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TickerTalks›$NFLX
NFNFLX

Netflix, Inc.

$NFLX·$294B·Entertainment·Communication Services
$70.53-2.9%YTD-25.1%1Y-40.4%
Price updated 8h ago·X counts updated 5d ago
NFNFLX
$NFLXNetflix, Inc.
$70.53-2.86%2.7k posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $NFLX on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

2,660X posts · last 7 days
Sep 29Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $NFLX's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level, louder than 58% of tracked names.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data23 posts analyzed · as of 2026-10-02

X is quietly bullish on a cash-flow setup — Netflix is down ~40% from highs at 22x P/E, with FCF projected to roughly 2x by 2028 ($6.9B → $12.9B → $16.6B) and streaming revenue still growing ~13%. The average analyst PT at $95 vs $71 price gets quoted a lot. The split is between Wells Fargo's $57 bear ($30 stock question) and BMO's $135, but the dominant frame is "falling knife worth catching."

Read what X is saying about $NFLX

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $NFLX — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersSelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-10-02

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

Quality compounder that stopped compounding — the business still prints cash, the growth story has cracked.

Netflix is the global streaming leader — the business that normalized paid streaming and finally cracked the password-sharing crackdown. The stock is at the literal bottom of its 52-week range after co-CEO Sarandos said growth "isn't good enough," marking the clearest admission that the subscriber-engine thesis has stalled.

  • The P&L is still high-quality: revenue grew 16% YoY to $12.2B last quarter at 32% operating margin, free cash flow is projected to step from $6.9B to $12.9B this year, and the balance sheet is net cash — this isn't a broken business, it's a quality name whose growth narrative broke.
  • At 26x trailing earnings and 7.4x sales, the stock has already compressed from the 2024 peak multiple, and Ackman has been accumulating — the "quality falling knife" trade is real for buyers with multi-year horizons.
  • No meaningful insider selling of note (just a routine Barton 10b5-1), and the ad-supported tier is finally scaling into measurable incremental revenue — the growth re-acceleration story that bulls need has visible components.

Breaking-down holds unless Oct 20 earnings re-accelerate net subscriber adds or guide ad-revenue meaningfully above the $5B street expectation for FY27. A soft print without a clear reacceleration catalyst keeps the chart drifting toward the $57 Wells Fargo target.

Agrees with X sentimentThe X "buy the broken stock, not the broken company" framing has the mechanics right — 32% operating margin and $12.9B projected FCF are not broken — but the chartists seeing a bear flag with $65 downside and Wells Fargo at $57 are the honest counter-signal, because Sarandos just said out loud what the chart is pricing.

What to watch: Oct 20 earnings — net subscriber adds (needs to clear ~5M), ad-supported tier revenue trajectory, and FY27 revenue guide. A soft adds print or an ad-revenue guide below $5B is what seals the breaking-down tape.

On the calendar: 2026-10-20 — Q3 FY26 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $NFLX

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Streams TV series, films, and documentaries to 220M+ paid subscribers in 190 countries via subscriptions and advertising.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Entertainment sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $NFLX.

Entertainment · Communication Services

No material change from last week — NFLX -4.

What this means for $NFLX

Neutral — Streams TV series, films, and documentaries to 220M+ paid subscribers in 190 countries via subscriptions and advertising.

Industry benchmark

13-name peer basket
+16.6%YTD
+17.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
25.9How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
23.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
29.7%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
3.4%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
7.4Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
49.2%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
49.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 16, 2026$0.80$0.79+1.8%
Q1 2026Apr 16, 2026$1.23$0.76+61.2%
Q4 2025Jan 20, 2026$0.56$0.55+1.4%
Q3 2025Oct 21, 2025$0.59$0.70-15.2%
Next earningsTue, Oct 20·consensus EPS $0.82

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$12.2B+16.2%51.9%32.3%$1.25$5.1B
Q4 FY25$12.1B+17.6%45.9%24.5%$0.57$1.9B
Q3 FY25$11.5B+17.2%46.4%28.2%$0.60$2.7B
Q2 FY25$11.1B+15.9%51.9%34.1%$0.74$2.3B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 35 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$51.2B$51.1B – $51.4B$3.60$3.56 – $3.6935
FY27$57.0B$56.0B – $58.1B$3.81$3.58 – $4.0635
FY28$62.8B$59.8B – $65.0B$4.55$3.80 – $5.0934
FY29$68.3B$67.1B – $69.5B$5.46$5.33 – $5.5930
FY30$73.7B$72.3B – $75.0B$6.46$6.30 – $6.6117

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.2×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.9%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-6.1%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-14.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 4.1B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.615-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellSep 10Richard N BartonDirector720 sh$54KSellSep 9Richard N BartonDirector720 sh$55KSellSep 8Richard N BartonDirector720 sh$56KSellAug 10Neumann Spencer AdamCFO9.2K sh$701KSellAug 6Gregory K PetersCEO27.3K sh$2.0MSellAug 5Richard N BartonDirector2.2K sh$162KSellAug 4Theodore A SarandosCEO27.3K sh$2.0MSellAug 4David A HymanChief Legal Officer5.7K sh$417KSellAug 3Theodore A SarandosCEO81.9K sh$6.0MSellJun 17Bradford L SmithDirector36.0K sh$2.8M
1–10 of 15
+ 71 other (44 awards · 16 exempts · 10 inkinds · 1 gift) in window

See when $NFLX insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 308-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

NFLX (NFLX) disclosed a leadership departure/resignation in an 8-K filed on 2026-07-30. On July 26, 2026, Anne Sweeney notified Netflix, Inc. (the “Company”) that she was resigning from the Board of Directors of the Company effective as of that date. Ms. Sweeney's resignation is not due to any disagreement with the Company. SIGNATURES Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exch This is largely an administrative personnel disclosure with limited direct financial impact.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jul 21424B5
AI summary

NFLX filed a 424B5 prospectus supplement offering $1000M. This is a live, priced offering representing immediate dilution to existing shareholders. Proceeds are intended for stated in the supplement. Investors should assess the dilutive impact relative to current market cap and cash position.

8-KShareholder voteJun 58-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

NFLX (NFLX) disclosed the results of its annual meeting of shareholders in an 8-K filing under Item 5.07. Shareholders voted on ratification of the independent auditor. All management-sponsored proposals were approved by majority shareholder vote. Annual meeting results are a routine disclosure that confirms shareholder ratification of the board's composition and compensation practices.

+ 6 other (2 13Gs · 2 routine 8-Ks · 1 10-Q · 1 earnings 8-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Here's How Much Traders See Netflix Stock Moving After Earningsinvestopedia.com·11h agoNetflix (NFLX) Price Forecast: Technical Bottom Takes Shape Ahead of Earningsfxempire.com·12h agoNetflix, Tesla Headline Busy Earnings Calendar; Spending Plans Key To Meta's Reportinvestors.com·14h agoHere's who Netflix just brought in to run content — and what it means for the streamercnbc.com·15h agoFirst Week of Q3 Earnings in the Bookszacks.com·17h ago

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Voices on X · top 15 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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