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POPONY

Pony AI Inc. American Depositary Shares

$PONY·$2.8B·Software - Application·Technology
$7.87-0.9%YTD-46.9%1Y-41.4%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-25: 7 posts2026-07-26: 3 posts2026-07-27: 3 posts2026-07-28: 6 posts2026-07-29: 21 posts2026-07-30: 32 posts2026-07-31: 10 posts82+70%
Price updated 17h ago·X counts updated 15h ago
POPONY
$PONYPony AI Inc. American Depositary Shares
$7.87-0.88%82 posts+70%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $PONY, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Hinges on a big eventEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-08-01

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

Chinese autonomous-mobility ADR printing Aug 18 with the tape down 47% YTD and 2027-2028 revenue expected to multiple.

Pony AI operates robotaxis and autonomous-trucking services in China plus a small US footprint; a pre-commercial revenue base with sizeable analyst forecasts for 2027-2028+.

The setup:

  • Q1 revenue $34.3M, +145% YoY at 16% gross margin, op margin -170% — early-commercialization losses.
  • PS 22x on tiny revenue base; consensus revenue: 2026 $149M → 2027 $316M → 2028 $690M → 2029 $1.68B — hockey-stick if execution holds.
  • Tape: -47% YTD, -41% t12m, position-in-52w-range 8% — deeply washed out.

Into the print:

  • Q2 print Aug 18 (with interim H1 results); consensus EPS -$0.15.
  • Watch robotaxi fleet size, per-city ride volume, autonomous-trucking pilots, and cash runway.

Bottom line: Deeply-drawn-down Chinese autonomous ADR into a print with the story unchanged — the trade is whether Q2 KPIs move the tape off 52w lows.

Agrees with X sentimentX frames PONY as a hidden-gem autonomous-AI ADR at ~$3B cap — matches the pre-commercial fundamentals and long-dated revenue ramp, though execution risk is real.

What to watch: Aug 18 print — robotaxi fleet size, per-day ride volume, autonomous-trucking commercial pilots, cash runway, and any Wuhan/Beijing/Guangzhou expansion commentary.

On the calendar: 2026-08-18 — Q2 2026 earnings

pre-commercial-losseschina-adr-riskdeep-drawdown-tape

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-04

Pony AI is described as a hidden gem at ~$3B market cap — one of the few companies with a genuine self-driving AI model that bulls call radical but true. Bear voices essentially absent.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $PONY

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Autonomous vehicle company operating robotaxi and automated trucking services in China and the U.S., with full AV engineering support.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Software - Application sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $PONY.

Software - Application · Technology

No material change from last week — platforms where agents expand contract value (ServiceNow, Snowflake) are re-rated upward, while tools where agents substitute human users (Adobe Creative..

What this means for $PONY

Partial — Autonomous vehicle company operating robotaxi and automated trucking services in China and the U.S., with full AV engineering support; partial earnings exposure to rental & leasing services demand dynamics through its product portfolio.

Top industry ETF

$IGViShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF
-12.4%YTD
-15.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-18.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-15.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-239%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-9.6%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
21.9Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-11.5%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
15.8%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 26, 2026$-0.12$-0.12+1.0%
Q4 2025Mar 26, 2026$-0.12$-0.05-148.3%
Q3 2025Nov 25, 2025$-0.14$-0.20+28.9%
Q2 2025Aug 12, 2025$-0.13——
Next earningsTue, Aug 18·consensus EPS $-0.15

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$34.3M+145.0%16.2%-170%$-0.12—
Q4 FY25$29.3M+16.3%12.7%-254%$0.06$-152.0M
Q3 FY25$25.4M+1.2%18.4%-274%$-0.16$74K
Q2 FY25$21.5M-13.1%16.1%-286%$-0.15$-25.4M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 16 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$148.5M$134.5M – $158.7M-$0.63-$1.23 – -$0.4515
FY27$315.6M$229.2M – $646.6M-$0.61-$1.20 – -$0.4416
FY28$690.0M$540.0M – $1.2B-$0.39-$0.76 – -$0.2814
FY29$1.7B$1.3B – $2.9B$0.29$0.21 – $0.5615
FY30$3.8B$3.0B – $6.7B$2.82$2.02 – $5.5215

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.8%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-0.7%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-35.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 277.7M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.5% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 26Ning ZhangPresident17.3K sh$119KSellJun 26Luyi MoPresident14.5K sh$99KSellJun 26Haojun WangCFO13.8K sh$94KSellMar 30Ning ZhangPresident22.9K sh$199KSellMar 30Haojun WangCFO18.3K sh$159KSellMar 30Tian GaoVP, Chief of Staff, GC31.6K sh$274KSellMar 30Luyi MoPresident19.9K sh$173K
+ 20 other (9 exempts · 8 awards · 2 returns · 1 other) in window

See when $PONY insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 313
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
+ 25 other (19 6-Ks · 3 3s · 1 20-F · 1 S-8) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Amova Asset Management Americas Inc. Has $17.18 Million Holdings in Pony AI Inc. – Sponsored ADR $PONYdefenseworld.net·11d agoPONY AI Inc. to Report Second Quarter and Interim Financial Results for 2026 on August 18, 2026globenewswire.com·15d agoUber vs. Pony AI: Who's Winning the Race in Autonomous Ride-Hailing?zacks.com·17d agoPony AI: Robotaxi Commercialization Expansion And Sustainable Burn Ratesseekingalpha.com·25d agoPony AI: Buying The Wuhan Whiplashseekingalpha.com·36d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

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Voices on X · top 1 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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