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ALALM

Almonty Industries Inc.

$ALM·$5.0B·Industrial Materials·Basic Materials
$17.80-1.3%1Y+305.5%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-22: 7 posts2026-08-23: 11 posts2026-08-24: 15 posts153+6%
Price updated 6h ago·X counts updated 7d ago
ALALM
$ALMAlmonty Industries Inc.
$17.80-1.33%153 posts+6%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $ALM, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-30

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

The largest ex-China tungsten producer is finally profitable — Sangdong is still the upside.

Almonty Industries is a tungsten producer with operations in Portugal (Panasqueira) and the Sangdong mine in South Korea coming online. The stock is +304% TTM at $18, and the underlying profitability inflection is the reason.

  • The revenue arc is a straight step-up: quarterly revenue ran $8.7M / $8.7M / $25.4M / $30.3M as Panasqueira and initial Sangdong contribution ramps — analysts model $291M of full-year revenue and $0.52 EPS, so the run rate is trending well above the current line.
  • The tungsten macro is genuinely durable: the global tungsten market is projected to reach $9.62B by 2030, and the CEO estimates market balance at $1,000-1,400/mtu in 5-6 years — that's a critical-minerals story with real geopolitical tailwinds (ex-China supply), which is what makes the equity a Western-alignment call, not just a mining bet.
  • The Sangdong lever isn't in the numbers yet: management describes the current profitability inflection as 'just Panasqueira contributing' with Sangdong yet to add — that's a very specific upside pathway, and it's why the crowd is calling for a big mover above $19.05.

A Nov 2 print that shows Panasqueira volumes stable and specific Sangdong first-production timing extends the tape; a tungsten-price roll-over, a Sangdong ramp delay, or an operational incident at Panasqueira is what caps the multiple.

Agrees with X sentimentX's bullish framing is well-anchored — the Panasqueira profitability inflection, the tungsten macro balance, and the Sangdong optionality are all real; the 'for dumb fucks' contributor is background noise, not a fundamental counter.

What to watch: The Nov 2 Q3 print — Panasqueira volumes, Sangdong ramp timing, realized tungsten prices, and unit costs. A tungsten-price roll-over or a Sangdong ramp delay is what caps the tape.

On the calendar: 2026-11-02 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment10 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-31

Sentiment is decisively bullish on Almonty as the tungsten narrative gains traction — posters flag a setup above $19.05, celebrate 100%+ portfolio gains, and repeat the "no AI chips or missiles without Tungsten" pitch. A vocal subgroup of Australian EQR bulls disparages ALM as inferior for allegedly mining low-grade ore during a price spike, so the crowd is enthusiastic but not unanimous.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $ALM

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Almonty Industries mines, processes, and ships tungsten concentrates — a critical mineral for defense and hard metals — from Spain, Portugal, and South Korea.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Industrial Materials sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ALM.

Industrial Materials · Basic Materials

Reshoring and infrastructure legislation are the structural demand pull for industrial materials; inventory destocking earlier in the cycle appears largely complete. Pricing power varies widely — commodity-linked materials face more volatility than engineered specialty products.

What this means for $ALM

Neutral — Almonty Industries, Inc; exposure to the industry macro driver is limited or indirect.

Industry benchmark

17-name peer basket
+10.4%YTD
+65.2%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-21.9How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-4.3%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-47.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-1.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
88.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-59.2%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
29.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 11, 2026$0.45$0.07+527.3%
Q1 2026May 11, 2026$0.01$0.010.0%
Q4 2025Mar 19, 2026$-0.36$-0.01-3481.0%
Q3 2025Nov 3, 2025$0.09$-0.00+2012.7%
Next earningsMon, Nov 2·consensus EPS $0.11

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$30.3M+320.6%61.5%38.3%$0.45$4.8M
Q1 FY26$25.4M—51.2%8.8%$-0.02$-12.1M
Q4 FY25$8.7M—15.1%-124%$-0.38$-22.7M
Q3 FY25$8.7M—14.4%-36.2%$0.15$-24.8M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 6 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$291.2M$210.8M – $446.1M$0.52$0.41 – $0.625
FY27$704.8M$469.1M – $905.4M$1.47$0.73 – $2.756
FY28$971.1M$636.3M – $1.3B$1.92$1.06 – $2.852
FY29$1.2B$805.1M – $1.7B$2.47$1.36 – $3.654
FY30$1.2B$784.5M – $1.6B$2.40$1.32 – $3.563

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.68%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+16.9%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+20.8%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 230.9M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.1% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.055-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

No material 8-K / SC 13D / S-3 / 424B5 filings in the last 180 days.

+ 31 other (22 6-Ks · 6 13Gs · 1 S-8 POS · 1 S-8) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

A Look at Almonty Industries Inc (ALM) After 4.5% Decline -- GF Value $3.93 vs Price $18.05gurufocus.com·3d agoGlobal Tungsten Market Size Projected to Reach $9.62 Billion By 2030gurufocus.com·11d agoAlmonty Industries: Panasqueira Has Already Proven The Sangdong Earnings Modelseekingalpha.com·14d agoAlmonty Industries: The King Of Ex-China Tungsten Just Reached An Inflection In Profitability, On The Eve Of Massive Growthseekingalpha.com·14d agoAlmonty Industries Inc (ALM) Shares Surge 8.4% -- What GF Score of 53 Tells Investorsgurufocus.com·14d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Critical Minerals & Rare Earths

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Voices on X · top 7 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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