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SCSCCO

Southern Copper Corporation

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 36% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesConsistent chatter on X (171/wk), no spike
$SCCO·$166B·Copper·Basic Materials
$208.87-0.4%YTD+33.1%1Y+117.3%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-22: 15 posts171+10%
Price updated 6h ago·X counts updated 9d ago
SCSCCO
$SCCOSouthern Copper Corporation
$208.87-0.44%171 posts+10%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $SCCO, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-29

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Southern Copper broke ATH above $200 with the largest publicly-traded copper reserves — copper cycle re-rating is landing.

Southern Copper Corporation is a large integrated copper miner (Peru and Mexico) plus zinc and molybdenum byproducts — controlled by Grupo México, and holding one of the largest copper reserves globally. The setup is a real-business commodity compounder catching an accelerating cycle.

  • The commodity operating leverage is real: Q1 revenue grew 36% YoY to $4.25B at a 65% gross margin and 58% operating margin, Q2 EPS beat at $1.99 vs $1.96 consensus, and the sell side models FY26 revenue at ~$16.7B — the copper-price move is directly showing up in a mid-30% ROIC.
  • The technical setup is genuinely strong: SCCO broke to fresh all-time highs above $200 on strong Friday volume with an ascending triangle formation, and the copper-to-M2 ratio (per bull chartists) suggests copper is still dirt cheap — next crowd targets sit at $220-250, and DCF valuation at $209 says the current print is fairly valued.
  • The insider signal is very small: a director sold $59K across two dates — not enough to move the read; the more notable absence is any open-market buy at 89% of the 52-week range, though founder-controlled dividend-focused ownership is the norm for SCCO.

The setup is a real-business copper compounder accelerating on strong Q2 execution plus a specific technical breakout — the October 27 Q3 print is the referee, and the market needs realized copper-price disclosure at recent averages plus continued production. A break of copper below $9,000/t cools the tape; continued elevated copper plus reiterated production guide extends the accelerating trajectory toward the $220-250 chartist zone. H1 copper output actually falling YoY is the one caveat to watch.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish X read on the ATH breakout above $200 with strong volume on Friday, the largest publicly-traded copper reserves framing, the copper-to-M2 ratio suggesting copper is still dirt cheap, next targets $220-250, and the ascending triangle formation is factually consistent with the tape and reported reserves. The DCF fairly-valued-at-$209 note is a fair anchoring; H1 copper output falling YoY is a real caveat.

What to watch: The October 27 Q3 earnings — need realized copper-price disclosure at recent averages, continued production growth, and reiterated FY26 revenue toward $16.7B. A break of copper below $9,000/t cools the tape; continued elevated copper plus reiterated production guide extends the accelerating trajectory toward the $220-250 chartist zone.

On the calendar: 2026-10-27 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment12 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-30

The read on Southern Copper is confidently bullish — chartists frame a bullish pennant tightening right below the breakout level, with clear-and-hold above $216.70 opening ~+16% initial upside and one caller targeting $250+ off a "MASSIVE weekly base." Bulls anchor on a copper-to-M2 ratio that still looks "dirt cheap by historical standards," strong 1-month relative strength, and the freshly printed all-time high on the largest publicly traded copper reserves. $FCX is treated as the parallel trade.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $SCCO

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  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Large copper and molybdenum miner operating in Peru and Mexico, with one of the world's largest copper reserve bases.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Copper sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $SCCO.

Copper · Basic Materials

Copper demand is driven by two structural forces in parallel: grid infrastructure buildout (electrification) and data center cooling/wiring for AI deployments. Supply constraints from aging mine infrastructure and declining ore grades support the long-term price floor.

What this means for $SCCO

Partial — upstream oil & gas exposure ties to commodity price cycle; Southern Copper Corporation engages in mining, exploring, sm.

Top industry ETF

$COPXGlobal X Copper Miners ETF
+14.2%YTD
+85.2%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
28.6How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
25.3%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
54.6%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
3.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
9.9Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
46.0%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
60.4%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.6Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 22, 2026$1.99$1.96+1.5%
Q1 2026Apr 28, 2026$1.88$1.80+4.4%
Q4 2025Jan 27, 2026$1.56$1.52+2.6%
Q3 2025Oct 28, 2025$1.32$1.24+6.5%
Next earningsTue, Oct 27·consensus EPS $1.81

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$4.3B+36.2%64.7%58.3%$1.92$1.3B
Q4 FY25$3.9B+39.0%62.0%54.5%$1.56$1.1B
Q3 FY25$3.4B+15.2%59.8%52.4%$1.34$1.2B
Q2 FY25$3.1B-2.2%53.1%52.0%$1.19$741.1M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 11 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$16.7B$16.3B – $17.2B$7.68$7.29 – $7.959
FY27$16.0B$15.5B – $16.6B$7.23$6.02 – $8.419
FY28$16.5B$14.3B – $20.0B$7.11$6.03 – $9.2411
FY29$19.7B$18.2B – $21.4B$8.11$7.30 – $9.045
FY30$19.2B$17.8B – $20.9B$8.89$8.01 – $9.925

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.0×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.89%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+11.9%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+18.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 91.9M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.2% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.145-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 5Palomino Bonilla Luis MiguelDirector200 sh$40KSellAug 4Palomino Bonilla Luis MiguelDirector100 sh$20KSellJul 24Palomino Bonilla Luis MiguelDirector100 sh$18KSellJun 5Palomino Bonilla Luis MiguelDirector4 sh$724SellJun 2Palomino Bonilla Luis MiguelDirector100 sh$20KSellMay 21Palomino Bonilla Luis MiguelDirector200 sh$36KSellMay 15Palomino Bonilla Luis MiguelDirector100 sh$18KSellMar 13Palomino Bonilla Luis MiguelDirector193 sh$34KSellMar 12Palomino Bonilla Luis MiguelDirector7 sh$1K
+ 16 other (16 awards) in window

See when $SCCO insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteJul 178-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Southern Copper's annual meeting (held May 29, 2026) approved all proposals: all 8 director nominees were elected, the executive compensation say-on-pay advisory vote passed, and independent auditors were ratified. No contested items. Routine annual governance confirmation for the major integrated copper producer.

8-KMaterial agreementJun 258-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Southern Copper Corporation completed a $1.25 billion public debt offering on June 24, 2026, issuing 5.350% notes due 2036 at a price of 100% of par. Net proceeds after underwriting discounts of ~$2.5M were approximately $1.241 billion, to be deployed by its Peruvian branch (SPCC) for the Tia Maria copper project development, SPCC's capital expenditure program, and general corporate purposes. BofA Securities, Morgan Stanley, Barclays, and Santander were the underwriters. A significant project-financing raise for a major copper expansion — materially relevant to SCCO's growth capex.

S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationJun 15S-3ASR
AI summary

Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO) filed an automatic shelf registration statement (S-3ASR) on June 15, 2026, registering securities for potential future issuance. Body unavailable — excerpt cuts off before the total registered dollar amount or security types are disclosed.

8-KOfficer or director changeApr 298-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

SCCO (SCCO) filed an 8-K under Item 5.02 disclosing a change in its executive leadership or board composition. The filing reports both a departure and an appointment in Chief Executive Officer. Individuals named in the filing include Other Jurisdiction, Employer Identification. Leadership changes at the C-suite and board level are material events requiring 8-K disclosure within four business days, as they can affect company strategy, investor confidence, and operational continuity.

8-KOfficer or director changeApr 178-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

SCCO (SCCO) filed an 8-K under Item 5.02 disclosing a change in its executive leadership or board composition. The filing reports both a departure and an appointment in Chief Executive Officer. Individuals named in the filing include Other Jurisdiction, Employer Identification. Leadership changes at the C-suite and board level are material events requiring 8-K disclosure within four business days, as they can affect company strategy, investor confidence, and operational continuity.

+ 10 other (3 routine 8-Ks · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Can Southern Copper's Investment Plan Fuel Long-Term Output Growth?zacks.com·15h agoBamco Inc. NY Buys Shares of 5,203 Southern Copper Corporation $SCCOdefenseworld.net·4d agoSCCO's H1 Copper Output Falls Y/Y: What Lies Ahead for the Stock?zacks.com·5d agoSCCO vs. TECK: Which Copper Stock Is the Stronger Pick Now?zacks.com·7d agoSCCO Fairly Valued by DCF at $209gurufocus.com·8d ago

In themes

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