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STSTM

STMicroelectronics N.V.

$STM·$47B·Semiconductors·Technology
$54.29+0.7%YTD+97.0%1Y+109.9%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-08: 3 posts2026-08-09: 2 posts2026-08-10: 21 posts2026-08-11: 12 posts2026-08-12: 13 posts2026-08-13: 8 posts2026-08-14: 49 posts108+19%
Price updated 1d ago·X counts updated 1d ago
STSTM
$STMSTMicroelectronics N.V.
$54.29+0.69%108 posts+19%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $STM, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Broken storyStalledAI verdict · as of 2026-08-15

The move has stalled — likely just drifts unless something new shows up.

Auto and industrial semi cycle is still bottoming — post-Q2 -18% reset priced in a lot of pain, but the earnings trajectory doesn't yet support a durable bottom call.

STMicroelectronics is deep into a cyclical downturn, and Q2 confirmed that the recovery is not imminent even after the top-line beat.

  • Q1 revenue $3.1B, +23% YoY off the very depressed 2025 base — the compare is what's making the print look good.
  • Q2 came with an -18.67% single-day plunge despite the top-line beat: TTM FCF ran -$360M, operating margin compressed to 3.7%.
  • PE 435 reflects the collapsed EPS base — the multiple normalizes to ~40x on 2026 consensus $1.31 and ~20x on 2027 $2.66 if the recovery materializes.
  • Analyst mean 2027 revenue $16.9B implies auto-and-industrial cycle recovery back toward 2023 peak — the market is signaling doubt about the timing.
  • Chart sits well below 20/50-DMA with RSI 32.6 — technically washed out.
  • Optical connectivity for AI infrastructure is a real narrative addition but not yet material to the model.

Stock +97% YTD is essentially a re-rate off the panic low — sustainable requires actual earnings, not just an easier compare.

Differs from X sentimentThe X bearish tone captures the Q2 reset accurately. The nuance is that the setup is more 'stalled bottoming' than 'breaking down' — TTM FCF is negative and margin compressed, but the 2027 EPS ramp is not zero. A recovery hinges on the auto-semi order-book turning, which is not yet in the numbers.

What to watch: October 29 Q3 earnings — sequential revenue trajectory and any commentary on the automotive order book from European OEMs. Optical connectivity content for AI datacenters is the newer narrative to watch.

On the calendar: Q3 earnings Oct 29

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bearish sentiment6 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-31

Bearish tone on STMicroelectronics after Q2: stock plunged -18.67% despite a top-line beat as TTM FCF ran -$360M and operating margin sagged to 3.7%. Chart sits well below the 20/50-day with RSI at 32.6. Only bullish counter is a Jefferies analog-upcycle piece flagging +30% YoY industrial growth. Dominant tone is expectation-reset.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $STM

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Makes microcontrollers, silicon carbide power chips, and imaging sensors for automotive, industrial, and IoT markets; European semiconductor.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Semiconductors sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $STM.

Semiconductors · Technology

No material change from last week — structural AI capex engine unchanged: hyperscaler Blackwell allocation stays tight through 2H26 and HBM3e pricing holds as LLM context-window expansion drives 5-8x per-server memory demand uplift.

What this means for $STM

Neutral — Makes microcontrollers, silicon carbide power chips, and imaging sensors for automotive, industrial, and IoT markets; European semiconductor; limited read-through from semiconductors macro dynamics to this specific revenue mix.

Top industry ETF

$SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF
+56.0%YTD
+94.7%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
435.5How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
0.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
3.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
0.2%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
5.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
0.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
34.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 23, 2026$0.31$0.26+19.2%
Q1 2026Apr 23, 2026$0.13$0.19-31.6%
Q4 2025Jan 29, 2026$0.11$0.27-59.3%
Q3 2025Oct 23, 2025$0.29$0.22+31.8%
Next earningsThu, Oct 29·consensus EPS $0.40

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$3.1B+22.8%33.8%3.1%$0.04$155.5M
Q4 FY25$3.3B+0.1%35.2%6.2%$-0.03$-62K
Q3 FY25$3.2B-2.4%33.2%5.1%$0.26$182.4M
Q2 FY25$2.8B-13.3%33.0%-0.9%$-0.11$-177.2M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 11 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$14.4B$13.8B – $14.7B$1.31$1.05 – $1.687
FY27$16.9B$15.8B – $17.9B$2.66$1.82 – $3.4211
FY28$19.1B$17.8B – $20.0B$3.97$3.62 – $4.214
FY29$20.9B$19.5B – $21.9B$4.30$3.93 – $4.575
FY30$22.5B$21.0B – $23.6B$4.73$4.32 – $5.025

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.4×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.55%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-16.9%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+25.4%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

No material 8-K / SC 13D / S-3 / 424B5 filings in the last 180 days.

+ 23 other (19 6-Ks · 1 11-K · 1 SD · 1 F-3ASR) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Can Optical Connectivity Strengthen STMicroelectronics' AI Strategy?zacks.com·2d agoCan STMicroelectronics Cross $4 Billion Revenues in Q4?zacks.com·9d agoSony's TSMC Sensor Venture Could Reshape Its Imaging Growth Storyzacks.com·11d agoNXP downgraded by UBS as China and AI risks cloud growthproactiveinvestors.com·13d agoDown 31.6% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why You Should You Buy the Dip in STMicroelectronics (STM)zacks.com·17d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $STM on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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