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XPXPO

XPO Logistics, Inc.

$XPO·$22B·Trucking·Industrials
$186.67-1.1%YTD+32.8%1Y+42.4%
Price updated 7h ago·X counts updated 5d ago
XPXPO
$XPOXPO Logistics, Inc.
$186.67-1.14%70 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $XPO on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

70X posts · last 7 days
Sep 29Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $XPO's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level, louder than 57% of tracked names.

AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $XPO — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-10-03

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

XPO is +33% YTD as LTL pricing + volume both work — a 70x multiple makes any execution hiccup expensive.

XPO Logistics is a US-focused pure-play LTL trucking carrier — the second-largest publicly-traded less-than-truckload operator, benefiting from Yellow's bankruptcy capacity and tight supply dynamics. The stock has +33% YTD on the LTL cycle.

  • Growth is accelerating: Q1 2026 revenue of $2.1B at +7.3% YoY after +4.6%, +2.8%, and +0.05% in prior quarters — the LTL pricing cycle is converting to revenue, with operating-margin trend improving at ~9%.
  • EPS beats are large and consistent: last four prints at +15%, +15%, +15%, +5% — the pricing-plus-volume mix is landing cleanly, with 2027 consensus EPS continuing higher.
  • The August 2026 preliminary tonnage data (Reg FD disclosure) plus two new service-center openings in fast-growing markets confirm the operational momentum — the FreightWaves 2027 FreightTech 100 recognition is a soft signal of execution quality.

An Oct 29 Q3 print with LTL tonnage above July 2026 levels plus operating-margin above 10% extends the move; a trucking-cycle rollover or a pricing pullback and the stock gives back a chunk of the +33% YTD given 70x trailing.

What to watch: Oct 29 Q3 earnings — LTL tonnage per day above July 2026 levels, LTL yield per hundredweight pricing, operating-margin trend above 10%, and FY27 guide. A trucking-cycle rollover or a pricing pullback is the hard downside given the 70x trailing multiple.

On the calendar: 2026-10-29 — Q3 2026 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $XPO

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Less-than-truckload freight carrier operating regional and cross-continental LTL services across North America and Europe.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Trucking sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $XPO.

Trucking · Industrials

Truckload spot rates are near cycle lows as excess carrier capacity (2021–2022 equipment orders delivering into a softening demand environment) persists; contract rate erosion continues through 2026 as shippers renegotiate. Less-than-truckload (LTL) operators (ODFL, XPO) are maintaining pricing discipline better than TL through route network advantages; freight tech platforms are accelerating carrier capacity rationalization.

What this means for $XPO

Direct beneficiary — Less-than-truckload freight carrier operating regional and cross-continental LTL services across North America and Europe.

Top industry ETF

$IYTiShares U.S. Transportation ETF
+6.7%YTD
+13.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
70.5How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
8.2%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
9.1%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
1.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.9Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
19.0%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
12.2%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
2.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 30, 2026$1.70$1.48+14.9%
Q1 2026Apr 30, 2026$1.01$0.88+14.9%
Q4 2025Feb 5, 2026$0.88$0.76+15.2%
Q3 2025Oct 30, 2025$1.07$1.02+4.9%
Next earningsThu, Oct 29·consensus EPS $1.58

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$2.1B+7.3%11.4%8.8%$0.86$72.0M
Q4 FY25$2.0B+4.6%11.6%8.1%$0.50$119.0M
Q3 FY25$2.1B+2.8%12.8%9.8%$0.69$215.0M
Q2 FY25$2.1B+0.0%12.9%9.5%$0.90$51.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 16 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$9.0B$8.9B – $9.1B$5.48$5.28 – $5.6216
FY27$9.5B$9.3B – $9.8B$6.48$5.89 – $6.8516
FY28$10.1B$9.9B – $10.7B$7.84$7.47 – $8.0910
FY29$10.7B$10.4B – $11.0B$9.79$9.39 – $10.115
FY30$11.6B$11.2B – $11.8B$12.13$11.63 – $12.535

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.2×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.59%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-0.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-4.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellOct 1David J. BatesCOO2.6K sh$465KSellOct 1Kyle WismansCFO750 sh$132KSellSep 14David J. BatesCOO2.6K sh$469KSellSep 14Kyle WismansCFO750 sh$134KSellAug 11Brown Christopher MichaelChief Accounting Officer3.8K sh$757KSellAug 10Brown Christopher MichaelChief Accounting Officer1.3K sh$252KSellMay 28Allison LandryDirector2.4K sh$517K
+ 4 other (2 awards · 1 exempt · 1 inkind) in window

See when $XPO insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDSep 38-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

XPO, Inc. disclosed preliminary August 2026 operating metrics and final July 2026 metrics for its North American Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) segment via Reg FD disclosure. In July 2026, tonnage per day increased 5.8% year-over-year (shipments/day +5.9%, weight/shipment -0.2%). The preliminary August 2026 metrics are in the attached press release. Positive LTL volume trends in both July (final) and August (preliminary) signal continued freight market recovery, which is material for transportation sector investors.

8-KPress release / Reg FDJul 308-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

XPO, INC. (XPO) filed a Reg FD disclosure (Item 7.01) on 2026-07-30, furnishing presentation expected to be used by the Company in connection with certain future investor presentat. Reg FD filings ensure simultaneous public disclosure of material information shared with select investors. This is generally informational; no new deal terms or financial results were announced unless otherwise noted. Investors should review the attached exhibit for updated guidance or strategic commentary.

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 283
AI summary

Michael Kneeland filed a Form 3 with the SEC on July 28, 2026 as a newly appointed director of XPO, Inc. (ticker: XPO). Table I of the Form 3 shows no non-derivative securities beneficially owned as of his appointment date, and Table II shows no derivative securities, indicating he had not yet received any equity compensation grants at the time of filing. Kneeland's 8-K appointment disclosure, filed the same day, outlines his board retainer of $80,000 and annual equity grant of $190,000 in RSUs. This Form 3 is a routine initial ownership statement required of all new Section 16 reporting persons within 10 days of appointment.

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 278-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

XPO, Inc. appointed Michael Kneeland to its Board of Directors effective July 27, 2026, as disclosed in an 8-K filed under Item 5.02. Kneeland is the non-executive chairman of United Rentals, the world's largest equipment rental company, having previously served as its CEO from 2007 to 2019 and president for a concurrent decade. His compensation includes an $80,000 annual cash retainer and an annual equity grant of $190,000 in RSUs, consistent with XPO's standard independent director compensation schedule. Kneeland's logistics and large-fleet operational expertise is directly relevant to XPO's less-than-truckload freight transportation network, which the company has been aggressively expanding following the spin-off of GXO Logistics.

8-KPress release / Reg FDJun 38-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

XPO, Inc. disclosed preliminary May 2026 LTL operating metrics via Reg FD and provided final April 2026 LTL results: North American LTL tonnage per day declined 1.5% year-over-year (shipments per day +0.2%, weight per shipment -1.7%). May 2026 preliminary metrics were provided as Exhibit 99.1. Routine monthly LTL operations update — slightly negative YoY volume trends are consistent with softer freight conditions; LTL metrics are a key leading indicator for XPO's earnings.

8-KMaterial agreementJun 18-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

XPO, Inc. entered into Amendment No. 11 to its Senior Secured Term Loan B Credit Agreement on May 29, 2026, with Morgan Stanley Senior Funding as administrative and collateral agent. The 11th TLB amendment reflects ongoing capital structure optimization by XPO — common for large leveraged credit facilities, this likely reflects improved pricing or extended maturity as XPO demonstrates operational recovery.

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 268-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

XPO, Inc.'s Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary Wendy Cassity notified the company on May 20, 2026 of her intention to resign effective on or about June 18, 2026, citing personal reasons. Routine CLO departure — XPO will need to identify a replacement; the personal nature of the resignation and defined timeline limit strategic disruption.

8-KShareholder voteMay 198-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

XPO, Inc. held its 2026 Annual Meeting on May 19, 2026, where shareholders voted to elect all director nominees including CEO Mario Harik with over 99% support, ratify KPMG LLP as independent auditor for FY2026, and approve executive compensation on an advisory basis. Routine annual meeting — overwhelming shareholder support across all proposals with no contested items.

+ 14 other (8 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 1 SD) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

XPO, Inc. $XPO Stock Sold by First Citizens Bank & Trust Co.defenseworld.net·1d agoXPO (NYSE:XPO) vs. Full Truck Alliance (NYSE:YMM) Head-To-Head Comparisondefenseworld.net·5d agoBenzinga's 'Stock Whisper' Index: Five Stocks Investors Secretly Monitor But Don't Talk About Yetbenzinga.com·13d agoXPO Opens Two New Service Centers in Fast-Growing Freight Marketsglobenewswire.com·16d agoXPO Named a 2027 FreightTech 100 Company by FreightWavesglobenewswire.com·26d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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