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ROROKU

Roku, Inc.

$ROKU·$21B·Entertainment·Communication Services
$141.76-0.4%YTD+29.9%1Y+57.8%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-08: 267 posts2026-07-09: 267 posts2026-07-10: 2,826 posts2026-07-11: 126 posts2026-07-12: 2,622 posts2026-07-13: 332 posts2026-07-14: 178 posts6,637+27%
Price updated 8m ago·X counts updated 15h ago
ROROKU
$ROKURoku, Inc.
$141.76-0.41%6.6k posts+27%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $ROKU, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-07-15

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

The connected-TV platform is quietly turning cash-flow-positive as CTV ad dollars finally show up, and the stock has already re-rated most of the way there.

Roku is the operating-system and ad-sales layer that sits on top of streaming TVs — it does not need to win the content war, it needs advertisers to keep migrating budgets from linear TV to CTV, which is exactly what has been happening. The stock has done a lot of work on that thesis over the past year and is now digesting after a strong run.

Two things carrying the move:

  • The earnings recovery is real and consistent: Q1 revenue grew 22% year-on-year to $1.25B, operating margin swung positive to 4.1%, and the last four quarterly EPS beats have averaged more than 100% above consensus — analysts have been chasing the number the entire way up.
  • Free cash flow is now genuine: Q1 delivered $196M and the trailing figure is $754M against a $20.9B market cap, so the platform-model economics finally look like the software business bulls always argued they would.

Two things cutting against it:

  • The chart is stretched: shares sit at the 90th percentile of the 52-week range and 31% above the 200-day, so a lot of the recovery is already priced.
  • Insider tape is one-directional: officer sales from Charles Collier ($2.75M), Dan Jedda ($1.0M), and director Neil Hunt ($281K) at $140+ show management using the strength to reduce, with zero offsetting open-market buys.

The July 30 print is what decides whether this holds — a beat with the fifth straight double-digit EPS surprise and a raise in the ad-platform outlook is what keeps the trend intact, while any pullback in CTV ad growth or user-count softness gives the sellers the level break they need to press.

Agrees with X sentimentX captures the split — technical bulls calling a stage-1 base breakout, technical bears posting a 'don't-buy' list — and the data lands in between: the business fundamentals are strong and improving, but the chart is extended enough that near-term chop is a fair read.

What to watch: The July 30 earnings release. A fifth consecutive double-digit EPS beat with raised ad-platform guidance is what turns the cooling back into a trend; any Q2 slowdown in platform revenue or a soft H2 guide is the level break that lets sellers press.

On the calendar: 2026-07-30 — Q2 2026 earnings

float missing

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-08

Roku posts are limited but reveal a real split: chart-focused traders see the stock emerging from a stage 1 base with subtle relative strength and eye a run toward $148. Wolfe Research's $71 Outperform initiation on Fox references the $ROKU deal as a long-term growth driver, adding a positive read-across. However, one self-styled ex-JPMorgan advice list explicitly flags $ROKU as a Don't-Buy alongside $ETSY and $TWLO in favor of security software. The bullish technicals and bearish call keep the balance genuinely mixed.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $ROKU

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Operates the leading US streaming TV platform, monetizing via advertising on its free channel and revenue-sharing with streaming app partners.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Entertainment sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ROKU.

Entertainment · Communication Services

No material change from last week — NFLX's global TV network model (ad tier expansion, password sharing crackdown) has stabilized margins while box office has its best summer since pre-pandemic..

What this means for $ROKU

Partial — Operates the leading US streaming TV platform, monetizing via advertising on its free channel and revenue-sharing with streaming app partners; the NFLX global ad tier model and streaming subscriber monetization creates tailwinds for one product line, not the full operation.

Industry benchmark

9-name peer basket
+17.5%YTD
-11.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
89.5How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
2.9%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
2.1%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
3.6%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
3.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
7.6%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
44.2%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 30, 2026$0.57$0.33+72.6%
Q4 2025Feb 12, 2026$0.53$0.28+89.3%
Q3 2025Oct 30, 2025$0.16$0.07+128.6%
Q2 2025Jul 31, 2025$0.07$-0.16+143.8%
Next earningsThu, Jul 30·consensus EPS $0.61

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$1.2B+22.4%45.2%4.1%$0.58$196.0M
Q4 FY25$1.4B+16.1%43.5%4.7%$0.54$221.6M
Q3 FY25$1.2B+14.0%43.4%0.8%$0.17$126.5M
Q2 FY25$1.1B+14.8%44.8%-2.1%$0.07$108.6M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 21 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$5.6B$5.5B – $5.6B$2.47$2.43 – $2.5821
FY27$6.2B$6.1B – $6.4B$3.61$3.23 – $4.4421
FY28$7.0B$7.0B – $7.0B$5.42$3.48 – $6.5315
FY29$7.5B$7.3B – $7.7B$6.34$6.19 – $6.5611
FY30$7.7B$7.5B – $7.9B$6.85$6.68 – $7.087

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.3×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.90%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+8.1%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+30.8%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

β2.015-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJul 6Charles CollierPresident19.3K sh$2.8MSellJul 1Neil D HuntDirector2.0K sh$281KSellJul 1Matthew C. BanksVP, CAO554 sh$77KSellJun 15Dan JeddaCFO7.0K sh$1.0MSellJun 12Mustafa OzgenPres, Devices, Prod, and Tech10.2K sh$1.5MSellJun 12Anthony J. WoodCEO25.0K sh$3.3MSellJun 11Mai FyfieldDirector832 sh$100KSellJun 10Anthony J. WoodCEO18.0K sh$2.1MSellJun 4Charles CollierPresident15.9K sh$2.0MSellJun 2Charles CollierPresident7.1K sh$899K
1–10 of 20
+ 41 other (21 exempts · 7 awards · 7 inkinds · 6 conversions) in window

See when $ROKU insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteJun 178-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Roku, Inc. filed an 8-K (Item 5.07) dated June 11, 2026, reporting shareholder vote results from its annual meeting. The excerpt contains only cover-page boilerplate with no vote tallies or proposal outcomes visible. This is a routine governance disclosure; materiality depends on whether any contested proposals produced notable against-votes.

8-KMaterial agreementJun 158-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Roku, Inc. (ROKU) entered into a material definitive agreement (Item 1.01) and reported other events (Item 8.01) in an 8-K filed June 15, 2026. Body unavailable — excerpt cuts off before the specific agreement terms and other-event details are disclosed.

8-KPress release / Reg FDApr 138-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

ROKU filed an 8-K Item 7.01 (Reg FD) disclosure dated 2026-04-13. Reg FD disclosures make material information simultaneously available to all investors; content may include guidance updates, strategic plans, or preliminary results.

+ 33 other (19 425s · 5 13Gs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Roku (ROKU) Ascends While Market Falls: Some Facts to Notezacks.com·2d agoHere's Why Roku (ROKU) is a Strong Growth Stockzacks.com·2d agoCathie Wood Goes On a Selling Spree: 3 Stocks She Just Soldfool.com·5d agoRoku (ROKU) Suffers a Larger Drop Than the General Market: Key Insightszacks.com·7d agoRoku vs. Sirius XM: Which Media Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?fool.com·8d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $ROKU on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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