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TXTXN

Texas Instruments Incorporated

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 19% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesConsistent chatter on X (166/wk), no spike
$TXN·$261B·Semiconductors·Technology
$279.58+2.2%YTD+62.1%1Y+44.3%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-08: 16 posts2026-08-09: 11 posts2026-08-10: 18 posts2026-08-11: 27 posts2026-08-12: 28 posts2026-08-13: 19 posts2026-08-14: 47 posts166+30%
Price updated 15h ago·X counts updated 13h ago
TXTXN
$TXNTexas Instruments Incorporated
$279.58+2.25%166 posts+30%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $TXN, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-15

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Texas Instruments at 27x forward — the analog-and-embedded incumbent is cycling but at valuations that need broader tech strength to hold.

Texas Instruments is the largest analog and embedded-processing semiconductor company — power management, wireless connectivity, microcontrollers, industrial-and-automotive-focused. It's up 44% year-over-year on the analog-cycle recovery, but the 27x forward multiple needs the broader tech tape to hold.

Where the setup stands:

  • Q2 was substantively strong: revenue of $5.46B grew 15% year-over-year, EPS of $2.14 beat $1.91 by 12% — the specific pattern of analog-cycle recovery is landing in the print, and TXN's $5.8B shareholder-return machine is a specific reason for the multiple support.
  • The FCF-supports-payout question is the ambient concern: 1.4% FCF yield is genuinely tight for a payout at Texas Instruments' historical dividend-and-buyback pace — the Zacks framing 'Can FCF Support Bigger Payouts Ahead?' is the specific question the tape is now weighing.
  • The technical setup is fragile: $290-295 is the specific test level if broader tech holds, but the tape was 'extremely weak on a massive tech up day' — this is the pattern of a name that has already had its move and is now vulnerable to single-name-specific weakness within a broader risk-on backdrop.

The story extends if October 27 Q3 earnings sustains double-digit EPS growth and the analog-cycle recovery broadens across auto-and-industrial. What flips it: a cycle-peak call by a major sell-side (Fidelity has already flagged concerns via 'chip cycle-peak warning'), or a Q3 miss on auto-industrial that resets the 27x forward multiple lower.

What to watch: October 27 Q3 earnings — sustained double-digit EPS growth and analog-cycle broadening across auto-and-industrial extends the setup. A sell-side cycle-peak call or a Q3 miss on auto-industrial resetting the 27x forward multiple is what flips it.

On the calendar: 2026-10-27 — Q3 2026 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Neutral sentiment⚠6 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-14 · top-engagement diverged

Texas Instruments chatter is mixed and light. Included in dividend-payer calendars, some semi-technical commentary that $290-295 is ready to be tested if tech stays strong but noted as 'extremely weak on a massive tech up day.' Crypto TXN futures listings on BitKan and PriveX add unrelated background. Reads as low-conviction/neutral net.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $TXN

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Designs and manufactures analog and embedded processing chips for industrial and automotive OEMs, with unmatched catalog breadth and distribution.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Semiconductors sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $TXN.

Semiconductors · Technology

No material change from last week — structural AI capex engine unchanged: hyperscaler Blackwell allocation stays tight through 2H26 and HBM3e pricing holds as LLM context-window expansion drives 5-8x per-server memory demand uplift.

What this means for $TXN

Neutral — Designs and manufactures analog and embedded processing chips for industrial and automotive OEMs, with unmatched catalog breadth and distribution; limited read-through from semiconductors macro dynamics to this specific revenue mix.

Top industry ETF

$SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF
+56.0%YTD
+94.7%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
48.3How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
17.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
35.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
1.4%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
14.1Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
32.5%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
57.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.8Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 22, 2026$2.14$1.91+12.0%
Q1 2026Apr 22, 2026$1.68$1.36+23.5%
Q4 2025Jan 27, 2026$1.27$1.29-1.6%
Q3 2025Oct 21, 2025$1.48$1.49-0.7%
Next earningsTue, Oct 27·consensus EPS $2.37

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$4.8B+18.6%58.0%37.5%$1.70$844.0M
Q4 FY25$4.4B+10.4%55.9%33.3%$1.27$1.3B
Q3 FY25$4.7B+14.2%57.4%35.1%$1.50$993.0M
Q2 FY25$4.4B+16.4%57.9%35.1%$1.42$555.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 24 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$21.8B$20.8B – $22.5B$8.40$7.70 – $8.9123
FY27$24.8B$22.7B – $26.6B$10.10$8.90 – $11.9524
FY28$27.3B$24.6B – $35.5B$11.65$9.75 – $17.7824
FY29$29.1B$27.2B – $32.9B$11.32$10.37 – $13.2323
FY30$33.6B$31.4B – $37.9B$12.16$11.13 – $14.2115

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.70%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-4.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+21.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 910.9M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.5% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.325-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 28Martin S CraigheadDirector10.0K sh$3.2MSellMay 14Ahmad BahaiPresident5.0K sh$1.5MSellMay 14Rafael R LizardiCFO47.7K sh$14.7MSellMay 13Cox Carrie SmithDirector8.8K sh$2.7MSellMay 11Shanon J LeonardPresident5.0K sh$1.5MSellMay 4Haviv IlanCEO20.0K sh$5.6MSellMay 1Julie C. KnechtVP & Chief Accounting Officer10.0K sh$2.8MSellApr 30Mark GaryPresident13.7K sh$3.8MSellApr 30Mark T. RobertsPresident28.1K sh$7.9MSellApr 29Mohammad YunusPresident51.1K sh$13.8M
1–10 of 11
+ 15 other (9 exempts · 4 awards · 1 inkind · 1 gift) in window

See when $TXN insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 28-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Texas Instruments appointed Julie Knecht as SVP and CFO effective August 1, 2026, succeeding Rafael Lizardi who retires after 25 years; the transition is unrelated to financial results or any reporting disagreements. Planned CFO succession; administrative.

8-KShareholder voteApr 178-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

TXN held its annual meeting of stockholders around 2026-04-17 (8-K Item 5.07). Stockholders elected 11 directors to the board. Independent auditor ratification was approved. Routine governance event — monitor for unusually high withhold votes as an activist signal.

3New insider — initial holdingsApr 63
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for TXN on 2026-04-06, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Beneficial ownership covers 2027 shares. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

8-KOfficer or director changeMar 258-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

TXN disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-03-25). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. President of Texas Instruments Incorporated. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

+ 10 other (2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 13Gs · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

BigBear.ai vs. Texas Instruments: Which Technology Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?fool.com·20h agoTXN's $5.8B Shareholder Returns: Can FCF Support Bigger Payouts Ahead?zacks.com·2d agoSemiconductor Flows Stay ‘Sticky' in Leveraged Chip ETFs Like SOXL Despite Fidelity's Cycle-Peak Warningbenzinga.com·2d ago4 Semiconductor Stocks to Buy Amid Top Hyperscalers' $745B AI CapEx Betzacks.com·3d agoFirst Look: Super Micro, Oracle, Bank of America, Toyota in Focusgurufocus.com·3d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

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Voices on X · top 6 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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