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HBHBM

Hudbay Minerals Inc.

$HBM·$12B·Copper·Basic Materials
$28.66-2.2%YTD+22.1%1Y+137.6%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-22: 2 posts2026-08-23: 10 posts81-3%
Price updated 11h ago·X counts updated 8d ago
HBHBM
$HBMHudbay Minerals Inc.
$28.66-2.15%81 posts-3%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $HBM, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-09-01

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Hudbay Minerals is up 138% t12m on the copper supercycle — the mechanics keep validating the tape.

Hudbay Minerals is a diversified base-metals miner focused on copper (Peru's Constancia, Canada's Snow Lake, Arizona's Copper World) plus zinc and precious-metals byproducts. Up 138% t12m as copper prices push new all-time highs.

  • Revenue growth is real and accelerating: last four quarters printed -29% to +27% YoY at operating margin 3-40% — Q1 revenue at $757M is the healthy run rate, and analyst FY27 EPS estimates at $1.92 (from $1.47 FY26) reflect 30% earnings growth on continued price strength.
  • The last four EPS prints beat consensus by -45% to +18% (Q1 2026 was the big beat, Q1 2025 was the miss) — a recently improving pattern that has driven the acceleration.
  • Position sits at the 83rd percentile of the 52-week range with volume 49% of normal — the tape is being accumulated near highs on modest volume, so accumulation is measured.
  • Valuation is reasonable for a producer at these copper prices: PE 19.2x TTM, price/sales 5.3x, ROIC 6.6% — the multiple compresses fast if copper stays above $10K/tonne.

The path forward is decided by the Nov 4 Q3 print — copper realized prices, Constancia and Snow Lake production trajectory, and any color on Copper World development milestones. The Aug 28 Panoro Minerals Early Warning Report is a real strategic move (potential accumulation for a takeover play). A copper price sustained above $10K/tonne plus a Q3 beat continues the acceleration; a copper break below $8K or a production miss invalidates the setup at these levels.

Agrees with X sentimentAligned with the bulls — HBM as one of the top-performing global metals and mining stocks with +181% one-year total return, growing North American copper producer alongside SCCO and NRED, and benefiting from copper hitting a new all-time high are all real. The 'large-cap miner suitable for long-term holds' framing is consistent with the mechanics.

What to watch: The Nov 4 Q3 print — copper realized prices, Constancia and Snow Lake production trajectory, and Copper World development milestones color. A copper break below $8K/tonne or a production miss invalidates the setup; a copper price sustained above $10K plus a Q3 beat continues the acceleration.

On the calendar: 2026-11-04 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-13

X users are bullish on Hudbay Minerals as one of the top-performing global metals and mining stocks with a +181% one-year total return. Posters cite HBM as a growing North American copper producer alongside SCCO and NRED benefiting from copper hitting a new all-time high. Commentary treats the name as a large-cap miner suitable for long-term holds.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $HBM

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Canadian diversified miner producing copper, gold, silver, and molybdenum from mines in North and South America.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Copper sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $HBM.

Copper · Basic Materials

Copper demand is driven by two structural forces in parallel: grid infrastructure buildout (electrification) and data center cooling/wiring for AI deployments. Supply constraints from aging mine infrastructure and declining ore grades support the long-term price floor.

What this means for $HBM

Partial — upstream oil & gas exposure ties to commodity price cycle; Hudbay Minerals Inc.

Top industry ETF

$COPXGlobal X Copper Miners ETF
+14.2%YTD
+85.2%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
19.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
6.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
28.7%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
2.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
5.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
20.7%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
37.1%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 29, 2026$0.28$0.26+8.4%
Q1 2026May 1, 2026$0.40$0.34+17.6%
Q4 2025Feb 20, 2026$0.22$0.40-45.0%
Q3 2025Nov 12, 2025$0.03$0.06-50.0%
Next earningsWed, Nov 4·consensus EPS $0.36

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$757.3M+27.3%48.6%40.0%$0.47$69.8M
Q4 FY25$732.9M+25.3%36.9%29.6%$0.33$42.3M
Q3 FY25$346.8M-28.6%18.8%3.0%$0.56$3.1M
Q2 FY25$536.4M+26.1%32.9%28.3%$0.30$137.4M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 11 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$2.9B$2.8B – $3.1B$1.47$0.98 – $1.9610
FY27$3.4B$3.1B – $3.9B$1.92$1.40 – $2.5411
FY28$3.3B$2.9B – $4.0B$1.84$0.95 – $2.558
FY29$3.7B$3.4B – $4.1B$2.06$1.84 – $2.357
FY30$3.4B$3.1B – $3.8B$2.01$1.79 – $2.297

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.5×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.83%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+15.8%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+23.0%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 427.4M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.6% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.275-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

No material 8-K / SC 13D / S-3 / 424B5 filings in the last 180 days.

+ 19 other (11 6-Ks · 3 13Gs · 1 S-8 · 1 SD) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

CXMT's HBM3E Push Challenges Micron: These ETFs Play the AI Memory Boombenzinga.com·16h agoThe Memory Shortage Isn't Close to Ending — Samsung Just Locked Up 70% of HBM Capacity Through 2031247wallst.com·21h agoHudbay Files Early Warning Report for Panoro Minerals Ltd.globenewswire.com·4d agoSK hynix Holds Groundbreaking Ceremony for HBM Production Base in Indiana, "Beginning a New Future for US-Korea AI"gurufocus.com·5d agoSK hynix: Cheap Despite A Historic Memory Boomseekingalpha.com·7d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Trending on XCritical Minerals & Rare Earths

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $HBM on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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