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RURUN

Sunrun Inc.

$RUN·$2.4B·Solar·Technology
$8.66-1.3%YTD-42.3%1Y-46.4%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-21: 9 posts2026-08-22: 5 posts2026-08-23: 7 posts106-5%
Price updated 6m ago·X counts updated 8d ago
RURUN
$RUNSunrun Inc.
$8.67-1.31%106 posts-5%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $RUN, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Broken storySelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-08-30

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

Sunrun at just 1% of its 52-week range on solar-cycle pain and heavy leverage — Voltus AI-hyperscaler deal is a hopeful hook, not fundamentals.

Sunrun is the largest US residential-solar installer, running a subscription-model financing business that requires steady low rates and stable IRA incentives to work. Both are missing.

How the setup reads:

  • Revenue growing but business broken: Q1 revenue grew 43% year-on-year to $722M, Q4 was +124% (comp-mix), op margin -6%, FCF yield -24% — burning cash under a 4.5x debt-to-equity load.
  • Position is capitulated: 1.2% percentile of the 52-week range, 21% below the 50-day and 40% below the 200-day — broken chart on a broken thesis.
  • The Voltus AI-hyperscaler agreement is the only bull hook: Sunrun to supply Voltus with energy capacity — small dollars, could revalue distributed-solar as grid-support infrastructure.
  • Trump solar-tariff angle is double-edged: favors US-manufactured, but Sunrun is an installer; direct benefit limited unless Tesla's $10.1B Texas cell facility lifts the whole cohort.
  • Insider signal mildly negative: former CEO Jurich sold $498K — small but net-negative.

The November 5 print is what defines the next leg — a specific new grid-services contract plus operating margin turning positive keeps SPCE-style optionality alive; another quarter of cash burn with debt-service concerns pushes shares to fresh 52-week lows below $8.

What to watch: November 5 earnings — a specific new grid-services contract plus operating margin turning positive keeps optionality alive; another cash-burn quarter with debt-service concerns pushes shares to fresh 52-week lows below $8.

On the calendar: 2026-11-05 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment⚠6 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-13 · top-engagement diverged

Sunrun drops on earnings but the weekly chart still holds up on an inverse H&S with $11 September King Node suggesting a +14% move. Solar names could get some attention as electricity becomes the bottleneck for AI, offset by Tesla's planned $10.1B solar-cell manufacturing facility in Texas. One trader is up 25% on a short.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $RUN

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Largest US residential solar installer offering owned and leased systems with battery storage integration.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Solar sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $RUN.

Solar · Technology

AI data center power demand — hyperscalers signing long-term renewable PPAs — is the new structural demand driver layering on top of grid decarbonization mandates. Permitting timelines and grid interconnection queues remain the constraint on supply-side scaling.

What this means for $RUN

Partial — consumer discretionary / retail performance tracks consumer spending trends; Sunrun Inc.

Top industry ETF

$TANInvesco Solar ETF
+6.0%YTD
+17.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
5.5How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-0.3%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-1.8%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-23.6%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
18.4%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
30.4%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
4.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 5, 2026$0.42$0.23+86.3%
Q1 2026May 6, 2026$0.62$-0.05+1340.0%
Q4 2025Feb 26, 2026$0.38$-0.08+575.0%
Q3 2025Nov 6, 2025$0.06$0.01+500.0%
Next earningsThu, Nov 5·consensus EPS $0.21

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$722.2M+43.2%30.4%-6.0%$0.71$-414.2M
Q4 FY25$1.2B+123.5%35.3%8.4%$0.45$97.7M
Q3 FY25$724.6M+34.9%33.6%0.5%$0.07$-865.2M
Q2 FY25$569.3M+8.7%16.6%-20.1%$1.22$431.1M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 16 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$3.0B$2.5B – $3.5B$1.23-$0.07 – $2.5615
FY27$3.3B$2.5B – $3.7B$0.47-$1.96 – $2.4416
FY28$3.7B$3.7B – $3.7B$0.72-$2.69 – $4.8412
FY29$3.5B$2.7B – $4.1B$1.42$1.00 – $1.7511
FY30$3.8B$2.9B – $4.5B$0.56$0.40 – $0.706

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.1%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-20.8%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-40.5%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 230.1M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.8% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.395-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 3Jurich Lynn MichelleDirector50.0K sh$498KSellJul 9Maria BarakChief Accounting Officer3.3K sh$40KSellJul 6Jeanna SteeleChief Legal & People Officer9.9K sh$131KSellJul 6Paul S. DicksonPres. & Chief Revenue Officer15.6K sh$206KSellJul 6Maria BarakChief Accounting Officer1.7K sh$23KSellJul 6Mary PowellCEO24.0K sh$316KSellJul 6Danny AbajianCFO16.5K sh$218KSellJul 1Jurich Lynn MichelleDirector50.0K sh$680KSellJun 11Sonita LontohDirector7.5K sh$90KSellJun 8Danny AbajianCFO2.0K sh$27K
1–10 of 24
+ 11 other (7 awards · 4 gifts) in window

See when $RUN insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteJun 18-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Sunrun held its 2026 Annual Meeting on May 28, 2026 via virtual format; nine director nominees including Lynn Jurich were elected with strong support. Routine annual meeting.

+ 18 other (6 13Gs · 4 ABS-15Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Trump's Solar Tariffs Could Spark The Next Intel-Style Government Deal: 2 Stocks To Watchbenzinga.com·5d agoEP Wealth Advisors LLC Buys Shares of 146,517 Sunrun Inc. $RUNdefenseworld.net·9d agoSunrun to Supply Voltus with Energy Capacity for AI Hyperscaler Agreementsglobenewswire.com·14d agoSunrun (RUN) Q2 Earnings: How Key Metrics Compare to Wall Street Estimateszacks.com·24d agoSolar stocks shine after Trump extends China tariffs to polysilicon productscnbc.com·24d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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