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ARARES

Ares Management Corporation

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 41% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesQuiet on X (29 mentions/wk)
$ARES·$45B·Asset Management·Financial Services
$140.15-1.0%YTD-12.2%1Y-22.2%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-28: 0 posts2026-08-29: 0 posts2026-08-30: 1 posts2026-08-31: 10 posts2026-09-01: 3 posts2026-09-02: 12 posts2026-09-03: 7 posts44+55%
Price updated 2h ago·X counts updated 51m ago
ARARES
$ARESAres Management Corporation
$140.15-0.97%44 posts+55%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $ARES, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersStalledAI verdict · as of 2026-09-03

The move has stalled — likely just drifts unless something new shows up.

Ares Management -12% YTD but Q1 revenue +40.8% YoY — closes ¥612B Japan Logistics fund at hard cap, $750B AUM target by 2028.

Ares Management is a leading alternative asset manager (private credit, private equity, real estate). Down 12% YTD and 23% TTM — stalled as fundamentals compound but the multiple compresses on private-credit valuation pushback.

  • The core is executing at scale: Q1 revenue $1.53B (+40.8% YoY — genuine top-line acceleration), 71% gross margin (asset-manager economics), 23.8% operating margin, Q1 EPS $0.52 (Q2 EPS $1.29 vs $1.28 est = 0.8% beat — token beat). FCF yield 3.9% and ROIC 4.2% show respectable underlying economics; analysts model 2026 EPS $5.91.
  • The catalyst mix is genuinely fresh: Ares Closes Fifth Japan Logistics Real Estate Development Fund at ¥612 Billion (~$4B), Hitting Hard Cap — real capital-formation milestone. Ares Management to Present at Barclays Global Financial Services Conference. 'Is Ares Management on Track to Hit Its $750B AUM Target by 2028?' captures the growth thesis. Aspida Re insurance-side product expansion.
  • The insider signal is small: director Blair Jacobson G-Gift on Aug 20 (charitable). No S-Sale or P-Purchase. ARES scaled back a blockbuster private-credit vehicle after valuation pushback — the continuation vehicle cut to ~€400M as backers demanded steeper discounts.

Breaks stall upward: Nov 2 Q3 above $1.34 EPS plus fee-related-earnings and AUM growth. Deepens: further private-credit vehicle discounts, or a credit-quality disclosure.

Agrees with X sentimentX is bullish on Ares as a dividend compounder alongside APO/BX/CG/KKR/OWL in the alternatives bounce — the mechanics support most of it (40.8% Q1 revenue growth, 71% gross margin, real ¥612B Japan Logistics Fund V hard cap, $750B AUM target by 2028). The private-credit valuation pushback (continuation vehicle cut to ~€400M) is a real caveat but doesn't override the core compounding thesis.

What to watch: November 2 Q3 earnings — EPS above $1.34 and fee-related earnings/AUM growth color. Also further private-credit vehicle discounting, and credit-quality disclosures.

On the calendar: 2026-11-02 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment⚠5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-07 · top-engagement diverged

Ares Management is up alongside APO, BX, CG, KKR and OWL in the private-equity/alternatives bounce. One poster called ARES 'a true dividend compounder' worth SIPP inclusion — key metrics being distributable earnings, fee-related earnings and cash generation. Counter: ARES scaled back a blockbuster private credit vehicle after valuation pushback with the continuation vehicle cut to ~€400M as potential backers demanded steeper discounts. 'Told you assholes ARES would be fine.'

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $ARES

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Multi-strategy alternative asset manager in credit, private equity, and real estate with roughly $400B AUM globally.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Asset Management sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ARES.

Asset Management · Financial Services

Equity market strength is driving AUM growth through market appreciation more than net flows; fee compression continues in passive products while alternatives and private markets hold pricing. Rising markets mask organic flow dynamics — the structural story is the shift toward private asset exposure.

What this means for $ARES

Partial — net interest margin and credit quality are the primary earnings drivers; Ares Management Corporation functions as an investment firm specializing in alte.

Top industry ETF

$IAIiShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF
+5.0%YTD
+13.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
45.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
4.2%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
22.9%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
3.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
6.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
14.5%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
70.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
3.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 31, 2026$1.29$1.28+0.8%
Q1 2026May 1, 2026$1.24$1.33-6.8%
Q4 2025Feb 5, 2026$1.45$1.69-14.2%
Q3 2025Nov 3, 2025$1.19$1.15+3.5%
Next earningsMon, Nov 2·consensus EPS $1.34

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$1.5B+40.8%96.1%23.8%$0.52—
Q4 FY25$1.8B+40.3%72.6%29.3%$0.13$-499.5M
Q3 FY25$1.7B+46.7%60.2%21.1%$1.15$1.3B
Q2 FY25$1.4B+71.2%52.3%15.7%$0.46$392.8M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 5 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$5.6B$5.3B – $5.9B$5.91$5.69 – $6.225
FY27$6.8B$6.4B – $7.0B$7.31$6.78 – $7.725
FY28$7.4B$7.3B – $7.5B$8.57$8.18 – $9.152
FY29$11.8B$11.5B – $12.1B$9.65$9.32 – $9.921

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.4×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.50%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+8.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+6.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 324.7M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.515-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 9 other (6 awards · 2 gifts · 1 inkind) in window

See when $ARES insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDJul 318-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Ares Management Corporation reported Q2 2026 financial results via press release and earnings presentation on July 31, 2026. Under Reg FD, Ares also declared a quarterly cash dividend of $1.35 per share on its Class A common stock, payable September 30, 2026 to holders of record as of September 16, 2026. The Class A common (ARES) and 6.75% Series B Mandatory Convertible Preferred Stock (ARES.PRB) are both listed on NYSE. Specific AUM, management fees, and distributable earnings figures are in the attached exhibit. This is a routine quarterly earnings and dividend declaration for the large alternative asset manager.

8-KPress release / Reg FDJul 108-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Ares Management Corporation disclosed via Reg FD that it preliminarily expects realized net performance income for Q2 2026 to exceed $50 million, versus $16 million in Q2 2025 — more than a 3x year-over-year increase. The company noted this exceeds the quarterly level needed to satisfy the 6.75% Series B mandatory convertible preferred stock distribution. This is a positive surprise relative to recent periods and signals strong carry realization across Ares funds heading into the formal Q2 earnings report.

8-KShareholder voteJun 118-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Ares Management Corporation (ARES) held its 2026 Annual Meeting on June 8, 2026; as of the April 13, 2026 record date, 222,023,639 Class A shares (222M votes) and 1,000 Class B shares (representing approximately 783.8 million votes) were eligible to vote, reflecting Ares's dual-class structure where Class B carries heavily weighted voting control. Director election results and other proposal outcomes are included in the filing but the specific vote tallies are cut off in the available excerpt. This is a routine annual governance filing; no material business impact is expected, though the dual-class voting structure confirms concentrated control with insiders.

8-KMaterial agreementMay 288-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

ARES (ARES) disclosed a material definitive agreement under Item 1.01, reporting a merger or acquisition transaction involving growth company as defined in Rule. The deal is valued at approximately $0. Details of the transaction terms, consideration structure, and closing conditions are set forth in the full 8-K filing. Definitive merger agreements are among the most material events a public company can disclose, triggering regulatory review and shareholder vote requirements.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 18-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

ARES (ARES) reported financial results for first quarter in an 8-K filed under Item 2.02. The filing includes key financial metrics including revenue, operating income, and per-share results. Results of operations disclosures under Item 2.02 typically accompany an earnings press release furnished as an exhibit, making them available concurrently with the earnings call. These filings provide the market with transparent, timely financial performance data for investment analysis.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMar 318-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KMaterial agreementMar 318-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 243
+ 13 other (8 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 proxys · 1 ARS) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Aspida Appoints Brian Lewis as Chief Financial Officer of Aspida Reglobenewswire.com·2d agoAres Management Corporation to Present at the Barclays Global Financial Services Conferenceprnewswire.com·2d agoIs Ares Management on Track to Hit Its $750B AUM Target by 2028?zacks.com·2d agoAres Closes Fifth Japan Logistics Real Estate Development Fund at ¥612 Billion (US$4 Billion), Hitting Hard Capbusinesswire.com·4d agoAspida Re Explains Offshore Reinsurance, One of Insurance's Fastest-Growing Markets in New Whitepaperglobenewswire.com·9d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $ARES on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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