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TKTKO

TKO Group Holdings, Inc.

$TKO·$14B·Entertainment·Communication Services
$185.70+0.6%YTD-11.5%1Y+10.0%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-09: 14 posts2026-07-10: 12 posts2026-07-11: 9 posts2026-07-12: 26 posts2026-07-13: 17 posts2026-07-14: 25 posts2026-07-15: 16 posts123+21%
Price updated 10h ago·X counts updated 10h ago
TKTKO
$TKOTKO Group Holdings, Inc.
$185.70+0.62%123 posts+21%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $TKO, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-07-14

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

UFC-plus-WWE parent shipping global mega-events while a $800M ASR just closed.

TKO Group Holdings is the parent of UFC and WWE, the two dominant live-events franchises in combat sports and pro wrestling — a real media-rights business with high-return live-event economics. The reported quarters are big and lumpy: Q1 revenue was $1.6B with EPS of $1.16, following Q4 at $1.04B and -$0.03 EPS (event-timing quarter), Q3 $1.12B and $0.53, Q2 $1.31B and $1.20.

  • Consensus revenue grows from $5.79B this year to $7.37B in two years and eventually toward $6.83B — the numbers reflect deal timing across the media-rights renewal cycle rather than a linear trajectory.
  • EPS consensus scales cleanly from $4.68 to $7.88 — mid-teens EPS growth on the multi-year path.
  • Operating catalysts in the window are real: TKO staged the first-ever WWE and UFC doubleheader in Saudi Arabia and Azerbaijan, and UFC Freedom 250 at the White House delivered 34M global viewers across 170+ countries.
  • Capital return is active: TKO completed a $800M accelerated share repurchase, a meaningful buyback for a mid-cap of this size.
  • Insider activity is essentially nil — CEO Nick Khan received a small 90-share award; no distribution or accumulation to read.
  • X sentiment (eight posts, marked bearish) is entirely about an unrelated Taiko crypto ($TKO cross-chain-bridge exploit for ~$1.7M) — no equity signal.

The live-events franchise is strong and the $800M buyback is a real capital-allocation vote. Next reset is August 3 — consensus wants $1.51 EPS. Media-rights renewal cadence and Saudi/Middle East expansion economics are the more market-moving output than any single quarter.

What to watch: August 3 Q2 print vs $1.51 EPS consensus; media-rights renewal commentary; PPV and streaming subscription trends; Middle East and international expansion economics.

On the calendar: 2026-08-03 — Q2 earnings (consensus EPS $1.51)

sentiment cashtag mismatch

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bearish sentiment8 posts analyzed · as of 2026-06-29

This thread is dominated by Taiko (crypto $TKO) being exploited for ~$1.7M. The attacker forged cross-chain messages and tricked the bridge into processing fraudulent withdrawals. 1.99M TKO ($189K) already deposited to MEXC; attacker still holds 870.8 ETH ($1.52M). Posters call it 'a massive hit to TKO trust.' A separate Taseko Mines thread covers the name change to Trekor Minerals. UFC Freedom 250 at the White House drew 34M global viewers across 170+ countries (TKO Group). Net dominantly bearish on the Taiko exploit; UFC/Taseko side news is brief.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $TKO

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Sports and entertainment holding company combining WWE and UFC with live events, media rights, and licensing revenue.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Entertainment sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $TKO.

Entertainment · Communication Services

No material change from last week — NFLX's global TV network model (ad tier expansion, password sharing crackdown) has stabilized margins while box office has its best summer since pre-pandemic..

What this means for $TKO

Direct beneficiary — Sports and entertainment holding company combining WWE and UFC with live events, media rights, and licensing revenue; primary revenue lines track directly to the NFLX global ad tier model and streaming subscriber monetization.

Industry benchmark

9-name peer basket
+23.1%YTD
-3.9%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
69.5How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
6.4%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
20.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
11.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
3.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
6.0%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
51.5%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 6, 2026$1.12$1.11+0.9%
Q4 2025Feb 25, 2026$-0.08$0.24-133.7%
Q3 2025Nov 5, 2025$0.50$0.59-14.7%
Q2 2025Aug 6, 2025$1.17$1.16+0.9%
Next earningsMon, Aug 3·consensus EPS $1.52

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$1.6B+25.9%54.0%21.2%$1.16$674.6M
Q4 FY25$1.0B+61.6%44.6%8.9%$-0.03$252.8M
Q3 FY25$1.1B-27.3%49.2%17.6%$0.53$398.9M
Q2 FY25$1.3B+9.7%56.0%29.5%$1.20$423.5M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 15 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$5.8B$5.8B – $5.9B$4.68$2.49 – $6.5015
FY27$5.8B$5.7B – $5.9B$5.30$2.12 – $8.6915
FY28$7.4B$7.3B – $7.4B$6.79$2.96 – $10.4012
FY29$6.8B$6.6B – $7.0B$7.88$7.58 – $8.0711
FY30$7.5B$7.3B – $7.7B$10.53$10.12 – $10.786

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.45%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-5.2%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-6.0%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 61.7M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.5% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.625-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJul 13Nick KhanDirector9.6K sh$1.8MSellJun 12Nick KhanDirector9.6K sh$2.0MBuyMay 14Jonathan KraftDirector5.2K sh$988KBuyMay 13Ariel EmanuelCEO10.8K sh$2.0MBuyMay 13Mark S ShapiroSee Remarks10.8K sh$2.0MBuyMay 13Andrew M SchleimerCFO1.0K sh$186KSellMay 4Nick KhanDirector9.5K sh$1.8MSellApr 6Nick KhanDirector2.8K sh$556KSellMar 9Shane KapralCFO254 sh$51KSellMar 3Shane KapralCFO616 sh$137K
1–10 of 21
+ 19 other (10 awards · 9 exempts) in window

See when $TKO insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteJun 128-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

TKO Group Holdings held its 2026 Annual Meeting on June 10, 2026, with approximately 98% of voting power participating. All 12 director nominees were elected, including Ariel Emanuel, Mark Shapiro, Dwayne Johnson, Egon Durban, and Nick Khan; KPMG LLP was ratified as the independent auditor. No contested proposals were put forward; this is routine annual governance.

8-KMaterial agreementMar 108-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 8.01: Other event
+ 12 other (4 13Gs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys · 1 routine 8-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Why Nick Khan's 9,589 Share, $1.8 Million TKO Sale Isn't a Red Flag for Investorsfool.com·18h agoTrekor Announces 36 Million Pounds of Copper Production from Gibraltar and Florence Copper in the Second Quarterglobenewswire.com·2d agoOklahoma Wildcatters and Auris Announce Presenting Partnershipprnewswire.com·7d agoTKO to Announce Second Quarter 2026 Resultsbusinesswire.com·8d agoTKO Successfully Stages First-Ever WWE and UFC Doubleheader in Saudi Arabia and Azerbaijanbusinesswire.com·15d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Trending on X

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Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $TKO on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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