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STSTEM

Stem, Inc.

$STEM·$62M·Software - Infrastructure·Technology
$6.17-2.4%YTD-59.4%1Y-26.8%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-10: 6 posts2026-07-11: 2 posts2026-07-12: 6 posts2026-07-13: 5 posts2026-07-14: 2 posts2026-07-15: 3 posts2026-07-16: 10 posts34+4%
Price updated 10m ago·X counts updated 17h ago
STSTEM
$STEMStem, Inc.
$6.17-2.38%34 posts+4%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $STEM, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Broken storySelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-07-16

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

Battery-software pivot to AI has not stopped the slide toward the range low.

Stem is down about 57% year-to-date and sitting near the low end of its fifty-two-week range as the battery-analytics platform tries to reframe itself around an AI-services offering called AIONA without yet convincing the market that the business model works.

  • July 2 insider selling by four officers, including Chief Executive Arun Narayanan for around $15,700, is small in dollar terms but keeps the signal on the sell side into a company with a market cap under $70 million.
  • The addressable market for battery-storage optimization is expanding as data-center power constraints get more attention, but Stem has repeatedly lost customer contracts and lease receivables have been under review, which pushes the equity story further out.
  • The August 6 second-quarter print needs to show that AIONA is producing paid contracts rather than announcements, and that lease-portfolio impairments have stabilized, before the equity can meaningfully rerate.

Watch AIONA contract disclosures, lease-portfolio commentary, and cash-runway numbers on the Q2 call.

Agrees with X sentimentBearish framing on the broken pivot aligns with the tape and the insider selling.

What to watch: Paid AIONA contracts, lease-receivable status, and cash runway.

On the calendar: Q2 earnings on August 6, 2026.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $STEM

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Develops AI software (Athena) optimizing battery energy storage dispatch for commercial and utility-scale grid customers.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Software - Infrastructure sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $STEM.

Software - Infrastructure · Technology

No material change from last week — Enterprise software infrastructure is in a multiple compression phase (-16.

What this means for $STEM

Neutral — Develops AI software (Athena) optimizing battery energy storage dispatch for commercial and utility-scale grid customers; the cloud-native adoption and AI security spend despite multiple compression does not materially affect this business's near-term earnings.

Top industry ETF

$IGViShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF
-12.0%YTD
-14.7%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
0.5How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-27.7%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-32.9%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-12.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-59.6%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
36.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
-1.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 6, 2026$-2.22$-2.06-7.8%
Q4 2025Mar 4, 2026$-1.85$-2.17+14.8%
Q3 2025Oct 29, 2025$-2.84$-1.85-53.5%
Q2 2025Aug 7, 2025$-3.73$-3.00-24.3%
Next earningsThu, Aug 6·consensus EPS $-1.76

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$29.0M-10.8%37.4%-37.6%$-2.22$-8.3M
Q4 FY25$47.1M-15.6%38.7%-27.9%$-1.90$7.3M
Q3 FY25$38.2M+30.5%35.5%-33.6%$-2.84$10.4M
Q2 FY25$38.4M+12.9%33.4%-34.8%$24.31$-17.7M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 4 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$155.2M$144.6M – $166.1M-$6.84-$7.47 – -$6.234
FY27$178.8M$166.5M – $191.3M-$5.13-$5.59 – -$4.673
FY28$227.0M$227.0M – $227.0M-$2.89-$3.16 – -$2.631

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.0%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-24.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-53.7%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatTiny float · 8.7M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.2% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.465-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJul 2Saul R. LaurelesChief Legal Officer675 sh$5KSellJul 2Arun NarayananCEO2.0K sh$16KSellJul 2Matthew TappinPresident996 sh$8KSellJul 2Carlson Michael JamesPresident1.3K sh$11KSellMar 11Matthew TappinPresident402 sh$4KSellMar 10Saul R. LaurelesChief Legal Officer942 sh$10KSellMar 10Carlson Michael JamesPresident2.1K sh$23KSellMar 10Arun NarayananCEO5.1K sh$57KSellMar 10Matthew TappinPresident655 sh$7KSellMar 4Matthew TappinPresident185 sh$2K
1–10 of 13
+ 28 other (13 exempts · 12 awards · 3 inkinds) in window

See when $STEM insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jun 22424B5
AI summary

STEM filed a 424B5 resale prospectus supplement on 2026-06-22 of 289,045 Shares at $0.0001 per share. This represents a resale offering with no new dilution to the company.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 38-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

STEM (STEM) disclosed the results of its annual meeting of shareholders in an 8-K filing under Item 5.07. Shareholders voted on an advisory say-on-pay resolution, ratification of the independent auditor, an equity incentive plan. All management-sponsored proposals were approved by majority shareholder vote. Annual meeting results are a routine disclosure that confirms shareholder ratification of the board's composition and compensation practices.

S-3Shelf registrationJun 2S-3
AI summary

Stem Inc. (STEM) filed an S-3 shelf registration statement to enable future securities offerings from time to time. Shelf registration; dilution potential if utilized for equity raises.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 68-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

STEM reported First Quarter 2026 Earnings Release 104 Cover Page In financial results (8-K Item 2.02). Investors should review the full earnings press release and any management guidance for forward outlook.

8-KMaterial eventMar 178-K — Item 4.01
424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Mar 6424B5
8-KPress release / Reg FDMar 48-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 8 other (2 proxys · 1 EFFECT · 1 SD · 1 10-Q) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Stem Wins The smarter E AWARD 2026 for PowerTrack Energy Management Systembusinesswire.com·16d agoStem Launches AIONA, a Dedicated AI Services Offering Built for Operational Impactbusinesswire.com·30d agoBattelle Funds 16 Central Ohio STEM Programs Serving 14,000 Youthbusinesswire.com·32d agoCERo Therapeutics Announces Clinical Update from CERTAIN-T Phase 1 CER-1236 Trial, Including Patient Undergoing Allogeneic Stem Cell Transplant Following Treatmentglobenewswire.com·32d agoThe New Bottleneck Isn’t Computing Power — It’s Just Powerglobenewswire.com·35d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $STEM on X in the last 7 days.

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