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TickerTalks›$DIS
DIDIS

The Walt Disney Company

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 7% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesConsistent chatter on X (2.4K/wk), no spike
$DIS·$166B·Entertainment·Communication Services
$97.67-2.0%YTD-13.9%1Y-20.1%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-10: 35 posts2026-07-11: 148 posts2026-07-12: 287 posts2026-07-13: 502 posts2026-07-14: 298 posts2026-07-15: 382 posts2026-07-16: 343 posts2,226+22%
Price updated 2h ago·X counts updated 1h ago
DIDIS
$DISThe Walt Disney Company
$97.67-2.05%2.2k posts+22%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $DIS, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-07-17

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

EPS quintupled since 2021 and the stock hasn't rerated — Aug 5 has to name the reason.

Disney is the global entertainment conglomerate — parks, media networks, direct-to-consumer streaming, studios — running as a single earnings-compounder that the market has stopped pricing that way. The stock is coiled at the bottom of its 52-week range going into Aug 5 earnings.

Why the mispricing thesis is credible:

  • The earnings math is genuinely striking: EPS grew from $1.11 in 2021 to $6.25 today with revenue up 44% to $97B — meaning the stock is trading at a 15.7x TTM P/E on an earnings base nearly 6x higher than four years ago, without the corresponding multiple.
  • Cash generation supports the read: 15.5% operating margin and a 4.1% free cash flow yield — meaning this isn't a struggling business, it's a cash-flowing conglomerate the market is discounting on structural doubts, not operational ones.
  • The DTC ad-supported tier is a specific catalyst: reports of an ad-supported Disney+ free tier reads as an anti-piracy moat plus an incremental ad-revenue lever — the exact monetization story the market is waiting for.
  • The tape is basing tight: sitting at 24% of the 52-week range with the price flat against both moving averages — that's a coiled setup, not distribution, with volume 32% below average confirming compression.

Aug 5 earnings is where the mispricing has to be addressed. A number showing DTC EBITDA acceleration plus parks stability restarts the compounder story; a soft DTC print with parks weakness confirms the structural doubts and the discount persists.

Agrees with X sentimentX is contrarian-bullish on the EPS-versus-price mispricing and the ad-supported Disney+ read-through, and both reads are honest — the earnings compound is genuinely underpriced by the multiple. The tell the crowd is not sizing is that the market has had four quarters to reprice the compound and hasn't — which suggests structural skepticism the print needs to answer.

What to watch: The Aug 5 print — DTC EBITDA trajectory, parks segment year-on-year, and any confirmation of the ad-supported tier launch timeline. DTC acceleration plus parks stability restarts the compounder trade; a soft DTC print continues the discount.

On the calendar: 2026-08-05 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment20 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-17

Disney chatter is being driven by a single potential catalyst: reports that Disney is considering releasing a free, ad-supported tier of Disney+, which posters unanimously frame as a boost to advertising revenue and an anti-piracy structural move. Bulls also flag daily-chart reversal signs, an SOTP re-rate thesis with ~6 months of upside, and August 5 Q3 earnings as the next major inflection. A concrete framing note comparing 2021 ($152 price on $67.4B revenue, $1.11 EPS) versus today (~$96 price on $97B revenue, $6.25 EPS) argues that fundamentals have doubled while the stock has fallen ~37% - clean valuation reset language. There is essentially no bear thread beyond generic 'morally bankrupt companies' pot-shots and one AI-content displacement warning.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $DIS

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Runs Disney+/Hulu streaming, theme parks, ESPN sports media, and film studios including Marvel and Lucasfilm.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Entertainment sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $DIS.

Entertainment · Communication Services

No material change from last week — NFLX's global TV network model (ad tier expansion, password sharing crackdown) has stabilized margins while box office has its best summer since pre-pandemic..

What this means for $DIS

Direct beneficiary — Runs Disney+/Hulu streaming, theme parks, ESPN sports media, and film studios including Marvel and Lucasfilm; core operations sit in the path of the NFLX global ad tier model and streaming subscriber monetization.

Industry benchmark

9-name peer basket
+15.9%YTD
-4.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
15.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
8.3%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
15.5%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
4.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.8Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
10.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
37.2%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 6, 2026$1.57$1.49+5.4%
Q4 2025Feb 2, 2026$1.63$1.57+3.8%
Q3 2025Nov 13, 2025$1.11$1.05+5.7%
Q2 2025Aug 6, 2025$1.61$1.45+11.0%
Next earningsWed, Aug 5·consensus EPS $1.88

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$25.2B+6.5%36.8%19.7%$1.27$4.9B
Q1 FY26$26.0B+5.2%35.8%14.9%$1.34$-2.3B
Q4 FY25$22.5B-0.5%37.6%11.6%$0.73$2.6B
Q3 FY25$23.6B+2.1%38.6%15.4%$2.92$1.9B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 21 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$101.8B$101.0B – $103.1B$6.82$6.62 – $6.8921
FY27$106.1B$104.8B – $108.2B$7.48$7.18 – $7.7821
FY28$110.5B$110.4B – $110.5B$8.32$6.41 – $9.6518
FY29$115.6B$113.4B – $117.6B$9.20$8.98 – $9.4113
FY30$119.9B$117.6B – $122.0B$10.20$9.95 – $10.449

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.24%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-1.3%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-5.5%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 1.7B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.4% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.405-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 38 other (23 awards · 8 inkinds · 6 exempts · 1 return) in window

See when $DIS insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 203
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for DIS on 2026-03-20, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Beneficial ownership covers 2,138 shares. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentMar 20SC 13D/A
AI summary

Walt Disney Co filed an amended Schedule 13D on DIS disclosing beneficial ownership (947,910,220.00 shares) as of 2026-03-20. The filer's stated intent is passive investment with no plan to influence control of the company.

8-KOfficer or director changeMar 208-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

DIS disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-03-20). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 203
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for DIS on 2026-03-20, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Beneficial ownership covers 13,705 shares. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 203
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for DIS on 2026-03-20, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Beneficial ownership covers 18,844 shares. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 203
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for DIS on 2026-03-20, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

8-KOfficer or director changeFeb 248-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Feb 10424B5
+ 18 other (3 proxys · 2 11-Ks · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Disney Continues To Bet On Sports Fandom With New NFL Partnershipforbes.com·2d ago‘The View' faces trouble as FCC prepares to crack down on ABC show, revoke Disney licenses: reportnypost.com·2d agoWhy Walt Disney (DIS) Outpaced the Stock Market Todayzacks.com·2d agoInflation Declines in June as Oil Prices Ease: 5 Discretionary Pickszacks.com·3d agoWhy Is Walt Disney Stock Cheaper Than the S&P 500? This Is the Only Explanation.fool.com·3d ago

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Voices on X · top 6 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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