.9%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+59.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 10.6M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.1% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.275-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 23 other (12 inkinds · 11 awards) in window

See when $AOUT insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentOct 7SC 13D/A
8-KShareholder voteOct 18-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

American Outdoor Brands, Inc. (AOUT) filed an 8-K on 2026-10-01 reporting results of a submission of matters to a vote of security holders (Item 5.07). The excerpt contains only the filing cover page; the full vote tallies are in the body. Shareholder votes ratify board elections, auditor selection, executive compensation, and other governance matters — significant if any item failed or passed narrowly.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentAug 10SC 13D/A
AI summary

Hallador Investment Advisors, Inc. (managed by Peter Van Roden) filed Amendment No. 2 to its Schedule 13D for American Outdoor Brands, Inc. as of August 4, 2026. The Hallador group collectively controls approximately 9.45% of AOUT through Hallador Investment Advisors (1,182,057 shares, 9.45% sole voting power) and affiliated entities (Hallador Alternative Assets Fund LLC and Hallador Opportunity Fund LP). This activist/engaged shareholder dynamic, with a board seat now secured via Kevin D. Leary's appointment, signals Hallador is seeking to influence AOUT's strategy and corporate governance.

3New insider — initial holdingsAug 63
AI summary

Kevin Daniel Leary (newly appointed Director of American Outdoor Brands, Inc.) filed an initial Form 3 as of August 4, 2026, reporting direct beneficial ownership of 6,663 shares of common stock. No derivative securities were reported. Leary is CEO of Hallador Investment Advisors, AOUT's significant activist shareholder with approximately 9.45% ownership. Routine new director initial ownership disclosure.

8-KOfficer or director changeAug 68-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

American Outdoor Brands, Inc. appointed Kevin D. Leary (CEO of Hallador Investment Advisors, AOUT's 9.45% shareholder) to its Board of Directors effective August 4, 2026, with a term expiring at the 2026 annual meeting. Leary serves as an independent director on the Compensation Committee and Nominations/Corporate Governance Committee. His background includes CEO role at Hallador since 2021, board chair of Tahoe Forest Products, and directorship at EarLens Corporation. This appointment signals a negotiated board seat for the activist shareholder, which will now have direct influence on AOUT's strategy and governance.

8-KPress release / Reg FDJun 268-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 15 other (6 13Gs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys · 1 routine 8-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Are Consumer Discretionary Stocks Lagging American Outdoor Brands (AOUT) This Year?zacks.com·6d agoAmerican Outdoor Brands (AOUT) is on the Move, Here's Why the Trend Could be Sustainablezacks.com·8d ago5 Stocks With Recent Price Strength After a Mixed Septemberzacks.com·15d agoAmerican Outdoor Brands Board of Directors Approves $10 Million Share Repurchase Programprnewswire.com·19d agoAmerican Outdoor Brands Inc (AOUT) Shares Fall 4.1% -- GF Value Says Still Overvaluedgurufocus.com·20d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $AOUT on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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