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ALALEC

Alector, Inc.

$ALEC·$216M·Biotechnology·Healthcare
$1.92-1.5%YTD+22.3%1Y-37.0%
Price updated 15h ago·X counts updated 2d ago
ALALEC
$ALECAlector, Inc.
$1.92-1.54%4 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $ALEC on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

4X posts · last 7 days
Sep 11Sep 27

AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $ALEC — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Broken storySelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-09-28

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

Clinical-stage biotech with a $216M cap, a shrinking revenue outlook and officers cashing out

Immuno-neurology is a long dated bet, and the near-term signals are pointing the wrong way.

  • Q2 revenue fell 58% YoY to $3.3M while cash burn ran at $84M for the quarter — the runway math gets tighter every print.
  • Three officers/directors sold in a two-day cluster around September 3, including co-founder Arnon Rosenthal ($193K) and CFO-level names ($78K + ~$25K) — not a decisive signal on its own, but stacked next to zero buys.
  • Analyst revenue estimates deteriorate rather than build: 2027 $39M, 2028 $6M, 2029 $2.5M — the consensus is pricing partnership revenue rolling off with nothing yet lined up to replace it.

Up 24% YTD sounds better than it plays; without a clinical or deal catalyst the print on November 5 has little to work with.

What to watch: Q3 print November 5, any partnership news from GSK or AbbVie collaborations, FTD/AD readouts on the immuno-neurology pipeline, cash-burn versus $84M/quarter pace, further insider activity.

On the calendar: Q3 earnings 2026-11-05

insider selling cluster

Read the AI verdict on $ALEC

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Clinical-stage immuno-neurology biotech developing innate immune therapies targeting neurodegeneration in Alzheimer's and related diseases.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Biotechnology sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ALEC.

Biotechnology · Healthcare

No material change from last week — mRNA oncology platform remains the structural driver.

What this means for $ALEC

Neutral — Clinical-stage immuno-neurology biotech developing innate immune therapies targeting neurodegeneration in Alzheimer's and related diseases.

Top industry ETF

$IBBiShares Biotechnology ETF
+24.2%YTD
+48.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-1.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-67.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-9.1%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-103%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
14.7Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-5.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
-385%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
-3.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 6, 2026$-0.21$-0.23+8.1%
Q1 2026May 7, 2026$-0.21$-0.35+40.0%
Q4 2025Feb 25, 2026$-0.34$-0.39+12.8%
Q3 2025Nov 6, 2025$-0.34$-0.42+19.0%
Next earningsThu, Nov 5·consensus EPS $-0.25

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$3.3M-57.8%0.0%-735%$-0.21$-84.2M
Q1 FY26$1.0M-71.5%-99.2%-2411%$-0.21$-49.9M
Q4 FY25$6.2M-88.5%-420%-634%$-0.34$-41.7M
Q3 FY25$3.3M-78.8%-800%-1154%$-0.34$-32.5M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 5 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$11.0M$6.4M – $13.2M-$0.86-$1.01 – -$0.745
FY27$39.2M$25.9M – $56.8M-$0.67-$0.87 – -$0.465
FY28$6.1M$4.0M – $8.8M-$0.70-$0.94 – -$0.435
FY29$2.5M$1.7M – $3.6M-$0.74-$1.17 – -$0.412
FY30$4.7M$3.1M – $6.8M-$0.62-$0.98 – -$0.352

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.5×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.36%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-3.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-3.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 77.7M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.9% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.585-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellSep 4Grace Wong-saradPrincipal Accounting Officer3.6K sh$9KSellSep 3Berkley Neil LindsayCFO29.3K sh$78KSellSep 3Grace Wong-saradPrincipal Accounting Officer5.2K sh$14KSellSep 3Arnon RosenthalCEO72.6K sh$193KSellSep 2Grace Wong-saradPrincipal Accounting Officer656 sh$2KSellApr 16Grace Wong-saradPrincipal Accounting Officer1.8K sh$5K
+ 10 other (9 awards · 1 gift) in window

See when $ALEC insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KAgreement terminatedJul 88-K — Item 1.02: Agreement terminated
AI summary

ALEC filed an 8-K (Items: 1.02) on 2026-07-08. Key content: The foregoing descriptions of the GSK Agreement and the Loan Agreement do not purport to be complete and are qualified in their entirety by reference to the full text of the GSK Agreement, a copy of which is filed as Exhibits 10.12 and 10.13 to the C. Financial figure noted: $10,428,827.77 . Materiality depends on the specific item codes and disclosed event.

8-KShareholder voteJun 178-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

ALEC filed an 8-K (Item 5.07) disclosing the results of stockholder voting at its annual or special meeting. Vote disclosures are routine governance filings; contested results (e.g., failed say-on-pay) would be the indicator of significance.

8-KMaterial agreementMay 78-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement
424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)May 7424B5
+ 12 other (3 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Alector, Inc. (ALEC) Presents at Morgan Stanley 24th Annual Global Healthcare Conference Transcriptseekingalpha.com·14d agoAlector, Inc. (ALEC) Presents at 12th Annual Cantor Fitzgerald Global Healthcare Conference Prepared Remarks Transcriptseekingalpha.com·14d agoComparing Alector (NASDAQ:ALEC) and Sarepta Therapeutics (NASDAQ:SRPT)defenseworld.net·21d agoAlector to Participate in Upcoming Healthcare Conferencesglobenewswire.com·26d agoAlector (ALEC) Reports Q2 Loss, Tops Revenue Estimateszacks.com·54d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $ALEC on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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