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AMAMBQ

Ambiq Micro, Inc.

$AMBQ·$2.0B·Semiconductors·Technology
$74.46-9.4%YTD+162.2%1Y+113.4%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-10: 10 posts2026-07-11: 15 posts2026-07-12: 17 posts2026-07-13: 23 posts2026-07-14: 20 posts2026-07-15: 30 posts2026-07-16: 9 posts127+22%
Price updated 7h ago·X counts updated 7h ago
AMAMBQ
$AMBQAmbiq Micro, Inc.
$74.46-9.44%127 posts+22%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $AMBQ, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-07-17

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

Ultra-low-power AI chip company just did $156M offering and Q2 earnings land Sunday.

Ambiq Micro designs highly energy-efficient integrated circuits for power-critical applications — wearables, IoT, and increasingly edge-AI inference. Recent IPO with real ultra-low-power differentiation.

Where the setup nets out:

  • Growth is inflecting: Q1 revenue up 59% YoY to $25M, and the four-quarter growth stack has moved from -12% to +2% to +59% — real acceleration.
  • Losses are severe: operating margin -47%, FCFy -2.2%.
  • The multiple is very rich: PS 19x and PE trailing negative, with FY27 consensus EPS still negative $1.12 — priced entirely on the ultra-low-power AI-edge thesis.
  • The June 25 follow-on public offering of 2M shares at $78 raised $156M — real dilution but funds growth.
  • The May 29 3/A by Timothy Chen shows initial reporting reset — post-IPO governance dynamics.
  • Insider action: none disclosed.
  • Position confirms the volatility: 75% of 52-week range, YTD +162%, t12m +113%.
  • Today's -9.4% is a specific mark-down.

The forward view: the July 20 (Sunday) Q2 print is the referee — extremely close. A revenue beat with continued 50%+ growth plus specific edge-AI customer disclosure is what restarts the coil upward. What breaks it: a specific customer-concentration or design-win-loss headline. What extends: a hyperscaler edge-AI-inference partnership disclosure.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish X read on Ambiq as the ultra-low-power AI sleeper and the high-and-tight action setup is directionally right. Our take agrees the story is real but the multiple has priced a lot.

What to watch: July 20 Q2 earnings and any edge-AI customer disclosure; a customer-concentration disclosure or design-win-loss would break the cooling into a real reset.

On the calendar: 2026-07-20 — Q2 2026 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment6 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-12

Posts describe Ambiq Micro defending the $74-$90 range while the TTM Squeeze resets and momentum cools, holding relative strength versus QQQ selling off hard. Bulls call it the ultra-low-power AI sleeper finally waking up as everyone else chases datacenter GPUs. Traders flag the continued high-and-tight action as a potential launch setup.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $AMBQ

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Designs ultra-low-power MCUs and SoCs for wearables and IoT edge AI using subthreshold power technology.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Semiconductors sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $AMBQ.

Semiconductors · Technology

No material change from last week — structural AI capex engine unchanged: hyperscaler Blackwell allocation stays tight through 2H26 and HBM3e pricing holds as LLM context-window expansion drives 5-8x per-server memory demand uplift.

What this means for $AMBQ

Neutral — Designs ultra-low-power MCUs and SoCs for wearables and IoT edge AI using subthreshold power technology; the AI capex and HBM/compute demand cycle does not materially affect this business's near-term earnings.

Top industry ETF

$SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF
+54.2%YTD
+96.7%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-39.6How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-17.7%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-51.9%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-2.2%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
19.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-24.0%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
42.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 12, 2026$-18.96$-0.52-3546.2%
Q4 2025Mar 5, 2026$-0.32$-0.39+17.9%
Q3 2025Nov 6, 2025$-0.22$-0.32+31.3%
Q2 2025Sep 4, 2025$-0.43$-0.44+2.3%
Next earningsMon, Jul 20·consensus EPS $-0.26

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$25.1M+59.3%43.5%-46.6%$-0.50$-11.8M
Q4 FY25$20.7M+2.0%42.7%-57.7%$-0.58$-4.3M
Q3 FY25$18.2M-10.4%42.3%-55.3%$-0.72$-5.7M
Q2 FY25$17.9M-11.7%40.1%-49.2%$-0.48$-14.0M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 3 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$121.8M$120.7M – $122.9M-$1.12-$1.15 – -$1.073
FY27$152.6M$145.1M – $160.2M-$0.64-$0.76 – -$0.433
FY28$202.4M$193.7M – $212.6M$0.39-$0.12 – $0.902
FY29$209.2M$200.2M – $219.7M$1.12$1.06 – $1.191

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.75%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-2.7%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+79.5%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 18.3M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.8% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β5.415-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 27Timothy ChenDirector70.6K sh$5.6MSellMay 15Chen Sean ChihhsiangCOO55.7K sh$3.9MSellMay 14Jeffrey G WinzelerCFO26.0K sh$1.8MSellMay 14Hanson Scott McleanCTO10.2K sh$706KSellMay 14Fumihide EsakaCEO60.0K sh$4.2MSellApr 2Connors Michele KimGeneral Counsel811 sh$21KSellJan 26Hanson Scott McleanCTO10.0K sh$310KSellJan 26Joseph A TautgesDirector7.8K sh$242K
+ 19 other (10 awards · 9 exempts) in window

See when $AMBQ insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

424B4Prospectus supplement (offering)Jun 25424B4
AI summary

Ambiq Micro (AMBQ) priced a follow-on public offering of 2,000,000 shares at $78.00 per share on June 23, 2026, raising gross proceeds of $156 million ($146.64M net after underwriting discounts of $9.36M). An additional overallotment option of 300,000 shares was granted to underwriters. Shares were delivered around June 25, 2026. BofA Securities, UBS, Needham, Stifel, and Roth Capital Partners led the deal. Dilutive secondary offering — net proceeds and use not specified in this excerpt.

S-1Initial registrationJun 22S-1
8-KShareholder voteJun 88-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Ambiq Micro, Inc. (AMBQ) disclosed the results of its annual meeting of shareholders in an 8-K filing under Item 5.07. Shareholders voted on ratification of the independent auditor. All management-sponsored proposals were approved by majority shareholder vote. Annual meeting results are a routine disclosure that confirms shareholder ratification of the board's composition and compensation practices.

3/ANew insider — initial holdingsMay 293/A
AI summary

Timothy Chen filed an amendment to his initial Form 3 (Form 3/A) for Ambiq Micro, Inc., with an event date of July 29, 2025. The amendment corrects or supplements prior beneficial ownership disclosures for a company officer or director. This is an administrative correction to an existing Section 16 filing with no new securities transactions reported.

424B4Prospectus supplement (offering)Jan 26424B4
S-1Initial registrationJan 21S-1
+ 18 other (3 earnings 8-Ks · 3 CORRESPs · 2 EFFECTs · 2 S-1MEFs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Is Ambiq Micro, Inc. (AMBQ) Stock Outpacing Its Computer and Technology Peers This Year?zacks.com·11d agoAmbiq Announces Closing of its Upsized Public Offering and Full Exercise of Underwriters' Option to Purchase Additional Sharesgurufocus.com·22d agoAmbiq Announces Closing of its Upsized Public Offering and Full Exercise of Underwriters' Option to Purchase Additional Sharesbusinesswire.com·22d agoAmbiq Announces Pricing of Upsized Public Offeringgurufocus.com·23d agoAmbiq Announces Pricing of Upsized Public Offeringbusinesswire.com·23d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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