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ARARES

Ares Management Corporation

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 41% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesConsistent chatter on X (582/wk), no spike
$ARES·$41B·Asset Management·Financial Services
$125.68+0.2%YTD-22.7%1Y-31.4%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-12: 31 posts2026-07-13: 115 posts2026-07-14: 107 posts2026-07-15: 135 posts2026-07-16: 138 posts2026-07-17: 114 posts2026-07-18: 0 posts641+31%
Price updated 1d ago·X counts updated 9h ago
ARARES
$ARESAres Management Corporation
$125.68+0.20%641 posts+31%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $ARES, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-07-19

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

Ares is a private-credit franchise with a genuine liquidity-stress overhang — earnings 13 days out.

Ares Management is one of the largest alternative-asset managers — private credit, tradable credit, private equity, real estate, secondaries. Down 31% over 12 months as the private-credit liquidity narrative turned negative, but Q2 realized performance income is running well ahead of last year.

Where the setup rests:

  • The private-credit liquidity signal is real: the Ares Strategic Income Fund saw Q2 redemption requests rise to 14.4% (up from 11.6%) and again gated withdrawals to the customary 5% cap — this is the exact tail the bearish private-credit narrative is watching, and Ares is now a live case study.
  • Q2 realized net performance income is stepping up: preliminary disclosure of over $50M versus $16M in Q2 2025 is more than a 3x YoY jump — this is the substantive positive that should offset some of the liquidity-narrative concern.
  • The Whitestone REIT acquisition adds real assets: completing the deal expands the real-estate footprint at exactly the right cycle stage — a defensive move that also builds fee-related earnings.
  • Valuation is genuinely rich, and that's part of the risk: 45x trailing earnings and about 21x FY27 EPS on consensus makes ARES fully-priced for continued fee growth — any hint of asset-management redemption acceleration is where the multiple compresses.

The path is the July 31 print landing the realized performance income above $50M plus stable fee-earnings and no worsening in ASIF gates — that combination compresses the liquidity narrative. What extends the drift is any commentary about broader BDC or private-credit gating or a fresh operating-loss disclosure on a specific fund — those are the tail risks a $41B alt-manager can't fully absorb.

Agrees with X sentimentAligned with the bearish private-credit-stress read — the ASIF gating is real, and the broader private-credit-gating theme (BX, BLK cited) reinforces it. The bullish 'cash cow' framing is legitimate on cash flow, but the near-term catalyst is the July 31 print, which has to defuse the liquidity concern, not just report through it.

What to watch: July 31 Q2 earnings — realized net performance income (versus the >$50M preliminary guide), fee-related earnings, ASIF and other fund flow disclosures, and any broader private-credit gating commentary. A worsening in redemptions or a specific fund operating loss extends the drift.

On the calendar: 2026-07-31 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bearish sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-02

Ares Management is in the middle of a live private-credit stress story. The Ares Strategic Income Fund faced 14.4% redemption requests in Q2 (up from 11.6%) and again gated withdrawals to the customary 5% cap. Chartists note heavy down-volume on the impulsive selloff, no volume on the bounce, and a bearish weekly close, calling new lows imminent. The broader private-credit gating theme (BX, BLK also cited) reinforces the bearish read.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $ARES

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Multi-strategy alternative asset manager in credit, private equity, and real estate with roughly $400B AUM globally.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Asset Management sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ARES.

Asset Management · Financial Services

No material change from last week — AI infrastructure (data centers, power, logistics) and Bitcoin treasury strategies, both of which require patient institutional capital that private market..

What this means for $ARES

Direct beneficiary — Multi-strategy alternative asset manager in credit, private equity, and real estate with roughly $400B AUM globally; the company is structurally positioned to capture the Bitcoin treasury and AI infrastructure alternative asset allocation shift.

Top industry ETF

$IAIiShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF
+4.7%YTD
+8.6%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
45.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
4.2%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
22.9%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
3.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
6.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
14.5%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
70.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
3.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 1, 2026$1.24$1.33-6.8%
Q4 2025Feb 5, 2026$1.45$1.69-14.2%
Q3 2025Nov 3, 2025$1.19$1.15+3.5%
Q2 2025Aug 1, 2025$1.03$1.08-4.6%
Next earningsFri, Jul 31·consensus EPS $1.30

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$1.5B+40.8%96.1%23.8%$0.52—
Q4 FY25$1.8B+40.3%72.6%29.3%$0.13$-499.5M
Q3 FY25$1.7B+46.7%60.2%21.1%$1.15$1.3B
Q2 FY25$1.4B+71.2%52.3%15.7%$0.46$392.8M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 4 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$5.7B$5.3B – $6.0B$5.94$5.68 – $6.343
FY27$6.9B$6.5B – $7.3B$7.37$6.75 – $8.314
FY28$7.7B$7.4B – $7.9B$8.63$7.18 – $9.623
FY29$11.8B$11.2B – $12.6B$9.65$9.05 – $10.532

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.30%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+1.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-7.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 324.7M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.6% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.545-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyFeb 20Judy D. OlianDirector480 sh$60KBuyFeb 6Ashish BhutaniDirector10.0K sh$1.3MSellFeb 4Sagati Aghili NaseemGeneral Counsel3.9K sh$529KSellJan 22Sagati Aghili NaseemGeneral Counsel1.8K sh$299K
+ 17 other (9 inkinds · 7 awards · 1 gift) in window

See when $ARES insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDJul 108-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Ares Management Corporation disclosed via Reg FD that it preliminarily expects realized net performance income for Q2 2026 to exceed $50 million, versus $16 million in Q2 2025 — more than a 3x year-over-year increase. The company noted this exceeds the quarterly level needed to satisfy the 6.75% Series B mandatory convertible preferred stock distribution. This is a positive surprise relative to recent periods and signals strong carry realization across Ares funds heading into the formal Q2 earnings report.

8-KShareholder voteJun 118-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Ares Management Corporation (ARES) held its 2026 Annual Meeting on June 8, 2026; as of the April 13, 2026 record date, 222,023,639 Class A shares (222M votes) and 1,000 Class B shares (representing approximately 783.8 million votes) were eligible to vote, reflecting Ares's dual-class structure where Class B carries heavily weighted voting control. Director election results and other proposal outcomes are included in the filing but the specific vote tallies are cut off in the available excerpt. This is a routine annual governance filing; no material business impact is expected, though the dual-class voting structure confirms concentrated control with insiders.

8-KMaterial agreementMay 288-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

ARES (ARES) disclosed a material definitive agreement under Item 1.01, reporting a merger or acquisition transaction involving growth company as defined in Rule. The deal is valued at approximately $0. Details of the transaction terms, consideration structure, and closing conditions are set forth in the full 8-K filing. Definitive merger agreements are among the most material events a public company can disclose, triggering regulatory review and shareholder vote requirements.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 18-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

ARES (ARES) reported financial results for first quarter in an 8-K filed under Item 2.02. The filing includes key financial metrics including revenue, operating income, and per-share results. Results of operations disclosures under Item 2.02 typically accompany an earnings press release furnished as an exhibit, making them available concurrently with the earnings call. These filings provide the market with transparent, timely financial performance data for investment analysis.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMar 318-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KMaterial agreementMar 318-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 243
S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationFeb 25S-3ASR
+ 15 other (9 13Gs · 2 proxys · 1 10-Q · 1 ARS) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Ares Completes Acquisition of Whitestone REITbusinesswire.com·5d agoAres Management: Buy This Cash Cow While It's Undervaluedseekingalpha.com·5d agoIf I Could Only Buy 2 Dividend Growth Stocks Today, They Would Be Theseseekingalpha.com·7d agoARES DYNAMIC CREDIT ALLOCATION FUND DECLARES A MONTHLY DISTRIBUTION OF $0.1125 PER SHAREprnewswire.com·9d agoAres Management Corporation Updates the Time of Its Earnings Conference Call for the Second Quarter Ending June 30, 2026prnewswire.com·9d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $ARES on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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