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PTPTON

Peloton Interactive, Inc.

$PTON·$2.1B·Leisure·Consumer Cyclical
$5.22-2.1%YTD-15.8%1Y-30.6%
Price updated 6h ago·X counts updated 5d ago
PTPTON
$PTONPeloton Interactive, Inc.
$5.22-2.06%104 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $PTON on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

104X posts · last 7 days
Sep 29Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $PTON's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level.

Bearish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data7 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-11

Peloton is bearish on X — Morgan Stanley downgraded to Underweight, cut PT to $4.50, expects negative earnings revision and limited near-term catalysts. Framed as easy-short 1-trick-pony post-COVID collapse; Peter Stern interview couldn't shift the tape.

Read what X is saying about $PTON

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $PTON — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Broken storySelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-10-02

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

Peloton just got downgraded to Underweight by Morgan Stanley — the easy-short post-COVID narrative is back.

Peloton makes connected fitness equipment and sells matching subscription content. The post-COVID collapse hasn't been reversed by multiple management reshuffles, and the sell-side has turned hostile again.

  • Operations are flat: Q1 revenue +1.1% YoY at a 5.5% operating margin — barely growing, with the subscription base no longer compounding and the hardware tape still soft.
  • The Morgan Stanley downgrade is the signal: Underweight with a $4.50 PT, flagging expected negative earnings revisions and limited near-term catalysts — a specific, dated sell-side move that typically precedes institutional distribution.
  • 52-week range position is 24% with volume at the 30-day average — not capitulation yet, which is why the Peter Stern interview couldn't shift the tape; the chart is simply drifting lower on light conviction.

Nov 5 Q1 is the gate — any subscription-net-add surprise plus margin expansion extends the stock off any floor. Another in-line-to-weak print and this stays an easy short with the sell-side arranged against it.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bearish thread has substantive support — Morgan Stanley Underweight at $4.50 PT, expected negative earnings revisions, limited near-term catalysts — and the easy-short framing matches the fundamental pattern.

What to watch: Nov 5 Q1 earnings — subscription net adds, hardware revenue trajectory, operating-margin direction, and FY27 commentary. A subscription-base contraction is the clear negative; a hardware reset or new sell-side upgrade is the only visible positive trigger.

On the calendar: 2026-11-05 — Q1 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $PTON

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Sells connected stationary bikes and treadmills with subscription fitness content; executing turnaround after pandemic-era demand collapse.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Leisure sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $PTON.

Leisure · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — Consumer leisure spending is bifurcated by income: premium outdoor brands and resort-style fitness clubs hold firm while mid-income dining and entertainment venues face traffic softness.

What this means for $PTON

Partial — Sells connected stationary bikes and treadmills with subscription fitness content; executing turnaround after pandemic-era demand collapse.

Industry benchmark

7-name peer basket
+10.0%YTD
+15.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
104.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
7.7%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
5.5%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
16.7%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-6.2%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
52.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
-2.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 6, 2026$0.13$0.12+8.3%
Q1 2026May 7, 2026$0.05$0.07-28.6%
Q4 2025Feb 5, 2026$-0.09$-0.07-28.6%
Q3 2025Nov 6, 2025$0.03$0.01+200.0%
Next earningsThu, Nov 5·consensus EPS $0.11

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q3 FY26$630.9M+1.1%51.9%8.3%$0.06$150.6M
Q2 FY26$656.5M-2.6%50.5%1.7%$-0.09$71.0M
Q1 FY26$550.8M-6.0%51.5%7.5%$0.03$67.4M
Q4 FY25$606.9M-5.7%54.1%4.9%$0.05$112.4M

Forward consensus

6-year forecast · up to 16 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$2.4B$2.4B – $2.4B$0.13$0.11 – $0.1516
FY27$2.4B$2.4B – $2.4B$0.32$0.24 – $0.3714
FY28$2.3B$2.3B – $2.5B$0.33$0.26 – $0.4211
FY29$2.4B$2.2B – $2.5B$0.32-$0.01 – $0.428
FY30$2.6B$2.6B – $2.7B$0.38$0.36 – $0.405
FY31$2.8B$2.7B – $2.9B$0.39$0.37 – $0.414

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.0×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.35%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+1.1%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-1.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 412.3M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.3% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.555-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 19Saqib BaigChief Accounting Officer4.9K sh$27KSellAug 19Dion C. SandersChief Commercial Officer112.5K sh$613KSellAug 17Saqib BaigChief Accounting Officer36.4K sh$195KSellAug 17Karen BooneDirector25.0K sh$134KSellJul 20Kirol Charles PeterCOO3.2K sh$21KSellJul 14Saqib BaigChief Accounting Officer5.0K sh$31KSellJun 9Saqib BaigCFO5.0K sh$28KSellMay 22Saqib BaigCFO5.0K sh$27KSellMay 20Dion C. SandersChief Commercial Officer112.5K sh$584KSellMay 20Saqib BaigCFO6.0K sh$31K
1–10 of 13
+ 42 other (24 exempts · 12 inkinds · 6 awards) in window

See when $PTON insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeOct 138-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
3New insider — initial holdingsJun 303
AI summary

Siddharth Thacker, CFO of Peloton Interactive, filed a Form 3 initial beneficial ownership statement as of June 22, 2026. Administrative disclosure for the newly reporting Peloton CFO.

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 268-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Peloton Interactive appointed Siddharth 'Sid' Thacker as CFO effective June 22, 2026, succeeding Interim CFO Saqib Baig who remains as Chief Accounting Officer. Thacker most recently served as CFO of Rent the Runway (May 2023-June 2026) and has prior experience in alternative investments. Compensation: $635,000 base salary, 60% annual cash bonus target (prorated for FY2026). This is a substantive leadership appointment filling a permanent CFO role at a company in ongoing operational restructuring.

+ 14 other (8 13Gs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 1 S-8 · 1 10-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

$1,000 Invested in Peloton Interactive (PTON) at Its 52-Week Low Is Worth This Much Todayfool.com·12d agoPeloton gets to keep 'buy' rating from UBS as it launches cheaper, foldable treadmillproactiveinvestors.com·24d agoPeloton's Collapse Continues247wallst.com·24d agoMost Active Options Report: KHC, PTONschaeffersresearch.com·24d agoThe company is the healthiest it's ever been, says Peloton CEO Peter Sternyoutube.com·25d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $PTON on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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