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CHCHRW

C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.

$CHRW·$23B·Integrated Freight & Logistics·Industrials
$205.17+3.9%YTD+22.4%1Y+103.5%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-09: 142 posts2026-07-10: 172 posts2026-07-11: 55 posts2026-07-12: 116 posts2026-07-13: 174 posts2026-07-14: 44 posts2026-07-15: 41 posts753+32%
Price updated 10m ago·X counts updated 19h ago
CHCHRW
$CHRWC.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.
$205.17+3.88%753 posts+32%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $CHRW, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-07-16

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

Freight-broker compounder at 95% of 52-week range with +22% YTD — earnings in thirteen days is the affirmation.

C.H. Robinson Worldwide is the freight brokerage + logistics platform whose 2026 tape has quietly compounded 103% t12m. The stock sits at 95% of the 52-week range with earnings on July 29 and the setup is decisively event-ahead.

  • The core business is stabilizing: Q1 2026 revenue fell 0.8% YoY to $4.0B (specific comp effect), gross margin at 8.3%, and operating margin was 4.4% — the freight-brokerage business has thin margins, but the AI-and-automation-driven cost-take-out is exactly the operating-leverage bulls have been underwriting.
  • Valuation is loaded on the beat-and-raise pattern: 39x TTM P/E and 1.4x sales at $197.50 reflects the +103% t12m rally, and the setup requires continued FY26 EPS growth to justify the multiple — 3.8% FCF yield gives real cushion for the buyback + dividend.
  • Insider action is quiet: 4 insider events in the quarter with no scale open-market distribution, and no sentiment data on the tape means the setup is entirely mechanical + fundamental into the July 29 print — real-business + event-ahead.

The July 29 Q2 earnings are the near-term arbiter — Q2 gross-margin trajectory (need continued expansion), Global Forwarding revenue, and any specific FY26 EPS guide movement extend the setup. A gross-margin miss or Global Forwarding softening stalls the tape near current 52-week-range highs.

What to watch: The July 29 Q2 earnings. Watch Q2 gross-margin trajectory (need continued expansion), Global Forwarding revenue, and FY26 EPS guide movement. Gross-margin miss or Global Forwarding softening stalls the tape near current 52-week-range highs; steady expansion extends toward $220.

On the calendar: 2026-07-29 — Q2 earnings

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $CHRW

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
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  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Largest North American freight broker connecting shippers to carriers across truckload, LTL, intermodal, and international forwarding.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Integrated Freight & Logistics sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $CHRW.

Integrated Freight & Logistics · Industrials

No material change from last week — the FedEx Freight spin-off starts trading this week, creating a pure-play LTL company while allowing FedEx to concentrate capital on parcel and express network..

What this means for $CHRW

Partial — serves as a global provider of diverse freight transportation and logistics solutions, assisting companies across numerous industries; this segment overlaps with the FedEx Freight spin-off and e-commerce parcel volume cycle but is not the dominant revenue driver.

Top industry ETF

$IYTiShares U.S. Transportation ETF
+17.0%YTD
+24.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
38.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
19.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
4.9%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
3.8%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.4Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
33.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
8.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 29, 2026$1.35$1.23+9.8%
Q4 2025Jan 28, 2026$1.23$1.12+9.8%
Q3 2025Oct 29, 2025$1.40$1.30+7.7%
Q2 2025Jul 30, 2025$1.29$1.16+11.2%
Next earningsWed, Jul 29·consensus EPS $1.51

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$4.0B-0.8%7.7%4.4%$1.23$66.0M
Q4 FY25$3.9B-6.5%8.2%4.6%$1.14$302.4M
Q3 FY25$4.1B-10.9%8.6%5.3%$1.36$269.5M
Q2 FY25$4.1B-7.7%8.7%5.2%$1.27$219.8M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 16 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$17.0B$16.5B – $18.0B$6.16$5.58 – $6.3216
FY27$18.1B$17.3B – $19.7B$7.38$5.95 – $8.0216
FY28$19.4B$19.3B – $19.4B$8.06$7.28 – $8.858
FY29$17.4B$16.6B – $18.8B$7.00$6.61 – $7.737
FY30$11.1B$10.6B – $11.9B$7.24$6.84 – $7.997

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.95%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+9.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+17.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 117.4M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.925-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyFeb 12Michael D. CastagnettoPres, NAST594 sh$100KBuyFeb 12David P BozemanCEO1.2K sh$200KBuyFeb 12Arun RajanChief Strat & Innov Officer605 sh$101KBuyFeb 12Damon J. LeeCFO620 sh$101KSellFeb 9Angela K. FreemanCHRO and ESG Officer8.6K sh$1.7MSellFeb 9Short Michael JohnPresident6.4K sh$1.3MSellFeb 2Michael D. CastagnettoPres, NAST2.8K sh$553K
+ 31 other (21 awards · 10 inkinds) in window

See when $CHRW insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 28-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

C.H. Robinson's Talent & Compensation Committee approved a special equity award for Arun Rajan (Chief Strategy and Innovation Officer) on May 29, 2026: performance stock units valued at $6 million target and restricted stock units valued at $1.5 million, with PSU vesting linked to strategic and talent development milestones and RSU grant size based on the 30-day average stock price. This is a significant targeted retention and performance package for a key executive — $7.5M total target value signals C.H. Robinson's focus on its digital and strategic transformation agenda.

8-KShareholder voteMay 118-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
+ 11 other (6 13Gs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 1 10-Q · 1 proxy) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Artisan Mid Cap Fund Q2 2026 Performance Reviewseekingalpha.com·1d agoZTO vs. CHRW: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?zacks.com·1d agoHere's Why C.H. Robinson Worldwide (CHRW) is a Strong Momentum Stockzacks.com·6d agoC.H. Robinson Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Conference Call Scheduled for Wednesday, July 29, 2026businesswire.com·9d agoZTO or CHRW: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?zacks.com·17d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $CHRW on X in the last 7 days.

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