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AIAIAGF

Aurubis AG

$AIAGF·$8.7B·Copper·Basic Materials
$203.550.0%1Y+133.4%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-08: 0 posts2026-08-09: 0 posts2026-08-10: 0 posts2026-08-11: 0 posts2026-08-12: 0 posts2026-08-13: 0 posts2026-08-14: 0 posts0
Price updated 18h ago·X counts updated 16h ago
AIAIAGF
$AIAGFAurubis AG
$203.550.00%0 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $AIAGF, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-14

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Aurubis (German copper major) up +133% t12m at 100% of range — beat cadence extends to four straight quarters.

Aurubis AG is the German-listed copper recycler + smelter. $8.7B mcap, ADR $203.55, t12m +133.4%, sitting at 100% of the 52-week range — full breakout.

What's driving:

  • Q3 FY26 (8/6) EPS $2.98 vs $2.72 est (+9.6% surprise). Prior three: -6.1%, +8.5%, -19.3% — pattern is variable but Q3 landed strong.
  • Revenue Q1 2026 $6.06B (+21.1% YoY), Q4-25 $5.28B (+23.7%), Q3-25 $5.15B (+25.0%), Q2-25 $4.62B (-2.0%) — three consecutive quarters of ~20-25% growth after a Q2 2025 dip.
  • Analyst estimates FY26 rev $24.7B growing to $25.8B by FY28, EPS $9.03 → $11.77 — mid-teens EPS growth.
  • 8.2x TTM P/E is deep-value on a name at 100% of range — the market is buying the copper cycle.
  • D/E 0.09 (essentially unlevered), ROE 17.5%, FCF yield essentially 0.
  • 12/2 next earnings.
  • No X sentiment sample, no insider signal.

What you're watching: Q4 FY26 print 12/2 (continued beat cadence, copper realized price trajectory), any commentary on the strategic Georgia (US) copper smelter project, and continued copper-price / TCRC (treatment charge/refining charge) dynamics.

What to watch: Q4 FY26 print 12/2 (beat cadence, copper price), Georgia US smelter commentary, and TCRC dynamics.

On the calendar: 2026-12-02 — Q4 FY26 earnings

no sentiment

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $AIAGF

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Hamburg-based copper refiner and metal recycler processing concentrates and scrap into refined metals and specialty products worldwide.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Copper sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $AIAGF.

Copper · Basic Materials

No material change from last week — EV powertrains, grid infrastructure buildout, and AI data center wiring create compounding demand that the copper mining supply pipeline cannot easily match.

Top industry ETF

$COPXGlobal X Copper Miners ETF
+14.2%YTD
+84.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
8.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
12.3%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
6.1%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-0.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.4Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
17.5%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
8.4%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 6, 2026$2.98$2.72+9.6%
Q1 2026May 11, 2026$2.48$2.64-6.1%
Q4 2025Feb 5, 2026$2.18$2.01+8.5%
Q3 2025Dec 4, 2025$1.13$1.40-19.3%
Next earningsWed, Dec 2·consensus EPS $3.07

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$6.1B+21.1%11.3%10.5%$11.02$40.2M
Q1 FY26$5.3B+23.7%8.8%8.0%$7.37$-104.0M
Q4 FY25$5.2B+25.0%3.1%1.3%$0.96$136.1M
Q3 FY25$4.6B-2.0%9.4%2.4%$1.79$-54.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 6 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$24.7B$23.5B – $26.2B$9.03$8.28 – $10.176
FY27$25.8B$23.7B – $29.1B$10.26$9.40 – $11.556
FY28$25.8B$24.1B – $28.3B$11.77$10.79 – $13.254
FY29$23.7B$22.1B – $25.9B$12.00$10.99 – $13.513
FY30$24.4B$22.8B – $26.7B$14.04$12.86 – $15.803

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.3×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.100%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+1.7%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+16.5%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 21.4M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.355-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.ListedOTCListed on an over-the-counter market (PNK / OTCQB / OTCQX), not a major exchange. Lower disclosure requirements and thinner liquidity.

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Aurubis AG (AIAGY) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·8d ago

More in Copper

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $AIAGF on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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