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TickerTalks›$DIS
DIDIS

The Walt Disney Company

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 7% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesConsistent chatter on X (530/wk), no spike
$DIS·$182B·Entertainment·Communication Services
$107.58-0.5%YTD-13.5%1Y-9.0%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-22: 29 posts2026-08-23: 32 posts2026-08-24: 124 posts530+6%
Price updated 8h ago·X counts updated 7d ago
DIDIS
$DISThe Walt Disney Company
$107.58-0.48%530 posts+6%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $DIS, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-30

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Parks profitable, streaming turning, Fortnite integration live — the tape is finally starting to price it.

Disney is the media conglomerate whose Parks-and-Experiences business quietly funds one of the largest content-and-streaming operations in the world. The stock has spent two years being priced for the streaming losses that are now mostly behind it — and the last month's tape suggests the market is starting to notice.

  • The base P&L is intact and growing: quarterly revenue ran $23.65B / $22.46B / $25.98B (holiday) / $25.17B at a 37% blended gross margin, quarterly EPS moved $2.92 / $0.73 / $1.34 / $1.27 — analysts model $101.7B and $6.80 EPS for the fiscal year, so at $108 the equity trades at roughly 16x forward, a modest number for the assets on the books.
  • The catalyst set is unusually diverse: Disney+ signed a global distribution deal for Pokémon content, the Fortnite/Epic integration launched Smugglers Gambit as the first live proof of the $1.5B Epic stake, and Endgame Encore/Infinity Vision are the flagship theatrical releases that anchor the FY calendar.
  • The chart is doing something specific: DIS +20% MoM broke a multi-year descending trendline that the market had been leaning on as a topping structure — that's the technical shape that turns a broken-story name into a real turnaround, and it maps onto the crowd's $125 next-level target.

A Nov 12 print that shows DTC profitability holding, Parks operating income growing, and any Fortnite-integration engagement disclosure uncoils the setup; a soft Parks number, a fresh linear-network write-down, or a competitive announcement from Netflix on gaming is what invalidates the breakout.

Agrees with X sentimentX's bullish framing tracks the mechanics — the multi-year trendline break, the Pokémon deal, and the Fortnite integration are all real fundamental inputs; the D'Amaro 'unhappy but optimistic' quote is honest management color, not a red flag.

What to watch: The Nov 12 fiscal Q4 print — DTC (Disney+) profitability, Parks operating income, and any Fortnite-integration engagement disclosure. A soft Parks number or a linear-network write-down is what breaks the setup.

On the calendar: 2026-11-12 — fiscal Q4 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment36 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-31

Sentiment leans distinctly bullish, with several posters framing Disney as the next TGT-style 'boomies' breakout after clearing multi-year resistance around $109 on a roughly 20% monthly run. The bull case cites Experiences segment strength 'defying gravity,' a new global Pokemon distribution deal, and ESPN's DTC transition. Bears counter with a bearish engulfing candle, a $300M dark-pool put print, and worries about cord-cutting and CEO succession.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $DIS

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Runs Disney+/Hulu streaming, theme parks, ESPN sports media, and film studios including Marvel and Lucasfilm.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Entertainment sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $DIS.

Entertainment · Communication Services

Streaming subscriber economics are the central tension: pricing power improving as password-sharing crackdowns and ad-tier rollouts lift ARPU. Linear TV cord-cutting continues structurally — sports rights remain the last durable moat.

What this means for $DIS

Partial — upstream oil & gas exposure ties to commodity price cycle; Operating worldwide through its various subsidiaries, The Wa.

Industry benchmark

9-name peer basket
+19.3%YTD
+3.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
15.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
8.3%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
15.5%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
4.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.8Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
10.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
37.2%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 5, 2026$2.06$1.86+10.8%
Q1 2026May 6, 2026$1.57$1.49+5.4%
Q4 2025Feb 2, 2026$1.63$1.57+3.8%
Q3 2025Nov 13, 2025$1.11$1.05+5.7%
Next earningsThu, Nov 12·consensus EPS $1.64

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$25.2B+6.5%36.8%19.7%$1.27$4.9B
Q1 FY26$26.0B+5.2%35.8%14.9%$1.34$-2.3B
Q4 FY25$22.5B-0.5%37.6%11.6%$0.73$2.6B
Q3 FY25$23.6B+2.1%38.6%15.4%$2.92$1.9B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 22 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$101.7B$100.9B – $103.1B$6.80$6.63 – $6.9022
FY27$106.2B$104.8B – $108.3B$7.45$7.16 – $7.7622
FY28$110.7B$107.2B – $113.3B$8.30$6.39 – $9.4019
FY29$115.6B$112.9B – $117.6B$9.25$8.97 – $9.4510
FY30$119.9B$117.1B – $121.9B$10.27$9.96 – $10.5016

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.56%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+6.7%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+3.4%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 1.7B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.5% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.405-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 19Paul M RoederSr EVP and Chief Comm Officer3.6K sh$382KSellAug 14Brent WoodfordEVP, Control, Fin Plan & Tax7.2K sh$762K
+ 45 other (23 awards · 11 inkinds · 10 exempts · 1 return) in window

See when $DIS insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 203
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for DIS on 2026-03-20, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Beneficial ownership covers 2,138 shares. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentMar 20SC 13D/A
AI summary

Walt Disney Co filed an amended Schedule 13D on DIS disclosing beneficial ownership (947,910,220.00 shares) as of 2026-03-20. The filer's stated intent is passive investment with no plan to influence control of the company.

8-KOfficer or director changeMar 208-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

DIS disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-03-20). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 203
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for DIS on 2026-03-20, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Beneficial ownership covers 13,705 shares. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 203
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for DIS on 2026-03-20, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Beneficial ownership covers 18,844 shares. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 203
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for DIS on 2026-03-20, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

+ 10 other (2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 11-Ks · 2 13Gs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

How Likely Is It That Warren Buffett's Successor, Greg Abel, Will Use a Portion of Berkshire Hathaway's $359 Billion Cash Pile to Buy This Large-Cap Value Stock in September?fool.com·17h agoWhy Walt Disney (DIS) is a Top Stock for the Long-Termzacks.com·18h agoThe Walt Disney Company (NYSE:DIS) Receives $127.61 Average Price Target from Brokeragesdefenseworld.net·1d agoI've Been Writing About Disney Stock for 30 Years. Here's Why My Conviction Has Never Been Higher.fool.com·2d agoArcher Investment Corp Acquires New Holdings in The Walt Disney Company $DISdefenseworld.net·3d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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