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TXTXN

Texas Instruments Incorporated

$TXN·$294B·Semiconductors·Technology
$304.36-8.4%YTD+73.9%1Y+51.1%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-06-17: 28 posts2026-06-18: 48 posts2026-06-19: 23 posts2026-06-20: 12 posts2026-06-21: 450 posts2026-06-22: 124 posts2026-06-23: 95 posts783+381%
Price updated 21h ago·X counts updated 20h ago
TXTXN
$TXNTexas Instruments Incorporated
$304.36-8.40%783 posts+381%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $TXN, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-06-24

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

The analog-chip compounder finally getting its post-cycle bid — today's 8% drop is the AI-correlated correction, not the thesis breaking.

Texas Instruments is the largest analog and embedded semiconductor company, and the live story is the equity finally re-rating on the analog-cycle recovery — up 74% YTD — and today getting hit by the broader Korean-led chip selloff.

  • The growth is back and visible: Q1 revenue grew 18.6% YoY to $4.83B at a 58% gross margin and 37% operating margin, with $844M of FCF — FY26 consensus of $21B revenue and $7.71 EPS rising to $8.95 in FY27 implies the analog cycle inflection is durable, not a one-quarter blip.
  • The bull thesis has three legs that are all working: industrial restocking is finally happening after a two-year inventory correction, auto demand is steady (analog content per vehicle keeps rising), and accelerating AI data-center power needs (TI sells power-management ICs into AI servers) is the new growth vector — Edgewater is also flagging emerging supply bottlenecks, and a fresh round of price hikes alongside Infineon confirms pricing power is back.
  • The valuation is the friction that today's drop is testing: 48x trailing earnings and 14x sales puts TXN at premium-to-the-group multiples, even as the 50-day MA support sits 7.6% below — the planned CFO succession (Julie Knecht in August replacing 25-year veteran Rafael Lizardi) is administrative but does add management-transition risk into the next print.

The July 22 Q2 earnings is the trigger that resolves the cooling — analog revenue growth above 18% with a raised FY26 guide validates the cycle-recovery thesis at premium multiples; an in-line print with no guide raise, and the 84th-percentile chart cools toward the 200-day MA at ~$211. The structural risk is a slower-than-expected industrial reset; the structural support is the multi-year analog content growth in EVs and AI infrastructure.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish case on analog cycle recovery, industrial restocking, AI-power IC growth, Edgewater's supply-bottleneck call, and the price-hike cycle alongside Infineon all line up with company commentary and the Q1 data. No meaningful bear case in the X chatter — today's 8% drop is the AI-group correction, not a thesis crack.

What to watch: July 22 Q2 earnings — needs analog revenue growth above 18% AND a raised FY26 guide. In-line print without a raise, and the 84th-percentile chart cools to the 200-day at ~$211; a clean beat with cycle commentary extends the move.

On the calendar: 2026-07-22 — Q2 earnings

premium valuationcfo transition pendingbeta missing

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment6 posts analyzed · as of 2026-06-23

The conversation frames Texas Instruments as a beneficiary of a broad analog chip recovery, with one widely shared explainer pointing to industrial restocking, steady auto demand, and accelerating AI data-center power needs. Edgewater is cited as flagging emerging supply bottlenecks at TXN and ADI, and a separate post notes another price hike round alongside Infineon. Technicians describe bullish long-dated options flow and a setup tightening near a potential breakout, with no notable bearish voices.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $TXN

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Designs and manufactures analog and embedded processing chips for industrial and automotive OEMs, with unmatched catalog breadth and distribution.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Semiconductors sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $TXN.

Semiconductors · Technology

Hyperscaler AI capex remains the structural engine — Goldman Sachs' $1T+ AI infrastructure spend forecast for 2027 validates no capex retreat, keeping NVDA Blackwell allocation tight through 2H26. HBM3e pricing holds as LLM context-window expansion drives 5-8x per-server memory requirements vs. prior cycles, with Micron's June 24 earnings the week's key data point.

What this means for $TXN

Partial — Texas Instruments' analog and embedded processors for industrial and automotive have minimal direct AI data center exposure; benefits from the broader semiconductor cycle.

Top industry ETF

$SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF
+68.6%YTD
+137.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
48.3How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
17.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
35.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
1.4%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
14.1Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
32.5%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
57.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.8Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 22, 2026$1.68$1.36+23.5%
Q4 2025Jan 27, 2026$1.27$1.29-1.6%
Q3 2025Oct 21, 2025$1.48$1.49-0.7%
Q2 2025Jul 22, 2025$1.41$1.36+3.7%
Next earningsWed, Jul 22·consensus EPS $1.90

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$4.8B+18.6%58.0%37.5%$1.70$844.0M
Q4 FY25$4.4B+10.4%55.9%33.3%$1.27$1.3B
Q3 FY25$4.7B+14.2%57.4%35.1%$1.50$993.0M
Q2 FY25$4.4B+16.4%57.9%35.1%$1.42$555.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 26 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$21.0B$20.0B – $21.7B$7.71$7.09 – $8.2125
FY27$23.4B$21.5B – $24.9B$8.95$7.96 – $10.6926
FY28$25.6B$25.5B – $25.7B$10.03$7.70 – $12.8319
FY29$29.7B$27.6B – $32.2B$11.64$10.57 – $12.9510
FY30$30.7B$28.6B – $33.4B$12.16$11.04 – $13.5316

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.2×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.84%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+7.6%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+44.5%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 28Martin S CraigheadDirector10.0K sh$3.2MSellMay 14Rafael R LizardiCFO47.7K sh$14.7MSellMay 14Ahmad BahaiPresident5.0K sh$1.5MSellMay 13Cox Carrie SmithDirector8.8K sh$2.7MSellMay 11Shanon J LeonardPresident5.0K sh$1.5MSellMay 4Haviv IlanCEO20.0K sh$5.6MSellMay 1Julie C. KnechtVP & Chief Accounting Officer10.0K sh$2.8MSellApr 30Mark GaryPresident13.7K sh$3.8MSellApr 30Mark T. RobertsPresident28.1K sh$7.9MSellApr 29Mohammad YunusPresident51.1K sh$13.8M
1–10 of 11
+ 14 other (9 exempts · 3 awards · 1 inkind · 1 gift) in window

See when $TXN insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 28-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Texas Instruments appointed Julie Knecht as SVP and CFO effective August 1, 2026, succeeding Rafael Lizardi who retires after 25 years; the transition is unrelated to financial results or any reporting disagreements. Planned CFO succession; administrative.

8-KShareholder voteApr 178-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

TXN held its annual meeting of stockholders around 2026-04-17 (8-K Item 5.07). Stockholders elected 11 directors to the board. Independent auditor ratification was approved. Routine governance event — monitor for unusually high withhold votes as an activist signal.

3New insider — initial holdingsApr 63
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for TXN on 2026-04-06, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Beneficial ownership covers 2027 shares. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

8-KOfficer or director changeMar 258-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

TXN disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-03-25). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. President of Texas Instruments Incorporated. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

8-KCharter amendmentFeb 68-K — Item 5.03: Charter amendment
8-KPress release / Reg FDFeb 48-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 21 other (11 425s · 2 13Gs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Why Texas Instruments (TXN) Dipped More Than Broader Market Todayzacks.com·1d agoWall Street Tuesday: Dow Green, Nasdaq Bleeding, SpaceX Wildfool.com·1d agoIs SCHD a Better Dividend ETF Than VIG?fool.com·2d agoBuy TI and Amtech to Play the AI Boom in Semiconductorszacks.com·2d agoSemiconductor Stock Sees More Records on Analyst Backingschaeffersresearch.com·2d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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