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PTPTON

Peloton Interactive, Inc.

$PTON·$2.4B·Leisure·Consumer Cyclical
$5.45+2.8%YTD+6.6%1Y-28.1%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-21: 8 posts2026-08-22: 2 posts2026-08-23: 56 posts142-4%
Price updated 2d ago·X counts updated 7d ago
PTPTON
$PTONPeloton Interactive, Inc.
$5.45+2.83%142 posts-4%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $PTON, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Comeback attemptWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-31

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Peloton just turned revenue positive again — a 15,000-contract $12 January 2028 call block, US Open sponsorship, and $2.3B market cap coiled at $5.45.

Peloton Interactive is the connected-fitness company (Bike, Tread, Row) that spent 2023-2025 as the poster-child broken pandemic-boom story. It has quietly moved into a real turnaround setup — revenue turned positive in Q1, subscription revenue is stable, and there are specific new catalysts on the calendar.

  • The revenue picture just inflected: Q1 revenue grew 1.1% year-over-year to $631M — the first positive comp after four straight quarterly declines of -3% to -6%, gross margins hold 50-54%, and Q2 EPS of $0.13 beat consensus by 8% (the second beat in a row).
  • The valuation lens is genuinely reasonable now: at 105x trailing earnings but 42x FY27 EPS ($0.13 consensus rising to $0.30 in FY28) and a 16.7% free-cash-flow yield, this is priced as if profitability doesn't happen — the FCF yield alone provides a real floor at these levels.
  • The unusual options flow is the specific catalyst signal: a 15,000-contract buy of January 2028 $12 calls at 45 cents against a $5 stock is roughly $675K of premium betting on a 120%+ move in 16 months — that's whale-scale conviction on the turnaround completing.
  • The US Open Official Interactive Fitness Partner deal plus insider tape (14 events, mixed A-Awards and S-Sales at $5-$5.45) shows management is still doing routine business — the CFO cluster of sales suggests they don't see the stock as materially undervalued at these levels, which caps the upside case.

The path if it works is a Nov 5 Q3 print keeping revenue positive plus a positive Peloton-World or Anywhere/Any-Modality strategy update — the tape breaks the coil upward and the January 2028 $12 call buyers look prescient. What extends the coil downward is another quarter where revenue slides back negative or subscriber churn re-accelerates; that's when a stock at 32% of its 52-week range gives back to the year's lows around $3.50.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish X take — a falling-wedge breakout, a 15,000-contract buy of January 2028 $12 calls at 45 cents against a $5 stock, the new US Open Official Interactive Fitness Partner deal, and a long-form thesis framing the transformation to a World/Anywhere/Any-Modality business with revenue inflection due in fiscal 2027 — captures the specific catalyst-flow setup exactly; the insider selling cluster at $5-$5.45 is the honest counter that keeps this coiled rather than accelerating.

What to watch: The Nov 5 Q3 print — revenue staying positive plus a positive Peloton World/Anywhere/Any-Modality strategy update breaks the coil upward toward the January 2028 $12 call target; a revenue slide back negative or subscriber churn re-accelerating is what gives back to $3.50 support.

On the calendar: 2026-11-05 — Q3 2026 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment6 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-30

The crowd sees Peloton as deeply mispriced with layered catalysts stacking up. Posters cite a falling-wedge breakout, an eye-catching 15,000-contract buy of January 2028 $12 calls at 45 cents against a $5 stock, and the new US Open Official Interactive Fitness Partner deal. One long-form thesis frames the transformation to a World/Anywhere/Any-Modality business with revenue inflection due in fiscal 2027.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $PTON

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Sells connected stationary bikes and treadmills with subscription fitness content; executing turnaround after pandemic-era demand collapse.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Leisure sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $PTON.

Leisure · Consumer Cyclical

Consumer discretionary spending resilience in experiences (fitness, recreation) is holding; unit economics and pricing power vary widely across subsectors. GLP-1 drug adoption is a long-term emerging headwind for some segments as health behaviors shift.

What this means for $PTON

Partial — consumer discretionary / retail performance tracks consumer spending trends; Peloton Interactive, Inc.

Industry benchmark

4-name peer basket
-17.2%YTD
-12.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
104.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
7.7%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
5.5%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
16.7%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-6.2%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
52.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
-2.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 6, 2026$0.13$0.12+8.3%
Q1 2026May 7, 2026$0.05$0.07-28.6%
Q4 2025Feb 5, 2026$-0.09$-0.07-28.6%
Q3 2025Nov 6, 2025$0.03$0.01+200.0%
Next earningsThu, Nov 5·consensus EPS $0.13

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q3 FY26$630.9M+1.1%51.9%8.3%$0.06$150.6M
Q2 FY26$656.5M-2.6%50.5%1.7%$-0.09$71.0M
Q1 FY26$550.8M-6.0%51.5%7.5%$0.03$67.4M
Q4 FY25$606.9M-5.7%54.1%4.9%$0.05$112.4M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 16 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$2.4B$2.4B – $2.4B$0.13$0.11 – $0.1516
FY27$2.4B$2.4B – $2.5B$0.30$0.17 – $0.5716
FY28$2.4B$2.3B – $2.7B$0.32$0.27 – $0.379
FY29$2.7B$2.5B – $3.0B$0.39$0.36 – $0.412
FY30$3.2B$3.0B – $3.4B$0.43$0.41 – $0.471

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.32%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-7.1%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-1.8%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 406.7M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.6% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.555-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 19Saqib BaigChief Accounting Officer4.9K sh$27KSellAug 19Dion C. SandersChief Commercial Officer112.5K sh$613KSellAug 17Saqib BaigChief Accounting Officer36.4K sh$195KSellAug 17Karen BooneDirector25.0K sh$134KSellJul 20Kirol Charles PeterCOO3.2K sh$21KSellJul 14Saqib BaigChief Accounting Officer5.0K sh$31KSellJun 9Saqib BaigCFO5.0K sh$28KSellMay 22Saqib BaigCFO5.0K sh$27KSellMay 20Dion C. SandersChief Commercial Officer112.5K sh$584KSellMay 20Saqib BaigCFO6.0K sh$31K
1–10 of 16
+ 33 other (20 exempts · 10 inkinds · 3 awards) in window

See when $PTON insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 303
AI summary

Siddharth Thacker, CFO of Peloton Interactive, filed a Form 3 initial beneficial ownership statement as of June 22, 2026. Administrative disclosure for the newly reporting Peloton CFO.

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 268-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Peloton Interactive appointed Siddharth 'Sid' Thacker as CFO effective June 22, 2026, succeeding Interim CFO Saqib Baig who remains as Chief Accounting Officer. Thacker most recently served as CFO of Rent the Runway (May 2023-June 2026) and has prior experience in alternative investments. Compensation: $635,000 base salary, 60% annual cash bonus target (prorated for FY2026). This is a substantive leadership appointment filling a permanent CFO role at a company in ongoing operational restructuring.

8-KOfficer or director changeMar 178-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KOfficer or director changeMar 118-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
+ 15 other (9 13Gs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 1 S-8 · 1 10-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

A $10,000 Investment 5 Years Ago in This Once-Unstoppable Stock Would Be Worth $463 Today. History Says This Is What It Would Take for Investors to Double Their Money in 5 Years.fool.com·4d agoCongresswoman Vs. Hedge Fund: One Throws in the Towel on Peloton Stock, the Other is Buyingbenzinga.com·7d agoPeloton's Former Interim CEO Just Sold 25,000 Shares. Here's What Long-Term Investors Should Knowfool.com·7d agoA Peloton Insider Parted With 36,000 Shares. Here's What Long-Term Investors Should Knowfool.com·7d agoA Peloton Executive Just Parted With $613,000 in Stock. Here's What Long-Term Investors Should Knowfool.com·7d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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