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TXTXN

Texas Instruments Incorporated

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 19% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesConsistent chatter on X (360/wk), no spike
$TXN·$268B·Semiconductors·Technology
$276.48-0.9%YTD+59.1%1Y+57.6%
Price updated 5h ago·X counts updated 5d ago
TXTXN
$TXNTexas Instruments Incorporated
$276.48-0.95%360 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $TXN on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

360X posts · last 7 days
Sep 29Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $TXN's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-11

Texas Instruments is bullish on X — another industrial-semi price increase, industry at beginning of cyclical recovery with ample runway, and 751 contracts bought $265C 0DTE at $0.10 for potential 1000%+ move. Cross-radar watch alongside OKLO/AAOI/FSLR.

Read what X is saying about $TXN

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $TXN — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-10-02

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Analog-semi cycle finally turned — 35% operating margins and a fresh dividend hike at the top of the 52-week range.

Texas Instruments is the dominant global analog semiconductor supplier plus embedded processors — a diversified industrial/auto semi serving tens of thousands of customers. The stock is up 59% YTD and near 52-week highs on the industrial-semi cycle recovery.

  • The P&L is accelerating: revenue grew 18.6% YoY to $4.83B last quarter at a 35% operating margin — the industrial end-market recovery is confirmed, with pricing increases layered in that bulls specifically cite (another industrial-semi price-increase announcement).
  • The dividend-increase announcement (Sep 17 Reg FD) is the specific capital-allocation signal — TI only raises when management is confident in forward free cash flow, so this reads as a conviction call that the recovery holds through FY27.
  • At 48x trailing earnings and 14x sales, TXN is expensively priced on current numbers — bulls argue the analog cycle is multi-year and FY27 EPS estimates of $11-12 are achievable; bears flag that mid-cycle multiples should compress to 25-30x.

Accelerating holds while industrial end-markets continue to confirm the recovery and TI's capacity-utilization keeps improving. A soft Oct 27 earnings print on industrial segment growth (sub-15% YoY), or any specific commentary on inventory build at distributors, is what cools the move; a FY27 revenue guide above $22B is what extends the breakout.

Agrees with X sentimentX bulls citing another industrial-semi price increase, the cyclical-recovery runway framing, and TXN clustered with OKLO/AAOI/FSLR on momentum watchlists are reading the setup correctly — the dividend hike validates it.

What to watch: Oct 27 earnings — industrial segment revenue growth above 15% YoY, automotive segment trajectory, capacity utilization, and FY27 revenue guide. A soft industrial print or distributor inventory-build commentary is what cools the breakout.

On the calendar: 2026-10-27 — Q3 FY26 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $TXN

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Designs and manufactures analog and embedded processing chips for industrial and automotive OEMs, with unmatched catalog breadth and distribution.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Semiconductors sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $TXN.

Semiconductors · Technology

No material change from last week — hyperscaler AI capex remains the structural driver with Blackwell supply still packaging-constrained. Jensen Huang publicly named memory bandwidth as AI's next bottleneck, reinforcing HBM3e pricing power. AVGO custom ASIC demand broadens AI beneficiaries beyond NVDA's GPU allocation.

What this means for $TXN

Partial — Designs and manufactures analog and embedded processing chips for industrial and automotive OEMs, with unmatched catalog breadth and distribution.; auto/industrial analog mix has limited direct AI capex exposure but benefits from overall fab utilization tightening.

Top industry ETF

$SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF
+64.5%YTD
+57.2%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
48.3How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
17.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
35.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
1.4%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
14.1Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
32.5%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
57.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.8Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 22, 2026$2.14$1.94+10.3%
Q1 2026Apr 22, 2026$1.68$1.36+23.5%
Q4 2025Jan 27, 2026$1.27$1.29-1.6%
Q3 2025Oct 21, 2025$1.48$1.49-0.7%
Next earningsWed, Oct 21·consensus EPS $2.42

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$4.8B+18.6%58.0%37.5%$1.70$844.0M
Q4 FY25$4.4B+10.4%55.9%33.3%$1.27$1.3B
Q3 FY25$4.7B+14.2%57.4%35.1%$1.50$993.0M
Q2 FY25$4.4B+16.4%57.9%35.1%$1.42$555.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 25 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$21.9B$21.5B – $22.4B$8.51$7.93 – $9.0724
FY27$25.0B$23.2B – $26.2B$10.27$9.50 – $11.4525
FY28$27.6B$24.4B – $35.3B$12.04$10.21 – $18.1624
FY29$28.6B$26.7B – $31.8B$11.32$10.38 – $13.0122
FY30$33.6B$31.4B – $37.4B$12.16$11.15 – $13.9714

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.4×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.68%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+1.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+9.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 911.0M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.9% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.345-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 27Tsedeniya AbrahamPresident7.0K sh$1.9MSellMay 28Martin S CraigheadDirector10.0K sh$3.2MSellMay 14Rafael R LizardiCFO47.7K sh$14.7MSellMay 14Ahmad BahaiPresident5.0K sh$1.5MSellMay 13Cox Carrie SmithDirector8.8K sh$2.7MSellMay 11Shanon J LeonardPresident5.0K sh$1.5MSellMay 4Haviv IlanCEO20.0K sh$5.6MSellMay 1Julie C. KnechtVP & Chief Accounting Officer10.0K sh$2.8MSellApr 30Mark T. RobertsPresident28.1K sh$7.9MSellApr 30Mark GaryPresident13.7K sh$3.8M
1–10 of 12
+ 18 other (10 exempts · 6 awards · 1 inkind · 1 gift) in window

See when $TXN insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDSep 178-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) issued a Reg FD news release on September 17, 2026 announcing a planned dividend increase; specific amounts are in the attached exhibit not available in the body excerpt. A TI dividend increase is material for income investors: TI has raised its dividend for over 20 consecutive years, reinforcing capital return credibility alongside the company's multi-year fab investment cycle.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 28-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Texas Instruments appointed Julie Knecht as SVP and CFO effective August 1, 2026, succeeding Rafael Lizardi who retires after 25 years; the transition is unrelated to financial results or any reporting disagreements. Planned CFO succession; administrative.

+ 6 other (2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 1 SD · 1 13G) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Texas Instruments board declares fourth quarter 2026 quarterly dividendprnewswire.com·1d agoTXN to Report Q3 Earnings: Should You Buy, Hold or Sell the Stock?zacks.com·2d agoTexas Instruments Incorporated $TXN Stock: Krilogy Financial LLC Boosts Stakedefenseworld.net·2d agoTexas Instruments Incorporated $TXN Stock Bought by NorthCrest Asset Manangement LLCdefenseworld.net·3d agoMassive Update for Texas Instruments Stock Investorsfool.com·3d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $TXN on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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