TickerTalks
Browse all tickers →
TickerTalks›$XPO
XPXPO

XPO Logistics, Inc.

$XPO·$24B·Trucking·Industrials
$188.56-1.6%YTD+50.0%1Y+44.9%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-20: 3 posts2026-08-21: 3 posts2026-08-22: 1 posts2026-08-23: 2 posts25-12%
Price updated 2d ago·X counts updated 7d ago
XPXPO
$XPOXPO Logistics, Inc.
$188.56-1.59%25 posts-12%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
Loading…

AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $XPO, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-08-30

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

XPO Logistics +45% TTM at 70x PE — Q2 print faded (-7.5% below 50-day), Harik $33.87M F-InKind (RSU tax settlement).

XPO Logistics is a $23.6B less-than-truckload freight carrier. Real-business quality but the tape has faded from the Q2 print highs.

How it reads:

  • Growth is real: Q1 revenue +7.3% YoY to $2.10B, Q4 was flat — mid-single-digit LTL compounding.
  • Margins are OK: 9.1% operating margin, 1.9% FCF yield, 8.2% ROIC — LTL-carrier economics.
  • Valuation is elevated: 70.5x PE (near-zero on Q1 base), 2.9x sales, 23.2x EV/EBITDA — priced on operating-ratio improvement.
  • Position is coiling: 61st percentile 52w, 7.5% below 50-day, flat vs 200-day on 68% baseline volume — pulling back to the 200-day.
  • Aug 2 'Big Gains From Small Improvements In Its Operating Ratio (Rating Upgrade)' captures the operating-leverage case.
  • No X sentiment sample — chatter is quiet on this LTL name.
  • Insider signal is heavily structural: $1.01M S-Sale (Brown $1M) plus $33.87M F-InKind (Harik 167,167 shares tax withholding on 691K M-Exempt) — the F-InKind is RSU-driven, not discretionary distribution; the Brown S-Sale is the meaningful discretionary event.

The Oct 29 print is the test — reiterated FY26 operating-ratio target plus specific commentary on tonnage/pricing mix extends the recovery; another operating-ratio miss plus continued freight-recession pressure drops to $170 support.

What to watch: Oct 29 earnings — reiterated FY26 operating-ratio target plus specific commentary on tonnage/pricing mix extends the recovery; another operating-ratio miss plus continued freight-recession pressure drops to $170 support.

On the calendar: 2026-10-29 — Q3 earnings

no sentiment sample

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $XPO

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Less-than-truckload freight carrier operating regional and cross-continental LTL services across North America and Europe.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Trucking sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $XPO.

Trucking · Industrials

No material change from last week — small carrier exits are finally tightening the market after two years of rate suppression, with KNX earnings signaling the turn.

What this means for $XPO

Partial — Less-than-truckload freight carrier operating regional and cross-continental LTL services across North America and Europe; partial earnings exposure to trucking demand dynamics through its product portfolio.

Top industry ETF

$IYTiShares U.S. Transportation ETF
+17.4%YTD
+20.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
70.5How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
8.2%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
9.1%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
1.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.9Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
19.0%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
12.2%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
2.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 30, 2026$1.70$1.48+14.9%
Q1 2026Apr 30, 2026$1.01$0.88+14.9%
Q4 2025Feb 5, 2026$0.88$0.76+15.2%
Q3 2025Oct 30, 2025$1.07$1.02+4.9%
Next earningsThu, Oct 29·consensus EPS $1.56

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$2.1B+7.3%11.4%8.8%$0.86$72.0M
Q4 FY25$2.0B+4.6%11.6%8.1%$0.50$119.0M
Q3 FY25$2.1B+2.8%12.8%9.8%$0.69$215.0M
Q2 FY25$2.1B+0.0%12.9%9.5%$0.90$51.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 15 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$8.8B$8.7B – $8.9B$4.95$4.65 – $5.2015
FY27$9.3B$9.2B – $9.5B$6.10$5.56 – $6.7015
FY28$9.9B$9.9B – $9.9B$7.59$7.37 – $7.919
FY29$10.8B$10.4B – $11.2B$9.35$8.94 – $9.844
FY30$11.1B$10.7B – $11.6B$11.45$10.95 – $12.054

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.61%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-7.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+0.5%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 103.2M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.6% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.725-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 11Brown Christopher MichaelChief Accounting Officer3.8K sh$757KSellAug 10Brown Christopher MichaelChief Accounting Officer1.3K sh$252KSellMay 28Allison LandryDirector2.4K sh$517K
+ 29 other (11 exempts · 11 inkinds · 7 awards) in window

See when $XPO insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDJul 308-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

XPO, INC. (XPO) filed a Reg FD disclosure (Item 7.01) on 2026-07-30, furnishing presentation expected to be used by the Company in connection with certain future investor presentat. Reg FD filings ensure simultaneous public disclosure of material information shared with select investors. This is generally informational; no new deal terms or financial results were announced unless otherwise noted. Investors should review the attached exhibit for updated guidance or strategic commentary.

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 283
AI summary

Michael Kneeland filed a Form 3 with the SEC on July 28, 2026 as a newly appointed director of XPO, Inc. (ticker: XPO). Table I of the Form 3 shows no non-derivative securities beneficially owned as of his appointment date, and Table II shows no derivative securities, indicating he had not yet received any equity compensation grants at the time of filing. Kneeland's 8-K appointment disclosure, filed the same day, outlines his board retainer of $80,000 and annual equity grant of $190,000 in RSUs. This Form 3 is a routine initial ownership statement required of all new Section 16 reporting persons within 10 days of appointment.

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 278-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

XPO, Inc. appointed Michael Kneeland to its Board of Directors effective July 27, 2026, as disclosed in an 8-K filed under Item 5.02. Kneeland is the non-executive chairman of United Rentals, the world's largest equipment rental company, having previously served as its CEO from 2007 to 2019 and president for a concurrent decade. His compensation includes an $80,000 annual cash retainer and an annual equity grant of $190,000 in RSUs, consistent with XPO's standard independent director compensation schedule. Kneeland's logistics and large-fleet operational expertise is directly relevant to XPO's less-than-truckload freight transportation network, which the company has been aggressively expanding following the spin-off of GXO Logistics.

8-KPress release / Reg FDJun 38-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

XPO, Inc. disclosed preliminary May 2026 LTL operating metrics via Reg FD and provided final April 2026 LTL results: North American LTL tonnage per day declined 1.5% year-over-year (shipments per day +0.2%, weight per shipment -1.7%). May 2026 preliminary metrics were provided as Exhibit 99.1. Routine monthly LTL operations update — slightly negative YoY volume trends are consistent with softer freight conditions; LTL metrics are a key leading indicator for XPO's earnings.

8-KMaterial agreementJun 18-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

XPO, Inc. entered into Amendment No. 11 to its Senior Secured Term Loan B Credit Agreement on May 29, 2026, with Morgan Stanley Senior Funding as administrative and collateral agent. The 11th TLB amendment reflects ongoing capital structure optimization by XPO — common for large leveraged credit facilities, this likely reflects improved pricing or extended maturity as XPO demonstrates operational recovery.

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 268-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

XPO, Inc.'s Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary Wendy Cassity notified the company on May 20, 2026 of her intention to resign effective on or about June 18, 2026, citing personal reasons. Routine CLO departure — XPO will need to identify a replacement; the personal nature of the resignation and defined timeline limit strategic disruption.

8-KShareholder voteMay 198-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

XPO, Inc. held its 2026 Annual Meeting on May 19, 2026, where shareholders voted to elect all director nominees including CEO Mario Harik with over 99% support, ratify KPMG LLP as independent auditor for FY2026, and approve executive compensation on an advisory basis. Routine annual meeting — overwhelming shareholder support across all proposals with no contested items.

8-KPress release / Reg FDApr 308-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 18 other (9 13Gs · 3 proxys · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Three XPO Drivers Earn Top Awards at 2026 National Truck Driving Championshipsglobenewswire.com·12d ago7,395 Shares in XPO, Inc. $XPO Purchased by Assenagon Asset Management S.A.defenseworld.net·15d agoXPO: Big Gains From Small Improvements In Its Operating Ratio (Rating Upgrade)seekingalpha.com·28d agoXPO Q2 Earnings Call Highlightsmarketbeat.com·29d agoXPO Q2 Earnings Call Highlights AI-Driven Margin Gainszacks.com·30d ago

More in Trucking

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

$KNX$ODFL$TOPP$ULH
Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $XPO on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

PrivacyTermsSupport