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TXTXN

Texas Instruments Incorporated

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 19% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesConsistent chatter on X (140/wk), no spike
$TXN·$261B·Semiconductors·Technology
$258.64-3.0%YTD+62.1%1Y+26.7%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-20: 10 posts2026-08-21: 17 posts2026-08-22: 13 posts140+8%
Price updated 2d ago·X counts updated 8d ago
TXTXN
$TXNTexas Instruments Incorporated
$258.64-2.96%140 posts+8%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $TXN, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-08-29

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

Texas Instruments +62% YTD but cooling with chip peers — quality analog compounder with dividend still doing its job.

Texas Instruments is the largest US analog and embedded semiconductor manufacturer — legacy leader in industrial and automotive semis, with a heavy capex program building out mature-node fab capacity. The setup is a real-business quality name cooling with the broader chip group.

  • The recent print was clean: Q2 EPS came in at $2.14 vs a $1.91 consensus (a ~12% beat), Q1 revenue grew 18.6% YoY to $4.83B at a 58% gross margin and 37% operating margin — the sell side models FY26 EPS at ~$8.40 rising to ~$11.65 in 2028, so the analog-cycle recovery is showing up on the P&L.
  • The dividend anchor is a real part of the multiple: TXN's dividend yield alongside the recent 52.4% YTD move makes it a top dividend-plus-growth compounder in the analog subsegment, with institutional accumulation from Emerald Investment Advisers and Avanda continuing at 58% of the 52-week range.
  • The cyclical cooling risk is genuine: the semiconductor group sold off ahead of NVIDIA earnings (INTC -5%, AMD -4%, TSM -3%), TXN is now flagged by some bears as "the weakest of major chip stocks hitting a new multi-month low," and the 48x trailing P/E requires the FY27 EPS ramp to actually deliver.

The setup is a real-business quality analog compounder cooling with the group but with recovery fundamentals intact — the October 27 Q3 print is the referee, and the market needs continued revenue growth above 15% plus reiterated FY26 EPS toward the $8.40 consensus. A clean beat plus updated industrial/automotive segment color breaks cooling back into a bid; a soft print or a fresh chip-group selloff extends the cooling.

Agrees with X sentimentThe mixed X read is fair — bulls' TXN +52.4% YTD as a dividend stock, accumulation buys alongside MU/TSM/TEL/GEV are factually consistent with the tape, and bears' "weakest of major chip stocks hitting a new multi-month low" is equally fair given the group selloff. The one "how long can TXN keep this scam going" comment is emotional but reflects the multiple-compression concern at 48x trailing.

What to watch: The October 27 Q3 earnings — need continued revenue growth above 15%, updated industrial/automotive segment color, and reiterated FY26 EPS toward the $8.40 consensus. A soft print or a fresh chip-group selloff extends the cooling; a clean beat plus updated segment color breaks cooling back into a bid.

On the calendar: 2026-10-27 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment⚠6 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-28 · top-engagement diverged

Texas Instruments posts are mixed. Bulls cite TXN as +52.38% YTD dividend stock, accumulation buys alongside MU/TSM/TEL/GEV. Bears cite TXN as the weakest of major chip stocks hitting a new multi-month low, and 'how long can TXN keep this scam going.' Sample small; tone reads mixed.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $TXN

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Designs and manufactures analog and embedded processing chips for industrial and automotive OEMs, with unmatched catalog breadth and distribution.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Semiconductors sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $TXN.

Semiconductors · Technology

No material change from last week — structural AI capex engine unchanged: hyperscaler Blackwell allocation stays tight through 2H26 and HBM3e pricing holds as LLM context-window expansion drives 5-8x per-server memory demand uplift.

What this means for $TXN

Neutral — Designs and manufactures analog and embedded processing chips for industrial and automotive OEMs, with unmatched catalog breadth and distribution; limited read-through from semiconductors macro dynamics to this specific revenue mix.

Top industry ETF

$SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF
+56.0%YTD
+85.1%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
48.3How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
17.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
35.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
1.4%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
14.1Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
32.5%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
57.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.8Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 22, 2026$2.14$1.91+12.0%
Q1 2026Apr 22, 2026$1.68$1.36+23.5%
Q4 2025Jan 27, 2026$1.27$1.29-1.6%
Q3 2025Oct 21, 2025$1.48$1.49-0.7%
Next earningsTue, Oct 27·consensus EPS $2.37

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$4.8B+18.6%58.0%37.5%$1.70$844.0M
Q4 FY25$4.4B+10.4%55.9%33.3%$1.27$1.3B
Q3 FY25$4.7B+14.2%57.4%35.1%$1.50$993.0M
Q2 FY25$4.4B+16.4%57.9%35.1%$1.42$555.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 24 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$21.8B$20.8B – $22.5B$8.40$7.70 – $8.9123
FY27$24.8B$22.7B – $26.6B$10.10$8.90 – $11.9524
FY28$27.3B$24.6B – $35.5B$11.65$9.75 – $17.7824
FY29$29.1B$27.2B – $32.9B$11.32$10.37 – $13.2323
FY30$33.6B$31.4B – $37.9B$12.16$11.13 – $14.2115

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.58%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-9.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+9.7%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 910.9M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.6% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.325-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 28Martin S CraigheadDirector10.0K sh$3.2MSellMay 14Ahmad BahaiPresident5.0K sh$1.5MSellMay 14Rafael R LizardiCFO47.7K sh$14.7MSellMay 13Cox Carrie SmithDirector8.8K sh$2.7MSellMay 11Shanon J LeonardPresident5.0K sh$1.5MSellMay 4Haviv IlanCEO20.0K sh$5.6MSellMay 1Julie C. KnechtVP & Chief Accounting Officer10.0K sh$2.8MSellApr 30Mark GaryPresident13.7K sh$3.8MSellApr 30Mark T. RobertsPresident28.1K sh$7.9MSellApr 29Mohammad YunusPresident51.1K sh$13.8M
1–10 of 11
+ 15 other (9 exempts · 4 awards · 1 inkind · 1 gift) in window

See when $TXN insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 28-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Texas Instruments appointed Julie Knecht as SVP and CFO effective August 1, 2026, succeeding Rafael Lizardi who retires after 25 years; the transition is unrelated to financial results or any reporting disagreements. Planned CFO succession; administrative.

8-KShareholder voteApr 178-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

TXN held its annual meeting of stockholders around 2026-04-17 (8-K Item 5.07). Stockholders elected 11 directors to the board. Independent auditor ratification was approved. Routine governance event — monitor for unusually high withhold votes as an activist signal.

3New insider — initial holdingsApr 63
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for TXN on 2026-04-06, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Beneficial ownership covers 2027 shares. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

8-KOfficer or director changeMar 258-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

TXN disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-03-25). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. President of Texas Instruments Incorporated. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

+ 10 other (2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 13Gs · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Texas Instruments: The Upcycle Everyone Waited For Might Finally Be Hereseekingalpha.com·1d agoWhy Texas Instruments (TXN) Outpaced the Stock Market Todayzacks.com·3d agoSemiconductor Stocks Slide Ahead of NVIDIA Earnings: Intel Falls 5%, AMD Slides 4%, Taiwan Semiconductor Slips 3%247wallst.com·6d ago12,166 Shares in Texas Instruments Incorporated $TXN Acquired by Emerald Investment Advisers LLCdefenseworld.net·8d ago7,000 Shares in Texas Instruments Incorporated $TXN Purchased by Avanda Investment Management Pte. Ltd.defenseworld.net·9d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

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Voices on X · top 3 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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