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TXTXN

Texas Instruments Incorporated

$TXN·$283B·Semiconductors·Technology
$291.22-3.3%YTD+66.4%1Y+34.4%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-09: 332 posts2026-07-10: 350 posts2026-07-11: 163 posts2026-07-12: 255 posts2026-07-13: 337 posts2026-07-14: 192 posts2026-07-15: 214 posts1,863-2%
Price updated 15h ago·X counts updated 2d ago
TXTXN
$TXNTexas Instruments Incorporated
$291.22-3.31%1.9k posts-2%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $TXN, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-07-16

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

Analog silicon compounder up 72% YTD into a 7-day earnings window — the coil is loaded either direction.

Texas Instruments is the world's largest analog chip maker whose 2026 tape has left the semi group behind on a mix of AI-adjacent tailwinds and industrial/auto exposure. Earnings hit in seven days and the setup is decisively event-ahead.

  • The core analog business is executing at scale: trailing gross margin is 57%, operating margin 35%, and TXN's Q1 print showed continued industrial/automotive recovery — the story is not directly AI, but analog silicon is the underappreciated beneficiary of AI datacenter power/thermal management.
  • Valuation is extended even for a compounder: 48x TTM P/E and 14x sales at $301 spot puts TXN at the top of the analog-multiple range, and while consensus FY26 EPS is $6.24 (~48x), the setup requires a beat-and-raise pattern to justify the multiple — no missing.
  • Analyst positioning has caught up but not yet parabolic: BofA's Vivek Arya favors TXN into the print, community has TXN 400C 7/24 at $2.00 as a swing target, and historical earnings have played 30x moves — real conviction, but also crowded positioning.

The July 22 Q2 earnings are the near-term arbiter — a clean industrial/automotive revenue print, gross margin durability at 57%+, and any FY26 guide movement extend the setup toward the community-modeled $350. A gross margin miss or industrial-order softening resets the multiple back into the $270s despite the AI-adjacent tailwind.

Agrees with X sentimentX is bullish, cites TXN 400C 7/24 at $2.00 as a day/swing target, historical earnings 30x moves, and BofA's Vivek Arya favoring TXN into the print. Mechanics support the trajectory: 57% gross margin, 35% operating margin, and industrial/auto recovery visible in the Q1 print. The tension the crowd underweights: at 48x TTM P/E and 14x sales, positioning is crowded — a gross-margin miss or industrial softening resets the multiple hard.

What to watch: The July 22 Q2 earnings. Watch industrial/automotive revenue trajectory, gross margin durability at 57%+, and any FY26 guide movement. Gross-margin miss or industrial-order softening resets the multiple back to the $270s; clean beat + guide extends toward $350.

On the calendar: 2026-07-22 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment6 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-15

Texas Instruments chatter is bullish into end-of-month earnings. Community frames $350 achievable before ER with the chart 'ready and Semi names wanting to boom.' Traders eye TXN 400C 7/24 at $2.00 day/swing. Historical earnings played 30x. Community defends TXN despite Terry Smith saying it's not 'directly involved in AI phenomenon' - analog silicon has broad exposure. BofA's Vivek Arya favors TXN as a low-beta reset name. Community broadly long.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $TXN

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Designs and manufactures analog and embedded processing chips for industrial and automotive OEMs, with unmatched catalog breadth and distribution.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Semiconductors sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $TXN.

Semiconductors · Technology

No material change from last week — structural AI capex engine unchanged: hyperscaler Blackwell allocation stays tight through 2H26 and HBM3e pricing holds as LLM context-window expansion drives 5-8x per-server memory demand uplift.

What this means for $TXN

Partial — Designs and manufactures analog and embedded processing chips for industrial and automotive OEMs, with unmatched catalog breadth and distribution; exposure exists but is diluted by diverse end markets and revenue mix.

Top industry ETF

$SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF
+54.2%YTD
+96.7%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
48.3How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
17.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
35.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
1.4%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
14.1Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
32.5%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
57.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.8Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 22, 2026$1.68$1.36+23.5%
Q4 2025Jan 27, 2026$1.27$1.29-1.6%
Q3 2025Oct 21, 2025$1.48$1.49-0.7%
Q2 2025Jul 22, 2025$1.41$1.36+3.7%
Next earningsWed, Jul 22·consensus EPS $1.91

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$4.8B+18.6%58.0%37.5%$1.70$844.0M
Q4 FY25$4.4B+10.4%55.9%33.3%$1.27$1.3B
Q3 FY25$4.7B+14.2%57.4%35.1%$1.50$993.0M
Q2 FY25$4.4B+16.4%57.9%35.1%$1.42$555.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 25 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$21.0B$20.0B – $21.7B$7.70$7.09 – $8.2125
FY27$23.4B$21.5B – $24.9B$8.95$7.96 – $10.7024
FY28$25.7B$25.6B – $25.8B$10.08$7.70 – $12.8318
FY29$28.7B$26.8B – $31.1B$11.64$10.65 – $12.9211
FY30$30.7B$28.7B – $33.3B$12.16$11.13 – $13.509

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.76%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-3.2%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+32.5%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 907.9M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.8% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.315-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 28Martin S CraigheadDirector10.0K sh$3.2MSellMay 14Rafael R LizardiCFO47.7K sh$14.7MSellMay 14Ahmad BahaiPresident5.0K sh$1.5MSellMay 13Cox Carrie SmithDirector8.8K sh$2.7MSellMay 11Shanon J LeonardPresident5.0K sh$1.5MSellMay 4Haviv IlanCEO20.0K sh$5.6MSellMay 1Julie C. KnechtVP & Chief Accounting Officer10.0K sh$2.8MSellApr 30Mark GaryPresident13.7K sh$3.8MSellApr 30Mark T. RobertsPresident28.1K sh$7.9MSellApr 29Mohammad YunusPresident51.1K sh$13.8M
1–10 of 11
+ 14 other (9 exempts · 3 awards · 1 inkind · 1 gift) in window

See when $TXN insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 28-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Texas Instruments appointed Julie Knecht as SVP and CFO effective August 1, 2026, succeeding Rafael Lizardi who retires after 25 years; the transition is unrelated to financial results or any reporting disagreements. Planned CFO succession; administrative.

8-KShareholder voteApr 178-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

TXN held its annual meeting of stockholders around 2026-04-17 (8-K Item 5.07). Stockholders elected 11 directors to the board. Independent auditor ratification was approved. Routine governance event — monitor for unusually high withhold votes as an activist signal.

3New insider — initial holdingsApr 63
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for TXN on 2026-04-06, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Beneficial ownership covers 2027 shares. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

8-KOfficer or director changeMar 258-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

TXN disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-03-25). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. President of Texas Instruments Incorporated. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

8-KCharter amendmentFeb 68-K — Item 5.03: Charter amendment
8-KPress release / Reg FDFeb 48-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 21 other (11 425s · 2 13Gs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Semiconductor Stock Could Continue to Test Key Resistanceschaeffersresearch.com·2d agoTexas Instruments (TXN) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Releasezacks.com·2d agoTexas Instruments' CapEx Moderates: Can Cash Flow Improve Further?zacks.com·2d agoWhy Investors Need to Take Advantage of These 2 Computer and Technology Stocks Nowzacks.com·2d agoThe Single Biggest Opportunity to Buy Texas Instruments Before July 22 Earnings247wallst.com·2d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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