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FDFDXF

FedEx Freight Holding Company, Inc.

$FDXF·$18B·Integrated Freight & Logistics·Industrials
$150.29-1.1%1Y-0.5%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-08: 0 posts2026-08-09: 4 posts2026-08-10: 2 posts2026-08-11: 1 posts2026-08-12: 0 posts2026-08-13: 3 posts2026-08-14: 2 posts12-10%
Price updated 14h ago·X counts updated 12h ago
FDFDXF
$FDXFFedEx Freight Holding Company, Inc.
$150.29-1.12%12 posts-10%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $FDXF, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-08-13

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

The freshly spun-off less-than-truckload leader is finding its trading rhythm — margins are the story, and the LTL cycle is only tepidly cooperating.

FedEx Freight Holding is the standalone less-than-truckload (LTL) carrier spun off from FedEx Corp in June 2026 — the second-largest LTL fleet in the U.S. after Old Dominion Freight Line, now trading as an independent equity with its own capital-allocation choices.

  • As a fresh spin-off the trading history is thin — only two quarters of standalone earnings reported, most recent Q4 EPS at $1.53 (barely above the $1.51 consensus) — so consensus estimates and multiples are still finding their footing, and there's no established trading rhythm to lean on.
  • The LTL industry backdrop is mixed: pricing has held up better than tonnage (freight-recession dynamics), and management's July 24 commentary targeted margin growth as pricing and demand shift — that's the right operational lever, but it depends on volume stabilizing.
  • The tape is neutral-to-soft: position 8% below the 50-day average and volume 0.75x normal — spin-off equities typically trade in a wide range for 6-9 months as indexers rebalance, active managers underwrite the standalone story, and the natural buyer base develops.
  • Trades at ~4.5x TTM sales for a $17.8B market cap on a 6.6% operating margin business — the valuation implies that operating leverage from a proper freight-cycle recovery is priced in, so a miss on that recovery is the direct downside catalyst.

What restarts the move: Oct 28 Q1 fiscal 2027 print showing meaningful operating-margin expansion (target: >8% ops margin) plus commentary that LTL tonnage has stabilized — that's the setup that reopens the accelerating case. What would invalidate the current cooling read further: another mid-single-digit tonnage decline or a pricing-cut signal from Old Dominion (the industry pricing leader), either of which flips trajectory to breaking-down.

What to watch: Oct 28 Q1 fiscal 2027 earnings — operating margin trajectory (>8% is constructive) and LTL tonnage commentary. Also monitor Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) monthly tonnage reports and pricing commentary as the industry read-across. A break above 50-day on volume would invalidate cooling.

On the calendar: 2026-10-28 — Q1 fiscal 2027 earnings

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Independent LTL freight carrier providing time-definite shipping across the U.S., Canada, Mexico, and U.S. territories, spun off from FedEx.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Integrated Freight & Logistics sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $FDXF.

Integrated Freight & Logistics · Industrials

No material change from last week — the FedEx Freight spin-off starts trading this week, creating a pure-play LTL company while allowing FedEx to concentrate capital on parcel and express network..

What this means for $FDXF

Partial — Independent LTL freight carrier providing time-definite shipping across the U.S., Canada, Mexico, and U.S. territories, spun off from FedEx; partial earnings exposure to integrated freight & logistics demand dynamics through its product portfolio.

Top industry ETF

$IYTiShares U.S. Transportation ETF
+17.4%YTD
+24.4%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-0.0How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
3.7%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
6.6%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
0.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
4.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
6.5%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
26.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Jun 25, 2026$1.53$1.51+1.3%
Q1 2026Apr 29, 2026$0.37$1.24-69.9%
Next earningsWed, Oct 28·consensus EPS $1.31

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 3 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$8.6B$8.6B – $8.7B$3.93$3.83 – $4.002
FY27$8.8B$8.8B – $8.9B$4.77$4.35 – $5.093
FY28$8.1B$8.1B – $8.2B$0.00$0.00 – $0.001
FY29$7.9B$7.9B – $8.0B$0.00$0.00 – $0.001

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.—Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-2.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.—Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

β-7.345-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 22 other (21 awards · 1 other) in window

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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 268-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

FedEx Freight Holding Company's board of directors approved the TY26 Annual Cash Incentive Compensation Plan for the transition year covering June through December 2026, with adjusted operating income as the sole performance measure. Post-spin-off establishment of a standalone incentive plan is a routine governance step for a newly independent public company setting up its own compensation structure.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 23
AI summary

Jeffrey A. Davis joined FedEx Freight Holding Company's board of directors effective June 1, 2026, upon the spin-off from FedEx Corporation, and reports no securities beneficially owned. Routine mandatory initial Section 16 director disclosure at the time of FDXF's market debut as a newly-independent public company; completes the initial board disclosure set filed in connection with the spin-off.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 23
AI summary

Guy M. Erwin II joined FedEx Freight Holding Company as SVP & Chief Accounting Officer effective June 1, 2026, upon the spin-off from FedEx Corporation, and reports no securities beneficially owned. Routine mandatory initial Section 16 officer disclosure at the time of FDXF's market debut as a newly-independent public company.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 23
AI summary

Samantha M. Smith joined FedEx Freight Holding Company's board of directors effective June 1, 2026, upon the spin-off from FedEx Corporation, and reports no securities beneficially owned. Routine mandatory initial Section 16 director disclosure at the time of FDXF's market debut as a newly-independent public company.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 23
AI summary

Amy J. Salcido joined FedEx Freight Holding Company's board of directors effective June 1, 2026, upon the spin-off from FedEx Corporation, and reports no securities beneficially owned. Routine mandatory initial Section 16 director disclosure at the time of FDXF's market debut as a newly-independent public company.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 23
AI summary

Cindy J. Miller joined FedEx Freight Holding Company's board of directors effective June 1, 2026, upon the spin-off from FedEx Corporation, and reports no securities beneficially owned. Routine mandatory initial Section 16 director disclosure at the time of FDXF's market debut as a newly-independent public company.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 23
AI summary

Robert A. King joined FedEx Freight Holding Company's board of directors effective June 1, 2026, upon the spin-off from FedEx Corporation, and reports no securities beneficially owned. Routine mandatory initial Section 16 director disclosure at the time of FDXF's market debut as a newly-independent public company.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 23
AI summary

Stephen E. Gorman joined FedEx Freight Holding Company's board of directors effective June 1, 2026, upon the spin-off from FedEx Corporation, and reports no securities beneficially owned. Routine mandatory initial Section 16 director disclosure at the time of FDXF's market debut as a newly-independent public company.

+ 23 other (10 3s · 3 13Gs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 8-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

FedEx Freight Holding Company, Inc. (FDXF) Presents at Deutsche Bank's Chicago Industrials Summit Transcriptseekingalpha.com·2d agoHead to Head Contrast: FedEx Freight (NYSE:FDXF) vs. Cheetah Net Supply Chain Service (NASDAQ:CTNT)defenseworld.net·4d agoFedEx Freight Sending 111 Drivers to NTDCbusinesswire.com·10d agoFedEx Freight Targets Margin Growth as LTL Demand and Pricing Shiftzacks.com·22d agoFedEx Freight Stock Outlook After the Spin-Off and S&P 500 Debutzacks.com·23d ago

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