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APAPO

Apollo Global Management, Inc.

$APO·$69B·Asset Management·Financial Services
$123.34+1.2%YTD-14.9%1Y-19.2%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-09: 55 posts2026-07-10: 109 posts2026-07-11: 38 posts2026-07-12: 71 posts2026-07-13: 129 posts2026-07-14: 78 posts2026-07-15: 128 posts610+13%
Price updated 6h ago·X counts updated 1d ago
APAPO
$APOApollo Global Management, Inc.
$123.34+1.24%610 posts+13%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $APO, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Broken storyCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-07-16

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

Private-credit turmoil hit Apollo — the $122 tape is coiling on redemption-stress ratios warnings.

Apollo Global Management is the alternative asset manager (private-credit + PE + insurance) whose 2026 tape has been -16% YTD despite continued institutional flows. The setup is broken-story + cooling at 39% of the 52-week range with earnings on August 4.

  • The core business is showing revenue compression: Q1 2026 revenue fell 11% YoY to $4.9B, operating margin was 6.7%, and the specific insurance-liability accounting creates near-term volatility in reported earnings — 35x TTM P/E reflects the specific broken-story reset.
  • The private-credit turmoil is the specific overhang: publicly-traded PE and private-credit stocks including APO have pulled back on rising rate-hike expectations, and Apollo is described as private-credit turmoil hitting alongside BX and OWL — real sector-wide stress.
  • The redemption-stress narrative is real: private-credit redemptions described as a 2026 trend and a hidden liquidity crunch with warnings around redemption-stress ratios — this is exactly the specific bear-thesis lever that the August 4 print has to address.

The August 4 Q2 earnings are the near-term arbiter — Q2 FRE trajectory, private-credit redemption commentary, and any specific FY26 EPS guide movement extend the setup. A redemption-stress miss or specific credit-quality concern confirms the broken framing and drops the tape below $110.

Agrees with X sentimentX is bearish, notes publicly-traded PE and private-credit stocks including APO have pulled back on rising rate-hike expectations, Apollo described as private-credit turmoil hitting alongside BX and OWL. Private-credit redemptions described as a 2026 trend and a hidden liquidity crunch with warnings around redemption-stress ratios. Mechanics support broken + cooling: Q1 revenue -11% YoY, and the specific private-credit stress narrative is real.

What to watch: The August 4 Q2 earnings. Watch Q2 FRE trajectory, private-credit redemption commentary, and FY26 EPS guide movement. Redemption-stress miss or credit-quality concern confirms broken framing sub-$110; steady FRE + redemption commentary extends the coil.

On the calendar: 2026-08-04 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bearish sentiment7 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-01

Publicly-traded private equity and private credit stocks including APO have pulled back on rising rate hike expectations, and Apollo is described as private credit turmoil hitting alongside BX and OWL. Private credit redemptions are described as a 2026 trend and a hidden liquidity crunch with warnings around redemption-stress ratios. Sentiment leans bearish on the private credit stress.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $APO

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Large alternative asset manager across private equity, credit, and real assets with over $600B AUM.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Asset Management sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $APO.

Asset Management · Financial Services

No material change from last week — AI infrastructure (data centers, power, logistics) and Bitcoin treasury strategies, both of which require patient institutional capital that private market..

What this means for $APO

Direct beneficiary — Large alternative asset manager across private equity, credit, and real assets with over $600B AUM; core operations sit in the path of the Bitcoin treasury and AI infrastructure alternative asset allocation shift.

Top industry ETF

$IAIiShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF
+6.8%YTD
+12.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
35.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
1.3%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
31.1%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
8.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
10.0%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
89.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.7Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 6, 2026$1.94$1.89+2.6%
Q4 2025Feb 9, 2026$2.47$2.04+21.1%
Q3 2025Nov 4, 2025$2.14$1.90+12.6%
Q2 2025Aug 5, 2025$1.92$1.84+4.3%
Next earningsTue, Aug 4·consensus EPS $2.20

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$4.9B-11.1%100%6.7%$-3.24$1.6B
Q4 FY25$8.1B+53.6%69.7%52.6%$2.78$2.8B
Q3 FY25$9.8B+26.4%96.2%32.3%$2.82$303.0M
Q2 FY25$6.8B+13.2%95.2%21.3%$1.03$1.3B

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 6 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$23.1B$22.6B – $24.1B$8.91$8.67 – $9.135
FY27$26.7B$25.8B – $28.2B$10.67$10.23 – $11.176
FY28$30.4B$29.3B – $31.7B$12.45$11.81 – $13.092
FY29$8.4B$8.1B – $8.8B$13.32$12.68 – $14.055

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.41%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-3.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-3.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 450.8M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.6% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.505-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 27John P. ZitoPresident48.6K sh$6.4MSellMay 14Martin KellyCFO7.0K sh$943K
+ 39 other (22 awards · 11 inkinds · 5 gifts · 1 exempt) in window

See when $APO insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDJul 18-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Apollo Global Management (APO) pre-announced preliminary Q2 2026 alternative net investment income of approximately $350 million pre-tax, equating to a roughly 9% annualized return on alternative net investments — with Athene's pooled portfolio returning approximately 10% annualized and other alternatives (including retirement services platforms) returning approximately 6%. The full Q2 earnings release with financial supplement is scheduled for August 4, 2026. This preview is broadly constructive, signaling resilient performance in Apollo's alternative investment book ahead of the earnings report.

8-KShareholder voteJun 98-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Apollo Global Management held its 2026 Annual Meeting on June 8, 2026 and elected 13 directors for one-year terms expiring at the 2027 annual meeting, including Marc Rowan, Scott Kleinman, James Zelter, Gary Cohn, and others. All nominees received substantial majority support (e.g., James Belardi 451.9M for vs. 1.7M against; Marc Beilinson 439.4M for vs. 14.2M against — slightly elevated opposition but not unusual). The excerpt truncates before other proposals are shown. Routine annual governance event with no closely contested elections.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 158-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO) disclosed securities offering activity under 8-K Item 7.01 (Reg FD). The disclosure covers pricing or completion of a note or securities offering, typically cross-referencing concurrent prospectus filings. Offering announcements are material because they reveal changes to the company's capital structure, dilution, and funding strategy.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 18-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO) disclosed securities offering activity under 8-K Item 7.01 (Reg FD). The disclosure covers pricing or completion of a note or securities offering, typically cross-referencing concurrent prospectus filings. Offering announcements are material because they reveal changes to the company's capital structure, dilution, and funding strategy.

S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationApr 10S-3ASR
AI summary

APO (APO) filed an automatic shelf registration statement (S-3ASR) with the SEC. The registration establishes a shelf to offer various securities from time to time. As an S-3ASR (automatic shelf), this registration is immediately effective upon filing — a privilege reserved for well-known seasoned issuers (WKSIs) with large public floats. The shelf registration does not commit the company to any specific offering but provides flexible capital markets access for future transactions.

8-KPress release / Reg FDApr 18-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KMaterial agreementMar 308-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 8.01: Other event
424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Mar 26424B5
+ 17 other (4 13Gs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys · 1 10-Q) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Apollo Global Just Got Kicked Out of the Russell Growth Indexes. Is the Forced Selling a Buying Opportunity?fool.com·22h agoApollo Funds Complete Acquisitions of Emerald and Questex, Creating a Scaled, B2B Experiential Events and Media Platform Positioned to Drive Sustained, Long-Term Growthglobenewswire.com·2d agoBaggage Claim: Apollo's $7.7 Billion Bid to Acquire easyJetmarketbeat.com·3d agoPrivate Credit Is Coming to 401(k) Plans. These Are the Alternative Asset Managers Set to Cash In.fool.com·6d agoApollo Global Management Is Due For Multiple Expansions Despite Private Credit Headlinesseekingalpha.com·7d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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