TickerTalks
Browse all tickers →
TickerTalks›$OXSQ
OXOXSQ

Oxford Square Capital Corp.

$OXSQ·$160M·Asset Management·Financial Services
$1.49-0.7%YTD-15.3%1Y-36.2%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-30: 1 posts2026-07-31: 8 posts2026-08-01: 5 posts2026-08-02: 2 posts2026-08-03: 4 posts2026-08-04: 2 posts2026-08-05: 2 posts24+24%
Price updated 13m ago·X counts updated 22h ago
OXOXSQ
$OXSQOxford Square Capital Corp.
$1.49-0.67%24 posts+24%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
Loading…

AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $OXSQ, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Broken storyWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-06

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Oxford Square Capital is a BDC yielding heavy — Q2 declared October/November/December distributions plus NAV update, tape at 33% of the 52-week range.

Oxford Square Capital is a business development company (BDC) that invests in senior secured loans and CLO equity — a distressed-cyclical income name where the negative revenue and dispersed reporting reflect the fair-value adjustments on the underlying loan book.

Where the tape stands:

  • Revenue is choppy: Q2 revenue $4.2M declined 44% year over year, and Q1 was negative on fair-value marks.
  • Margins are meaningless on BDC accounting: gross margin dispersed 77-131%, operating margin also dispersed — the ratios don't fit the model.
  • Beat cadence: last four EPS surprises 25%, -17%, 0%, 0%.
  • The Jul 31 Q2 print declared October/November/December distributions — dividend continuity.
  • Positioning is coiling: 33% of the 52-week range, +7.3% above the 50-day, -12% below the 200-day on 0.94x volume — mid-range base.
  • No insider activity in the window — no signal.
  • Nov 10 Q3 2026 earnings — analyst estimate $0.05 EPS.
  • The BDC yield-focus story with credit-mark volatility is the entire equity setup.

Nov 10 Q3 earnings decides whether the tape holds $1.40 — stable NAV per share and continued distribution declarations keeps this working; a NAV per share decline or distribution cut cools this back to $1.20.

Differs from X sentimentNo meaningful X sentiment sample exists for OXSQ — small-cap BDC is a low-attention income name that doesn't attract retail-fintwit chatter. The credit-cycle-driven NAV volatility and distribution-continuity story is the fundamental focus — this is an institutional yield-play, not a discovery-narrative equity.

What to watch: Nov 10 Q3 earnings — stable NAV per share and continued distribution declarations holds this at $1.40+; a NAV per share decline or distribution cut cools this back to $1.20.

On the calendar: 2026-11-10 — Q3 2026 earnings

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $OXSQ

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Business development company (BDC) providing debt and equity financing to US technology-related companies, with a CLO tranche portfolio.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Asset Management sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $OXSQ.

Asset Management · Financial Services

No material change from last week — AI infrastructure (data centers, power, logistics) and Bitcoin treasury strategies, both of which require patient institutional capital that private market..

Top industry ETF

$IAIiShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF
+5.0%YTD
+9.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-3.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-11.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
136%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-20.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
-6.4Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-26.0%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
137%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 31, 2026$0.05$0.04+25.0%
Q1 2026Apr 29, 2026$0.05$0.06-16.7%
Q4 2025Mar 3, 2026$0.07$0.070.0%
Q3 2025Nov 4, 2025$0.07$0.070.0%
Next earningsTue, Nov 10·consensus EPS $0.05

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$4.2M-43.6%77.0%162%$0.04—
Q1 FY26$-21.7M+324.0%113%118%$-0.29$-14.4M
Q4 FY25$-9.0M-242.7%131%144%$-0.17$3.9M
Q3 FY25$1.7M-24.6%-54.6%-126%$-0.03$-19.9M

Forward consensus

2-year forecast · up to 1 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$34.3M$34.3M – $34.3M$0.17$0.17 – $0.171
FY27$34.4M$34.4M – $34.4M$0.22$0.22 – $0.221

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.33%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+7.3%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-12.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyMay 20Saul B RosenthalCOO144.7K sh$167KBuyMay 20Jonathan H CohenCEO144.7K sh$167K

See when $OXSQ insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDJul 318-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Oxford Square Capital Corp. filed Q2 2026 earnings results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026 (Item 2.02) and declared monthly distributions for October, November, and December 2026 (Item 7.01), with specific per-share amounts in the attached press release (Exhibit 99.1). Supplemental investor information was also posted to the company website. Routine earnings and forward distribution declaration for this business development company.

8-KMaterial eventMay 298-K — Item 4.01
8-KCharter amendmentMay 118-K — Item 5.03: Charter amendment
8-KMaterial agreementMay 68-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement
8-KPress release / Reg FDApr 298-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KPress release / Reg FDMar 38-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 8 other (2 proxys · 1 routine 8-K · 1 40-17G · 1 10-Q) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Oxford Square Capital Corp. (OXSQ) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·6d agoOxford Square Capital Q2 Earnings Call Highlightsmarketbeat.com·6d agoOxford Square Capital Corp. Announces Net Asset Value and Selected Financial Results for the Quarter Ended June 30, 2026 and Declaration of Distributions on Common Stock for the Months Ending October 31, November 30, and December 31, 2026globenewswire.com·7d agoOxford Square Capital Corp. Announces Net Asset Value and Selected Financial Results for the Quarter Ended June 30, 2026 and Declaration of Distributions on Common Stock for the Months Ending October 31, November 30, and December 31, 2026globenewswire.com·7d agoOxford Square Capital Corp. Schedules Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Conference Call for July 31, 2026globenewswire.com·10d ago

More in Asset Management

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

$OWL$ASST$KKR$ARES$BX$BN$APO$SATA
Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $OXSQ on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

PrivacyTermsSupport