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ALALM

Almonty Industries Inc.

$ALM·$3.4B·Industrial Materials·Basic Materials
$9.83-2.7%YTD+15.0%1Y+15.5%
Price updated 5h ago·X counts updated 5d ago
ALALM
$ALMAlmonty Industries Inc.
$9.83-2.67%90 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $ALM on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

90X posts · last 7 days
Sep 29Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $ALM's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level, louder than 66% of tracked names.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data8 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-15

Almonty runs +8-9% alongside a broader tungsten/rare-earth rally, with posters framing it as the best critical-mineral name ready to revisit ATHs. One skeptic calls it 'the worst tungsten producer with an obscene market cap' as the lone counterweight.

Read what X is saying about $ALM

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $ALM — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Driven by hypeAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-10-03

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Tungsten producer with a 527% EPS surprise — critical minerals is the trade, Almonty is the clean leveraged exposure.

Almonty Industries is a tungsten producer with assets in Portugal and South Korea — the kind of critical-minerals name that benefits structurally from US-China decoupling and defense-stockpile commitments. The 2026 story is tungsten-pricing acceleration meeting a company-specific operating-leverage story.

  • The P&L has gone vertical: Q2 revenue grew 321% YoY off a tiny base to $30M at a 38% operating margin and $0.45 EPS, with the most recent EPS beating Street estimates by 527% — these are not noisy misses, these are gross-margin reset numbers.
  • The sector tailwind is specific: tungsten rally alongside rare earths plus the Pure Tungsten settlement clearing an operational distraction means Almonty can prosecute its production ramp without litigation overhang.

At 42% of its 52-week range going into Nov 2 earnings with volume at 0.89x average, there's room for continuation if the EPS cadence holds. Another 200%+ EPS surprise with reaffirmed tungsten-production guide is the trigger for the next leg; one 'worst producer' skeptic is a reasonable sizing hedge but not a thesis-killer.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish critical-minerals-rally framing and the specific tungsten-producer thesis are both grounded. The one skeptic's 'worst tungsten producer with obscene mcap' quip is honest cautionary; worth size discipline, not an outright short.

What to watch: Nov 2 Q3 earnings — tungsten realized price, production volume, operating margin direction, and any defense-stockpile customer commentary. 200%+ EPS surprise is the trigger; a soft tungsten-price print is the invalidation.

On the calendar: 2026-11-02 — Q3 earnings

event ahead 30dcritical minerals

Read the AI verdict on $ALM

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Almonty Industries mines, processes, and ships tungsten concentrates — a critical mineral for defense and hard metals — from Spain, Portugal, and South Korea.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Industrial Materials sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ALM.

Industrial Materials · Basic Materials

No material change from last week — US domestic rare earth supply chain buildout remains the structural driver: MP Materials trades on Beijing's forced divestiture of Chinese shareholder, reinforcing supply-chain-security thesis.

What this means for $ALM

Neutral — Almonty Industries mines, processes, and ships tungsten concentrates — a critical mineral for defense and hard metals — from Spain, Portugal, and South Korea.

Industry benchmark

16-name peer basket
-9.9%YTD
-33.4%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-21.9How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-4.3%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-47.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-1.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
88.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-59.2%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
29.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 11, 2026$0.45$0.07+527.3%
Q1 2026May 11, 2026$0.01$0.010.0%
Q4 2025Mar 19, 2026$-0.36$-0.01-3481.0%
Q3 2025Nov 3, 2025$0.09$-0.00+2012.7%
Next earningsFri, Nov 6·consensus EPS $0.12

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$30.3M+320.6%61.5%38.3%$0.45$4.8M
Q1 FY26$25.4M—51.2%8.8%$-0.02$-12.1M
Q4 FY25$8.7M—15.1%-124%$-0.38$-22.7M
Q3 FY25$8.7M—14.4%-36.2%$0.15$-24.8M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 9 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$256.2M$200.7M – $325.7M$0.67$0.49 – $0.749
FY27$719.4M$628.1M – $788.7M$1.41$1.12 – $2.069
FY28$1.0B$554.8M – $1.5B$1.92$1.20 – $2.609
FY29$1.3B$826.5M – $2.0B$2.47$1.30 – $4.274
FY30$1.3B$812.9M – $2.0B$2.42$1.28 – $4.184

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.23%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-33.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-37.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 219.0M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.7% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.055-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

No material 8-K / SC 13D / S-3 / 424B5 filings in the last 180 days.

+ 31 other (25 6-Ks · 4 13Gs · 1 S-8 POS · 1 S-8) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Down 24.4% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) Looks Ripe for a Turnaroundzacks.com·2d agoAlmonty to Host Investor Day via Live Webcast on Monday, October 19, 2026gurufocus.com·4d agoAlmonty to Host Investor Day via Live Webcast on Monday, October 19, 2026businesswire.com·4d agoAlmonty Industries (NASDAQ:ALM) Shares Gap Down – Should You Sell?defenseworld.net·5d agoAlmonty Industries Inc. (ALM) Presents at 20th International Investment Forum (IIF) Transcriptseekingalpha.com·10d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Critical Minerals & Rare Earths

More in Industrial Materials

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

$MP$XPL$USAR$WWR$CRML$VALE$RIO$LAC
Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $ALM on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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