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CHCHRW

C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.

$CHRW·$18B·Integrated Freight & Logistics·Industrials
$150.39-0.5%YTD-4.1%1Y+16.3%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-21: 3 posts2026-08-22: 3 posts2026-08-23: 3 posts2026-08-24: 2 posts25+16%
Price updated 3d ago·X counts updated 6d ago
CHCHRW
$CHRWC.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.
$150.39-0.50%25 posts+16%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $CHRW, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersSelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-08-21

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

Freight-brokerage leader hit with a $604M jury verdict — the beat cadence is intact, the tape is telegraphing something else.

C.H. Robinson is the largest US freight-broker by volume — asset-light matching of shippers and truckers, plus international/global forwarding. The bull thesis has always been technology-driven margin expansion; the recent overhang is a large jury verdict that management plans to appeal.

  • Q1 revenue was flat year-on-year at $4.01B but Q2 EPS came in at $1.61 vs $1.53 consensus — the fourth straight ~5-10% beat, so the operating execution is intact even as the top line has been muted.
  • On Aug 12, CHRW announced it will appeal a $604M Dallas jury verdict while affirming growth and buyback plans — the appeal timeline is measured in years, but the verdict itself is a real balance-sheet number that sits on the equity until it's either overturned or settled.
  • Trades at ~39x trailing earnings; forward 2026 consensus EPS of $6.20 works out to ~23x — the discount to the peer group is modest despite the verdict; the market has priced some but not all of the risk.
  • Sits at the 26th percentile of its 52-week range and is -17-19% below both the 50-day and 200-day trends — the tape has been in distribution since the verdict story broke, and the fundamentals-vs-tape gap suggests further downside if the verdict story escalates.

What restarts the move upward is a specific appeal-court ruling reducing or overturning the verdict, alongside a fresh Nov 4 Q3 beat and buyback execution. What confirms the breakdown is the appeal timeline stretching without progress, a fresh secondary verdict from parallel litigation, or a Q3 print where cost pressures start eating into the beat cadence — none of the three would surprise given the tape.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bearish X read on the $604M verdict as the 'elephant in the room' is fair — the -9.25% move since the story broke is the market's real assessment. The AI-displacement-of-sales-orgs framing is a longer-term thesis; the near-term catalyst is the verdict overhang and how management addresses it on the Q3 call.

What to watch: Nov 4 Q3 earnings — any specific update on the verdict appeal timeline, plus organic gross-profit-per-load trajectory. Court filings on the appeal are the specific out-of-cycle catalysts.

On the calendar: 2026-11-04 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bearish sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-31

C.H. Robinson is under a $604M jury verdict overhang. The stock is down about 9.25% since the story broke, and posters expect CEO Dave Bozeman to be under strict legal orders not to discuss it on Wednesday's earnings call — the 'elephant in the room' framing. The only other thread is a broader note that mature sales-and-marketing organizations (CHRW, MAN, RHI) are at risk from AI displacement. Nobody defends the stock.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $CHRW

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Largest North American freight broker connecting shippers to carriers across truckload, LTL, intermodal, and international forwarding.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Integrated Freight & Logistics sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $CHRW.

Integrated Freight & Logistics · Industrials

Intermodal volumes track industrial production and e-commerce shipment trends; pricing/yield management following post-COVID normalization is the margin driver. Rail network efficiency and fuel cost are the cost structure variables.

What this means for $CHRW

Partial — consumer discretionary / retail performance tracks consumer spending trends; C.

Top industry ETF

$IYTiShares U.S. Transportation ETF
+17.4%YTD
+20.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
38.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
19.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
4.9%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
3.8%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.4Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
33.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
8.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 29, 2026$1.61$1.53+5.2%
Q1 2026Apr 29, 2026$1.35$1.23+9.8%
Q4 2025Jan 28, 2026$1.23$1.12+9.8%
Q3 2025Oct 29, 2025$1.40$1.30+7.7%
Next earningsWed, Nov 4·consensus EPS $1.65

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$4.0B-0.8%7.7%4.4%$1.23$66.0M
Q4 FY25$3.9B-6.5%8.2%4.6%$1.14$302.4M
Q3 FY25$4.1B-10.9%8.6%5.3%$1.36$269.5M
Q2 FY25$4.1B-7.7%8.7%5.2%$1.27$219.8M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 16 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$18.1B$17.5B – $19.1B$6.20$5.60 – $6.4915
FY27$19.4B$18.5B – $21.1B$7.50$6.01 – $8.1516
FY28$20.2B$19.1B – $21.2B$8.22$7.19 – $8.8810
FY29$20.2B$18.8B – $21.6B$7.71$7.01 – $8.415
FY30$20.0B$18.6B – $21.4B$7.54$6.86 – $8.225

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.4×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.31%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-12.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-13.0%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 117.2M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.7% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.955-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 17 other (14 awards · 3 inkinds) in window

See when $CHRW insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDJul 248-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

CHRW filed an 8-K under Reg FD (Item 7.01), disclosing material non-public information simultaneously to all investors. This is typically an investor presentation, conference slides, or press release furnished as an exhibit. Reg FD filings ensure equal access to information for all investors; the substantive data is in the attached exhibit.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 28-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

C.H. Robinson's Talent & Compensation Committee approved a special equity award for Arun Rajan (Chief Strategy and Innovation Officer) on May 29, 2026: performance stock units valued at $6 million target and restricted stock units valued at $1.5 million, with PSU vesting linked to strategic and talent development milestones and RSU grant size based on the 30-day average stock price. This is a significant targeted retention and performance package for a key executive — $7.5M total target value signals C.H. Robinson's focus on its digital and strategic transformation agenda.

8-KShareholder voteMay 118-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
+ 11 other (5 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 1 S-8) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Why Is C.H. Robinson (CHRW) Up 2.9% Since Last Earnings Report?zacks.com·3d agoCHRW Plunges 30% in the Past Month as Freight Risks Test the Recoveryzacks.com·6d agoCHRW Q2 Earnings Jump as Lean AI Drives Stronger Operating Marginszacks.com·6d agoIs C.H. Robinson Stock Attractive After Its Strong Q2 Earnings Beat?zacks.com·10d agoTFII vs. CHRW: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?zacks.com·11d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $CHRW on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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