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CSCSIQ

Canadian Solar Inc.

$CSIQ·$1.1B·Solar·Technology
$12.58-4.2%YTD-32.6%1Y+38.2%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-21: 4 posts2026-08-22: 0 posts2026-08-23: 3 posts2026-08-24: 23 posts40-6%
Price updated 9m ago·X counts updated 7d ago
CSCSIQ
$CSIQCanadian Solar Inc.
$12.58-4.24%40 posts-6%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $CSIQ, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Comeback attemptEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-08-25

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

Solar-module maker with Q2 earnings August 27 — won a Maxeon patent dispute, closed $695M project financing, but revenue still declining year-over-year.

Canadian Solar makes solar modules and battery storage — split between CSI Solar (modules) and Global Energy (utility-scale project development, Recurrent Energy). The stock is up 26% over trailing year but down 33% year-to-date — a value setup with Q2 earnings scheduled August 27 (2 days from now).

  • Q1 2026 revenue was $1.08B (down 9.9% year-over-year); Q4 25 was $1.22B (-20%); Q3 25 was $1.49B (-1.3%) — the topline has been in decline through the solar-industry downturn
  • The last four earnings surprises: -170%, +46%, -51%, +33% — extreme variability reflecting one-time charges and volatility in the solar-industry pricing environment
  • On August 18 CSIQ won its US patent battle with Maxeon — Maxeon's TOPCon patent infringement lawsuit was dismissed with prejudice (cannot be refiled) — this is a real strategic-value event removing overhang
  • On August 13 Recurrent Energy secured $695M in project financing for the 330 MW Cobalt Solar project in California ($484M debt + $211M from Wells Fargo) — meaningful project-financing win
  • Analyst 2026 revenue estimate is $6.1B on -$0.83 EPS (loss year); 2027 $7.3B / +$1.35 EPS; 2028 $7.4B / +$2.61 EPS — the ramp reflects industry recovery
  • Debt-to-equity is 2.76 — elevated, reflecting project-financing structure
  • Free cash flow yield of -121% is extreme — heavy project-development capital outflows
  • Beta 1.54 — cyclically amplified
  • Position in 52-week range is 19% — near-lows despite the recent legal/financing wins
  • X frames CSIQ at ~$15 as 0.33x book, 0.2x revenue — historically cheap

At these multiples with two recent positive catalysts, Q2 is the immediate test of whether the industry-recovery thesis is executing.

Agrees with X sentimentX is bullish on the Maxeon dismissal, $695M financing, and cheap 0.33x book value. Fair — the setup is genuine value on real recent wins; the Q2 print determines whether the recovery narrative is credible.

What to watch: The Q2 print on August 27 — revenue trajectory versus consensus and any gross margin recovery signal will determine whether the multiple compression stops or continues.

On the calendar: 2026-08-27 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment17 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-30

Canadian Solar's thread is a debate. Bulls flag a 13GW contracted backlog worth $4.5B, battery-storage shipments up 73% YoY to 3.7GWh, a Recurrent Energy Isagen sale plus a $150M Microsoft PPA and $700M financing close, and 'the highest-signal earnings call I've heard from these guys.' Skeptics dwell on EPS of -$1.40 versus -$0.11 expected, a 1,590 bps gross-margin collapse, Q3 revenue guide of $1.3-$1.5B versus $1.8B consensus and unresolved solar module oversupply. Recurrent monetization is the debated catalyst.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $CSIQ

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Designs and manufactures solar modules and develops utility-scale solar power plants; vertically integrated from wafer to project.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Solar sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $CSIQ.

Solar · Technology

AI data center power demand — hyperscalers signing long-term renewable PPAs — is the new structural demand driver layering on top of grid decarbonization mandates. Permitting timelines and grid interconnection queues remain the constraint on supply-side scaling.

What this means for $CSIQ

Direct beneficiary — semiconductor products are directly in the AI capex supply chain; Canadian Solar Inc.

Top industry ETF

$TANInvesco Solar ETF
+6.0%YTD
+17.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-11.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
1.3%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
3.1%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-121%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.2Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-3.6%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
21.1%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
2.8Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 27, 2026$-1.40$-0.18-663.6%
Q1 2026May 14, 2026$-0.71$-1.06+33.0%
Q4 2025Mar 19, 2026$-1.66$-1.10-50.9%
Q3 2025Nov 13, 2025$-0.58$-1.08+46.3%
Next earningsThu, Nov 12·consensus EPS $-0.66

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$1.1B-9.9%25.1%6.8%$-0.47$-401.9M
Q4 FY25$1.2B-20.0%10.2%-5.3%$-1.28$-396.0M
Q3 FY25$1.5B-1.3%17.2%2.3%$0.13$-406.5M
Q2 FY25$1.7B+3.6%29.8%7.5%$0.11$-203.9M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 8 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$6.1B$5.8B – $6.6B-$0.83-$1.21 – -$0.448
FY27$7.3B$6.8B – $8.3B$1.35-$0.81 – $4.108
FY28$7.4B$6.1B – $8.6B$2.61$1.23 – $3.998
FY29$7.6B$6.3B – $9.1B$7.83$6.09 – $9.857
FY30$8.0B$6.6B – $9.6B$5.55$4.32 – $6.987

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.15%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-12.3%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-28.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 47.6M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today6.5% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.545-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 26Leslie Li ChangDirector1.8K sh$34KSellMay 19Wong Andrew Luen CheungDirector1.8K sh$29K
+ 56 other (21 exempts · 20 inkinds · 14 awards · 1 other) in window

See when $CSIQ insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3/ANew insider — initial holdingsMay 283/A
AI summary

Dylan Marx filed an amendment to his initial Form 3 (Form 3/A) for Canadian Solar Inc. (CSIQ), with an event date of March 18, 2026. The amendment corrects or supplements prior beneficial ownership disclosures for a company officer or director at the solar energy company. This is a routine administrative compliance correction with no new securities transactions.

3/ANew insider — initial holdingsMay 143/A
AI summary

Yu (Kang) Chen, Lead General Counsel of Canadian Solar Inc. (CSIQ), filed a Form 3/A amendment as of March 18, 2026, correcting the initial beneficial ownership statement filed on the same date. The excerpt does not include visible share counts in the cut-off Table I section. Routine Section 16(a) amendment for a CSIQ officer; administrative and non-material.

3/ANew insider — initial holdingsApr 63/A
AI summary

Lauren C. Templeton, a director of Canadian Solar Inc. (CSIQ), filed a Form 3/A amendment as of March 18, 2026 (amending an original filed on the same date), disclosing 23,028 common shares held directly. Routine Section 16(a) amendment for a CSIQ director; administrative and non-material.

3/ANew insider — initial holdingsApr 63/A
AI summary

Harry E. Ruda, a director of Canadian Solar Inc. (CSIQ), filed a Form 3/A amendment as of March 18, 2026 (amending an original filed on the same date), disclosing 45,382 common shares held directly. Routine Section 16(a) amendment for a CSIQ director's initial ownership filing; administrative and non-material.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 273
AI summary

Pauline W. Wong, Corporate Secretary of Canadian Solar Inc. (CSIQ), filed an initial Form 3 as of March 18, 2026, disclosing 2,280 common shares held directly. Routine Section 16(a) initial ownership disclosure for a newly reportable officer; non-material.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 253
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
+ 22 other (9 6-Ks · 7 3s · 4 13Gs · 1 SD) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Deutsche Bank AG Takes $1.24 Million Position in Canadian Solar Inc. $CSIQdefenseworld.net·1d agoCanadian Solar Q2 Earnings Call Highlightsdefenseworld.net·3d agoCanadian Solar Inc. (CSIQ) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·4d agoCanadian Solar Q2 Loss Wider Than Estimates, Revenues Fall Y/Yzacks.com·4d agoCanadian Solar Beats on Revenue, But Investors Face Softer Q3 Setupbenzinga.com·4d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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