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ANANFGF

Antofagasta plc

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 39% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesQuiet on X (0 mentions/wk)
$ANFGF·$54B·Copper·Basic Materials
$53.94+3.6%1Y+79.3%
Price updated 42d ago·X counts updated 43d ago
ANANFGF
$ANFGFAntofagasta plc
$53.94+3.59%0 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $ANFGF on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

0X posts · last 7 days
No mention history yet

AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $ANFGF — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-08-21

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

Antofagasta H1 EBITDA up 27% but Chilean rain forced production guidance cut — the copper story is intact, the tape is pricing the near-term hit.

Antofagasta operates four Chilean copper mines (Los Pelambres, Centinela, Antucoya, Zaldívar) producing copper cathodes and concentrates plus molybdenum, gold, and silver by-products. The setup is a large-cap copper producer with genuine long-term structural tailwind (electrification, data-center power) and near-term weather-driven operational friction.

  • H1 2026 EBITDA rose 27% year-on-year with Q2 EPS at $0.859 versus $0.727 consensus (18% beat) — the pricing is doing the work, and copper realizations above $4.50/lb support the operating leverage.
  • Production guidance was cut following heavy Chilean rain (WSJ, Aug 13) — the specific operational headwind that shifts near-term volumes even as pricing cooperates, and the tape slid on the guide-down.
  • Citi maintained a £44 price target despite lowering the 2026 copper forecast (Aug 20 proactiveinvestors) — the sell-side is looking through the near-term production issue and staying constructive on the copper cycle.
  • Sits at the 65th percentile of the 52-week range, up 77% year-on-year, but 3% below the 50-day and 6% below on a longer window — the tape is digesting the guide-cut while the cycle story remains intact.

What restarts the move is Feb 23 2027 full-year confirming production recovery and specific 2027 copper cost-guide framework. What extends the cooling is another operational headline (labor, water rights, or a specific mine event) or a copper-price mean reversion below $4/lb; the multi-year cycle is the load-bearing thesis, and Antofagasta remains a preferred way to play it via a large-cap operator.

What to watch: Feb 23 2027 full-year results — consensus $1.03 EPS. Watch copper production versus revised guide, unit cash costs, growth-project capex (Los Pelambres phase 2), and any Chilean water-rights or labor commentary.

On the calendar: 2027-02-23 — Full-year 2026 results

Read the AI verdict on $ANFGF

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Chilean copper mining company operating Los Pelambres and Centinela mines, a pure-play copper thematic in tight global supply.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Copper sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ANFGF.

Copper · Basic Materials

No material change from last week — EV adoption, grid electrification, and AI data-center power wiring sustain structural copper demand against constrained supply.

What this means for $ANFGF

Partial — upstream oil & gas exposure ties to commodity price cycle; Antofagasta plc is a prominent enterprise principally engage.

Top industry ETF

$COPXGlobal X Copper Miners ETF
+9.9%YTD
+27.7%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
46.9How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
7.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
42.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-0.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
7.4Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
10.7%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
50.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.7Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 13, 2026$0.86$0.73+18.2%
Q4 2025Feb 17, 2026$0.82$0.83-1.4%
Q2 2025Aug 14, 2025$0.53$0.44+21.1%
Q1 2025May 9, 2025$0.56$0.40+38.7%
Next earningsTue, Feb 23·consensus EPS $1.03

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q4 FY25$4.9B+39.0%52.9%45.0%$0.82$-14.7M
Q2 FY25$3.8B+27.7%45.0%34.4%$0.53$-466.6M
Q4 FY24$3.5B+3.3%37.4%29.2%$0.56$19.8M
Q2 FY24$3.0B+24.4%36.1%25.6%$0.26$33.8M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 18 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$10.3B$9.8B – $10.8B$1.87$1.63 – $2.1218
FY27$11.1B$9.6B – $12.9B$2.08$1.82 – $2.3617
FY28$12.5B$11.3B – $13.8B$2.44$2.13 – $2.778
FY29$11.5B$10.4B – $12.7B$1.94$1.69 – $2.2013
FY30$11.8B$10.6B – $13.0B$2.17$1.89 – $2.468

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.71%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+1.2%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+5.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 321.3M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.345-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.ListedOTCListed on an over-the-counter market (PNK / OTCQB / OTCQX), not a major exchange. Lower disclosure requirements and thinner liquidity.

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Citi keeps Antofagasta at £44 target despite lower 2026 copper forecastproactiveinvestors.co.uk·58d agoAntofagasta plc (ANFGF) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·65d agoAntofagasta slides as Chilean storms force copper output downgradeproactiveinvestors.co.uk·65d agoAntofagasta Posts Higher Earnings But Cuts Production Guidance After Heavy Rain in Chilewsj.com·65d agoAntofagasta lifts first-half EBITDA 27% as copper prices strengthen and growth projects advanceproactiveinvestors.co.uk·65d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $ANFGF on X in the last 7 days.

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