TickerTalks
Browse all tickers →
TickerTalks›$STM
STSTM

STMicroelectronics N.V.

$STM·$70B·Semiconductors·Technology
$70.86-2.2%YTD+163.2%1Y+148.9%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-06-17: 93 posts2026-06-18: 123 posts2026-06-19: 7 posts2026-06-20: 15 posts2026-06-21: 37 posts2026-06-22: 71 posts2026-06-23: 26 posts376+11%
Price updated 14m ago·X counts updated 20h ago
STSTM
$STMSTMicroelectronics N.V.
$70.86-2.17%376 posts+11%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
Loading…

AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $STM, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-06-24

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

STM re-rated 163% YTD on the SpaceX/Starlink chip supply story — today's 9.4% drop is the multiple finally biting.

STMicroelectronics is the European auto-and-industrial chip incumbent, and the equity has been radically re-rated in 2026 as the market discovers its central role in the SpaceX/Starlink satellite-internet supply chain plus the broader humanoid-robotics edge-AI buildout.

  • The narrative repositioning is the entire story: STM ships roughly 5M+ chips per day into Starlink with ~90% share in satellite-internet radio silicon, and its satellite chip business has scaled from $175M in 2021 to ~$600M in 2025 — that's the kind of dated, sized, named-customer ramp that justifies a re-rating from 'boring European auto chip' to thematic AI/space-infrastructure name.
  • The fundamentals haven't yet caught up with the multiple: Q1 revenue grew 23% YoY to $3.1B at a 34% gross margin but only 3% operating margin, with $155M of FCF; FY27 consensus pencils to $14.3B revenue and $1.29 EPS rising to $16.6B and $2.58 in FY28 — at 435x trailing earnings the multiple is extreme even as the operating ramp continues, and today's 9.4% drop is the first real cooling on a 163% YTD move.
  • The capital and validation tells are heavyweight: a $1.5B dual-tranche convertible at near-zero coupons with 47.5-55% premiums to refinance 2027 paper and fund data-center and silicon-photonics capex (cheap capital at peak narrative), BofA's Street-high $100 PT, and Stanley Druckenmiller adding to his stake — the institutional sponsorship is in, which both validates the thesis and concentrates the unwind risk.

The July 23 Q2 earnings is the test — sustained 20%+ revenue growth AND a visible operating-margin recovery from the 3% Q1 trough validates the re-rating; an in-line print with no margin expansion, and 85th-percentile chart cools toward the 50-day at ~$62. The bull case requires continued thematic flow; the bear case is the multiple needing perfect execution.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish repositioning (5M+ Starlink chips per day, 90% satellite-internet radio share, $600M satellite chip run-rate, BofA $100 PT, Druckenmiller stake addition, $1.5B convertible at near-zero coupons) maps to filings and operational announcements. Today's 9.4% drop is the first real test of the parabolic move; both bull thesis and risk are real.

What to watch: July 23 Q2 earnings — needs sustained 20%+ revenue growth AND visible operating-margin recovery from the 3% Q1 trough. In-line print without margin expansion, and 85th-percentile chart cools to 50-day at ~$62; clean print extends the thematic.

On the calendar: 2026-07-23 — Q2 earnings

extreme multiplethematic runmacro dependent

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment18 posts analyzed · as of 2026-06-23

STMicroelectronics is being repositioned from a boring European auto-chip name into a SpaceX/Starlink and humanoid-robotics supply-chain play, with posters citing 5M+ chips per day shipped to Starlink, ~90% share in satellite-internet radio silicon, and a satellite chip business that has scaled from $175M in 2021 to roughly $600M in 2025. The stock has nearly tripled in 2026, and STM just launched a $1.5B dual-tranche convertible at near-zero coupons with 47.5-55% premiums to refinance 2027 paper and fund data-center and silicon-photonics capex. BofA's Street-high $100 target and Druckenmiller adding to his stake are cited as institutional validation.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $STM

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Makes microcontrollers, silicon carbide power chips, and imaging sensors for automotive, industrial, and IoT markets; European semiconductor.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Semiconductors sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $STM.

Semiconductors · Technology

Hyperscaler AI capex remains the structural engine — Goldman Sachs' $1T+ AI infrastructure spend forecast for 2027 validates no capex retreat, keeping NVDA Blackwell allocation tight through 2H26. HBM3e pricing holds as LLM context-window expansion drives 5-8x per-server memory requirements vs. prior cycles, with Micron's June 24 earnings the week's key data point.

What this means for $STM

Partial — STMicro's SiC power chips for automotive EV benefit from electrification, but AI data center exposure is smaller than its core auto/industrial mix.

Top industry ETF

$SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF
+68.6%YTD
+137.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
435.5How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
0.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
3.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
0.2%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
5.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
0.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
34.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 23, 2026$0.13$0.19-31.6%
Q4 2025Jan 29, 2026$0.11$0.27-59.3%
Q3 2025Oct 23, 2025$0.29$0.22+31.8%
Q2 2025Jul 24, 2025$0.06$0.10-40.0%
Next earningsThu, Jul 23·consensus EPS $0.24

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$3.1B+22.8%33.8%3.1%$0.04$155.5M
Q4 FY25$3.3B+0.1%35.2%6.2%$-0.03$-62K
Q3 FY25$3.2B-2.4%33.2%5.1%$0.26$182.4M
Q2 FY25$2.8B-13.3%33.0%-0.9%$-0.11$-177.2M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 11 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$14.3B$13.8B – $14.7B$1.29$1.10 – $1.7311
FY27$16.6B$15.8B – $17.8B$2.58$1.82 – $3.3511
FY28$18.6B$17.3B – $19.7B$3.71$3.38 – $3.994
FY29$16.7B$15.6B – $17.7B$2.28$2.08 – $2.455
FY30$18.0B$16.7B – $19.0B$2.51$2.29 – $2.705

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.1×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.85%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+16.7%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+95.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 888.3M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.6% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.565-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

No material 8-K / SC 13D / S-3 / 424B5 filings in the last 180 days.

+ 18 other (14 6-Ks · 1 11-K · 1 SD · 1 F-3ASR) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Can STMicroelectronics' VL53L9 Unlock the Next Wave of Edge AI?zacks.com·1d agoFTSE 100 Live: London stocks inch higher as Wall Street tech sells offproactiveinvestors.com·1d agoStanley Druckenmiller Backs These 3 Chip and Tech Stocks: Should You Follow?247wallst.com·1d agoFTSE 100 Live: London stocks outperform as tech selloff sees SpaceX slideproactiveinvestors.com·1d agoSTMicroelectronics unveils new compact direct Time-of-Flight 3D LiDAR module bringing high-resolution spatial awareness to compact edge AI systems with industry-leading resolution and performanceglobenewswire.com·3d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

AI Power Delivery

More in Semiconductors

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

$MU$NVDA$AMD$INTC$AVGO$MRVL$AAOI$ALAB
Voices on X · top 10 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

PrivacyTermsSupport