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TKTKO

TKO Group Holdings, Inc.

$TKO·$14B·Entertainment·Communication Services
$182.61-1.1%YTD-12.1%1Y-1.5%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-22: 2 posts35+6%
Price updated 15h ago·X counts updated 10d ago
TKTKO
$TKOTKO Group Holdings, Inc.
$182.61-1.10%35 posts+6%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $TKO, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-08-25

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

UFC and WWE parent with 10-of-10 analyst Buy ratings — but four top execs including CEO Emanuel sold $13M in one week.

TKO Group Holdings owns UFC and WWE — the two most valuable combat-sports franchises globally. The stock is up 5% over trailing year but down 12% year-to-date on TKO — solid business execution with a specific insider-selling cluster overhang.

  • Q1 2026 revenue was $1.60B (up 26% year-over-year) with 54% gross margin and 21% operating margin — the topline is meaningfully growing on new UFC/WWE contracts and event-mix improvements
  • Q2 2026 EPS was $1.34 versus $1.41 expected (-5.0%) — the recent surprise pattern: -5%, +1%, -134%, -15% — variability reflecting event timing
  • Massive insider selling August 17-19: CEO/Director Ariel Emanuel sold 24,702 shares at $194.39 for $4.8M (August 18); Officer/Director Mark Shapiro sold 19,120 shares at $194.39 for $3.7M; Andrew Schleimer sold 9,942 at $194.39 for $1.9M; Nick Khan sold 8,248 at $194.39 for $1.6M plus 6,546 at $199.41 for $1.3M — $13.3M coordinated selling across four top executives
  • The August 17 M-Exempt exercises (Schleimer 35,506 shares; Shapiro 73,968; Emanuel 88,762; Khan 29,588) were option exercises — the sales were the option-exercise cash-flow rather than reduction in economic exposure
  • 10 of 10 analysts rate Buy with PTs $220-$250 — the sell-side is uniformly bullish
  • Analyst 2026 revenue estimate is $5.79B on $4.67 EPS growing to $5.84B / $5.29 EPS in 2027 — the stock at $193.42 is 41.4x forward, expensive for the growth math
  • Free cash flow yield 11.5% at $14B market cap — extremely strong
  • Beta 0.65 — muted for a growth-stage media name
  • On August 12 TKO announced participation in Goldman Sachs Communacopia Technology Conference — investor visibility remains high

The $13M coordinated exec-selling week is the specific overhang; the operational cadence remains strong.

Agrees with X sentimentX is bullish (10/10 analyst Buy, PTs $220-250, UFC/boxing weekend planning). Fair on the operational story; the insider-selling cluster last week is what X is under-weighting, and it's a specific signal that operators think fair-to-rich at these prices.

What to watch: The Q3 print on November 4 needs UFC event revenue growth staying above 20% — that's what confirms the multi-year setup and offsets the insider-selling concern.

On the calendar: 2026-11-04 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment6 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-13

TKO Group chatter is bullish: all 10 analysts rate Buy with PTs $220-$250, back-to-back UFC/boxing weekend promotion planning. Some cashtag crossover with Trekor Metals but core is UFC business.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $TKO

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Sports and entertainment holding company combining WWE and UFC with live events, media rights, and licensing revenue.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Entertainment sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $TKO.

Entertainment · Communication Services

Streaming subscriber economics are the central tension: pricing power improving as password-sharing crackdowns and ad-tier rollouts lift ARPU. Linear TV cord-cutting continues structurally — sports rights remain the last durable moat.

What this means for $TKO

Partial — upstream oil & gas exposure ties to commodity price cycle; TKO Group Holdings, Inc.

Industry benchmark

9-name peer basket
+19.1%YTD
+3.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
69.5How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
6.4%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
20.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
11.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
3.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
6.0%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
51.5%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 3, 2026$1.34$1.41-5.0%
Q1 2026May 6, 2026$1.12$1.11+0.9%
Q4 2025Feb 25, 2026$-0.08$0.24-133.7%
Q3 2025Nov 5, 2025$0.50$0.59-14.7%
Next earningsWed, Nov 4·consensus EPS $1.33

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$1.6B+25.9%54.0%21.2%$1.16$674.6M
Q4 FY25$1.0B+61.6%44.6%8.9%$-0.03$252.8M
Q3 FY25$1.1B-27.3%49.2%17.6%$0.53$398.9M
Q2 FY25$1.3B+9.7%56.0%29.5%$1.20$423.5M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 15 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$5.8B$5.8B – $5.8B$4.67$2.48 – $6.4915
FY27$5.8B$5.7B – $6.1B$5.29$2.13 – $8.7315
FY28$7.4B$7.3B – $7.4B$6.76$2.94 – $10.3512
FY29$6.9B$6.7B – $7.1B$7.76$7.43 – $8.0311
FY30$7.8B$7.5B – $8.0B$9.86$9.45 – $10.216

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.13%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-4.3%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-7.4%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 60.2M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.1% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.655-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 19Nick KhanDirector6.5K sh$1.3MSellAug 18Andrew M SchleimerCFO9.9K sh$1.9MSellAug 18Ariel EmanuelCEO24.7K sh$4.8MSellAug 18Nick KhanDirector8.2K sh$1.6MSellAug 18Mark S ShapiroSee Remarks19.1K sh$3.7MSellAug 13Nick KhanDirector9.6K sh$1.9MSellJul 21Nick KhanDirector13.0K sh$2.4MSellJul 20Nick KhanDirector10.1K sh$1.9MSellJul 13Nick KhanDirector9.6K sh$1.8MSellJun 12Nick KhanDirector9.3K sh$1.9M
1–10 of 17
+ 21 other (11 exempts · 10 awards) in window

See when $TKO insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteJun 128-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

TKO Group Holdings held its 2026 Annual Meeting on June 10, 2026, with approximately 98% of voting power participating. All 12 director nominees were elected, including Ariel Emanuel, Mark Shapiro, Dwayne Johnson, Egon Durban, and Nick Khan; KPMG LLP was ratified as the independent auditor. No contested proposals were put forward; this is routine annual governance.

8-KMaterial agreementMar 108-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 8.01: Other event
+ 15 other (7 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Reviewing Embracer Group AB (publ) (OTCMKTS:THQQF) & TKO Group (NYSE:TKO)defenseworld.net·1d agoTKO Group Holdings: WWE And UFC Are The Jewelsseekingalpha.com·14d agoTKO Group Holdings to Participate in the Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conferencegurufocus.com·20d agoTKO Group Holdings to Participate in the Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conferencebusinesswire.com·20d agoTaseko Mines Q2 Earnings Call Highlightsmarketbeat.com·23d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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