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OWOWL

Blue Owl Capital Inc.

$OWL·$14B·Asset Management·Financial Services
$9.07+2.5%YTD-38.3%1Y-44.3%
Price updated 15m ago·X counts updated 8d ago
OWOWL
$OWLBlue Owl Capital Inc.
$9.07+2.49%2.3k posts0.9×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $OWL on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

2,274X posts · last 7 days
Oct 1Oct 11
Chatter Meter
0.9×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $OWL's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level.

Bearish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-10-02

Sentiment on Blue Owl leans bearish — Steve Eisman framed Meta's $27B Louisiana data-center JV (where Meta owns 20% and OWL/Pimco own the rest) as an Enron-style off-balance-sheet vehicle in his latest podcast, which bulls are not refuting. A parallel "fund managers facing LP redemption demands" meme (tagging APO, OWL, BXSL, GBDC) adds structural pressure. The $OWL NFT community promo runs separately.

Read what X is saying about $OWL

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $OWL — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersSelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-10-02

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

Alternatives manager down 41% YTD — Steve Eisman just called their Meta SPV "Enron-style off-balance-sheet."

Blue Owl Capital is a leading alternatives asset manager — direct lending, GP stakes, real-estate credit — with permanent-capital-base vehicles. The stock is at 11% of its 52-week range on genuine governance scrutiny around a $27B Meta-related Louisiana data-center SPV.

  • The P&L is still working at the manager level: revenue grew 10% YoY to $754M last quarter at a 22% operating margin — the recurring fee stream from permanent capital is intact, and the management-fee economics are solid.
  • Steve Eisman flagging Meta's $27B Louisiana data-center SPV (Blue Owl + Pimco owning ~80%) as "Enron-style off-balance-sheet financing" is a specific governance challenge — regardless of whether the structure clears regulatory muster, the stock is now trading with Enron-tag headline risk.
  • Governance signals are mixed: Marc Lipschultz's 2M-share gift and other founder-level dispositions are routine, but the dominant backdrop is scrutiny-on-business-model, not fundamentals-driven selling.

Breaking-down holds unless Oct 29 earnings confirm fee-related earnings growth above 10% YoY and management addresses the SPV scrutiny with specific disclosure. A soft fee-earnings print, or a formal regulatory inquiry into the Meta SPV, is what seals the de-rating; a resolution of the governance questions (independent SPV review, better disclosure) is what could restart the move — this is a governance trade right now, not a fundamentals one.

Agrees with X sentimentThe X split is accurate: Eisman's Enron-style framing is the real overhang, and the Royal Owls Club NFT side-thread is unrelated. The dominant tape signal is governance scrutiny, not fundamentals, which matches the breaking-down read.

What to watch: Oct 29 earnings — fee-related earnings growth, fundraising cadence, any specific commentary on the Meta Louisiana data-center SPV disclosure. A regulatory inquiry announcement or soft fee-earnings print is what seals the breaking-down.

On the calendar: 2026-10-29 — Q3 FY26 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $OWL

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Alternative asset manager specializing in direct lending and GP-minority investments for middle-market companies.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Asset Management sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $OWL.

Asset Management · Financial Services

No material change from last week — yield-seeking institutional capital continues flowing into private credit and infrastructure alternatives.

What this means for $OWL

Neutral — Alternative asset manager specializing in direct lending and GP-minority investments for middle-market companies.

Top industry ETF

$IAIiShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF
-1.4%YTD
+3.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
76.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
4.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
22.4%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
8.4%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
5.2Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
3.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
64.4%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
2.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 30, 2026$0.22$0.22+1.6%
Q1 2026Apr 30, 2026$0.19$0.190.0%
Q4 2025Feb 5, 2026$0.24$0.22+9.1%
Q3 2025Oct 30, 2025$0.22$0.22-0.7%
Next earningsThu, Oct 29·consensus EPS $0.23

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$753.8M+10.3%87.9%14.4%$0.02$89.0M
Q4 FY25$755.6M+19.7%62.0%44.7%$0.07$359.1M
Q3 FY25$728.0M+21.2%53.1%15.5%$0.01$422.5M
Q2 FY25$703.1M+27.9%53.6%14.1%$0.03$412.5M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 9 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$2.8B$2.8B – $2.9B$0.88$0.87 – $0.909
FY27$3.1B$3.0B – $3.3B$0.98$0.93 – $1.049
FY28$3.6B$3.4B – $3.9B$1.11$0.81 – $1.427
FY29$4.3B$4.1B – $4.5B$1.32$1.25 – $1.383

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.10%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-16.2%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-16.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 623.1M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.9% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.215-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellSep 14Marc ZahrPresident1 sh—
+ 21 other (13 awards · 5 others · 3 gifts) in window

See when $OWL insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementOct 158-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
8-KMaterial agreementAug 188-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 8.01: Other event
424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Aug 13424B5
AI summary

Blue Owl Finance LLC, an indirect subsidiary of Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL), is offering $750 million of 6.750% Senior Notes due August 18, 2036, fully and unconditionally guaranteed by Blue Owl Capital Inc. and multiple affiliated holding entities. The notes are priced at 99.029% of par, yielding net proceeds to the issuer (before expenses) of approximately $737.1 million; interest is payable semi-annually beginning February 18, 2027. Proceeds will repay outstanding borrowings under Blue Owl's Revolving Credit Facility. This is a non-dilutive, long-dated debt refinancing that reduces near-term revolving credit reliance, generally a positive liquidity management step for the asset management firm.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Aug 11424B5
AI summary

Blue Owl Finance LLC (OWL subsidiary) filed a preliminary 424B5 prospectus supplement on August 12, 2026 for senior notes due 2036, with specific dollar amounts and interest rates to be determined in the final pricing supplement. The notes are guaranteed jointly and severally by Blue Owl Capital Inc. and multiple subsidiaries, providing broad corporate credit support. Blue Owl is an alternative asset manager specializing in direct lending and GP stakes; this debt issuance likely funds balance sheet needs or investment activity. Final terms will appear in the priced supplement.

8-KShareholder voteJun 48-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

OWL (OWL) disclosed the results of its annual meeting of shareholders in an 8-K filing under Item 5.07. Shareholders voted on multiple proposals. All management-sponsored proposals were approved by majority shareholder vote. Annual meeting results are a routine disclosure that confirms shareholder ratification of the board's composition and compensation practices.

+ 15 other (9 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 8-Ks · 1 routine 8-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Analyzing Blue Owl Capital (NYSE:OWL) and Barings Bdc (NYSE:BBDC)defenseworld.net·2d agoBlue Owl Founders Promised a Comeback. The Company's Share Price Hasn't Budged.wsj.com·3d agoBuy The Dip: Sustainable And Growing 10%+ Yieldsseekingalpha.com·3d agoHow To Build A $100,000 Dividend Portfolio With 10 High-Yield Picksseekingalpha.com·4d agoCox Capital Adjusts Commencement Date for Blue Owl Credit Income Corp. Tender Offerbusinesswire.com·6d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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