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ERERO

Ero Copper Corp.

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 107% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesQuiet on X (57 mentions/wk)
$ERO·$3.7B·Copper·Basic Materials
$33.44+3.6%YTD+11.7%1Y+90.1%
Price updated 7m ago·X counts updated 4d ago
ERERO
$EROEro Copper Corp.
$33.44+3.59%57 posts0.7×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $ERO on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

57X posts · last 7 days
Aug 31Sep 13
Chatter Meter
0.7×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $ERO's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's quieter than usual.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data7 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-31

Chatter is upbeat as posters cheer ERO Copper's roughly 50% run alongside a strong copper backdrop, sharing breakout setups above $39.80 and targets stepping toward $43.92 and $49.74. The name appears repeatedly on relative-strength and CANSLIM screens, with one poster booking "nice profits" and trimming rather than adding. A technician flags a "bearish divergence" forming on the daily RSI and warns "there's a real chance a larger top is forming".

Read what X is saying about $ERO

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
Free, forever. No credit card.

AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $ERO — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-09-17

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Brazilian copper miner at 65% of 52w — Q1 rev +107% YoY, Capital Markets Day Sep 1.

Ero Copper is the Brazilian copper miner up 12% YTD and 90% over 12 months at 65% of 52w. Hosted 2026 Capital Markets Day Sep 15, and 'copper miners getting crushed' contrarian framing Sep 10.

  • Economics are elite: Q1 revenue grew 107% YoY to $260M at 40% gross margin and 34% op margin — real copper-cycle upside on $3.7B mcap Brazilian miner with 31% ROE.
  • Valuation reasonable: 9.6x P/E and 3.0x sales with 4.3% FCF yield and beta 1.59 — attractive for a cyclical with 14% ROIC and 55% D/E.
  • Sep 15 Investor Day + Sep 1 Capital Markets Day + 'oil at $100 while copper miners crushed' Sep 10 contrarian framing — real coverage cadence.

Nov 3: EPS above $1.13 and copper-price/production commentary keeps acceleration; a Brazilian-real reversal cools 65%-of-52w.

What to watch: The Nov 3 Q3 print — EPS above $1.13 and copper-price/production commentary. A Brazilian-real reversal or copper-cycle rollover is what cools 65%-of-52w.

On the calendar: 2026-11-03 — Q3 earnings

earnings within 60dcapital markets daycommodity cycle setup

Read the AI verdict on $ERO

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Brazilian copper producer operating the MCSA Mining Complex with gold and nickel byproduct credits in Bahia state.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Copper sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ERO.

Copper · Basic Materials

EV motors, grid electrification, and AI data-centre power wiring structurally constrain copper supply against demand; FCX Grasberg ramp-up is the single most impactful mine capacity addition. T12M +67% reflects tightening physical market with inventory near multi-year lows.

What this means for $ERO

Direct beneficiary — Brazilian copper producer with low-cost MCSA Mining Complex; elevated copper prices directly expand operating margins and free cash flow; gold and nickel by-products add revenue diversification.

Top industry ETF

$COPXGlobal X Copper Miners ETF
+14.5%YTD
+56.7%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
9.6How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
13.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
34.5%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
4.3%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
3.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
31.2%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
42.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 5, 2026$0.83$0.74+12.6%
Q1 2026May 4, 2026$0.69$0.56+23.2%
Q4 2025Mar 5, 2026$1.04$1.06-1.9%
Q3 2025Nov 4, 2025$0.27$0.36-25.0%
Next earningsTue, Nov 3·consensus EPS $1.13

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$259.5M+107.5%39.8%34.7%$1.03$19.9M
Q4 FY25$325.1M+165.3%50.9%43.9%$0.75$58.0M
Q3 FY25$177.1M+41.9%33.0%21.5%$0.34$23.9M
Q2 FY25$163.5M+39.6%41.2%29.3%$0.68$19.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 8 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$1.3B$1.2B – $1.3B$3.99$3.36 – $4.458
FY27$1.4B$1.2B – $1.5B$4.67$3.92 – $5.188
FY28$1.3B$1.2B – $1.4B$4.40$3.62 – $5.045
FY29$1.2B$1.1B – $1.4B$4.57$3.96 – $5.262
FY30$1.4B$1.2B – $1.5B$4.25$3.68 – $4.892

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.5×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.65%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+1.7%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+9.8%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

β1.595-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

No material 8-K / SC 13D / S-3 / 424B5 filings in the last 180 days.

+ 18 other (12 6-Ks · 4 13Gs · 1 SD · 1 40-F) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Ero Copper Corp. (ERO:CA) Analyst/Investor Day Transcriptseekingalpha.com·3d agoEveryone Is Watching $100 Oil While Copper Miners Are Getting Crushed247wallst.com·7d agoFinancial Survey: Santacruz Silver Mining (NASDAQ:SCZM) & Ero Copper (NYSE:ERO)defenseworld.net·8d agoEro to Host 2026 Capital Markets Dayglobenewswire.com·16d agoBank of America Corp DE Sells 46,356 Shares of Ero Copper Corp. $EROdefenseworld.net·31d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Critical Minerals & Rare Earths

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $ERO on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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