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APAPO

Apollo Global Management, Inc.

$APO·$73B·Asset Management·Financial Services
$137.65+1.9%YTD-8.1%1Y-1.0%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-21: 20 posts2026-08-22: 5 posts2026-08-23: 6 posts2026-08-24: 22 posts80+3%
Price updated 12m ago·X counts updated 7d ago
APAPO
$APOApollo Global Management, Inc.
$137.65+1.93%80 posts+3%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $APO, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-29

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Apollo in the Broadcom $60B+ debt-financing for Anthropic AI-chip deal — record AUM meets a hacking-attack breach overhang.

Apollo Global Management is one of the largest alternative asset managers globally — private credit, private equity, real assets, plus the Athene retirement-services subsidiary. The setup is a real-business alternative-asset manager coiled with a specific AI-financing catalyst plus a legal overhang.

  • The AI-financing catalyst is the specific bull anchor: Apollo is in the Broadcom $60B+ debt-financing group for the Anthropic AI-chip deal (alongside BX and GOOGL), plus a KKR/APO strategic partnership to support Atlantic Aviation's continued growth — real, dollar-attached deal-flow signals in the highest-margin private-credit vertical.
  • The core P&L is holding: Q1 revenue was $4.93B down -11% YoY (mark-to-market volatility on the balance sheet), Q2 EPS at $2.11 slightly missed the $2.16 consensus, but the sell side models FY26 EPS at ~$8.85 rising to ~$10.67 in 2027 and ~$12.49 in 2028 — a compounding curve at a 35.4x trailing P/E that reflects Q1 mark-to-market noise rather than a broken model.
  • The overhangs are real: a hacking attack breached names, birth dates, home addresses, and SSNs (a specific data-breach event with class-action risk), plus the private-credit maturity cliff not arriving until 2028 (APO/KKR/BX/ARES/OWL) — bulls point to record AUM and lower FRE (fee-related earnings) multiple as offsets; Leon Black's family trust filed a new SC 13D disclosing 3M shares (structural, not a market signal).

The setup is a real-business alt-asset manager coiled with the Broadcom-Anthropic financing catalyst and a specific data-breach overhang — the November 3 Q3 print is the referee, and the market needs continued fee-related earnings growth plus updated AI-infra financing revenue color. A clean beat plus a named additional AI-infra deal extends the coil up toward $155; a fresh data-breach escalation or a soft FRE print cools the tape from current levels.

Agrees with X sentimentThe mixed X read is honest — bulls' Apollo in the Broadcom $60B+ debt-financing group for the Anthropic AI-chip deal, APO listed as newly-added perpetual futures pair on WEEX, and APO structurally positioned among private-equity cohort is factually consistent with the reports, and bears' hacking attack breach of names/birth dates/SSNs, private-credit maturity cliff not arriving until 2028, and the $46.5M BX 155P downside trade rolling across the peer set are equally real risks. Leon Black's family trust filing 3M shares is structural, not a market signal.

What to watch: The November 3 Q3 earnings — need continued fee-related earnings growth, updated AI-infra financing revenue color, and reiterated FY26 EPS guide toward the $8.85 consensus. A fresh data-breach escalation or a soft FRE print cools the tape from current levels; a clean beat plus a named additional AI-infra deal extends the coil up toward $155.

On the calendar: 2026-11-03 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment⚠6 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-27 · top-engagement diverged

Apollo Global Management sentiment is genuinely divided. Bulls celebrate APO in the Broadcom $60B+ debt-financing group for the Anthropic AI-chip deal (with BX/GOOGL), APO listed as a newly-added perpetual futures pair on WEEX (+1.70% week), and APO among the private-equity cohort structurally positioned. Bears/skeptics flag APO being hit with a hacking attack breaching names, birth dates, home addresses, SSNs, private-credit maturity cliff not arriving until 2028 (APO/KKR/BX/ARES/OWL), and one $46.5M BX 155P downside trade rolling across the peer set. Net tone is a mix; the modal stance is 'AI-infra financing beneficiary but data-breach and maturity-cliff overhangs weigh'.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $APO

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Large alternative asset manager across private equity, credit, and real assets with over $600B AUM.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Asset Management sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $APO.

Asset Management · Financial Services

Equity market strength is driving AUM growth through market appreciation more than net flows; fee compression continues in passive products while alternatives and private markets hold pricing. Rising markets mask organic flow dynamics — the structural story is the shift toward private asset exposure.

What this means for $APO

Partial — REIT cash flows tied to occupancy, rent growth, and cap rate environment; Apollo Global Management, Inc.

Top industry ETF

$IAIiShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF
+5.0%YTD
+11.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
35.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
1.3%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
31.1%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
8.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
10.0%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
89.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.7Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 4, 2026$2.11$2.16-2.3%
Q1 2026May 6, 2026$1.94$1.89+2.6%
Q4 2025Feb 9, 2026$2.47$2.04+21.1%
Q3 2025Nov 4, 2025$2.14$1.90+12.6%
Next earningsTue, Nov 3·consensus EPS $2.28

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$4.9B-11.1%100%6.7%$-3.24$1.6B
Q4 FY25$8.1B+53.6%69.7%52.6%$2.78$2.8B
Q3 FY25$9.8B+26.4%96.2%32.3%$2.82$303.0M
Q2 FY25$6.8B+13.2%95.2%21.3%$1.03$1.3B

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 5 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$23.2B$22.9B – $23.9B$8.85$8.78 – $8.995
FY27$26.9B$26.3B – $27.9B$10.67$10.19 – $11.185
FY28$30.5B$29.8B – $31.3B$12.49$10.22 – $14.711
FY29$8.4B$8.2B – $8.7B$13.44$13.05 – $13.922

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.66%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+6.7%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+5.8%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 450.4M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.5% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.515-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 14Martin KellyCFO3.0K sh$423KSellMay 27John P. ZitoPresident48.6K sh$6.4MSellMay 14Martin KellyCFO7.0K sh$943K
+ 22 other (14 awards · 6 gifts · 2 others) in window

See when $APO insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 248-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Apollo Global Management (APO) published a presentation titled 'Apollo Multi-Asset Prime Securities (AMAPS) Overview Presentation' on its investor relations website (ir.apollo.com) on August 24, 2026, filed as a Reg FD disclosure. The presentation covers Apollo's multi-asset prime securities product initiative. No financial targets or deal specifics were included in the excerpt. AMAPS represents Apollo's strategic expansion into prime services, relevant to its ambitions in financial services and credit markets.

SC 13DActivist position (5%+)Aug 14SC 13D
AI summary

LDB 2025 LLC (an investment vehicle for Leon D. Black's family trusts, managed by Heather Gray of Elysium Management LLC) filed a new Schedule 13D on Apollo Global Management (APO), disclosing sole beneficial ownership of 3,000,000 shares (~0.51% of 590,543,159 shares outstanding as of August 5, 2026). The shares were contributed internally from LDB 2014 LLC on July 29, 2026; on August 13, 2026 LDB 2025 LLC became party to Apollo's existing Stockholders Agreement among the founding principals (Black, Rowan, Harris), which governs board nomination rights. No external share purchases occurred; this is purely internal estate/trust restructuring of an existing family stake. At 0.51%, the holding is below a typical activist threshold and reflects a routine succession-planning transfer.

3New insider — initial holdingsAug 143
AI summary

LDB 2025 LLC, an investment vehicle for trusts benefiting Leon D. Black's family (managed by Elysium Management LLC), filed an initial Form 3 on Apollo Global Management (APO), disclosing direct ownership of 3,000,000 shares of common stock. The entity also entered into a variable share forward transaction on August 7, 2026 with an unaffiliated financial institution, pledging 2,000,000 of those shares; settlement of each of the up to 8 components depends on the share price relative to a floor determined after a hedging period, with the filer retaining voting rights during the pledge. The 3,000,000 shares were received as an internal contribution from LDB 2014 LLC on July 29, 2026, not a market purchase. This is an estate/trust restructuring of the Black family's APO stake, overlaid with a collar-like forward sale on 2 million shares.

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 138-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Apollo Global Management (APO) filed an 8-K on August 13, 2026 under Item 7.01 (Regulation FD), furnishing investor materials — likely an investor presentation or data supplement — simultaneously made available to the public. The excerpt is the filing cover page; the actual materials are in the attached exhibit. Regulation FD requires simultaneous public disclosure of material non-public information shared with select investors. Apollo is one of the world's largest alternative asset managers.

8-K/AShareholder vote (amended)Aug 128-K/A — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Apollo Global Management (APO) filed an 8-K/A to disclose that its Board of Directors has decided to hold annual advisory say-on-pay votes going forward, consistent with stockholder preference expressed at the June 8, 2026 annual meeting where a majority voted for annual frequency. This formalizes executive compensation oversight cadence.

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 118-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Apollo Global Management (APO) filed an 8-K under Item 7.01 disclosing that Athene Holding Ltd., its wholly-owned insurance subsidiary, has made available a presentation titled 'Overview of Athene's Corporate Structure' on its investor relations website at ir.athene.com. The disclosure is a Regulation FD furnishing and is not deemed filed for liability purposes. No financial figures or material transaction terms were announced.

8-KPress release / Reg FDJul 18-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Apollo Global Management (APO) pre-announced preliminary Q2 2026 alternative net investment income of approximately $350 million pre-tax, equating to a roughly 9% annualized return on alternative net investments — with Athene's pooled portfolio returning approximately 10% annualized and other alternatives (including retirement services platforms) returning approximately 6%. The full Q2 earnings release with financial supplement is scheduled for August 4, 2026. This preview is broadly constructive, signaling resilient performance in Apollo's alternative investment book ahead of the earnings report.

8-KShareholder voteJun 98-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Apollo Global Management held its 2026 Annual Meeting on June 8, 2026 and elected 13 directors for one-year terms expiring at the 2027 annual meeting, including Marc Rowan, Scott Kleinman, James Zelter, Gary Cohn, and others. All nominees received substantial majority support (e.g., James Belardi 451.9M for vs. 1.7M against; Marc Beilinson 439.4M for vs. 14.2M against — slightly elevated opposition but not unusual). The excerpt truncates before other proposals are shown. Routine annual governance event with no closely contested elections.

+ 22 other (4 8-Ks · 3 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

ONEOK to Acquire Brazos Midstream's Permian Midland Basin Assets for $4.425 Billiongurufocus.com·1d agoONEOK to Acquire Brazos Midstream's Permian Midland Basin Assets for $4.425 Billionprnewswire.com·1d agoApollo Global Management: Record AUM Puts Lower FRE Multiple On Noticeseekingalpha.com·4d agoApollo Funds and KKR Announce Strategic Partnership to Support Atlantic Aviation's Continued Growthglobenewswire.com·4d agoBreakfast News: Nvidia Crushed It. Who Cares?fool.com·5d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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