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ARARES

Ares Management Corporation

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 41% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesConsistent chatter on X (466/wk), no spike
$ARES·$37B·Asset Management·Financial Services
$113.00+0.7%YTD-29.9%1Y-22.9%
Price updated 6h ago·X counts updated 8d ago
ARARES
$ARESAres Management Corporation
$113.00+0.65%466 posts0.9×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $ARES on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

466X posts · last 7 days
Oct 2Oct 11
Chatter Meter
0.9×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $ARES's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level.

Bullish sentiment⚠AI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-07 · top-engagement diverged

Ares Management is up alongside APO, BX, CG, KKR and OWL in the private-equity/alternatives bounce. One poster called ARES 'a true dividend compounder' worth SIPP inclusion — key metrics being distributable earnings, fee-related earnings and cash generation. Counter: ARES scaled back a blockbuster private credit vehicle after valuation pushback with the continuation vehicle cut to ~€400M as potential backers demanded steeper discounts. 'Told you assholes ARES would be fine.'

Read what X is saying about $ARES

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $ARES — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-10-03

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

Ares down 28% YTD on private-credit valuation pushback — Q1 revenue +41% YoY says the business is still working.

Ares Management is one of the largest publicly-traded alternative asset managers — private credit, real estate, private equity, and infrastructure. The stock has lost 28% YTD on private-credit valuation concerns, despite revenue accelerating.

  • Growth is accelerating: Q1 2026 revenue of $1.53B at +41% YoY after +40%, +47%, and +71% in prior quarters — fee-related earnings plus distributable earnings keep compounding, with FY27 consensus EPS continuing to improve.
  • EPS beats are mixed: last four prints at +0.8%, -6.8%, -14.2%, +3.5% — the Q4 2025 miss was the specific concern, and the subsequent cooling (-28% YTD) reflects the valuation debate on private-credit assets.
  • The private-credit vehicle scaled back is the live counter-signal: a blockbuster private-credit continuation vehicle cut to ~€400M from the originally-targeted size, as potential backers demanded steeper discounts — this is honest LP-side pricing pressure, not a thesis break.

An Oct 29 Q3 print with fee-related earnings above $700M plus a clean 2027 fundraising-pipeline commentary restarts the move; a continued LP-level pricing pushback or an operating-leverage miss and the stock stays rangebound.

Agrees with X sentimentX correctly flags Ares in the alternatives bounce alongside APO/BX/CG/KKR/OWL, framed as a dividend compounder worth SIPP inclusion. The private-credit continuation vehicle being cut to ~€400M is honest counter-information the crowd is willing to look through on fundamentals.

What to watch: Oct 29 Q3 earnings — fee-related earnings above $700M, distributable earnings growth, FY27 fundraising-pipeline commentary (especially on private credit discount-pricing dynamics), and dividend coverage. A clean beat with FRE above $700M re-rates it; another LP pricing pushback and the stock stays cool.

On the calendar: 2026-10-29 — Q3 2026 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $ARES

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Multi-strategy alternative asset manager in credit, private equity, and real estate with roughly $400B AUM globally.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Asset Management sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ARES.

Asset Management · Financial Services

No material change from last week — yield-seeking institutional capital continues flowing into private credit and infrastructure alternatives.

What this means for $ARES

Partial — Multi-strategy alternative asset manager in credit, private equity, and real estate with roughly $400B AUM globally.

Top industry ETF

$IAIiShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF
-1.4%YTD
+3.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
45.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
4.2%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
22.9%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
3.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
6.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
14.5%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
70.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
3.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 31, 2026$1.29$1.28+0.8%
Q1 2026May 1, 2026$1.24$1.33-6.8%
Q4 2025Feb 5, 2026$1.45$1.69-14.2%
Q3 2025Nov 3, 2025$1.19$1.15+3.5%
Next earningsThu, Oct 29·consensus EPS $1.26

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$1.5B+40.8%96.1%23.8%$0.52—
Q4 FY25$1.8B+40.3%72.6%29.3%$0.13$-499.5M
Q3 FY25$1.7B+46.7%60.2%21.1%$1.15$1.3B
Q2 FY25$1.4B+71.2%52.3%15.7%$0.46$392.8M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 6 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$5.7B$5.6B – $5.9B$5.77$5.51 – $6.206
FY27$6.7B$6.5B – $7.0B$7.14$6.75 – $7.636
FY28$7.8B$7.7B – $8.0B$8.43$7.62 – $8.935
FY29$7.5B$7.4B – $7.7B$9.67$9.45 – $9.962

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.20%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-12.8%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-11.0%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 324.7M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.6% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.555-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 11 other (6 awards · 3 inkinds · 2 gifts) in window

See when $ARES insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDSep 308-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

ARES MANAGEMENT CORPORATION (ARES) filed a Regulation FD disclosure (8-K Item 7.01) on 2026-09-30. The excerpt shows only the cover page; the actual disclosed material (typically investor presentation slides, a press release, or conference call transcript) is attached as an exhibit. Reg FD events can contain forward-looking statements or updated guidance material to investors.

3New insider — initial holdingsSep 93
AI summary

Ares Management LLC and affiliated entities (Ares Management GP LLC, Ares Management Corp, and Ares Holdco LLC) filed an initial Form 3 disclosing 10%-or-greater beneficial ownership in Hornbeck Offshore Services, Inc. All four reporting persons are Los Angeles-based entities of Ares Management, a global alternative investment manager. The filing reports initial beneficial ownership including approximately 27.4 million shares plus associated warrants in Hornbeck Offshore.

8-KPress release / Reg FDJul 318-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Ares Management Corporation reported Q2 2026 financial results via press release and earnings presentation on July 31, 2026. Under Reg FD, Ares also declared a quarterly cash dividend of $1.35 per share on its Class A common stock, payable September 30, 2026 to holders of record as of September 16, 2026. The Class A common (ARES) and 6.75% Series B Mandatory Convertible Preferred Stock (ARES.PRB) are both listed on NYSE. Specific AUM, management fees, and distributable earnings figures are in the attached exhibit. This is a routine quarterly earnings and dividend declaration for the large alternative asset manager.

8-KPress release / Reg FDJul 108-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Ares Management Corporation disclosed via Reg FD that it preliminarily expects realized net performance income for Q2 2026 to exceed $50 million, versus $16 million in Q2 2025 — more than a 3x year-over-year increase. The company noted this exceeds the quarterly level needed to satisfy the 6.75% Series B mandatory convertible preferred stock distribution. This is a positive surprise relative to recent periods and signals strong carry realization across Ares funds heading into the formal Q2 earnings report.

8-KShareholder voteJun 118-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Ares Management Corporation (ARES) held its 2026 Annual Meeting on June 8, 2026; as of the April 13, 2026 record date, 222,023,639 Class A shares (222M votes) and 1,000 Class B shares (representing approximately 783.8 million votes) were eligible to vote, reflecting Ares's dual-class structure where Class B carries heavily weighted voting control. Director election results and other proposal outcomes are included in the filing but the specific vote tallies are cut off in the available excerpt. This is a routine annual governance filing; no material business impact is expected, though the dual-class voting structure confirms concentrated control with insiders.

8-KMaterial agreementMay 288-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

ARES (ARES) disclosed a material definitive agreement under Item 1.01, reporting a merger or acquisition transaction involving growth company as defined in Rule. The deal is valued at approximately $0. Details of the transaction terms, consideration structure, and closing conditions are set forth in the full 8-K filing. Definitive merger agreements are among the most material events a public company can disclose, triggering regulatory review and shareholder vote requirements.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 18-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

ARES (ARES) reported financial results for first quarter in an 8-K filed under Item 2.02. The filing includes key financial metrics including revenue, operating income, and per-share results. Results of operations disclosures under Item 2.02 typically accompany an earnings press release furnished as an exhibit, making them available concurrently with the earnings call. These filings provide the market with transparent, timely financial performance data for investment analysis.

+ 9 other (7 13Gs · 2 10-Qs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

2 BDCs To Buy That Could Replace ARCC And OBDC In Your Portfolioseekingalpha.com·17h agoKKR to sell railcar-leasing company Infinity to Ares for $2.9 billionreuters.com·20h agoKKR to Sell Infinity Transportation to Ares for $2.9 Billionbusinesswire.com·20h agoThe Winners Inside SCHD - October 2026seekingalpha.com·1d agoThe AI Bubble's Biggest Problemseekingalpha.com·8d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $ARES on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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