TickerTalks
Browse all tickers →
TickerTalks›$XPO
XPXPO

XPO Logistics, Inc.

Trending onWhy it's trendingX chatter spiked vs its recent normBacked by solid revenue growth
$XPO·$24B·Integrated Freight & Logistics·Industrials
$209.97+0.2%YTD+54.9%1Y+58.6%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-08: 31 posts2026-07-09: 71 posts2026-07-10: 97 posts2026-07-11: 40 posts2026-07-12: 67 posts2026-07-13: 96 posts2026-07-14: 26 posts428
Price updated 3h ago·X counts updated 2h ago
XPXPO
$XPOXPO Logistics, Inc.
$209.97+0.25%428 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
Loading…

AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $XPO, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-07-13

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

XPO up as LTL cycle turns — Q1 EPS $0.86 beats by 15%, freight rates soaring, July 30 print, four-quarter beat streak intact.

XPO Logistics is the North American LTL specialist plus European freight brokerage — the operating turn story is compounding across four consecutive EPS beats into the July 30 Q2 print, with Barrons framing XPO as the primary way to play soaring freight rates.

  • The Barrons freight-rate framing is the biggest recent catalyst — 'XPO and 7 More Transport Stocks to Play Soaring Freight Rates' captures the specific bull thesis; combined with two Zacks pieces June 18 (Best Momentum Stocks, New Strong Buy Stocks) captures the coordinated momentum-plus-Buy-rating cadence.
  • The four-quarter EPS beat streak is consistent — +15% Q1, +15% Q4, +5% Q3, +6% Q2 across the last four quarters with Q1 EPS $1.01 vs $0.88 estimate — reliable positive-surprises reflect the LTL operating leverage kicking in as freight rates recover.
  • The Q1 print continued revenue reacceleration — revenue $2.10B up 7% YoY (from Q4 +5%, Q3 +3%, Q2 +0.05%) with 11% gross margin and 9% operating margin, EPS $0.86; the revenue-growth trajectory turning positive is the multiple-driver signal.
  • The May LTL operating metrics were slightly soft — the June 3 8-K disclosed May 2026 preliminary metrics showing North American LTL tonnage per day declined 1.5% YoY, but tonnage-per-day trends are volatile and rate/mix should drive Q2 revenue growth despite the tonnage softness.

July 30 is the pivot — a beat on $1.47 EPS estimate plus reaffirming the LTL freight-rate-recovery trajectory and specific tonnage-normalization commentary extends the four-quarter beat streak and rebuilds momentum; a soft print combined with any tonnage-per-day-deceleration signal or LTL pricing-pressure disclosure digests XPO back toward the 50-day support. The analyst curve compounds cleanly at $4.96 FY26 EPS stepping to $9.35 FY29, so the multiple has room if beats continue.

What to watch: July 30 Q2 print — a beat on $1.47 estimate plus reaffirming LTL freight-rate-recovery trajectory and tonnage-normalization commentary extends the four-quarter beat streak; a soft print combined with tonnage-per-day-deceleration signal or LTL pricing-pressure disclosure digests XPO toward 50-day support.

On the calendar: 2026-07-30 — Q2 earnings

no sentimentno price data

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $XPO

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

XPO Logistics, Inc. is a prominent provider of freight shipping solutions, operating extensively across the United States, wider North America, various European nations including France and the United Kingdom, and globally. The company's business activities are structured into two primary divisions. The North American LTL (Less-Than-Truckload) segment delivers crucial LTL services, guaranteeing timely and geographically comprehensive transportation for regional, inter-regional, and cross-continental freight. This division also handles cross-border shipments connecting the U.S. with Mexico and Canada, alongside domestic services within Canada. Its second division, Brokerage and Other Services, focuses on the crucial final leg of delivery for substantial goods purchased through e-commerce platforms, omnichannel retail, and direct-to-consumer channels. Furthermore, this segment provides brokered freight services that fall outside its core operations. XPO serves a wide range of industries, including industrial and manufacturing, retail and e-commerce, food and beverage, logistics and general transportation, and consumer goods. Founded in 2000, the company is headquartered in Greenwich, Connecticut.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Integrated Freight & Logistics sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $XPO.

Integrated Freight & Logistics · Industrials

No material change from last week — the FedEx Freight spin-off starts trading this week, creating a pure-play LTL company while allowing FedEx to concentrate capital on parcel and express network..

What this means for $XPO

Direct beneficiary — is a prominent provider of freight shipping solutions, operating extensively across the United States, wider North America, various European nations including France and the United Kingdom, and global; the company is structurally positioned to capture the FedEx Freight spin-off and e-commerce parcel volume cycle.

Top industry ETF

$IYTiShares U.S. Transportation ETF
+17.1%YTD
+22.9%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
70.5How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
8.2%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
9.1%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
1.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.9Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
19.0%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
12.2%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
2.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 30, 2026$1.01$0.88+14.9%
Q4 2025Feb 5, 2026$0.88$0.76+15.2%
Q3 2025Oct 30, 2025$1.07$1.02+4.9%
Q2 2025Jul 31, 2025$1.05$0.99+6.1%
Next earningsThu, Jul 30·consensus EPS $1.47

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$2.1B+7.3%11.4%8.8%$0.86$72.0M
Q4 FY25$2.0B+4.6%11.6%8.1%$0.50$119.0M
Q3 FY25$2.1B+2.8%12.8%9.8%$0.69$215.0M
Q2 FY25$2.1B+0.0%12.9%9.5%$0.90$51.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 15 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$8.9B$8.7B – $9.0B$4.96$4.65 – $5.2115
FY27$9.3B$9.2B – $9.5B$6.09$5.55 – $6.6915
FY28$10.0B$9.9B – $10.0B$7.41$7.27 – $7.558
FY29$10.8B$10.4B – $11.2B$9.35$8.92 – $9.847
FY30$11.1B$10.7B – $11.6B$11.45$10.93 – $12.057

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.5×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.80%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+0.1%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+19.5%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 103.5M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.8% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.645-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 28Allison LandryDirector2.4K sh$517K
+ 29 other (10 exempts · 10 inkinds · 9 awards) in window

See when $XPO insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDJun 38-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

XPO, Inc. disclosed preliminary May 2026 LTL operating metrics via Reg FD and provided final April 2026 LTL results: North American LTL tonnage per day declined 1.5% year-over-year (shipments per day +0.2%, weight per shipment -1.7%). May 2026 preliminary metrics were provided as Exhibit 99.1. Routine monthly LTL operations update — slightly negative YoY volume trends are consistent with softer freight conditions; LTL metrics are a key leading indicator for XPO's earnings.

8-KMaterial agreementJun 18-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

XPO, Inc. entered into Amendment No. 11 to its Senior Secured Term Loan B Credit Agreement on May 29, 2026, with Morgan Stanley Senior Funding as administrative and collateral agent. The 11th TLB amendment reflects ongoing capital structure optimization by XPO — common for large leveraged credit facilities, this likely reflects improved pricing or extended maturity as XPO demonstrates operational recovery.

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 268-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

XPO, Inc.'s Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary Wendy Cassity notified the company on May 20, 2026 of her intention to resign effective on or about June 18, 2026, citing personal reasons. Routine CLO departure — XPO will need to identify a replacement; the personal nature of the resignation and defined timeline limit strategic disruption.

8-KShareholder voteMay 198-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

XPO, Inc. held its 2026 Annual Meeting on May 19, 2026, where shareholders voted to elect all director nominees including CEO Mario Harik with over 99% support, ratify KPMG LLP as independent auditor for FY2026, and approve executive compensation on an advisory basis. Routine annual meeting — overwhelming shareholder support across all proposals with no contested items.

8-KPress release / Reg FDApr 308-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KPress release / Reg FDMar 28-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KPress release / Reg FDFeb 58-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 16 other (7 13Gs · 3 proxys · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 1 SD) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

XPO and 7 More Transport Stocks to Play Soaring Freight Ratesbarrons.com·5d agoXPO Schedules Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call for Thursday, July 30, 2026globenewswire.com·15d agoXPO Schedules Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call for Thursday, July 30, 2026globenewswire.com·15d agoBest Momentum Stocks to Buy for June 18thzacks.com·27d agoNew Strong Buy Stocks for June 18thzacks.com·27d ago

More in Integrated Freight & Logistics

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

$UPS$FDX$CHRW$OP$FDXF
Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $XPO on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

PrivacyTermsSupport