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OWOWL

Blue Owl Capital Inc.

$OWL·$19B·Asset Management·Financial Services
$11.71+1.0%YTD-23.1%1Y-37.1%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-27: 18 posts2026-08-28: 22 posts2026-08-29: 10 posts2026-08-30: 9 posts2026-08-31: 29 posts2026-09-01: 13 posts2026-09-02: 8 posts113
Price updated 10m ago·X counts updated 23h ago
OWOWL
$OWLBlue Owl Capital Inc.
$11.72+0.99%113 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $OWL, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-29

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Blue Owl leading the $2.4B IREN AI-datacenter financing plus $750M Notes issuance — alt-asset manager coiling with real deal flow.

Blue Owl Capital is a leading alternative asset manager — direct lending (private credit), GP stakes, and real estate — with a growing AI-datacenter financing platform. The setup is a real-business alt-manager coiling with a specific deal-flow catalyst.

  • The AI-datacenter deal flow is genuinely large: Blue Owl-managed funds are leading a $2.4B AI factory financing for IREN — a real, dollar-attached deal that directly showcases Blue Owl's ability to originate and place large infrastructure-scale credit in a segment (hyperscaler-adjacent capex) where competitors are struggling.
  • The core P&L is compounding cleanly: Q1 revenue grew 10.3% YoY to $754M, Q2 EPS came in at $0.22 vs $0.217 consensus (small beat), and the sell side models revenue climbing from ~$2.83B this year to ~$3.63B in 2028 — the AUM-driven fee stream plus performance fees underpins the mid-teens EPS growth.
  • The capital-structure move is clean: Blue Owl Finance LLC issued $750M of 6.750% Senior Notes due 2036 in mid-August — a term-out that lowers refinancing risk into the future; multiple insider A-Awards on August 6 (Lipschultz, Zahr, Ostrover, Rees, Packer combined ~7.8M shares) reflect scheduled comp, not open-market buys.

The setup is a real-business alt-asset manager coiled with a specific deal-flow catalyst — the October 29 Q3 print is the referee, and the market needs continued 10%+ revenue growth plus AUM inflows commentary. A clean beat plus named additional AI-datacenter deals breaks the coil up toward $15; a soft fundraising commentary or a fee-margin compression keeps the stock coiled below $12.

What to watch: The October 29 Q3 earnings — need continued 10%+ revenue growth, AUM inflows commentary, and reiterated FY26 EPS guide toward the $0.87 consensus. A soft fundraising commentary or a fee-margin compression keeps the stock coiled below $12; a clean beat plus named additional AI-datacenter deals breaks the coil up toward $15.

On the calendar: 2026-10-29 — Q3 earnings

sentiment ticker mismatch

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment8 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-02

Blue Owl-managed funds lead a $2.4B equipment-financing package for IREN's Mackenzie AI-cloud data-center campus (a $1.2B senior secured term loan plus additional pieces), described as 'one of the largest of its kind' and creative AI-infrastructure financing. Owlto Finance's separate weekly bridge insights highlight <14.59s speeds, 43.8M+ $OWL locked at 12% APY and a AA (90.47) security rating. Bull tone dominates.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $OWL

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Alternative asset manager specializing in direct lending and GP-minority investments for middle-market companies.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Asset Management sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $OWL.

Asset Management · Financial Services

Equity market strength is driving AUM growth through market appreciation more than net flows; fee compression continues in passive products while alternatives and private markets hold pricing. Rising markets mask organic flow dynamics — the structural story is the shift toward private asset exposure.

What this means for $OWL

Partial — net interest margin and credit quality are the primary earnings drivers; Blue Owl Capital Inc.

Top industry ETF

$IAIiShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF
+5.0%YTD
+11.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
76.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
4.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
22.4%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
8.4%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
5.2Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
3.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
64.4%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
2.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 30, 2026$0.22$0.22+1.6%
Q1 2026Apr 30, 2026$0.19$0.190.0%
Q4 2025Feb 5, 2026$0.24$0.22+9.1%
Q3 2025Oct 30, 2025$0.22$0.22-0.7%
Next earningsThu, Oct 29·consensus EPS $0.23

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$753.8M+10.3%87.9%14.4%$0.02$89.0M
Q4 FY25$755.6M+19.7%62.0%44.7%$0.07$359.1M
Q3 FY25$728.0M+21.2%53.1%15.5%$0.01$422.5M
Q2 FY25$703.1M+27.9%53.6%14.1%$0.03$412.5M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 8 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$2.8B$2.8B – $2.9B$0.87$0.86 – $0.893
FY27$3.1B$3.0B – $3.3B$0.98$0.91 – $1.058
FY28$3.6B$3.4B – $3.9B$1.12$0.95 – $1.305
FY29$4.1B$4.0B – $4.3B$1.29$1.24 – $1.352

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.3×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.32%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+11.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+1.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 623.1M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today4.3% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.195-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 15 other (13 awards · 2 others) in window

See when $OWL insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementAug 188-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 8.01: Other event
424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Aug 13424B5
AI summary

Blue Owl Finance LLC, an indirect subsidiary of Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL), is offering $750 million of 6.750% Senior Notes due August 18, 2036, fully and unconditionally guaranteed by Blue Owl Capital Inc. and multiple affiliated holding entities. The notes are priced at 99.029% of par, yielding net proceeds to the issuer (before expenses) of approximately $737.1 million; interest is payable semi-annually beginning February 18, 2027. Proceeds will repay outstanding borrowings under Blue Owl's Revolving Credit Facility. This is a non-dilutive, long-dated debt refinancing that reduces near-term revolving credit reliance, generally a positive liquidity management step for the asset management firm.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Aug 11424B5
AI summary

Blue Owl Finance LLC (OWL subsidiary) filed a preliminary 424B5 prospectus supplement on August 12, 2026 for senior notes due 2036, with specific dollar amounts and interest rates to be determined in the final pricing supplement. The notes are guaranteed jointly and severally by Blue Owl Capital Inc. and multiple subsidiaries, providing broad corporate credit support. Blue Owl is an alternative asset manager specializing in direct lending and GP stakes; this debt issuance likely funds balance sheet needs or investment activity. Final terms will appear in the priced supplement.

8-KShareholder voteJun 48-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

OWL (OWL) disclosed the results of its annual meeting of shareholders in an 8-K filing under Item 5.07. Shareholders voted on multiple proposals. All management-sponsored proposals were approved by majority shareholder vote. Annual meeting results are a routine disclosure that confirms shareholder ratification of the board's composition and compensation practices.

+ 19 other (11 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 8-Ks · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Blue Owl Capital: 11% Yield And 19% Discount Make It A 'Buy'seekingalpha.com·2d agoBlue Owl Capital: The 21% NAV Discount Is Hard To Ignoreseekingalpha.com·3d agoBlue Owl to Present at Barclays 24th Annual Global Financial Services Conferenceprnewswire.com·3d agoBLUE OWL MANAGED FUNDS LEAD $2.4 BILLION AI FACTORY FINANCING FOR IRENgurufocus.com·6d agoBLUE OWL MANAGED FUNDS LEAD $2.4 BILLION AI FACTORY FINANCING FOR IRENprnewswire.com·6d ago

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