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PTPTGX

Protagonist Therapeutics, Inc.

$PTGX·$9.4B·Biotechnology·Healthcare
$147.75+2.4%YTD+56.9%1Y+148.2%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-21: 4 posts2026-08-22: 0 posts2026-08-23: 4 posts41-18%
Price updated 57m ago·X counts updated 8d ago
PTPTGX
$PTGXProtagonist Therapeutics, Inc.
$147.75+2.37%41 posts-18%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $PTGX, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Hinges on a big eventCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-08-30

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

Protagonist MIMRYLO (rusfertide) FDA approved Aug 28 for polycythemia vera — Patel director sold $14.89M in coordinated distribution.

Protagonist Therapeutics is a $9.4B biotech. FDA just approved MIMRYLO (rusfertide, hepcidin mimetic) for polycythemia vera — with partner Takeda. Bulls call it the '4 horsemen of biotech' with INSM/BBIO/PRAX.

How it reads:

  • Growth is exceptional off small base: Q1 revenue +99% YoY to $56M, Q4 was +33% — approval catalyst layers on the commercial ramp.
  • Margins reflect launch phase: -1.9x operating margin (Q1 slight negative), -1.9% FCF yield — heavy commercial-launch investment.
  • Valuation is priced-for-approval: -55x PE (unprofitable), 84.6x sales — priced entirely on rusfertide plus JNJ ICOTYDE royalty streams.
  • Position is stretched: 84th percentile 52w, 4.5% above 50-day, 38.1% above 200-day on 98% baseline volume — real accumulation into the approval.
  • Aug 28 FDA approval of MIMRYLO for PV (with partner Takeda) is the specific catalyst — first drug of its kind for the rare blood disorder.
  • JNJ's ICOTYDE approval in China (partner spillover) adds royalty optionality.
  • Insider signal is loud coordinated distribution: $14.89M S-Sale — Patel director sold 2 blocks ($5.09M + $9.81M) right after two M-Exempt exercises ($4.32M) — Patel monetizing the approval.
  • Bamco NY new $1.96M position (Aug 28) is the counterweight — institutional add post-approval.

The Nov 5 print is the test — a specific MIMRYLO prescription-count plus JNJ ICOTYDE-royalty commentary extends the run; a launch-metric miss plus continued Patel distribution drops to $110 support.

Agrees with X sentimentAgree — the bullish anchors (FDA approved rusfertide/MIMRYLO with partner TAK as first drug of its kind for polycythemia vera, PTGX grouped with INSM/BBIO/PRAX as '4 horsemen of biotech' with mega-cap pipeline potential, JNJ's ICOTYDE approval in China adding partner-side spillover) map to real signals; the honest add is Patel's $14.89M coordinated distribution in the same window as the approval is loud director monetization.

What to watch: Nov 5 earnings — a specific MIMRYLO prescription-count plus JNJ ICOTYDE-royalty commentary extends the run; a launch-metric miss plus continued Patel distribution drops to $110 support.

On the calendar: 2026-11-05 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment15 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-30

Protagonist Therapeutics' thread turns emphatically bullish after Takeda's MIMRYLO (rusfertide) FDA approval in polycythemia vera, which triggered a $200M opt-out payment with eligibility for $200M more plus $75M approval milestone and up to $775M commercial milestones at 14-29% tiered royalties. China's approval of the JNJ oral psoriasis pill Icotyde adds a second win. Bulls list PTGX among the 'four horsemen' of biotech (INSM, PRAX, BBIO) and eye an IL-4a oral targeting Dupixent's $15B market.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $PTGX

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Develops peptide-based drugs for blood disorders, with rusfertide in late-stage trials for polycythemia vera.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Biotechnology sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $PTGX.

Biotechnology · Healthcare

GLP-1 oral formulation competition — emerging clinical data from pipeline challengers — is the central bifurcation: platform holders (LLY, NVO) defend on efficacy breadth while precision oncology names decouple entirely. FDA catalyst cadence over the next 60 days sets the near-term tone.

What this means for $PTGX

Partial — fee-based midstream revenue has limited direct commodity price exposure but volume ties to upstream production activity.

Top industry ETF

$IBBiShares Biotechnology ETF
+12.1%YTD
+51.2%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-55.3How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-21.3%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-192%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-1.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
84.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-17.8%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
99.5%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 5, 2026$2.29$2.23+2.7%
Q1 2026May 5, 2026$0.05$-0.65+107.7%
Q4 2025Feb 25, 2026$-0.69$-0.53-30.2%
Q3 2025Nov 6, 2025$-0.62$-0.59-5.1%
Next earningsThu, Nov 5·consensus EPS $2.19

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$56.4M+99.0%99.3%-6.5%$0.06$-49.2M
Q4 FY25$7.4M-95.6%100%-677%$-0.69$-35.5M
Q3 FY25$4.7M+0.8%100%-985%$-0.62$-2.0M
Q2 FY25$5.5M+33.1%100%-758%$-0.55$-29.6M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 9 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$524.7M$496.9M – $549.0M$4.23$2.35 – $5.539
FY27$176.2M$118.6M – $206.9M-$0.50-$0.52 – -$0.488
FY28$351.1M$174.2M – $635.9M$1.50-$0.57 – $3.777
FY29$594.0M$398.7M – $848.6M$4.48$2.56 – $6.983
FY30$888.5M$596.3M – $1.3B$7.79$4.46 – $12.126

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.0×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.84%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+4.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+38.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 52.5M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.795-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 11Dinesh V PatelCEO34.2K sh$5.1MSellAug 10Dinesh V PatelCEO65.8K sh$9.8MSellJun 23William D. WaddillDirector9.0K sh$1.1MSellJun 10William D. WaddillDirector9.0K sh$969KSellMay 29William D. WaddillDirector9.0K sh$897KSellMay 12Dinesh V PatelCEO75.0K sh$7.5MSellMay 8Bryan GiraudoDirector11.1K sh$1.1MSellMay 7Bryan GiraudoDirector48.0K sh$4.8MSellApr 20Asif AliCFO1.8K sh$185KSellMar 26Asif AliCFO24.8K sh$2.6M
1–10 of 13
+ 14 other (12 exempts · 2 gifts) in window

See when $PTGX insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 58-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

PTGX filed an 8-K (Item 2.02) reporting its financial results for the Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results and Provides Corporate Update” is furnishe, filed 2026-08-05. The actual financial figures are in the attached press release (Exhibit 99.1), not reproduced in the body excerpt. This is a material disclosure; investors should review the press release for beat/miss details and guidance.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 188-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Protagonist Therapeutics' 2026 Annual Meeting on June 17, 2026 approved the 2026 Equity Incentive Plan replacing the 2016 plan, adding 650,000 new shares plus any shares recycled from expired/forfeited awards under the old plan. The new plan supports grants of stock options (incentive and non-qualified), SARs, restricted stock/RSUs, and other stock-based awards. Routine annual meeting governance also included director elections and other standard proposals. Mildly dilutive — the 650K net new share addition is modest; the recycled-award feature limits incremental dilution beyond what was already authorized.

+ 24 other (11 S-8 POSs · 6 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Protagonist Therapeutics Announces U.S. FDA Approval of Hepcidin Mimetic Peptide MIMRYLO(TM) (rusfertide) for Polycythemia Veraaccessnewswire.com·3d agoBamco Inc. NY Makes New $1.96 Million Investment in Protagonist Therapeutics, Inc. $PTGXdefenseworld.net·4d agoProtagonist Therapeutics Reports Granting of Inducement Awardsaccessnewswire.com·13d agoWhich Small-Cap ETF Is the Better Buy: iShares' Growth-Focused IWO or Invesco's Revenue-Weighted RWJ?fool.com·18d agoProtagonist Therapeutics: "Strong Buy" ICOTYDE FDA Approval And PN-881 Advancementseekingalpha.com·20d ago

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Voices on X · top 7 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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