TickerTalks
Browse all tickers →
TickerTalks›$TMCR
TMTMCR

The Metals Royalty Company Inc.

$TMCR·$253M·Industrial Materials·Basic Materials
$3.92-15.2%1Y-67.0%
Price updated 17m ago·X counts updated 2d ago
TMTMCR
$TMCRThe Metals Royalty Company Inc.
$3.92-15.15%20 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
Loading…

On X

The complete picture of $TMCR on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

20X posts · last 7 days
Sep 11Sep 27

AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $TMCR — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Hinges on a big eventWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-09-29

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

TMCR is up 14% today after a US EXIM Chairman visit to the Mesabi iron-ore mine and a fresh $165M financing — pre-royalty, tiny float, high beta.

The Metals Royalty Company is a $250M-cap iron-ore-royalty-focused developer whose lead asset is the Mesabi Metallics royalty in northern Minnesota.

  • Down 67% over the last twelve months but up 14% today, at $4.62, sitting 20% below the 50-day moving average.
  • Q1 and Q4 both reported zero revenue with -$0.19 to +$0.04 EPS — a pre-royalty-stream developer.
  • Trailing P/E -43 with no meaningful operating margin — pure resource-optionality valuation.
  • Announced closing of an additional 1.0% Mesabi royalty and a $165M financing to fund the acquisition.
  • US EXIM Bank Chairman visited the Mesabi iron-ore mine and the company provided a commissioning update — a specific policy-level tailwind.
  • Completed the first production blast at Mesabi Metallics — a real operating milestone.
  • Beta 3.04 with a low 18.9M share float — very high-amplitude moves on news.
  • 30-day volume is 9.6x normal — the tape is being watched.

November 9 earnings (est. -$0.09 EPS) will show cash-runway commentary alongside any updated Mesabi commissioning timing and royalty-flow-start date.

What to watch: November 9 print — cash runway, Mesabi Metallics production timing, and any updated commentary on US-government financing or offtake counterparties.

On the calendar: 2026-11-09 — Q3 earnings

no sentiment samplehigh betapre production

Read the AI verdict on $TMCR

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Royalty and streaming company providing capital to critical metals miners, focused on supply chain security in North America.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Industrial Materials sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $TMCR.

Industrial Materials · Basic Materials

No material change from last week — US domestic rare earth supply chain buildout remains the structural driver: MP Materials trades on Beijing's forced divestiture of Chinese shareholder, reinforcing supply-chain-security thesis.

What this means for $TMCR

Partial — Royalty and streaming company providing capital to critical metals miners, focused on supply chain security in North America.

Industry benchmark

17-name peer basket
-3.8%YTD
+4.1%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-43.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-40.2%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
0.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-1.2%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-28.8%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
0.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 10, 2026$-0.12$-0.09-33.3%
Q1 2026May 12, 2026$-0.20$-0.200.0%
Q1 2026Apr 8, 2026$-0.12——
Next earningsMon, Nov 9·consensus EPS $-0.09

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$0———$-0.19$-2.6M
Q4 FY25$0———$0.04$-3.0M
Q3 FY25$0———$-0.03$0

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 3 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$2.1M$1000K – $4.2M-$0.36-$0.46 – -$0.243
FY27$24.4M$20.0M – $32.4M-$0.07-$0.12 – -$0.053
FY28$40.6M$32.2M – $56.2M$0.01$0.00 – $0.011
FY29$43.0M$34.2M – $59.5M$0.10$0.07 – $0.151
FY30$49.3M$39.2M – $68.3M$0.17$0.12 – $0.262

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.9.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.—Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-19.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.—Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 18.9M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today4.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β3.045-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

SC 13DActivist position (5%+)Jul 23SC 13D
AI summary

HFO Holdings LLC (Kelly J. Engel, c/o 1185 Avenue of the Americas, New York) filed an initial Schedule 13D on Metals Royalty Co Inc. (TMCR) as of July 13, 2026. This is an original 13D (not an amendment), indicating HFO Holdings recently crossed the 5% ownership threshold. New 5%+ activist or strategic investor in TMCR; specific stake size, purpose, and intent are in the full Schedule 13D body not captured in the excerpt.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 103
3New insider — initial holdingsApr 83
3New insider — initial holdingsApr 83
3New insider — initial holdingsApr 83
3New insider — initial holdingsApr 83
3New insider — initial holdingsApr 83
3New insider — initial holdingsApr 83
+ 28 other (10 6-Ks · 5 13Gs · 3 F-1s · 3 DRSs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

The Metals Royalty Company Celebrates U.S. EXIM Bank Chairman's Visit to the Mesabi Iron Ore Mine and Provides Commissioning Updateaccessnewswire.com·9d agoDiamond Equity Research Releases Update Note on The Metals Royalty Company Inc. (Nasdaq:TMCR)globenewswire.com·26d agoThe Metals Royalty Company Announces Closing of Additional 1.0% Mesabi Royalty and US$165 Million Financingaccessnewswire.com·36d agoThe Metals Royalty Company Announces Fully Allocated US$165 Million Financing to Fund Acquisition of Additional 1.0% Mesabi Royaltyaccessnewswire.com·40d agoThe Metals Royalty Company Announces Completion of First Production Blast at Mesabi Metallicsaccessnewswire.com·79d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Critical Minerals & Rare Earths

More in Industrial Materials

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

$CRML$XPL$MP$USAR$WWR$RIO$UAMY$LAC
Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $TMCR on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

PrivacyTermsSupport