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STSTEM

Stem, Inc.

$STEM·$53M·Software - Infrastructure·Technology
$5.72+5.1%YTD-61.6%1Y-61.5%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-22: 2 posts2026-08-23: 0 posts12+9%
Price updated 7h ago·X counts updated 8d ago
STSTEM
$STEMStem, Inc.
$5.72+5.15%12 posts+9%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $STEM, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Broken storySelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-08-31

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

Stem beat Q2 revenue but sits at 2% of its 52-week range — energy-storage-software pivot is real, market has not bought it.

Stem (STEM) is one of the more damaged small-cap energy-transition names — the operating pivot to software is legitimate but the equity has been left for dead.

  • Q2 revenue of $33.7M missed slightly but EPS of -$1.58 beat by ~10%; the sub-scale ARR base and the tiny 8.6M share float make the tape jumpy in both directions.
  • The stock trades at ~2% of its 52-week range and ~51% below the 200-day MA — a chart that reflects both the pivot cost and doubt about the go-forward AI-driven storage software model.
  • Zacks sees ~33% analyst upside but 2026-2028 estimates still show deep losses (-$6.77, -$5.27, -$2.89) — profitability is not on the near-term horizon.

Bottom line: the pivot may work but the equity setup is what it is — this is a broken-story name, not a mispriced growth compounder.

Differs from X sentimentNo direct X sample this cycle; sell-side price targets suggest upside but the fundamentals do not yet argue for a rerating.

What to watch: ARR growth rate, gross-margin trend, cash-runway commentary, and any hyperscaler-adjacent storage-software wins.

On the calendar: Q3 2026 earnings — 2026-10-28.

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Develops AI software (Athena) optimizing battery energy storage dispatch for commercial and utility-scale grid customers.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Software - Infrastructure sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $STEM.

Software - Infrastructure · Technology

SaaS multiples remain compressed as rate-sensitive valuations weigh on pure-play software; customers are lengthening deal cycles outside of AI-native workloads. AI co-pilot upsell is the only clear near-term catalyst — companies without it are treading water.

What this means for $STEM

Direct beneficiary — AI-native product or platform captures spend from the same capex cycle driving the industry; Develops AI software (Athena) optimizing battery energy storage dispatch for commercial and utility-scale grid customers.

Top industry ETF

$IGViShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF
-4.2%YTD
+2.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
0.5How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-27.7%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-32.9%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-12.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-59.6%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
36.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
-1.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 12, 2026$-1.58$-1.75+9.7%
Q1 2026May 6, 2026$-2.22$-2.06-7.8%
Q4 2025Mar 4, 2026$-1.85$-2.17+14.8%
Q3 2025Oct 29, 2025$-2.84$-1.85-53.5%
Next earningsWed, Oct 28·consensus EPS $-1.57

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$29.0M-10.8%37.4%-37.6%$-2.22$-8.3M
Q4 FY25$47.1M-15.6%38.7%-27.9%$-1.90$7.3M
Q3 FY25$38.2M+30.5%35.5%-33.6%$-2.84$10.4M
Q2 FY25$38.4M+12.9%33.4%-34.8%$24.31$-17.7M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 4 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$152.1M$142.5M – $163.8M-$6.77-$7.44 – -$6.214
FY27$178.1M$166.8M – $191.7M-$5.27-$5.80 – -$4.844
FY28$227.0M$227.0M – $227.0M-$2.89-$3.18 – -$2.661

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.3%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-9.1%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-48.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatTiny float · 8.7M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.515-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJul 20Brian MusfeldtCFO996 sh$6KSellJul 2Saul R. LaurelesChief Legal Officer675 sh$5KSellJul 2Arun NarayananCEO2.0K sh$16KSellJul 2Matthew TappinPresident996 sh$8KSellJul 2Carlson Michael JamesPresident1.3K sh$11KSellMar 11Matthew TappinPresident402 sh$4KSellMar 10Saul R. LaurelesChief Legal Officer942 sh$10KSellMar 10Carlson Michael JamesPresident2.1K sh$23KSellMar 10Arun NarayananCEO5.1K sh$57KSellMar 10Matthew TappinPresident655 sh$7K
+ 24 other (16 exempts · 8 awards) in window

See when $STEM insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KAcquisition completedAug 128-K — Item 2.01: Acquisition completed · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Stem, Inc. (STEM), an AI-driven energy storage and software company headquartered in Houston, Texas, filed an 8-K on August 12, 2026, disclosing its financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026. The results were announced via a press release posted to the company's investor relations website, with accompanying slides also made available. The filing covers both earnings results (Item 2.02) and a Regulation FD disclosure (Item 7.01). Specific revenue and earnings figures were not included in the filing excerpt itself but are contained in the attached Exhibit 99. Investors should access the full press release for detail on revenue, margins, and guidance, given Stem's exposure to fluctuating energy storage project economics.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jun 22424B5
AI summary

STEM filed a 424B5 resale prospectus supplement on 2026-06-22 of 289,045 Shares at $0.0001 per share. This represents a resale offering with no new dilution to the company.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 38-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

STEM (STEM) disclosed the results of its annual meeting of shareholders in an 8-K filing under Item 5.07. Shareholders voted on an advisory say-on-pay resolution, ratification of the independent auditor, an equity incentive plan. All management-sponsored proposals were approved by majority shareholder vote. Annual meeting results are a routine disclosure that confirms shareholder ratification of the board's composition and compensation practices.

S-3Shelf registrationJun 2S-3
AI summary

Stem Inc. (STEM) filed an S-3 shelf registration statement to enable future securities offerings from time to time. Shelf registration; dilution potential if utilized for equity raises.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 68-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

STEM reported First Quarter 2026 Earnings Release 104 Cover Page In financial results (8-K Item 2.02). Investors should review the full earnings press release and any management guidance for forward outlook.

8-KMaterial eventMar 178-K — Item 4.01
424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Mar 6424B5
+ 12 other (2 10-Qs · 2 proxys · 1 S-8 · 1 EFFECT) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Wall Street Analysts See a 32.8% Upside in Stem (STEM): Can the Stock Really Move This High?zacks.com·6d agoStem, Inc. (STEM) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·19d agoStem Q2 Earnings Call Highlightsmarketbeat.com·19d agoStem, Inc. (STEM) Reports Q2 Loss, Beats Revenue Estimateszacks.com·19d agoStem Announces Second Quarter 2026 Resultsbusinesswire.com·20d ago

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