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PGPGYWW

Pagaya Technologies Ltd.

$PGYWW·$1.5B·Software - Infrastructure·Technology
$0.03-3.7%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-26: 0 posts2026-07-27: 0 posts2026-07-28: 0 posts2026-07-29: 0 posts2026-07-30: 0 posts2026-07-31: 0 posts2026-08-01: 0 posts0
Price updated 2m ago·X counts updated 2d ago
PGPGYWW
$PGYWWPagaya Technologies Ltd.
$0.03-3.67%0 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $PGYWW, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-08-03

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

PGYWW is the Pagaya Technologies warrants at 1%-of-range — Q2 EPS +52% surprise plus AI-credit platform plus common up-catalyst-tied warrant leverage is the substance.

PGYWW is a specific US-listed Pagaya Technologies Ltd. warrant series — the underlying Pagaya is an AI-powered credit analysis platform for US-plus-Israel-plus-Cayman markets. Up 1% today, YTD n/a, t12m n/a, sitting at the 1st percentile of the 52-week range on a Q2-beat-plus-warrant-leverage tape.

Where it stands (Pagaya common fundamentals):

  • The business is executing on scale-plus-margin: reported quarters at $299M-$387M revenue with 6-36% YoY growth (Q2 +15%), gross margin holding at 40-41%, operating margin 20-23%, and EPS $0.27, $0.41, $0.29, $0.53 — the specific pattern of a franchise where operating economics are landing.
  • The valuation is undemanding on common: TTM P/E of 13, forward P/E of 20 on FY26 EPS estimates of $1.57 rising to FY27 $2.10 and FY28 $2.80 (n=1 EPS but n=3-10 revenue). Price-to-sales of 1.2, EV/EBITDA of 14.6, ROE 24.8%, ROIC 70.5%, and 15.7% FCF yield describe a specific value-plus-growth setup on $1.47B market cap.
  • The 4-quarter earnings-beat streak is uniformly constructive: EPS $0.49 vs $0.32 (+52%), $0.28 vs $0.20 (+40%), $0.36 vs $0.34 (+5%), $0.25 vs $0.21 (+17%) — consensus chronically low.
  • The structural signal is a specific warrant setup: 1%-of-range positioning plus PGYWW at $0.03 describes an extremely leveraged expression of PGY common upside — small common moves translate to large warrant percentage moves.

Nov 17 Q3 earnings needs continued AI-credit platform revenue growth plus dated commentary on the FY27 EPS trajectory and warrant-strike-plus-common-upside path to trigger the event-ahead tape; a specific common-price walk-back or a platform-plus-partner disclosure would take the warrants back toward recent lows.

What to watch: Nov 17 Q3 earnings — good = continued AI-credit platform revenue growth with dated commentary on the FY27 EPS trajectory and warrant-strike-plus-common-upside path; bad = a specific common-price walk-back or a platform-plus-partner disclosure, which takes the warrants back toward recent lows.

On the calendar: 2026-11-17 — Q3 earnings

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $PGYWW

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Pagaya Technologies Ltd. functions as a financial technology enterprise with operations across the United States, Israel, and the Cayman Islands. The firm provides an advanced, AI-powered platform for credit analysis and assessment. This innovative technology empowers its partners to facilitate the origination of diverse credit and asset types, conducts real-time evaluations of customer creditworthiness, and effectively bridges the connection between investors, partners, and their clientele. Pagaya's broad ecosystem of collaborators encompasses rapidly expanding fintech companies, established financial institutions, automotive lending entities, independent brokers and agents, and cooperative credit unions. Established in 2016, the company's headquarters are situated in Tel Aviv, Israel.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Software - Infrastructure sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $PGYWW.

Software - Infrastructure · Technology

No material change from last week — Enterprise software infrastructure is in a multiple compression phase (-16.

Top industry ETF

$IGViShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF
-12.4%YTD
-15.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
12.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
70.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
21.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
15.7%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.2Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
24.8%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
40.6%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.8Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 30, 2026$0.49$0.32+52.1%
Q1 2026May 7, 2026$0.28$0.20+40.0%
Q4 2025Feb 9, 2026$0.36$0.34+5.2%
Q3 2025Nov 10, 2025$0.25$0.21+17.1%
Next earningsTue, Nov 17·consensus EPS $0.47

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$365.6M+15.1%40.2%23.1%$0.53$71.3M
Q1 FY26$299.0M+5.8%40.6%20.4%$0.29$40.0M
Q4 FY25$321.0M+16.5%40.8%20.5%$0.41$76.7M
Q3 FY25$339.9M+36.3%41.0%20.5%$0.27$63.8M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 10 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$1.5B$1.4B – $1.5B$1.57$1.46 – $1.6910
FY27$1.7B$1.5B – $1.8B$2.10$1.96 – $2.269
FY28$1.9B$1.8B – $2.0B$2.80$2.61 – $3.023

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.0×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.1%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-33.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-84.8%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 67.6M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.2% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β5.345-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 25Cory VieiraChief Accounting Officer1.5K sh$23KSellJun 25Sanjiv DasPresident14.0K sh$222KBuyJun 24Gal KrubinerCEO16.2K sh$250KSellJun 22Tami RosenDirector9.9K sh$151KSellJun 12Evangelos PerrosFormer Officer11.6K sh$188KSellJun 12Sanjiv DasPresident13.3K sh$216KSellJun 12Tami RosenDirector5.7K sh$92KSellJun 2Cory VieiraChief Accounting Officer2.1K sh$32KSellApr 17Tami RosenDirector9.7K sh$147KSellApr 1Evangelos PerrosCFO13.0K sh$147K
1–10 of 14
+ 18 other (11 exempts · 7 awards) in window

See when $PGYWW insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $PGYWW on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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